Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
66.4%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
86.7%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
54.7%
|
- |
Catanzaro
Spezia
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Catanzaro
36 matches
Spezia
37 matches
| Catanzaro | Statistic | Spezia |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | Wins | 8 |
| 14 | Draws | 11 |
| 8 | Losses | 18 |
| 54 | Goals For | 41 |
| 44 | Goals Against | 55 |
| 1.5 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.11 |
| 1.22 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.49 |
| 23 | BTTS Yes | 21 |
| 28 | Over 1.5 | 28 |
| 18 | Over 2.5 | 16 |
| 13 | Over 3.5 | 10 |
| 9 | Clean Sheets | 6 |
| 7 | Failed To Score | 12 |
| 4.19 | Shots On Goal | 4.11 |
| 12.67 | Total Shots | 11.51 |
| 3.94 | Corners | 4.86 |
| 53.1% | Ball Possession | 49.2% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Catanzaro's more proactive style and Spezia's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Catanzaro arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 5 with 56 points compared to Spezia in 19 on 33, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Spezia. Spezia arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Catanzaro expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Spezia in 3-5-1-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Spezia having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.
Placed 5 with 56 points from 35 outings, Catanzaro continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Their overall return of 14 wins, 14 draws, and 7 losses with goals at 51:40 reflects poor form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Their attacking weight is carried by P. Iemmello (10 goals), Filippo Pittarello (8 goals), Alphadjo Cissè (6 goals), with creative support from P. Iemmello (9 assists), Filippo Pittarello (6 assists), S. Pontisso (6 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, their split return of 8 wins, 7 draws, and 1 losses fits a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.
Spezia sit 19 with 33 points after 35 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 8 wins, 9 draws, and 18 defeats, and the 32:51 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on G. Artistico (11 goals), G. Aurelio (6 goals), G. Lapadula (4 goals), with creative support from P. Beruatto (4 assists), G. Aurelio (3 assists), Mattia Valoti (3 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split record of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 10 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Catanzaro won 3 times, Spezia won 3 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:8 from Catanzaro's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.25 goals per game.
Catanzaro
8
4
1
6
5
2
Lineups
Catanzaro
Monza
Catanzaro
Monza
Catanzaro
Palermo
Catanzaro
Palermo
Catanzaro
Avellino
Catanzaro
Bari
Catanzaro
Palermo
Catanzaro
Juve Stabia
Catanzaro
Modena
Catanzaro
Avellino
Catanzaro
Monza
Catanzaro
Cesena
Catanzaro
Padova
Catanzaro
Empoli
Catanzaro
Carrarese
Catanzaro
Frosinone
Catanzaro
Virtus Entella
Catanzaro
Mantova
Catanzaro
Pescara
Catanzaro
Reggiana
Spezia
Pescara
Spezia
Venezia
Spezia
Sudtirol
Spezia
Mantova
Spezia
Carrarese
Spezia
Juve Stabia
Spezia
Empoli
Spezia
Modena
Spezia
Monza
Spezia
Padova
Spezia
Reggiana
Spezia
Cesena
Spezia
Frosinone
Spezia
Bari
Spezia
Virtus Entella
Spezia
Sampdoria
Spezia
Avellino
Spezia
Palermo
Spezia
Sudtirol
Spezia
Pescara
Catanzaro
Monza
Catanzaro
Palermo
Catanzaro
Avellino
Catanzaro
Bari
Catanzaro
Modena
Catanzaro
Monza
Catanzaro
Empoli
Catanzaro
Frosinone
Catanzaro
Mantova
Catanzaro
Reggiana
Catanzaro
Sampdoria
Catanzaro
Cesena
Catanzaro
Avellino
Catanzaro
Virtus Entella
Catanzaro
Pescara
Catanzaro
Venezia
Catanzaro
Palermo
Catanzaro
Padova
Catanzaro
Juve Stabia
Catanzaro
Carrarese
Spezia
Pescara
Spezia
Carrarese
Spezia
Juve Stabia
Spezia
Modena
Spezia
Padova
Spezia
Cesena
Spezia
Bari
Spezia
Sampdoria
Spezia
Palermo
Spezia
Sudtirol
Spezia
Frosinone
Spezia
Virtus Entella
Spezia
Mantova
Spezia
Monza
Spezia
Avellino
Spezia
Reggiana
Spezia
Venezia
Spezia
Parma
Spezia
Empoli
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38 | 24 | 10 | 4 | 77:31 | 46 | 82 |
W
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 2 | 38 | 23 | 12 | 3 | 76:34 | 42 | 81 |
W
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 38 | 22 | 10 | 6 | 61:32 | 29 | 76 |
D
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 38 | 20 | 12 | 6 | 61:33 | 28 | 72 |
L
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 5 |
Catanzaro
Home
|
38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 62:51 | 11 | 59 |
L
L
W
D
D
|
| 6 | 38 | 15 | 10 | 13 | 49:36 | 13 | 55 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 7 | 38 | 11 | 18 | 9 | 44:45 | -1 | 51 |
D
L
D
D
W
|
|
| 8 | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 43:55 | -12 | 49 |
W
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 9 | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 45:57 | -12 | 46 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 10 | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 39:49 | -10 | 46 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 11 | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 45:56 | -11 | 46 |
L
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 38 | 10 | 14 | 14 | 47:52 | -5 | 44 |
L
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 13 | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 35:48 | -13 | 44 |
L
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 14 | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 36:51 | -15 | 42 |
W
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 15 | 38 | 9 | 14 | 15 | 47:54 | -7 | 41 |
D
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 16 | 38 | 8 | 17 | 13 | 38:48 | -10 | 41 |
D
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 17 | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 38:60 | -22 | 40 |
W
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 18 | 38 | 9 | 10 | 19 | 36:56 | -20 | 37 |
W
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 19 |
Spezia
Away
|
38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 43:59 | -16 | 35 |
D
D
L
W
L
|
| 20 | 38 | 7 | 14 | 17 | 51:66 | -15 | 35 |
D
L
D
D
L
|