15.05.2026 18:30
Estadio Municipal de Castalia
Referee: G. Cid
Castellón
Match Timeline
Cadiz
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
7'
Ousmane Camara
Castellón
🟨
21'
Rominigue Kouamé
Cadiz
🔄
37'
I. Recio ↔ B. Kovacevic
Cadiz
🟨
47'
Lucas Pérez
Cadiz
⚽
54'
B. Cipenga · Assist: O. Camara
Castellón
🔄
57'
A. Jakobsen ↔ A. Mabil
Castellón
🔄
64'
L. Alcazar ↔ Tincho
Castellón
🔄
68'
S. Ortuno ↔ A. Pascual
Cadiz
🔄
68'
L. Perez ↔ D. Camara
Cadiz
🔄
69'
J. de la Rosa ↔ B. Ocampo
Cadiz
🟨
70'
Diego Barri
Castellón
🔄
73'
S. Arribas ↔ M. Climent
Cadiz
⚽
74'
P. Fernandez
Cadiz
🔄
75'
O. Camara ↔ A. Garcia
Castellón
🟨
76'
Jeremy Mellot
Castellón
🔄
80'
Barri ↔ I. Suero
Castellón
🔄
80'
J. Mellot ↔ D. Aurelio
Castellón
🔄
80'
B. Cipenga ↔ M. Doue
Castellón
🔄
87'
Y. Diarra ↔ A. Fernandez
Cadiz
🟨
88'
David Gil
Cadiz
🟨
88'
Brian Ocampo
Cadiz
🟨
90+9'
Dawda Camara
Cadiz
🟨
90+7'
Alvaro Garcia-Pascual
Cadiz

Castellón vs Cadiz Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 84.2%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 21.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 18.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
84.2%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS No
21.6%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
18.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-0
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Castellón Win 84.2%
Draw 0%
Cadiz Win 15.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Castellón1.57
Cadiz1.1
Recent Form (Last 5)
Castellón Castellón
WWDLW
66 GF / 50 GA
Cadiz Cadiz
WLDWL
41 GF / 60 GA
Key Stats
1.65
Average Goals Scored
1
1.25
Average Goals Conceded
1.46
24
BTTS Yes
20
20
Over 2.5
22
5.03
Shots on Goal
2.9

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Castellón Castellón 40 matches
Cadiz Cadiz 41 matches
Castellón Statistic Cadiz
18 Wins 11
11 Draws 9
11 Losses 21
66 Goals For 41
50 Goals Against 60
1.65 Avg Goals Scored 1
1.25 Avg Goals Conceded 1.46
24 BTTS Yes 20
30 Over 1.5 27
20 Over 2.5 22
17 Over 3.5 10
11 Clean Sheets 10
9 Failed To Score 15
5.03 Shots On Goal 2.9
14.58 Total Shots 9.59
6 Corners 4.32
53.4% Ball Possession 43.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Castellón's more proactive style and Cadiz's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Castellón expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Cadiz in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Cadiz having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Cadiz. Cadiz arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Castellón arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 6 with 65 points compared to Cadiz in 18 on 39, which underlines the gap in season consistency.

Castellón Analysis

So far, Castellón have built a campaign that leaves them 6 in the table on 65 points from 39 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 18 wins, 11 draws, and 10 losses, while the 66:49 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Álex Calatrava (13 goals), O. Camara (11 goals), Fabrizio Brignani (7 goals), with creative support from B. Cipenga (9 assists), Álex Calatrava (7 assists), I. Suero (6 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. At home, the record of 12 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Cadiz Analysis

Cadiz approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 18 with 39 points from 39 matches. Across the season they have posted 10 wins, 9 draws, and 20 defeats, and the 36:56 goal record continues to suggest poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Their attacking burden often falls on I. Tabatadze (6 goals), B. Ocampo (5 goals), Dawda Camara (5 goals), with creative support from A. Pascual (6 assists), S. Ortuno (4 assists), Mario Climent (3 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 4 wins, 7 draws, and 8 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Castellón won 0 times, Cadiz won 2 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:6 from Castellón's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Castellón 4-4-2 / Cadiz 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Castellón wins 0, draws 2, Cadiz wins 2

Standings

Segunda División
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 42 25 7 10 90:61 29 82
W D W W W
2 42 22 11 9 65:44 21 77
L W W W W
3 42 22 8 12 81:63 18 74
L D W D W
4 42 21 10 11 75:52 23 73
W D D W W
5 42 20 13 9 57:40 17 73
D L W D W
6 42 20 12 10 70:51 19 72
L D W W D
7 42 20 12 10 48:33 15 72
W W W D D
8 42 19 10 13 52:40 12 67
L W L W L
9 42 18 7 17 60:54 6 61
W W W L L
10 42 17 10 15 57:61 -4 61
D L L W W
11 42 17 10 15 51:63 -12 61
W W L D W
12 42 16 11 15 56:55 1 59
L W W W W
13 42 16 10 16 62:54 8 58
L L L W L
14 42 12 12 18 50:56 -6 48
L L L L W
15 42 12 11 19 52:61 -9 47
D L D W D
16 42 11 13 18 43:51 -8 46
W L D L L
17 42 12 10 20 44:57 -13 46
L L L W L
18
Cadiz Away
42 11 10 21 41:61 -20 43
L W D L D
19 42 10 10 22 47:69 -22 40
L W D L L
20 42 9 11 22 41:63 -22 38
D L D L L
21 42 9 10 23 39:68 -29 37
D L W L D
22 42 8 12 22 35:59 -24 36
L D L L L
Promotion
Promotion Play-offs
Relegation