CANADA CANADIAN PREMIER LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
ATCO Field
Referee: S. Noshinravani
Cavalry FC
Match Timeline
HFX Wanderers FC
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
VAR
8'
Yohan Bai
HFX Wanderers FC
🟨
30'
Eryk Kobza
Cavalry FC
VAR
36'
Adam Pearlman
Cavalry FC
🟨
38'
Adam Pearlman
Cavalry FC
🔄
46'
E. Kobza ↔ M. Baldisimo
Cavalry FC
🔄
54'
Y. Bai ↔ F. Troisi
HFX Wanderers FC
🟨
55'
Harrison Paton
Cavalry FC
🔄
66'
H. Paton ↔ J. Herdman
Cavalry FC
68'
G. Ntignee
Cavalry FC
🔄
72'
J. Bahamboula ↔ V. Akinwale
HFX Wanderers FC
🟨
76'
Lorenzo Callegari
HFX Wanderers FC
79'
D. Klomp · Assist: A. Pearlman
Cavalry FC
🔄
82'
C. Elva ↔ N. Myroniuk
Cavalry FC
🔄
82'
G. Ntignee ↔ N. Edwards
Cavalry FC
🔄
82'
M. Arilla ↔ L. Olguin
HFX Wanderers FC
🟨
84'
Marcus Godinho
HFX Wanderers FC
🔄
87'
T. Warschewski ↔ O. Antoniuk
Cavalry FC

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 62.3%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 57.7%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 51.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
62.3%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
57.7%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
51.3%
-
Corners O/U Under 10.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Cavalry FC Win 62.3%
Draw 15.6%
HFX Wanderers FC Win 22.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Cavalry FC1.39
HFX Wanderers FC0.8
Recent Form (Last 5)
Cavalry FC Cavalry FC
WWDLW
12 GF / 4 GA
HFX Wanderers FC HFX Wanderers FC
WLDWL
9 GF / 11 GA
Key Stats
1.5
Average Goals Scored
1
0.5
Average Goals Conceded
1.22
3
BTTS Yes
5
3
Over 2.5
4
2.38
Shots on Goal
1.13

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Cavalry FC Cavalry FC 8 matches
HFX Wanderers FC HFX Wanderers FC 9 matches
Cavalry FC Statistic HFX Wanderers FC
5 Wins 2
2 Draws 4
1 Losses 3
12 Goals For 9
4 Goals Against 11
1.5 Avg Goals Scored 1
0.5 Avg Goals Conceded 1.22
3 BTTS Yes 5
5 Over 1.5 5
3 Over 2.5 4
1 Over 3.5 3
4 Clean Sheets 3
2 Failed To Score 2
2.38 Shots On Goal 1.13
6.38 Total Shots 3.25
2.75 Corners 1.38
25.6% Ball Possession 17.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Cavalry FC's more proactive style and HFX Wanderers FC's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward HFX Wanderers FC having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Cavalry FC arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 17 points compared to HFX Wanderers FC in 6 on 9, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring HFX Wanderers FC.

Cavalry FC Analysis

Cavalry FC arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 2 place with 17 points after 8 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 5 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, while the 12:4 goal ratio supports the view of poor form . Going forward they rely heavily on T. Warschewski (4 goals), D. Klomp (2 goals), H. Paton (2 goals), with creative support from T. Warschewski (2 assists), Goteh Ntignee (1 assists), Sergio Camargo (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, their split return of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

HFX Wanderers FC Analysis

HFX Wanderers FC sit 6 with 9 points after 8 league matches. Their overall return of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses with goals at 9:11 reflects poor form . Their attacking weight is carried by I. Johnston (4 goals), T. Ciccarelli (2 goals), C. Kachwele (1 goals), with creative support from I. Johnston (2 assists), M. Arilla (1 assists), Victor Akinwale (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Cavalry FC won 8 times, HFX Wanderers FC won 2 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 24:13 from Cavalry FC's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.47 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (84.4%)
Predicted formations: Cavalry FC 4-4-2 / HFX Wanderers FC 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Cavalry FC wins 8, draws 5, HFX Wanderers FC wins 2
Stats
Cavalry FC Cavalry FC
HFX Wanderers FC HFX Wanderers FC
Shots on Goal
5
Shots on Goal
1
Shots off Goal
11
Shots off Goal
1
Blocked Shots
6
Blocked Shots
1
9 Corner Kicks 1
11 Fouls 11
0 Offsides 1
62% Ball Possession 38%
22 Total Shots 3
5 Shots on Goal 1
11 Shots off Goal 1
6 Blocked Shots 1
14 Shots insidebox 1
8 Shots outsidebox 2
1 Goalkeeper Saves 3
547 Total passes 343
492 Passes accurate 291
2.28 expected_goals 0.28
🟨 3 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Cavalry FC
Formation
HFX Wanderers FC
N. Ingham
N. Ingham
A. Pearlman
🎯
A. Pearlman
D. Klomp
D. Klomp
A. Didic
A. Didic
Fewo
Fewo
S. Camargo
S. Camargo
H. Paton
H. Paton
E. Kobza
E. Kobza
G. Ntignee
G. Ntignee
T. Warschewski
T. Warschewski
C. Elva
C. Elva
M. Carducci
M. Carducci
J. Alphonse
J. Alphonse
F. Linder
F. Linder
K. Sow
K. Sow
M. Godinho
M. Godinho
L. Callegari
L. Callegari
S. Zitman
S. Zitman
M. Arilla
M. Arilla
I. Johnston
I. Johnston
Y. Bai
Y. Bai
J. Bahamboula
J. Bahamboula
Cavalry FC 4-4-2
Starting XI
29
N. Ingham
G
16
A. Pearlman
🎯 79' 🟨 38'
D
4
D. Klomp
⚽ 79'
D
55
A. Didic
D
5
Fewo
10
S. Camargo
M
8
H. Paton
↓ 66' 🟨 55'
M
24
E. Kobza
↓ 46' 🟨 30'
M
20
G. Ntignee
⚽ 68' ↓ 82'
M
9
T. Warschewski
↓ 87'
F
14
C. Elva
↓ 82'
F
Substitutes
21
J. Holliday
G
15
L. Laing
D
19
O. Antoniuk
↑ 87'
6
M. Baldisimo
↑ 46'
M
11
J. Herdman
↑ 66'
F
28
N. Myroniuk
↑ 82'
M
17
N. Edwards
↑ 82'
M
HFX Wanderers FC 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
M. Carducci
G
21
J. Alphonse
D
2
F. Linder
D
16
K. Sow
D
28
M. Godinho
🟨 84'
D
6
L. Callegari
🟨 76'
M
22
S. Zitman
M
23
M. Arilla
↓ 82'
M
8
I. Johnston
M
10
Y. Bai
↓ 54'
M
14
J. Bahamboula
↓ 72'
Substitutes
12
S. Astridge
9
V. Akinwale
↑ 72'
F
41
H. Hughes
D
5
L. Olguin
↑ 82'
M
17
F. Troisi
↑ 54'
D
33
I. A. Hassan
D
Last matches: Cavalry FC
10.06.26
Can
Cavalry FC
York United
5
1
W
31.05.26
Can
Cavalry FC
Forge
0
1
L
24.05.26
Can
Cavalry FC
Pacific FC
3
0
W
18.05.26
Can
Cavalry FC
Vancouver FC
2
0
W
03.05.26
Can
Cavalry FC
Supra du Quebec
1
0
W
25.04.26
Can
Cavalry FC
York United
1
1
D
18.04.26
Can
Cavalry FC
Forge
0
0
D
12.04.26
Can
Cavalry FC
Atlético Ottawa
3
1
W
05.04.26
Can
Cavalry FC
Pacific FC
2
1
W
Last matches: HFX Wanderers FC
10.06.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
Forge
0
1
L
30.05.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
Vancouver FC
1
0
W
23.05.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
York United
1
1
D
17.05.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
Atlético Ottawa
0
1
L
02.05.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
Forge
1
3
L
24.04.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
Supra du Quebec
1
2
L
18.04.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
Pacific FC
2
2
D
11.04.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
York United
2
2
D
04.04.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
Vancouver FC
1
0
W
21.03.26
Fri
HFX Wanderers FC
Leiknir R.
0
0
D
H2H: Cavalry FC vs HFX Wanderers FC
06.06.26
H2H
Cavalry FC
HFX Wanderers FC
2
0
W
13.09.25
H2H
Cavalry FC
HFX Wanderers FC
3
1
W
09.08.25
H2H
Cavalry FC
HFX Wanderers FC
0
0
D
14.06.25
H2H
HFX Wanderers FC
Cavalry FC
1
1
D
10.05.25
H2H
HFX Wanderers FC
Cavalry FC
0
3
W
12.10.24
H2H
Cavalry FC
HFX Wanderers FC
2
1
W
10.08.24
H2H
Cavalry FC
HFX Wanderers FC
3
2
W
01.07.24
H2H
HFX Wanderers FC
Cavalry FC
1
0
L
11.05.24
H2H
HFX Wanderers FC
Cavalry FC
1
1
D
12.09.23
H2H
HFX Wanderers FC
Cavalry FC
1
2
W
15.07.23
H2H
Cavalry FC
HFX Wanderers FC
1
0
W
17.06.23
H2H
HFX Wanderers FC
Cavalry FC
3
1
L
13.05.23
H2H
Cavalry FC
HFX Wanderers FC
2
2
D
05.09.22
H2H
HFX Wanderers FC
Cavalry FC
0
0
D
15.07.22
H2H
Cavalry FC
HFX Wanderers FC
3
0
W
Last matches: Cavalry FC
24.05.26
Can
Cavalry FC
Pacific FC
3
0
W
25.04.26
Can
Cavalry FC
York United
1
1
D
12.04.26
Can
Cavalry FC
Atlético Ottawa
3
1
W
H2H at home: Cavalry FC
06.06.26
H2H
Cavalry FC
HFX Wanderers FC
2
0
W
13.09.25
H2H
Cavalry FC
HFX Wanderers FC
3
1
W
09.08.25
H2H
Cavalry FC
HFX Wanderers FC
0
0
D
12.10.24
H2H
Cavalry FC
HFX Wanderers FC
2
1
W
10.08.24
H2H
Cavalry FC
HFX Wanderers FC
3
2
W
15.07.23
H2H
Cavalry FC
HFX Wanderers FC
1
0
W
13.05.23
H2H
Cavalry FC
HFX Wanderers FC
2
2
D
15.07.22
H2H
Cavalry FC
HFX Wanderers FC
3
0
W
Last matches: HFX Wanderers FC
10.06.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
Forge
0
1
L
17.05.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
Atlético Ottawa
0
1
L
24.04.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
Supra du Quebec
1
2
L
11.04.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
York United
2
2
D
04.04.26
Can
HFX Wanderers FC
Vancouver FC
1
0
W
H2H away: HFX Wanderers FC
06.06.26
H2H
Cavalry FC
HFX Wanderers FC
2
0
L
13.09.25
H2H
Cavalry FC
HFX Wanderers FC
3
1
L
09.08.25
H2H
Cavalry FC
HFX Wanderers FC
0
0
D
12.10.24
H2H
Cavalry FC
HFX Wanderers FC
2
1
L
10.08.24
H2H
Cavalry FC
HFX Wanderers FC
3
2
L
15.07.23
H2H
Cavalry FC
HFX Wanderers FC
1
0
L
13.05.23
H2H
Cavalry FC
HFX Wanderers FC
2
2
D
15.07.22
H2H
Cavalry FC
HFX Wanderers FC
3
0
L

Standings

Canadian Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 8 1 1 15:4 11 25
W W W L W
2 10 7 2 1 19:5 14 23
W W L W W
3 10 4 2 4 15:18 -3 14
W L D W W
4 9 3 3 3 13:17 -4 12
L L L D W
5 9 3 2 4 13:14 -1 11
L D W D L
6 10 3 2 5 9:11 -2 11
W W L D L
7 10 2 3 5 9:14 -5 9
L L W D L
8 10 0 3 7 10:20 -10 3
L D D L L
Promotion - Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: Semi-finals)