BRAZIL SERIE C
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Francisco Stedile
Referee: M. Neves
Caxias
Match Timeline
Botafogo PB
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
9'
Patric Calmon
Botafogo PB
🟨
31'
Roberto
Caxias
41'
Breno Santos
Caxias
🟨
45+3'
Breno Santos
Caxias
🔄
46'
Patric Calmon ↔ Bull
Botafogo PB
🔄
60'
Kayon ↔ Giovanni
Botafogo PB
🔄
60'
Jhonata Varela ↔ Lucas Candido
Botafogo PB
🔄
61'
Roberto ↔ Victor Sa
Caxias
🔄
61'
Calyson ↔ Dentinho
Caxias
🔄
61'
Joao Lucas ↔ Matheus Nunes
Caxias
🔄
73'
Diogo Mateus ↔ Leo Pereira
Botafogo PB
🟨
74'
Saimon
Botafogo PB
🔄
74'
Breno Santos ↔ Grigor
Caxias
78'
Ianson
Botafogo PB
81'
R. Bastos
Botafogo PB
🔄
82'
Marcelo Freitas ↔ Gaspar
Caxias
🔄
83'
Dudu Hatamoto ↔ Thallyson
Botafogo PB
🟨
90+7'
R. Bastos
Botafogo PB

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 56.4%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 55%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 80.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
56.4%
-
BTTS No
55%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
80.5%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 1-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Caxias Win 56.4%
Draw 10.5%
Botafogo PB Win 33%
Expected Goals (xG)
Caxias0.99
Botafogo PB1.17
Recent Form (Last 5)
Caxias Caxias
WWDLW
13 GF / 10 GA
Botafogo PB Botafogo PB
WLDWL
22 GF / 16 GA
Key Stats
0.93
Average Goals Scored
1.47
0.71
Average Goals Conceded
1.07
7
BTTS Yes
7
4
Over 2.5
6
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Caxias Caxias 14 matches
Botafogo PB Botafogo PB 15 matches
Caxias Statistic Botafogo PB
5 Wins 8
6 Draws 1
3 Losses 6
13 Goals For 22
10 Goals Against 16
0.93 Avg Goals Scored 1.47
0.71 Avg Goals Conceded 1.07
7 BTTS Yes 7
8 Over 1.5 12
4 Over 2.5 6
0 Over 3.5 3
6 Clean Sheets 6
4 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Botafogo PB look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Botafogo PB having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Botafogo PB.

Caxias Analysis

Caxias sit 9 with 21 points after 14 league matches. Their overall return of 5 wins, 6 draws, and 3 losses with goals at 13:10 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, they have returned 4 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Botafogo PB Analysis

From their first 14 matches, Botafogo PB have collected 22 points and now occupy 6 place in the table. Their overall return of 7 wins, 1 draws, and 6 losses with goals at 19:15 reflects very strong form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their split return of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Caxias won 1 times, Botafogo PB won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:4 from Caxias's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (89.5%)
H2H summary: Caxias wins 1, draws 1, Botafogo PB wins 1

Lineups

Caxias
Formation
Botafogo PB
G. Busatto
G. Busatto
Felipe Albuquerque
Felipe Albuquerque
Ianson
Ianson
Mancha
Mancha
Roberto
Roberto
Breno Santos
Breno Santos
Marcelo Freitas
Marcelo Freitas
Joao Lucas
Joao Lucas
Calyson
Calyson
Jhonatan Ribeiro
Jhonatan Ribeiro
Quirino
Quirino
Luiz Daniel
Luiz Daniel
Diogo Mateus
Diogo Mateus
Igor Morais
Igor Morais
Saimon
Saimon
Patric Calmon
Patric Calmon
Jhonata Varela
Jhonata Varela
Igor Maduro
Igor Maduro
Nene
Nene
Dudu Hatamoto
Dudu Hatamoto
Kayon
Kayon
R. Bastos
R. Bastos
Caxias 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
G. Busatto
2
Felipe Albuquerque
3
Ianson
⚽ 78'
4
Mancha
6
Roberto
↓ 61' 🟨 31'
5
Breno Santos
⚽ 41' ↓ 74' 🟨 45+3'
8
Marcelo Freitas
↓ 82'
10
Joao Lucas
↓ 61'
7
Calyson
↓ 61'
19
Jhonatan Ribeiro
9
Quirino
Substitutes
12
Marcelo
23
Gabriel Toebe
13
Windson
14
Mauricio Ribeiro
15
Grigor
↑ 74'
16
Victor Sa
↑ 61'
17
Dentinho
↑ 61'
18
Vitor Gabriel
11
Vitor Feijao
20
Felipe Rangel
21
Gaspar
↑ 82'
22
Matheus Nunes
↑ 61'
Botafogo PB 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
27
Luiz Daniel
2
Diogo Mateus
↓ 73'
14
Igor Morais
4
Saimon
🟨 74'
6
Patric Calmon
↓ 46' 🟨 9'
5
Jhonata Varela
↓ 60'
8
Igor Maduro
10
Nene
7
Dudu Hatamoto
↓ 83'
15
Kayon
↓ 60'
77
R. Bastos
⚽ 81' 🟨 90+7'
Substitutes
21
Leandro Mathias
12
Erick
16
Bull
↑ 46'
18
Giovanni
↑ 60'
20
Thallyson
↑ 83'
23
Leo Pereira
↑ 73'
28
Lucas Candido
↑ 60'
30
L. M. Alves
31
Gustavo
36
Italo
87
Lucas Couto
Last matches: Caxias
22.08.26
Ser
Caxias
Santa Cruz
0
2
L
16.08.26
Ser
Caxias
Figueirense
1
2
L
09.08.26
Ser
Caxias
AO Itabaiana
2
0
W
11.07.26
Ser
Caxias
Floresta
0
0
D
04.07.26
Ser
Caxias
Ferroviária
1
0
W
30.06.26
Ser
Caxias
Anápolis
1
1
D
21.06.26
Ser
Caxias
Maringá
1
1
D
13.06.26
Ser
Caxias
Guarani Campinas
1
2
L
30.05.26
Ser
Caxias
Ituano
2
1
W
23.05.26
Ser
Caxias
Maranhão
0
0
D
17.05.26
Ser
Caxias
Paysandu
2
0
W
10.05.26
Ser
Caxias
Barra
0
0
D
03.05.26
Ser
Caxias
Amazonas
1
1
D
27.04.26
Ser
Caxias
Ypiranga-RS
2
1
W
18.04.26
Ser
Caxias
Volta Redonda
0
1
L
12.04.26
Ser
Caxias
Confiança
1
0
W
04.04.26
Ser
Caxias
Brusque
1
2
L
Last matches: Botafogo PB
22.08.26
Ser
Botafogo PB
Guarani Campinas
3
1
W
15.08.26
Ser
Botafogo PB
Amazonas
0
0
D
08.08.26
Ser
Botafogo PB
Santa Cruz
2
2
D
12.07.26
Ser
Botafogo PB
Confiança
2
0
W
06.07.26
Ser
Botafogo PB
Anápolis
2
0
W
30.06.26
Ser
Botafogo PB
Brusque
2
0
W
20.06.26
Ser
Botafogo PB
Volta Redonda
2
0
W
15.06.26
Ser
Botafogo PB
Ypiranga-RS
1
1
D
30.05.26
Ser
Botafogo PB
Maringá
2
1
W
25.05.26
Ser
Botafogo PB
Ituano
0
1
L
18.05.26
Ser
Botafogo PB
Inter De Limeira
0
1
L
09.05.26
Ser
Botafogo PB
Maranhão
1
3
L
03.05.26
Ser
Botafogo PB
Paysandu
2
4
L
25.04.26
Ser
Botafogo PB
Floresta
1
2
L
19.04.26
Ser
Botafogo PB
Figueirense
1
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Botafogo PB
Ferroviária
2
0
W
04.04.26
Ser
Botafogo PB
Barra
1
0
W
04.01.26
Fri
Botafogo PB
Santa Cruz RN
3
1
W
H2H: Caxias vs Botafogo PB
26.07.26
H2H
Caxias
Botafogo PB
1
2
L
14.06.25
H2H
Botafogo PB
Caxias
1
2
W
28.04.24
H2H
Botafogo PB
Caxias
1
1
D
Last matches: Caxias
16.08.26
Ser
Caxias
Figueirense
1
2
L
11.07.26
Ser
Caxias
Floresta
0
0
D
30.06.26
Ser
Caxias
Anápolis
1
1
D
21.06.26
Ser
Caxias
Maringá
1
1
D
30.05.26
Ser
Caxias
Ituano
2
1
W
17.05.26
Ser
Caxias
Paysandu
2
0
W
27.04.26
Ser
Caxias
Ypiranga-RS
2
1
W
12.04.26
Ser
Caxias
Confiança
1
0
W
H2H at home: Caxias
26.07.26
H2H
Caxias
Botafogo PB
1
2
L
Last matches: Botafogo PB
15.08.26
Ser
Botafogo PB
Amazonas
0
0
D
06.07.26
Ser
Botafogo PB
Anápolis
2
0
W
15.06.26
Ser
Botafogo PB
Ypiranga-RS
1
1
D
25.05.26
Ser
Botafogo PB
Ituano
0
1
L
09.05.26
Ser
Botafogo PB
Maranhão
1
3
L
03.05.26
Ser
Botafogo PB
Paysandu
2
4
L
19.04.26
Ser
Botafogo PB
Figueirense
1
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Botafogo PB
Ferroviária
2
0
W
H2H away: Botafogo PB
26.07.26
H2H
Caxias
Botafogo PB
1
2
W

Standings

Serie C
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 18 9 4 5 26:20 6 31
D W L W L
2 18 9 3 6 26:19 7 30
W D D W W
3 18 9 2 7 26:26 0 29
W L W L W
4 18 8 5 5 22:20 2 29
D L W L W
5 18 8 4 6 19:14 5 28
W L D L W
6 18 8 4 6 25:22 3 28
W D W W L
7 18 7 6 5 32:22 10 27
L D L W L
8 18 7 6 5 21:15 6 27
L W D D W
9 18 7 6 5 18:16 2 27
W W W D W
10 18 7 6 5 31:30 1 27
W D L D W
11 18 7 6 5 20:20 0 27
W W L D D
12 18 7 4 7 19:21 -2 25
D D W W L
13 18 6 7 5 17:21 -4 25
D W D W D
14 18 6 6 6 17:16 1 24
L L W L D
15 18 6 4 8 18:19 -1 22
L L W L L
16 18 6 3 9 13:23 -10 21
L W L L D
17 18 5 3 10 16:21 -5 18
W L W W L
18 18 4 6 8 19:21 -2 18
L W L L L
19 18 4 5 9 14:25 -11 17
L L L D W
20 18 3 4 11 11:19 -8 13
L D L D L
Play-offs
Relegation