BRAZIL SERIE C
30.06.2026 22:30
Estadio Francisco Stedile
Referee: D. Serafim
Caxias
Match Timeline
Anápolis
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
23'
Ravanelli
Caxias
🔄
25'
Ravanelli ↔ Joao Lucas
Caxias
🟨
28'
Grigor
Caxias
🟨
28'
Mauricio Ribeiro
Caxias
🟨
39'
Kauan Martins
Anápolis
🟨
45+1'
Ianson
Caxias
🔄
46'
Grigor ↔ Breno Santos
Caxias
🟨
51'
Kaik Vicoza
Anápolis
🟨
64'
Roberto
Caxias
🔄
65'
Felipe Albuquerque ↔ Vitor Gabriel
Caxias
🔄
65'
Vitor Feijao ↔ Felipe Rangel
Caxias
🔄
69'
Giva ↔ Lucas Mila
Anápolis
🔄
69'
Rodriguinho ↔ Gonzalo Fornari
Anápolis
78'
Felipe Rangel
Caxias
🔄
79'
Roberto ↔ Victor Sa
Caxias
🟨
80'
Leonan
Anápolis
🔄
82'
Kaik Vicoza ↔ Fernandinho
Anápolis
🔄
82'
Kauan Martins ↔ Luiz Felipe
Anápolis
🟨
87'
Lucas Mila
Anápolis
🟨
90+6'
Fernandinho
Anápolis
🔄
90+7'
Juninho ↔ Lucas Kallyel
Anápolis
90'
Fernandinho
Anápolis

Caxias vs Anápolis Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 88%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 55%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 72.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
88%
-
BTTS No
55%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
72.8%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Caxias Win 88%
Draw 6%
Anápolis Win 6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Caxias1.11
Anápolis0.77
Recent Form (Last 5)
Caxias Caxias
WWDLW
11 GF / 9 GA
Anápolis Anápolis
WLDWL
8 GF / 14 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
0.73
0.82
Average Goals Conceded
1.27
6
BTTS Yes
4
4
Over 2.5
4
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Caxias Caxias 11 matches
Anápolis Anápolis 11 matches
Caxias Statistic Anápolis
4 Wins 2
4 Draws 2
3 Losses 7
11 Goals For 8
9 Goals Against 14
1 Avg Goals Scored 0.73
0.82 Avg Goals Conceded 1.27
6 BTTS Yes 4
7 Over 1.5 7
4 Over 2.5 4
0 Over 3.5 1
4 Clean Sheets 2
3 Failed To Score 6
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Caxias's more proactive style and Anápolis's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Anápolis. Caxias arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 8 with 16 points compared to Anápolis in 18 on 8, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Anápolis having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Caxias Analysis

Caxias are currently 8 in the standings with 16 points from 11 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 4 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, while the 11:9 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Salatiel (5 goals), Calyson (2 goals), Vitor Feijao (2 goals), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, their split return of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses fits a very strong split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Anápolis Analysis

Anápolis approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 18 with 8 points from 11 matches. The overall return of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 7 defeats with a 8:14 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Fernando Viana (2 goals), Cassio Gabriel (1 goals), Fernandinho (1 goals), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Caxias won 1 times, Anápolis won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:1 from Caxias's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 1.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (94%)
H2H summary: Caxias wins 1, draws 1, Anápolis wins 0

Standings

First stage
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 10 3 6 28:19 9 33
L L L W W
2 19 9 5 5 28:22 6 32
D W D D W
3 19 8 6 5 22:15 7 30
W D W L W
4 19 8 6 5 32:30 2 30
W L W W W
5 19 8 6 5 22:20 2 30
W L W W W
6 19 8 6 5 22:20 2 30
D D D D L
7 19 9 2 8 26:27 -1 29
L L L W L
8 19 8 5 6 20:15 5 29
W W D W L
9 19 8 5 6 27:24 3 29
D W D W W
10 19 7 7 5 34:24 10 28
D L D L W
11 19 7 7 5 19:22 -3 28
W D W D W
12 19 7 6 6 19:18 1 27
L W W W D
13 19 7 5 7 21:23 -2 26
D D D W W
14 19 6 7 6 17:16 1 25
D L L W L
15 19 6 4 9 18:21 -3 22
L L L W L
16 19 6 3 10 13:25 -12 21
L L W L L
17 19 5 6 8 21:21 0 21
W L W L L
18 19 5 4 10 17:22 -5 19
D W L W W
19 19 4 5 10 14:27 -13 17
L L L L D
20 19 3 4 12 11:20 -9 13
L L D L D
Play-offs
Relegation