BRAZIL SERIE D
--.--.---- --:--
Cascavel
Match Timeline
Marcílio Dias
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
4'
Borech
Cascavel
31'
Claudinho
Marcílio Dias
56'
Robinho
Cascavel
90'
Gabriel Lyra
Marcílio Dias

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 78.3%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 56%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 72.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
78.3%
-
BTTS No
56%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
72.8%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Cascavel Win 40.8%
Draw 21.7%
Marcílio Dias Win 37.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Cascavel0.74
Marcílio Dias0.7
Recent Form (Last 5)
Cascavel Cascavel
WWDLW
9 GF / 4 GA
Marcílio Dias Marcílio Dias
WLDWL
9 GF / 5 GA
Key Stats
0.9
Average Goals Scored
0.9
0.4
Average Goals Conceded
0.5
1
BTTS Yes
3
1
Over 2.5
2
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Cascavel Cascavel 10 matches
Marcílio Dias Marcílio Dias 10 matches
Cascavel Statistic Marcílio Dias
4 Wins 4
3 Draws 4
3 Losses 2
9 Goals For 9
4 Goals Against 5
0.9 Avg Goals Scored 0.9
0.4 Avg Goals Conceded 0.5
1 BTTS Yes 3
3 Over 1.5 3
1 Over 2.5 2
1 Over 3.5 1
6 Clean Sheets 5
5 Failed To Score 5
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This knockout meeting sets up as a clash between two sides with a fairly similar football identity, where game management could be just as important as attacking output. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Because this is a knockout setting, momentum shifts, risk management, and late-game discipline could all carry more weight than in a standard league fixture. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Marcílio Dias having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Marcílio Dias.

Cascavel Analysis

Cascavel enter this tie with a season profile built on 15 points from 10 matches, placing them 3 in their league. Their record of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 3 defeats with goals at 9:4 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking weight falls on Ze Carlos (3 goals), Kauhe Galdino (2 goals), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Marcílio Dias Analysis

Marcílio Dias come into this tie placed 2 in their league with 16 points from 10 matches. With 4 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses plus a goal ratio of 9:5, they bring mixed form over their recent run into this tie. Going forward they rely on Davi Torres (2 goals), Manoel (2 goals), while defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, their split of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Cascavel won 2 times, Marcílio Dias won 1 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:6 from Cascavel's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (78.3%)
H2H summary: Cascavel wins 2, draws 3, Marcílio Dias wins 1
Last matches: Cascavel
12.07.26
Fri
Cascavel
Corinthians
1
1
D
28.06.26
Ser
Cascavel
Marcílio Dias
1
2
L
27.06.26
Fri
Cascavel
Gremio
1
2
L
07.06.26
Ser
Cascavel
Santa Catarina
0
1
L
31.05.26
Ser
Cascavel
São Luiz
0
0
D
24.05.26
Ser
Cascavel
Guarany de Bagé
4
0
W
17.05.26
Ser
Cascavel
Cianorte
0
1
L
10.05.26
Ser
Cascavel
Joinville
1
0
W
02.05.26
Ser
Cascavel
Joinville
1
1
D
26.04.26
Ser
Cascavel
Cianorte
0
1
L
19.04.26
Ser
Cascavel
Guarany de Bagé
2
0
W
11.04.26
Ser
Cascavel
São Luiz
0
0
D
05.04.26
Ser
Cascavel
Santa Catarina
1
0
W
09.08.25
Ser
Cascavel
Barra
0
3
L
02.08.25
Ser
Cascavel
Barra
0
1
L
26.07.25
Ser
Cascavel
Uberlandia
2
1
W
19.07.25
Ser
Cascavel
Goiatuba EC
0
0
D
12.07.25
Ser
Cascavel
Cianorte
2
1
W
05.07.25
Ser
Cascavel
Inter De Limeira
0
1
L
28.06.25
Ser
Cascavel
Monte Azul
1
1
D
Last matches: Marcílio Dias
11.07.26
Ser
Marcílio Dias
Portuguesa
0
2
L
04.07.26
Ser
Marcílio Dias
Portuguesa
1
1
D
28.06.26
Ser
Marcílio Dias
Cascavel
2
1
W
07.06.26
Ser
Marcílio Dias
Independiente FSJ
0
0
D
01.06.26
Ser
Marcílio Dias
Azuriz
0
1
L
24.05.26
Ser
Marcílio Dias
Sao Jose
1
1
D
16.05.26
Ser
Marcílio Dias
Blumenau
1
0
W
09.05.26
Ser
Marcílio Dias
Brasil DE Pelotas
4
1
W
02.05.26
Ser
Marcílio Dias
Brasil DE Pelotas
1
0
W
25.04.26
Ser
Marcílio Dias
Blumenau
0
1
L
18.04.26
Ser
Marcílio Dias
Sao Jose
2
1
W
11.04.26
Ser
Marcílio Dias
Azuriz
0
0
D
05.04.26
Ser
Marcílio Dias
Independiente FSJ
0
0
D
09.08.25
Ser
Marcílio Dias
Inter De Limeira
1
2
L
03.08.25
Ser
Marcílio Dias
Inter De Limeira
0
0
D
27.07.25
Ser
Marcílio Dias
Sao Jose
1
1
D
20.07.25
Ser
Marcílio Dias
Guarany de Bagé
1
1
D
14.07.25
Ser
Marcílio Dias
Barra
1
0
W
06.07.25
Ser
Marcílio Dias
Joinville
1
1
D
29.06.25
Ser
Marcílio Dias
Azuriz
1
1
D
H2H: Cascavel vs Marcílio Dias
28.06.26
H2H
Marcílio Dias
Cascavel
2
1
L
21.06.26
H2H
Cascavel
Marcílio Dias
2
2
D
09.07.22
H2H
Cascavel
Marcílio Dias
3
0
W
23.04.22
H2H
Marcílio Dias
Cascavel
1
1
D
28.08.21
H2H
Cascavel
Marcílio Dias
2
0
W
13.06.21
H2H
Marcílio Dias
Cascavel
1
1
D
Last matches: Cascavel
12.07.26
Fri
Cascavel
Corinthians
1
1
D
27.06.26
Fri
Cascavel
Gremio
1
2
L
31.05.26
Ser
Cascavel
São Luiz
0
0
D
10.05.26
Ser
Cascavel
Joinville
1
0
W
26.04.26
Ser
Cascavel
Cianorte
0
1
L
19.04.26
Ser
Cascavel
Guarany de Bagé
2
0
W
05.04.26
Ser
Cascavel
Santa Catarina
1
0
W
02.08.25
Ser
Cascavel
Barra
0
1
L
26.07.25
Ser
Cascavel
Uberlandia
2
1
W
12.07.25
Ser
Cascavel
Cianorte
2
1
W
28.06.25
Ser
Cascavel
Monte Azul
1
1
D
07.06.25
Ser
Cascavel
Itabirito
1
1
D
24.05.25
Ser
Cascavel
Operario Ferroviario
3
1
W
10.05.25
Ser
Cascavel
Inter De Limeira
2
0
W
26.04.25
Ser
Cascavel
Goiatuba EC
1
4
L
H2H at home: Cascavel
21.06.26
H2H
Cascavel
Marcílio Dias
2
2
D
09.07.22
H2H
Cascavel
Marcílio Dias
3
0
W
28.08.21
H2H
Cascavel
Marcílio Dias
2
0
W
Last matches: Marcílio Dias
11.07.26
Ser
Marcílio Dias
Portuguesa
0
2
L
07.06.26
Ser
Marcílio Dias
Independiente FSJ
0
0
D
24.05.26
Ser
Marcílio Dias
Sao Jose
1
1
D
16.05.26
Ser
Marcílio Dias
Blumenau
1
0
W
02.05.26
Ser
Marcílio Dias
Brasil DE Pelotas
1
0
W
11.04.26
Ser
Marcílio Dias
Azuriz
0
0
D
09.08.25
Ser
Marcílio Dias
Inter De Limeira
1
2
L
27.07.25
Ser
Marcílio Dias
Sao Jose
1
1
D
06.07.25
Ser
Marcílio Dias
Joinville
1
1
D
29.06.25
Ser
Marcílio Dias
Azuriz
1
1
D
07.06.25
Ser
Marcílio Dias
São Luiz
0
3
L
25.05.25
Ser
Marcílio Dias
Brasil DE Pelotas
2
1
W
03.05.25
Ser
Marcílio Dias
Barra
1
2
L
27.04.25
Ser
Marcílio Dias
Guarany de Bagé
3
3
D
H2H away: Marcílio Dias
21.06.26
H2H
Cascavel
Marcílio Dias
2
2
D
09.07.22
H2H
Cascavel
Marcílio Dias
3
0
L
28.08.21
H2H
Cascavel
Marcílio Dias
2
0
L

Standings

Group 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 4 0 13:5 8 22
W W D W D
2 10 6 2 2 15:9 6 20
W D W L W
3 10 3 4 3 10:7 3 13
L W D L L
4 10 2 4 4 11:14 -3 10
L L D W W
5 10 2 4 4 8:13 -5 10
L D D W L
6 10 1 2 7 8:17 -9 5
W L L L D
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 4 0 19:9 10 22
D W W D W
2 10 5 3 2 33:9 24 18
W W D D W
3 10 5 3 2 31:9 22 18
W L D L W
4 10 4 3 3 17:10 7 15
D W W W L
5 10 3 1 6 14:31 -17 10
L L L W L
6 10 0 0 10 4:50 -46 0
L L L L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 3
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 8 2 0 23:6 17 26
D W W W W
2 10 4 3 3 11:10 1 15
W D W L L
3 10 3 5 2 11:10 1 14
W D W L L
4 10 3 4 3 13:12 1 13
D D L D W
5 10 3 3 4 10:13 -3 12
L D L W W
6 10 0 1 9 3:20 -17 1
L L L D L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 4
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 2 1 16:6 10 23
W W D W W
2 10 5 4 1 13:7 6 19
W D D L D
3 10 3 3 4 9:10 -1 12
D D W L L
4 10 2 6 2 10:9 1 12
D D D W L
5 10 2 3 5 11:18 -7 9
L D L W D
6 10 1 2 7 7:16 -9 5
L L D L W
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 5
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 2 2 19:13 6 20
W L W W L
2 10 5 3 2 20:11 9 18
L W W L W
3 10 4 3 3 15:10 5 15
W W L L W
4 10 3 4 3 14:17 -3 13
L W D W L
5 10 3 3 4 18:18 0 12
W L L W W
6 10 1 1 8 12:29 -17 4
L L D L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 6
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 5 5 0 14:7 7 20
W D D D W
2 10 5 4 1 12:6 6 19
W W W D D
3 10 4 2 4 11:13 -2 14
W D L L W
4 10 3 4 3 12:6 6 13
L W W W D
5 10 2 3 5 8:15 -7 9
L L L D L
6 10 0 4 6 10:20 -10 4
L L D D L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 7
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 3 1 15:7 8 21
W D W W D
2 10 5 2 3 14:11 3 17
W W L W D
3 10 3 5 2 12:9 3 14
L D W D L
4 10 3 2 5 9:15 -6 11
W D L L L
5 10 2 4 4 10:10 0 10
L D W D W
6 10 1 4 5 6:14 -8 7
L L L L W
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 8
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 2 1 15:6 9 23
W W D W W
2 10 6 3 1 14:3 11 21
W W D W D
3 10 3 4 3 8:5 3 13
L W D D D
4 10 3 4 3 8:7 1 13
W L D D L
5 10 3 1 6 4:11 -7 10
L L D L W
6 10 0 2 8 3:20 -17 2
L L D L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Standings
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 5 2 3 18:14 4 17
L D L W W
1 10 6 3 1 25:8 17 21
W D D W W
1 10 5 3 2 12:8 4 18
L D D D W
1 10 5 2 3 13:9 4 17
D W W L L
1 10 6 3 1 16:6 10 21
W W W D L
1 10 4 5 1 14:9 5 17
L D D W W
1 10 6 1 3 15:9 6 19
W W W W L
1 10 6 1 3 14:8 6 19
L W W L D
2 10 4 3 3 15:13 2 15
D L L D W
2 10 5 2 3 12:9 3 17
W D D L L
2 10 4 3 3 12:9 3 15
W L W D D
2 10 4 5 1 13:6 7 17
D W D W D
2 10 5 2 3 16:8 8 17
L W W D D
2 10 4 3 3 12:7 5 15
W D L W W
2 10 5 1 4 9:8 1 16
W L D W L
2 10 4 4 2 9:5 4 16
D L D W W
3 10 3 6 1 12:8 4 15
D D W L D
3 10 4 4 2 11:7 4 16
D D D W W
3 10 3 4 3 7:7 0 13
D L D W D
3 10 4 3 3 12:8 4 15
D D W D W
3 10 3 5 2 14:9 5 14
L D D W D
3 10 3 4 3 10:10 0 13
W L D L D
3 10 4 3 3 9:4 5 15
L D W L W
3 10 3 4 3 3:4 -1 13
D L D L D
4 10 3 4 3 14:15 -1 13
W W D D D
4 10 3 4 3 12:14 -2 13
D D D W W
4 10 3 4 3 9:12 -3 13
D D L L D
4 10 3 4 3 14:12 2 13
W L L D D
4 10 3 3 4 11:21 -10 12
W D L W L
4 10 3 3 4 8:10 -2 12
L W D L L
4 10 4 3 3 11:9 2 15
W D L W W
4 10 3 4 3 6:8 -2 13
W W D D W
5 10 3 3 4 13:15 -2 12
W D D W L
5 10 2 3 5 10:17 -7 9
L D D L L
5 10 3 3 4 8:9 -1 12
W W W L D
5 10 3 1 6 9:21 -12 10
L L L D L
5 10 3 2 5 11:16 -5 11
W L D L W
5 10 3 3 4 7:10 -3 12
W L W W D
5 10 4 3 3 10:8 2 15
L W D L L
5 10 2 4 4 9:12 -3 10
D L D D L
6 10 2 2 6 10:17 -7 8
L D W L L
6 10 1 2 7 5:20 -15 5
L D D L L
6 10 2 3 5 9:12 -3 9
L W L W L
6 10 1 5 4 6:11 -5 8
D D D D W
6 10 2 1 7 6:14 -8 7
L L L L W
6 10 3 2 5 9:14 -5 11
L W D L L
6 10 1 1 8 2:18 -16 4
L L L L W
6 10 2 3 5 7:11 -4 9
D W L W L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)