BRAZIL SERIE C
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Francisco Stedile
Referee: T. Silva
Caxias
Match Timeline
Ituano
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
30'
Roberto
Caxias
🟨
45+3'
Richard
Ituano
48'
Neto Berola
Ituano
🔄
61'
Roberto ↔ Victor Sa
Caxias
🔄
61'
Gaspar ↔ Vitor Feijao
Caxias
🔄
61'
Grigor ↔ Marcelo Freitas
Caxias
🟨
62'
Richard
Ituano
🟥
62'
Richard
Ituano
🔄
65'
Gabriel Razera ↔ Leo Passos
Ituano
🔄
65'
Neto Berola ↔ Martha
Ituano
🟨
66'
Guilherme Xavier
Ituano
🟨
68'
Calyson
Caxias
🔄
73'
Guilherme Xavier ↔ Leo Souza
Ituano
75'
Vitor Feijao
Caxias
🔄
80'
Ravanelli ↔ Felipe Rangel
Caxias
🔄
80'
Felipe Albuquerque ↔ Vitor Gabriel
Caxias
🔄
82'
Thassio ↔ Victor Reis
Ituano
🔄
82'
Gabriel William ↔ Bruno Alves
Ituano
90'
Salatiel
Caxias

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 30.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 51.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
67.1%
-
BTTS BTTS No
30.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
51.3%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Caxias Win 67.1%
Draw 0%
Ituano Win 32.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Caxias0.93
Ituano1.15
Recent Form (Last 5)
Caxias Caxias
WWDLW
7 GF / 5 GA
Ituano Ituano
WLDWL
12 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
0.88
Average Goals Scored
1.5
0.63
Average Goals Conceded
1
3
BTTS Yes
3
2
Over 2.5
3
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Caxias Caxias 8 matches
Ituano Ituano 8 matches
Caxias Statistic Ituano
3 Wins 5
3 Draws 1
2 Losses 2
7 Goals For 12
5 Goals Against 8
0.88 Avg Goals Scored 1.5
0.63 Avg Goals Conceded 1
3 BTTS Yes 3
4 Over 1.5 6
2 Over 2.5 3
0 Over 3.5 2
4 Clean Sheets 3
3 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Ituano. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Ituano having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Caxias Analysis

Caxias are currently 8 in the standings with 11 points from 7 matches. The record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 7:5 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Salatiel (3 goals), Calyson (2 goals), Joao Lucas (1 goals), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Ituano Analysis

Operating from 4 place with 13 points from 7 games, Ituano bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 2 defeats, together with goals at 11:8, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through Gabriel Razera (2 goals), Neto Berola (2 goals), Alason Carioca (1 goals), while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, the split of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Caxias won 3 times, Ituano won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:5 from Caxias's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 3.25 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
H2H summary: Caxias wins 3, draws 0, Ituano wins 1

Lineups

Caxias
Formation
Ituano
G. Busatto
G. Busatto
Felipe Albuquerque
Felipe Albuquerque
Ianson
Ianson
Mauricio Ribeiro
Mauricio Ribeiro
Roberto
Roberto
Grigor
Grigor
Matheus Nunes
Matheus Nunes
Ravanelli
Ravanelli
Calyson
Calyson
Gaspar
Gaspar
Salatiel
Salatiel
Saulo
Saulo
Lucas Mota
Lucas Mota
Leo Coltro
Leo Coltro
Matheus Mancini
Matheus Mancini
Gabriel William
Gabriel William
Tiaguinho
Tiaguinho
Thassio
Thassio
Richard
Richard
Gabriel Razera
Gabriel Razera
Guilherme Xavier
Guilherme Xavier
Neto Berola
Neto Berola
Caxias 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
G. Busatto
2
Felipe Albuquerque
↓ 80'
3
Ianson
4
Mauricio Ribeiro
6
Roberto
↓ 61' 🟨 30'
5
Grigor
↓ 61'
8
Matheus Nunes
10
Ravanelli
↓ 80'
7
Calyson
🟨 68'
11
Gaspar
↓ 61'
9
Salatiel
⚽ 90'
Substitutes
12
Marcelo
13
Windson
14
Mancha
15
Breno Santos
16
Victor Sa
↑ 61'
17
Vitor Feijao
⚽ 75' ↑ 61'
18
Felipe Rangel
↑ 80'
19
Jhonatan Ribeiro
20
Vitor Gabriel
↑ 80'
21
Marcelo Freitas
↑ 61'
22
Joao Lucas
23
Matheus Anjos
Ituano 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
Saulo
2
Lucas Mota
3
Leo Coltro
4
Matheus Mancini
5
Gabriel William
↓ 82'
6
Tiaguinho
7
Thassio
↓ 82'
8
Richard
🟨 45+3' 🟨 62' 🟥 62'
9
Gabriel Razera
↓ 65'
10
Guilherme Xavier
↓ 73' 🟨 66'
11
Neto Berola
⚽ 48' ↓ 65'
Substitutes
12
J. Pantera
13
Victor Reis
↑ 82'
14
Carlao
15
Leo Souza
↑ 73'
16
Guilherme Dal Pian
17
Leo Passos
↑ 65'
18
Martha
↑ 65'
19
Bruno Mezenga
20
Felipe Muranga
21
Bruno Alves
↑ 82'
22
Lucas Stefanello
Last matches: Caxias
11.07.26
Ser
Caxias
Floresta
0
0
D
04.07.26
Ser
Caxias
Ferroviária
1
0
W
30.06.26
Ser
Caxias
Anápolis
1
1
D
21.06.26
Ser
Caxias
Maringá
1
1
D
13.06.26
Ser
Caxias
Guarani Campinas
1
2
L
23.05.26
Ser
Caxias
Maranhão
0
0
D
17.05.26
Ser
Caxias
Paysandu
2
0
W
10.05.26
Ser
Caxias
Barra
0
0
D
03.05.26
Ser
Caxias
Amazonas
1
1
D
27.04.26
Ser
Caxias
Ypiranga-RS
2
1
W
18.04.26
Ser
Caxias
Volta Redonda
0
1
L
12.04.26
Ser
Caxias
Confiança
1
0
W
04.04.26
Ser
Caxias
Brusque
1
2
L
Last matches: Ituano
12.07.26
Ser
Ituano
Ferroviária
1
3
L
04.07.26
Ser
Ituano
Santa Cruz
0
1
L
28.06.26
Ser
Ituano
Maranhão
0
0
D
20.06.26
Ser
Ituano
Figueirense
0
0
D
14.06.26
Ser
Ituano
AO Itabaiana
2
2
D
25.05.26
Ser
Ituano
Botafogo PB
1
0
W
17.05.26
Ser
Ituano
Guarani Campinas
3
1
W
10.05.26
Ser
Ituano
Confiança
1
0
W
05.05.26
Ser
Ituano
Ypiranga-RS
0
2
L
26.04.26
Ser
Ituano
Maringá
4
1
W
18.04.26
Ser
Ituano
Inter De Limeira
1
1
D
12.04.26
Ser
Ituano
Amazonas
0
3
L
05.04.26
Ser
Ituano
Anápolis
2
0
W
H2H: Caxias vs Ituano
30.05.26
H2H
Caxias
Ituano
2
1
W
29.06.25
H2H
Caxias
Ituano
2
1
W
02.07.16
H2H
Ituano
Caxias
2
1
L
26.06.16
H2H
Caxias
Ituano
3
1
W
Last matches: Caxias
11.07.26
Ser
Caxias
Floresta
0
0
D
30.06.26
Ser
Caxias
Anápolis
1
1
D
21.06.26
Ser
Caxias
Maringá
1
1
D
17.05.26
Ser
Caxias
Paysandu
2
0
W
27.04.26
Ser
Caxias
Ypiranga-RS
2
1
W
12.04.26
Ser
Caxias
Confiança
1
0
W
H2H at home: Caxias
30.05.26
H2H
Caxias
Ituano
2
1
W
29.06.25
H2H
Caxias
Ituano
2
1
W
26.06.16
H2H
Caxias
Ituano
3
1
W
Last matches: Ituano
04.07.26
Ser
Ituano
Santa Cruz
0
1
L
14.06.26
Ser
Ituano
AO Itabaiana
2
2
D
17.05.26
Ser
Ituano
Guarani Campinas
3
1
W
05.05.26
Ser
Ituano
Ypiranga-RS
0
2
L
18.04.26
Ser
Ituano
Inter De Limeira
1
1
D
12.04.26
Ser
Ituano
Amazonas
0
3
L
H2H away: Ituano
30.05.26
H2H
Caxias
Ituano
2
1
L
29.06.25
H2H
Caxias
Ituano
2
1
L
26.06.16
H2H
Caxias
Ituano
3
1
L

Standings

Serie C
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 14 7 4 3 17:14 3 25
W W D L W
2 14 7 3 4 20:15 5 24
L W L W L
3 14 7 3 4 15:10 5 24
W W W L W
4 14 7 2 5 22:19 3 23
W L L W L
5 14 6 5 3 25:14 11 23
L D D L W
6 14 7 1 6 19:15 4 22
W W W W D
7 14 6 4 4 27:24 3 22
W W D D D
8 14 6 4 4 15:12 3 22
W L L W W
9 14 5 6 3 13:10 3 21
D W D D L
10 14 5 5 4 15:14 1 20
D D W L L
11 14 5 4 5 16:16 0 19
L L D D D
12 14 5 3 6 17:19 -2 18
L W D W D
13 14 5 3 6 10:15 -5 18
D L W L W
14 14 5 2 7 13:19 -6 17
L L L D W
15 14 4 5 5 11:14 -3 17
W L D L D
16 14 4 5 5 12:18 -6 17
D L D D W
17 14 4 4 6 12:17 -5 16
W W W L D
18 14 3 6 5 17:16 1 15
L W L D L
19 14 3 2 9 8:14 -6 11
L L D W L
20 14 2 3 9 9:18 -9 9
L L D W L
Play-offs
Relegation