CANADA CANADIAN PREMIER LEAGUE
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ATCO Field
Referee: F. Stasolla

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 70.2%
Odds 1.39
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds 2.00
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 61.1%
Odds 1.69
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
70.2%
1.39
BTTS Yes
67.1%
2.00
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
61.1%
1.69
Corners O/U Under 10.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.10
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.00
Probability Distribution
Cavalry FC Win 70.2%
Draw 4.8%
Supra du Quebec Win 25%
Expected Goals (xG)
Cavalry FC1.84
Supra du Quebec1.02
Recent Form (Last 5)
Cavalry FC Cavalry FC
WWDLW
22 GF / 5 GA
Supra du Quebec Supra du Quebec
WLDWL
14 GF / 16 GA
Key Stats
2
Average Goals Scored
1.4
0.45
Average Goals Conceded
1.6
4
BTTS Yes
7
5
Over 2.5
5
2.64
Shots on Goal
1

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Cavalry FC Cavalry FC 11 matches
Supra du Quebec Supra du Quebec 10 matches
Cavalry FC Statistic Supra du Quebec
8 Wins 3
2 Draws 2
1 Losses 5
22 Goals For 14
5 Goals Against 16
2 Avg Goals Scored 1.4
0.45 Avg Goals Conceded 1.6
4 BTTS Yes 7
8 Over 1.5 7
5 Over 2.5 5
2 Over 3.5 3
6 Clean Sheets 0
2 Failed To Score 3
2.64 Shots On Goal 1
7.64 Total Shots 4.2
3.27 Corners 1.7
24.3% Ball Possession 16.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Cavalry FC's more proactive style and Supra du Quebec's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Supra du Quebec having the stronger overall control. Cavalry FC arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 23 points compared to Supra du Quebec in 5 on 11, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Supra du Quebec. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Cavalry FC come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods.

Cavalry FC Analysis

Cavalry FC come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 2 place with 23 points after 10 matches. They have recorded 7 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, with a 19:5 goal return and very strong form with results showing strong momentum. In attack they lean heavily on T. Warschewski (5 goals), D. Klomp (3 goals), Goteh Ntignee (2 goals), with creative support from Goteh Ntignee (3 assists), T. Warschewski (2 assists), Sergio Camargo (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, the split of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

Supra du Quebec Analysis

Supra du Quebec come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 5 with 11 points from 9 matches. Their overall return of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses with goals at 13:14 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by S. Rea (4 goals), L. A. Kwemi (3 goals), M. Chretien (2 goals), with creative support from S. Rea (3 assists), D. Choiniere (2 assists), L. A. Kwemi (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Cavalry FC won 1 times, Supra du Quebec won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:0 from Cavalry FC's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 1 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.2%)
Predicted formations: Cavalry FC 4-4-2 / Supra du Quebec -
H2H summary: Cavalry FC wins 1, draws 0, Supra du Quebec wins 0
Last matches: Cavalry FC
04.07.26
Can
Cavalry FC
Atlético Ottawa
3
0
W
10.06.26
Can
Cavalry FC
York United
5
1
W
06.06.26
Can
Cavalry FC
HFX Wanderers FC
2
0
W
31.05.26
Can
Cavalry FC
Forge
0
1
L
24.05.26
Can
Cavalry FC
Pacific FC
3
0
W
18.05.26
Can
Cavalry FC
Vancouver FC
2
0
W
03.05.26
Can
Cavalry FC
Supra du Quebec
1
0
W
25.04.26
Can
Cavalry FC
York United
1
1
D
18.04.26
Can
Cavalry FC
Forge
0
0
D
12.04.26
Can
Cavalry FC
Atlético Ottawa
3
1
W
05.04.26
Can
Cavalry FC
Pacific FC
2
1
W
Last matches: Supra du Quebec
05.07.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Forge
1
2
L
09.06.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Atlético Ottawa
3
5
L
06.06.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Pacific FC
1
1
D
29.05.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
York United
3
1
W
23.05.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Vancouver FC
1
1
D
13.05.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Forge
0
1
L
03.05.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Cavalry FC
0
1
L
24.04.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
HFX Wanderers FC
2
1
W
19.04.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Atlético Ottawa
0
1
L
11.04.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Pacific FC
3
2
W
H2H: Cavalry FC vs Supra du Quebec
03.05.26
H2H
Supra du Quebec
Cavalry FC
0
1
W
Last matches: Cavalry FC
06.06.26
Can
Cavalry FC
HFX Wanderers FC
2
0
W
24.05.26
Can
Cavalry FC
Pacific FC
3
0
W
25.04.26
Can
Cavalry FC
York United
1
1
D
12.04.26
Can
Cavalry FC
Atlético Ottawa
3
1
W
Last matches: Supra du Quebec
09.06.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Atlético Ottawa
3
5
L
23.05.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Vancouver FC
1
1
D
13.05.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Forge
0
1
L
11.04.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Pacific FC
3
2
W
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 6.19
Draw 4.19
Home 1.39
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.75 1.30
Over 2.0 1.32
Over 2.25 1.51
Over 2.5 1.69
Over 2.75 1.88
Over 3.0 2.16
Over 3.25 2.40
Over 3.5 2.66
Under 1.75 3.09
Under 2.0 2.98
Under 2.25 2.35
Under 2.5 2.03
Under 2.75 1.84
Under 3.0 1.62
Under 3.25 1.48
Under 3.5 1.40
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 6.00
Draw 4.33
Home 1.44
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 6.50
Draw 2.38
Home 1.91
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 5.50
Draw 2.75
Home 1.73
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.04
Over 1.5 1.22
Over 2.5 1.73
Over 3.5 2.75
Over 4.5 5.00
Over 5.5 8.50
Over 6.5 12.00
Over 7.5 21.00
Under 0.5 9.00
Under 1.5 4.00
Under 2.5 2.08
Under 3.5 1.40
Under 4.5 1.14
Under 5.5 1.05
Under 6.5 1.01
Under 7.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 7.31
Draw 4.25
Home 1.37
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 7.03
Draw 2.25
Home 1.91
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 6.35
Draw 2.79
Home 1.68
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.01
Over 0.75 1.01
Over 1.0 1.04
Over 1.25 1.09
Over 1.5 1.18
Over 1.75 1.24
Over 2.0 1.29
Over 2.25 1.51
Over 2.5 1.70
Over 2.75 1.86
Over 3.0 2.14
Over 3.25 2.45
Over 3.5 2.70
Over 3.75 3.29
Over 4.0 4.33
Over 4.25 4.70
Over 4.5 5.05
Over 4.75 6.45
Over 5.0 9.30
Over 5.5 10.00
Over 6.5 12.00
Over 7.5 21.00
Under 0.5 11.50
Under 0.75 8.60
Under 1.0 8.30
Under 1.25 5.43
Under 1.5 3.88
Under 1.75 3.46
Under 2.0 3.04
Under 2.25 2.37
Under 2.5 2.01
Under 2.75 1.80
Under 3.0 1.57
Under 3.25 1.45
Under 3.5 1.36
Under 3.75 1.25
Under 4.0 1.14
Under 4.25 1.12
Under 4.5 1.10
Under 4.75 1.05
Under 5.0 1.00
Under 5.5 1.04
Under 6.5 1.01
Under 7.5 1.00

Standings

Canadian Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 12 10 1 1 20:7 13 31
W W W W W
2 11 8 2 1 22:5 17 26
W W W L W
3 12 5 2 5 18:22 -4 17
L W W L D
4 13 4 3 6 17:20 -3 15
W L W L L
5 12 4 2 6 15:14 1 14
W L W W L
6 10 3 3 4 13:21 -8 12
L L L L D
7 10 3 2 5 14:16 -2 11
L L D W D
8 12 0 3 9 13:27 -14 3
L L L D D
Promotion - Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: Semi-finals)