BRAZIL SERIE C
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Estadio Francisco Stedile

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 88%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 55%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 72.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
88%
-
BTTS No
55%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
72.8%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Caxias Win 88%
Draw 6%
Anápolis Win 6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Caxias1.11
Anápolis0.77
Recent Form (Last 5)
Caxias Caxias
WWDLW
11 GF / 9 GA
Anápolis Anápolis
WLDWL
8 GF / 14 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
0.73
0.82
Average Goals Conceded
1.27
6
BTTS Yes
4
4
Over 2.5
4
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Caxias Caxias 11 matches
Anápolis Anápolis 11 matches
Caxias Statistic Anápolis
4 Wins 2
4 Draws 2
3 Losses 7
11 Goals For 8
9 Goals Against 14
1 Avg Goals Scored 0.73
0.82 Avg Goals Conceded 1.27
6 BTTS Yes 4
7 Over 1.5 7
4 Over 2.5 4
0 Over 3.5 1
4 Clean Sheets 2
3 Failed To Score 6
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Caxias's more proactive style and Anápolis's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Anápolis. Caxias arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 8 with 16 points compared to Anápolis in 18 on 8, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Anápolis having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Caxias Analysis

Caxias are currently 8 in the standings with 16 points from 11 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 4 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, while the 11:9 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Salatiel (5 goals), Calyson (2 goals), Vitor Feijao (2 goals), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, their split return of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses fits a very strong split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Anápolis Analysis

Anápolis approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 18 with 8 points from 11 matches. The overall return of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 7 defeats with a 8:14 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Fernando Viana (2 goals), Cassio Gabriel (1 goals), Fernandinho (1 goals), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Caxias won 1 times, Anápolis won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:0 from Caxias's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 1 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (94%)
H2H summary: Caxias wins 1, draws 0, Anápolis wins 0
Last matches: Caxias
21.06.26
Ser
Caxias
Maringá
1
1
D
13.06.26
Ser
Caxias
Guarani Campinas
1
2
L
30.05.26
Ser
Caxias
Ituano
2
1
W
23.05.26
Ser
Caxias
Maranhão
0
0
D
17.05.26
Ser
Caxias
Paysandu
2
0
W
10.05.26
Ser
Caxias
Barra
0
0
D
03.05.26
Ser
Caxias
Amazonas
1
1
D
27.04.26
Ser
Caxias
Ypiranga-RS
2
1
W
18.04.26
Ser
Caxias
Volta Redonda
0
1
L
12.04.26
Ser
Caxias
Confiança
1
0
W
04.04.26
Ser
Caxias
Brusque
1
2
L
Last matches: Anápolis
20.06.26
Ser
Anápolis
AO Itabaiana
2
0
W
13.06.26
Ser
Anápolis
Amazonas
0
1
L
31.05.26
Ser
Anápolis
Maranhão
0
0
D
24.05.26
Ser
Anápolis
Brusque
0
1
L
17.05.26
Ser
Anápolis
Barra
1
1
D
09.05.26
Ser
Anápolis
Paysandu
1
2
L
03.05.26
Ser
Anápolis
Ferroviária
0
1
L
26.04.26
Ser
Anápolis
Figueirense
3
1
W
18.04.26
Ser
Anápolis
Ypiranga-RS
0
3
L
12.04.26
Ser
Anápolis
Inter De Limeira
1
2
L
05.04.26
Ser
Anápolis
Ituano
0
2
L
H2H: Caxias vs Anápolis
13.07.25
H2H
Caxias
Anápolis
1
0
W
Last matches: Caxias
21.06.26
Ser
Caxias
Maringá
1
1
D
30.05.26
Ser
Caxias
Ituano
2
1
W
17.05.26
Ser
Caxias
Paysandu
2
0
W
27.04.26
Ser
Caxias
Ypiranga-RS
2
1
W
12.04.26
Ser
Caxias
Confiança
1
0
W
H2H at home: Caxias
13.07.25
H2H
Caxias
Anápolis
1
0
W
Last matches: Anápolis
13.06.26
Ser
Anápolis
Amazonas
0
1
L
24.05.26
Ser
Anápolis
Brusque
0
1
L
09.05.26
Ser
Anápolis
Paysandu
1
2
L
03.05.26
Ser
Anápolis
Ferroviária
0
1
L
18.04.26
Ser
Anápolis
Ypiranga-RS
0
3
L
05.04.26
Ser
Anápolis
Ituano
0
2
L
H2H away: Anápolis
13.07.25
H2H
Caxias
Anápolis
1
0
L

Standings

Serie C
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 11 6 3 2 22:10 12 21
L W W W L
2 11 6 3 2 17:11 6 21
W L D W L
3 11 6 2 3 18:13 5 20
W L L W L
4 11 5 4 2 12:9 3 19
W W D W W
5 11 5 3 3 15:12 3 18
D D L W W
6 11 5 3 3 13:12 1 18
L W W D W
7 11 5 2 4 13:13 0 17
D W L L L
8 11 4 4 3 11:9 2 16
D L W D W
9 11 4 3 4 9:8 1 15
L W D D W
10 11 4 3 4 13:13 0 15
L L W L W
11 11 4 3 4 20:22 -2 15
D D L D W
12 11 4 3 4 10:14 -4 15
D W W D L
13 11 4 2 5 14:16 -2 14
W D L L L
14 11 4 2 5 7:11 -4 14
L W W W L
15 11 4 1 6 13:15 -2 13
W D W L L
16 11 3 4 4 9:12 -3 13
L D D D L
17 11 2 6 3 13:11 2 12
D L D L D
18 11 3 1 7 6:9 -3 10
W L L D W
19 11 2 2 7 8:14 -6 8
W L D L D
20 11 1 4 6 8:17 -9 7
L D L D W
Play-offs
Relegation