Caxias vs Ituano Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
67.1%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
30.6%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.3%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
87.7%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
Caxias
Ituano
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Caxias
8 matches
Ituano
8 matches
| Caxias | Statistic | Ituano |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Wins | 5 |
| 3 | Draws | 1 |
| 2 | Losses | 2 |
| 7 | Goals For | 12 |
| 5 | Goals Against | 8 |
| 0.88 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.5 |
| 0.63 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1 |
| 3 | BTTS Yes | 3 |
| 4 | Over 1.5 | 6 |
| 2 | Over 2.5 | 3 |
| 0 | Over 3.5 | 2 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 3 |
| 3 | Failed To Score | 2 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Ituano. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Ituano having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.
Caxias are currently 8 in the standings with 11 points from 7 matches. The record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 7:5 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Salatiel (3 goals), Calyson (2 goals), Joao Lucas (1 goals), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
Operating from 4 place with 13 points from 7 games, Ituano bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 2 defeats, together with goals at 11:8, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through Gabriel Razera (2 goals), Neto Berola (2 goals), Alason Carioca (1 goals), while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, the split of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.
Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Caxias won 3 times, Ituano won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:5 from Caxias's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 3.25 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 28:19 | 9 | 33 |
L
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 2 | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 28:22 | 6 | 32 |
D
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 3 | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 22:15 | 7 | 30 |
W
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 4 | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 32:30 | 2 | 30 |
L
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 5 | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 22:20 | 2 | 30 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 22:20 | 2 | 30 |
D
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 7 | 19 | 9 | 2 | 8 | 26:27 | -1 | 29 |
L
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 8 | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 20:15 | 5 | 29 |
W
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 9 | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 27:24 | 3 | 29 |
D
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 10 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 34:24 | 10 | 28 |
D
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 11 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 19:22 | -3 | 28 |
W
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 12 | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 19:18 | 1 | 27 |
L
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 13 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 21:23 | -2 | 26 |
D
D
D
W
W
|
|
| 14 |
Caxias
Home
|
19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 17:16 | 1 | 25 |
D
L
L
W
L
|
| 15 |
Ituano
Away
|
19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 18:21 | -3 | 22 |
L
L
L
W
L
|
| 16 | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 13:25 | -12 | 21 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 21:21 | 0 | 21 |
W
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 18 | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 17:22 | -5 | 19 |
D
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 19 | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 14:27 | -13 | 17 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 20 | 19 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 11:20 | -9 | 13 |
L
L
D
L
D
|