02.05.2026 16:30
Estadio Municipal de Castalia
Referee: E. Mallo
Castellón
Match Timeline
Cordoba
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
7'
Adrian Fuentes
Cordoba
🟨
15'
Beñat Gerenabarrena
Castellón
🟨
49'
Alberto del Moral
Cordoba
52'
A. Fuentes · Assist: K. Medina
Cordoba
🟨
54'
Sergi Guardiola
Cordoba
🔄
61'
S. Guardiola ↔ J. Gonzalez
Cordoba
🔄
61'
K. Medina ↔ D. Bri
Cordoba
64'
A. Fuentes · Assist: D. Bri
Cordoba
🔄
65'
B. Gerenabarrena ↔ A. Mabil
Castellón
🔄
65'
L. Alcazar ↔ A. Sienra
Castellón
🔄
68'
A. Fuentes ↔ Percan
Cordoba
🔄
73'
Ronaldo ↔ I. Suero
Castellón
🔄
73'
O. Camara ↔ A. Garcia
Castellón
🟨
79'
Iker Álvarez
Cordoba
🟨
81'
Carlos Albarrán
Cordoba
82'
A. Garcia · Assist: A. Mabil
Castellón
🔄
83'
A. Jimenez ↔ M. Doue
Castellón
🔄
83'
C. Carracedo ↔ T. Zidane
Cordoba
🔄
83'
A. del Moral ↔ M. Goti Lopez
Cordoba
🟨
88'
Théo Zidane
Cordoba

Castellón vs Cordoba Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 57.7%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 89.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 88.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
57.7%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
89.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
88.1%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Castellón Win 57.7%
Draw 5.2%
Cordoba Win 37.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Castellón1.6
Cordoba1.32
Recent Form (Last 5)
Castellón Castellón
WWDLW
64 GF / 47 GA
Cordoba Cordoba
WLDWL
52 GF / 56 GA
Key Stats
1.68
Average Goals Scored
1.37
1.24
Average Goals Conceded
1.47
22
BTTS Yes
25
19
Over 2.5
23
4.89
Shots on Goal
5.24

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Castellón Castellón 38 matches
Cordoba Cordoba 38 matches
Castellón Statistic Cordoba
18 Wins 15
10 Draws 9
10 Losses 14
64 Goals For 52
47 Goals Against 56
1.68 Avg Goals Scored 1.37
1.24 Avg Goals Conceded 1.47
22 BTTS Yes 25
28 Over 1.5 30
19 Over 2.5 23
17 Over 3.5 14
11 Clean Sheets 8
9 Failed To Score 8
4.89 Shots On Goal 5.24
14.24 Total Shots 15.49
5.84 Corners 6.16
53.4% Ball Possession 57.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features Castellón's more proactive style and Cordoba's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Cordoba. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Castellón expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Cordoba in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Cordoba having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances.

Castellón Analysis

Castellón approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 4 on 64 points after 37 outings. With 18 wins, 10 draws, and 9 defeats plus a goal balance of 64:46, they continue to show very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Their attacking quality is driven by Álex Calatrava (13 goals), O. Camara (11 goals), Fabrizio Brignani (6 goals), with creative support from B. Cipenga (9 assists), Álex Calatrava (7 assists), I. Suero (6 assists), and at the back they have appeared quite vulnerable. At home, the split of 12 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

Cordoba Analysis

So far, Cordoba have built a campaign that leaves them 10 in the table on 54 points from 37 matches. The record of 15 wins, 9 draws, and 13 defeats, together with a 52:55 goal balance, points toward very strong form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking threat comes through A. Fuentes (12 goals), J. Gonzalez (8 goals), Sergi Guardiola (4 goals), with creative support from Cristian Carracedo (12 assists), Francho (6 assists), A. Fuentes (3 assists), while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, the record of 7 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Castellón won 0 times, Cordoba won 5 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:13 from Castellón's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 3.33 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.8%)
Predicted formations: Castellón 4-4-2 / Cordoba 4-3-3
H2H summary: Castellón wins 0, draws 1, Cordoba wins 5

Standings

Segunda División
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 42 25 7 10 90:61 29 82
W D W W W
2 42 22 11 9 65:44 21 77
L W W W W
3 42 22 8 12 81:63 18 74
L D W D W
4 42 21 10 11 75:52 23 73
W D D W W
5 42 20 13 9 57:40 17 73
D L W D W
6 42 20 12 10 70:51 19 72
L D W W D
7 42 20 12 10 48:33 15 72
W W W D D
8 42 19 10 13 52:40 12 67
L W L W L
9 42 18 7 17 60:54 6 61
W W W L L
10 42 17 10 15 57:61 -4 61
D L L W W
11 42 17 10 15 51:63 -12 61
W W L D W
12 42 16 11 15 56:55 1 59
L W W W W
13 42 16 10 16 62:54 8 58
L L L W L
14 42 12 12 18 50:56 -6 48
L L L L W
15 42 12 11 19 52:61 -9 47
D L D W D
16 42 11 13 18 43:51 -8 46
W L D L L
17 42 12 10 20 44:57 -13 46
L L L W L
18 42 11 10 21 41:61 -20 43
L W D L D
19 42 10 10 22 47:69 -22 40
L W D L L
20 42 9 11 22 41:63 -22 38
D L D L L
21 42 9 10 23 39:68 -29 37
D L W L D
22 42 8 12 22 35:59 -24 36
L D L L L
Promotion
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