Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
90.1%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
17.4%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
30.4%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 11.5 Corners |
68.5%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
Catanzaro
Bari
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Catanzaro
38 matches
Bari
38 matches
| Catanzaro | Statistic | Bari |
|---|---|---|
| 15 | Wins | 9 |
| 14 | Draws | 10 |
| 9 | Losses | 19 |
| 60 | Goals For | 35 |
| 49 | Goals Against | 60 |
| 1.58 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.92 |
| 1.29 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.58 |
| 25 | BTTS Yes | 19 |
| 30 | Over 1.5 | 31 |
| 20 | Over 2.5 | 19 |
| 15 | Over 3.5 | 7 |
| 9 | Clean Sheets | 7 |
| 7 | Failed To Score | 15 |
| 4.39 | Shots On Goal | 3 |
| 12.76 | Total Shots | 10.18 |
| 4.05 | Corners | 3.5 |
| 53.6% | Ball Possession | 46.2% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Catanzaro's more proactive style and Bari's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Bari arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Catanzaro expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Bari in 4-3-1-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Bari having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Bari. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Catanzaro arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 5 with 59 points compared to Bari in 17 on 37, which underlines the gap in season consistency.
Catanzaro come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 5 with 59 points from 37 matches. Their overall return of 15 wins, 14 draws, and 8 losses with goals at 60:48 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Filippo Pittarello (12 goals), P. Iemmello (10 goals), Alphadjo Cissè (6 goals), with creative support from P. Iemmello (9 assists), Filippo Pittarello (6 assists), S. Pontisso (6 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 9 wins, 8 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
Bari sit 17 with 37 points after 37 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 9 wins, 10 draws, and 18 defeats, and the 35:58 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on G. Moncini (10 goals), E. Rao (6 goals), C. Gytkjaer (3 goals), with creative support from M. Dorval (6 assists), L. Dickmann (3 assists), G. Moncini (2 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 5 draws, and 11 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, Catanzaro won 3 times, Bari won 5 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:18 from Catanzaro's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.92 goals per game.
Catanzaro
6
3
2
4
1
1
Lineups
Catanzaro
Monza
Catanzaro
Monza
Catanzaro
Palermo
Catanzaro
Palermo
Catanzaro
Avellino
Catanzaro
Palermo
Catanzaro
Spezia
Catanzaro
Juve Stabia
Catanzaro
Modena
Catanzaro
Avellino
Catanzaro
Monza
Catanzaro
Cesena
Catanzaro
Padova
Catanzaro
Empoli
Catanzaro
Carrarese
Catanzaro
Frosinone
Catanzaro
Virtus Entella
Catanzaro
Mantova
Catanzaro
Pescara
Catanzaro
Reggiana
Bari
Sudtirol
Bari
Sudtirol
Bari
Virtus Entella
Bari
Avellino
Bari
Venezia
Bari
Monza
Bari
Modena
Bari
Carrarese
Bari
Frosinone
Bari
Reggiana
Bari
Pescara
Bari
Empoli
Bari
Sampdoria
Bari
Padova
Bari
Sudtirol
Bari
Spezia
Bari
Mantova
Bari
Palermo
Bari
Cesena
Bari
Juve Stabia
Catanzaro
Monza
Catanzaro
Palermo
Catanzaro
Avellino
Catanzaro
Spezia
Catanzaro
Modena
Catanzaro
Monza
Catanzaro
Empoli
Catanzaro
Frosinone
Catanzaro
Mantova
Catanzaro
Reggiana
Catanzaro
Sampdoria
Catanzaro
Cesena
Catanzaro
Avellino
Catanzaro
Virtus Entella
Catanzaro
Pescara
Catanzaro
Venezia
Catanzaro
Palermo
Catanzaro
Padova
Catanzaro
Juve Stabia
Catanzaro
Carrarese
Bari
Sudtirol
Bari
Avellino
Bari
Monza
Bari
Frosinone
Bari
Pescara
Bari
Sampdoria
Bari
Padova
Bari
Mantova
Bari
Cesena
Bari
Carrarese
Bari
Sudtirol
Bari
Juve Stabia
Bari
Empoli
Bari
Spezia
Bari
Reggiana
Bari
Virtus Entella
Bari
Palermo
Bari
Modena
Bari
Venezia
Bari
AC Milan
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38 | 24 | 10 | 4 | 77:31 | 46 | 82 |
W
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 2 | 38 | 23 | 12 | 3 | 76:34 | 42 | 81 |
W
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 38 | 22 | 10 | 6 | 61:32 | 29 | 76 |
D
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 38 | 20 | 12 | 6 | 61:33 | 28 | 72 |
L
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 5 |
Catanzaro
Home
|
38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 62:51 | 11 | 59 |
L
L
W
D
D
|
| 6 | 38 | 15 | 10 | 13 | 49:36 | 13 | 55 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 7 | 38 | 11 | 18 | 9 | 44:45 | -1 | 51 |
D
L
D
D
W
|
|
| 8 | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 43:55 | -12 | 49 |
W
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 9 | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 45:57 | -12 | 46 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 10 | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 39:49 | -10 | 46 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 11 | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 45:56 | -11 | 46 |
L
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 38 | 10 | 14 | 14 | 47:52 | -5 | 44 |
L
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 13 | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 35:48 | -13 | 44 |
L
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 14 | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 36:51 | -15 | 42 |
W
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 15 | 38 | 9 | 14 | 15 | 47:54 | -7 | 41 |
D
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 16 | 38 | 8 | 17 | 13 | 38:48 | -10 | 41 |
D
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 17 |
Bari
Away
|
38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 38:60 | -22 | 40 |
W
W
L
L
L
|
| 18 | 38 | 9 | 10 | 19 | 36:56 | -20 | 37 |
W
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 19 | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 43:59 | -16 | 35 |
D
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 20 | 38 | 7 | 14 | 17 | 51:66 | -15 | 35 |
D
L
D
D
L
|