CANADA CANADIAN PREMIER LEAGUE
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ATCO Field

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 77.3%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
77.3%
-
BTTS Yes
62.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
79.8%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Cavalry FC Win 77.3%
Draw 5.4%
HFX Wanderers FC Win 17.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Cavalry FC1.77
HFX Wanderers FC0.91
Recent Form (Last 5)
Cavalry FC Cavalry FC
WWDLW
22 GF / 5 GA
HFX Wanderers FC HFX Wanderers FC
WLDWL
17 GF / 20 GA
Key Stats
2
Average Goals Scored
1.21
0.45
Average Goals Conceded
1.43
4
BTTS Yes
8
5
Over 2.5
7
2.64
Shots on Goal
1.46

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Cavalry FC Cavalry FC 11 matches
HFX Wanderers FC HFX Wanderers FC 14 matches
Cavalry FC Statistic HFX Wanderers FC
8 Wins 4
2 Draws 4
1 Losses 6
22 Goals For 17
5 Goals Against 20
2 Avg Goals Scored 1.21
0.45 Avg Goals Conceded 1.43
4 BTTS Yes 8
8 Over 1.5 9
5 Over 2.5 7
2 Over 3.5 5
6 Clean Sheets 3
2 Failed To Score 4
2.64 Shots On Goal 1.46
7.64 Total Shots 4.31
3.27 Corners 2.31
24.3% Ball Possession 22.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Cavalry FC's more proactive style and HFX Wanderers FC's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward HFX Wanderers FC. Cavalry FC arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 26 points compared to HFX Wanderers FC in 4 on 15, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Cavalry FC expected to line up in 4-4-2 and HFX Wanderers FC in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward HFX Wanderers FC having the stronger overall control. Cavalry FC come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Cavalry FC Analysis

Cavalry FC come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 2 place with 26 points after 11 matches. With 8 wins, 2 draws, and 1 defeats plus a goal balance of 22:5, they continue to show very strong form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking quality is driven by C. Elva (1 goals), G. Ntignee (1 goals), S. Camargo (1 goals), with creative support from C. Elva (1 assists), G. Ntignee (1 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, their record of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

HFX Wanderers FC Analysis

HFX Wanderers FC approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 4 with 15 points from 13 matches. Their record of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses, together with goals at 17:20, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Cavalry FC won 8 times, HFX Wanderers FC won 2 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 24:13 from Cavalry FC's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.47 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.7%)
Predicted formations: Cavalry FC 4-4-2 / HFX Wanderers FC 4-3-3
H2H summary: Cavalry FC wins 8, draws 5, HFX Wanderers FC wins 2
Last matches: Cavalry FC
04.07.26
Can
Cavalry FC
Atlético Ottawa
3
0
W
10.06.26
Can
Cavalry FC
York United
5
1
W
06.06.26
Can
Cavalry FC
HFX Wanderers FC
2
0
W
31.05.26
Can
Cavalry FC
Forge
0
1
L
24.05.26
Can
Cavalry FC
Pacific FC
3
0
W
18.05.26
Can
Cavalry FC
Vancouver FC
2
0
W
03.05.26
Can
Cavalry FC
Supra du Quebec
1
0
W
25.04.26
Can
Cavalry FC
York United
1
1
D
18.04.26
Can
Cavalry FC
Forge
0
0
D
12.04.26
Can
Cavalry FC
Atlético Ottawa
3
1
W
05.04.26
Can
Cavalry FC
Pacific FC
2
1
W
Last matches: HFX Wanderers FC
05.07.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
Pacific FC
2
1
W
01.07.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
Atlético Ottawa
1
3
L
26.06.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
Pacific FC
5
2
W
10.06.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
Forge
0
1
L
06.06.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
Cavalry FC
0
2
L
30.05.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
Vancouver FC
1
0
W
23.05.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
York United
1
1
D
17.05.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
Atlético Ottawa
0
1
L
02.05.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
Forge
1
3
L
24.04.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
Supra du Quebec
1
2
L
18.04.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
Pacific FC
2
2
D
11.04.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
York United
2
2
D
04.04.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
Vancouver FC
1
0
W
21.03.26
Fri
HFX Wanderers FC
Leiknir R.
0
0
D
H2H: Cavalry FC vs HFX Wanderers FC
06.06.26
H2H
Cavalry FC
HFX Wanderers FC
2
0
W
13.09.25
H2H
Cavalry FC
HFX Wanderers FC
3
1
W
09.08.25
H2H
Cavalry FC
HFX Wanderers FC
0
0
D
14.06.25
H2H
HFX Wanderers FC
Cavalry FC
1
1
D
10.05.25
H2H
HFX Wanderers FC
Cavalry FC
0
3
W
12.10.24
H2H
Cavalry FC
HFX Wanderers FC
2
1
W
10.08.24
H2H
Cavalry FC
HFX Wanderers FC
3
2
W
01.07.24
H2H
HFX Wanderers FC
Cavalry FC
1
0
L
11.05.24
H2H
HFX Wanderers FC
Cavalry FC
1
1
D
12.09.23
H2H
HFX Wanderers FC
Cavalry FC
1
2
W
15.07.23
H2H
Cavalry FC
HFX Wanderers FC
1
0
W
17.06.23
H2H
HFX Wanderers FC
Cavalry FC
3
1
L
13.05.23
H2H
Cavalry FC
HFX Wanderers FC
2
2
D
05.09.22
H2H
HFX Wanderers FC
Cavalry FC
0
0
D
15.07.22
H2H
Cavalry FC
HFX Wanderers FC
3
0
W
Last matches: Cavalry FC
06.06.26
Can
Cavalry FC
HFX Wanderers FC
2
0
W
24.05.26
Can
Cavalry FC
Pacific FC
3
0
W
25.04.26
Can
Cavalry FC
York United
1
1
D
12.04.26
Can
Cavalry FC
Atlético Ottawa
3
1
W
H2H at home: Cavalry FC
06.06.26
H2H
Cavalry FC
HFX Wanderers FC
2
0
W
13.09.25
H2H
Cavalry FC
HFX Wanderers FC
3
1
W
09.08.25
H2H
Cavalry FC
HFX Wanderers FC
0
0
D
12.10.24
H2H
Cavalry FC
HFX Wanderers FC
2
1
W
10.08.24
H2H
Cavalry FC
HFX Wanderers FC
3
2
W
15.07.23
H2H
Cavalry FC
HFX Wanderers FC
1
0
W
13.05.23
H2H
Cavalry FC
HFX Wanderers FC
2
2
D
15.07.22
H2H
Cavalry FC
HFX Wanderers FC
3
0
W
Last matches: HFX Wanderers FC
05.07.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
Pacific FC
2
1
W
10.06.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
Forge
0
1
L
06.06.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
Cavalry FC
0
2
L
17.05.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
Atlético Ottawa
0
1
L
24.04.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
Supra du Quebec
1
2
L
11.04.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
York United
2
2
D
04.04.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
Vancouver FC
1
0
W
H2H away: HFX Wanderers FC
06.06.26
H2H
Cavalry FC
HFX Wanderers FC
2
0
L
13.09.25
H2H
Cavalry FC
HFX Wanderers FC
3
1
L
09.08.25
H2H
Cavalry FC
HFX Wanderers FC
0
0
D
12.10.24
H2H
Cavalry FC
HFX Wanderers FC
2
1
L
10.08.24
H2H
Cavalry FC
HFX Wanderers FC
3
2
L
15.07.23
H2H
Cavalry FC
HFX Wanderers FC
1
0
L
13.05.23
H2H
Cavalry FC
HFX Wanderers FC
2
2
D
15.07.22
H2H
Cavalry FC
HFX Wanderers FC
3
0
L

Standings

Canadian Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 12 10 1 1 20:7 13 31
W W W W W
2 11 8 2 1 22:5 17 26
W W W L W
3 12 5 2 5 18:22 -4 17
L W W L D
4 13 4 3 6 17:20 -3 15
W L W L L
5 12 4 2 6 15:14 1 14
W L W W L
6 10 3 3 4 13:21 -8 12
L L L L D
7 10 3 2 5 14:16 -2 11
L L D W D
8 12 0 3 9 13:27 -14 3
L L L D D
Promotion - Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: Semi-finals)