BRAZIL SERIE D
--.--.---- --:--
Cascavel
Match Timeline
Joinville
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
27'
Borech
Cascavel

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 58.4%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 55.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 77.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
58.4%
-
BTTS BTTS No
55.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
77.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Cascavel Win 58.4%
Draw 8.4%
Joinville Win 33.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Cascavel0.72
Joinville1
Recent Form (Last 5)
Cascavel Cascavel
WWDLW
4 GF / 2 GA
Joinville Joinville
WLDWL
7 GF / 3 GA
Key Stats
0.8
Average Goals Scored
1.4
0.4
Average Goals Conceded
0.6
1
BTTS Yes
3
0
Over 2.5
2
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Cascavel Cascavel 5 matches
Joinville Joinville 5 matches
Cascavel Statistic Joinville
2 Wins 3
2 Draws 2
1 Losses 0
4 Goals For 7
2 Goals Against 3
0.8 Avg Goals Scored 1.4
0.4 Avg Goals Conceded 0.6
1 BTTS Yes 3
2 Over 1.5 4
0 Over 2.5 2
0 Over 3.5 0
3 Clean Sheets 2
2 Failed To Score 1
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Joinville carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 11 points while Cascavel sit 3 on 8, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Joinville. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Joinville having the stronger overall control.

Cascavel Analysis

Cascavel arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 3 place with 8 points after 5 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, while the 4:2 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Robinho (2 goals), G. S. do Espirito Santo (1 goals), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, the record of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Joinville Analysis

Joinville approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 11 points after 5 outings. With 3 wins, 2 draws, and 0 defeats plus a goal balance of 7:3, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by Erverson (3 goals), Felipe Para (1 goals), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the split of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses supports the view of a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Cascavel won 1 times, Joinville won 1 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:7 from Cascavel's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 3.25 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.6%)
H2H summary: Cascavel wins 1, draws 2, Joinville wins 1
Last matches: Cascavel
12.07.26
Fri
Cascavel
Corinthians
1
1
D
28.06.26
Ser
Cascavel
Marcílio Dias
1
2
L
27.06.26
Fri
Cascavel
Gremio
1
2
L
21.06.26
Ser
Cascavel
Marcílio Dias
2
2
D
07.06.26
Ser
Cascavel
Santa Catarina
0
1
L
31.05.26
Ser
Cascavel
São Luiz
0
0
D
24.05.26
Ser
Cascavel
Guarany de Bagé
4
0
W
17.05.26
Ser
Cascavel
Cianorte
0
1
L
02.05.26
Ser
Cascavel
Joinville
1
1
D
26.04.26
Ser
Cascavel
Cianorte
0
1
L
19.04.26
Ser
Cascavel
Guarany de Bagé
2
0
W
11.04.26
Ser
Cascavel
São Luiz
0
0
D
05.04.26
Ser
Cascavel
Santa Catarina
1
0
W
09.08.25
Ser
Cascavel
Barra
0
3
L
02.08.25
Ser
Cascavel
Barra
0
1
L
26.07.25
Ser
Cascavel
Uberlandia
2
1
W
19.07.25
Ser
Cascavel
Goiatuba EC
0
0
D
12.07.25
Ser
Cascavel
Cianorte
2
1
W
05.07.25
Ser
Cascavel
Inter De Limeira
0
1
L
28.06.25
Ser
Cascavel
Monte Azul
1
1
D
Last matches: Joinville
07.06.26
Ser
Joinville
São Luiz
1
3
L
30.05.26
Ser
Joinville
Guarany de Bagé
2
0
W
23.05.26
Ser
Joinville
Cianorte
0
0
D
16.05.26
Ser
Joinville
Santa Catarina
0
1
L
02.05.26
Ser
Joinville
Cascavel
1
1
D
25.04.26
Ser
Joinville
Santa Catarina
2
1
W
19.04.26
Ser
Joinville
Cianorte
2
1
W
12.04.26
Ser
Joinville
Guarany de Bagé
0
0
D
04.04.26
Ser
Joinville
São Luiz
2
0
W
10.08.25
Ser
Joinville
Cianorte
0
4
L
03.08.25
Ser
Joinville
Cianorte
1
1
D
27.07.25
Ser
Joinville
Guarany de Bagé
1
2
L
20.07.25
Ser
Joinville
Sao Jose
0
2
L
13.07.25
Ser
Joinville
Azuriz
0
0
D
06.07.25
Ser
Joinville
Marcílio Dias
1
1
D
30.06.25
Ser
Joinville
Barra
0
1
L
14.06.25
Ser
Joinville
São Luiz
2
1
W
08.06.25
Ser
Joinville
Brasil DE Pelotas
0
1
L
01.06.25
Ser
Joinville
Brasil DE Pelotas
1
0
W
26.05.25
Ser
Joinville
São Luiz
1
0
W
H2H: Cascavel vs Joinville
10.05.26
H2H
Cascavel
Joinville
1
0
W
02.05.26
H2H
Joinville
Cascavel
1
1
D
04.09.21
H2H
Joinville
Cascavel
3
1
L
05.06.21
H2H
Cascavel
Joinville
3
3
D
Last matches: Cascavel
12.07.26
Fri
Cascavel
Corinthians
1
1
D
27.06.26
Fri
Cascavel
Gremio
1
2
L
21.06.26
Ser
Cascavel
Marcílio Dias
2
2
D
31.05.26
Ser
Cascavel
São Luiz
0
0
D
26.04.26
Ser
Cascavel
Cianorte
0
1
L
19.04.26
Ser
Cascavel
Guarany de Bagé
2
0
W
05.04.26
Ser
Cascavel
Santa Catarina
1
0
W
02.08.25
Ser
Cascavel
Barra
0
1
L
26.07.25
Ser
Cascavel
Uberlandia
2
1
W
12.07.25
Ser
Cascavel
Cianorte
2
1
W
28.06.25
Ser
Cascavel
Monte Azul
1
1
D
07.06.25
Ser
Cascavel
Itabirito
1
1
D
24.05.25
Ser
Cascavel
Operario Ferroviario
3
1
W
10.05.25
Ser
Cascavel
Inter De Limeira
2
0
W
26.04.25
Ser
Cascavel
Goiatuba EC
1
4
L
H2H at home: Cascavel
10.05.26
H2H
Cascavel
Joinville
1
0
W
05.06.21
H2H
Cascavel
Joinville
3
3
D
Last matches: Joinville
07.06.26
Ser
Joinville
São Luiz
1
3
L
16.05.26
Ser
Joinville
Santa Catarina
0
1
L
19.04.26
Ser
Joinville
Cianorte
2
1
W
12.04.26
Ser
Joinville
Guarany de Bagé
0
0
D
10.08.25
Ser
Joinville
Cianorte
0
4
L
27.07.25
Ser
Joinville
Guarany de Bagé
1
2
L
13.07.25
Ser
Joinville
Azuriz
0
0
D
30.06.25
Ser
Joinville
Barra
0
1
L
08.06.25
Ser
Joinville
Brasil DE Pelotas
0
1
L
26.05.25
Ser
Joinville
São Luiz
1
0
W
10.05.25
Ser
Joinville
Marcílio Dias
0
1
L
27.04.25
Ser
Joinville
Sao Jose
1
1
D
H2H away: Joinville
10.05.26
H2H
Cascavel
Joinville
1
0
L
05.06.21
H2H
Cascavel
Joinville
3
3
D

Standings

Group 7
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 3 1 15:7 8 21
W D W W D
2 10 5 2 3 14:11 3 17
W W L W D
3 10 3 5 2 12:9 3 14
L D W D L
4 10 3 2 5 9:15 -6 11
W D L L L
5 10 2 4 4 10:10 0 10
L D W D W
6 10 1 4 5 6:14 -8 7
L L L L W
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 8
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 2 1 15:6 9 23
W W D W W
2 10 6 3 1 14:3 11 21
W W D W D
3 10 3 4 3 8:5 3 13
L W D D D
4 10 3 4 3 8:7 1 13
W L D D L
5 10 3 1 6 4:11 -7 10
L L D L W
6 10 0 2 8 3:20 -17 2
L L D L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Standings
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 5 2 3 18:14 4 17
L D L W W
1 10 6 3 1 25:8 17 21
W D D W W
1 10 5 3 2 12:8 4 18
L D D D W
1 10 5 2 3 13:9 4 17
D W W L L
1 10 6 3 1 16:6 10 21
W W W D L
1 10 4 5 1 14:9 5 17
L D D W W
1 10 6 1 3 15:9 6 19
W W W W L
1 10 6 1 3 14:8 6 19
L W W L D
2 10 4 3 3 15:13 2 15
D L L D W
2 10 5 2 3 12:9 3 17
W D D L L
2 10 4 3 3 12:9 3 15
W L W D D
2 10 4 5 1 13:6 7 17
D W D W D
2 10 5 2 3 16:8 8 17
L W W D D
2 10 4 3 3 12:7 5 15
W D L W W
2 10 5 1 4 9:8 1 16
W L D W L
2 10 4 4 2 9:5 4 16
D L D W W
3 10 3 6 1 12:8 4 15
D D W L D
3 10 4 4 2 11:7 4 16
D D D W W
3 10 3 4 3 7:7 0 13
D L D W D
3 10 4 3 3 12:8 4 15
D D W D W
3 10 3 5 2 14:9 5 14
L D D W D
3 10 3 4 3 10:10 0 13
W L D L D
3 10 4 3 3 9:4 5 15
L D W L W
3 10 3 4 3 3:4 -1 13
D L D L D
4 10 3 4 3 14:15 -1 13
W W D D D
4 10 3 4 3 12:14 -2 13
D D D W W
4 10 3 4 3 9:12 -3 13
D D L L D
4 10 3 4 3 14:12 2 13
W L L D D
4 10 3 3 4 11:21 -10 12
W D L W L
4 10 3 3 4 8:10 -2 12
L W D L L
4 10 4 3 3 11:9 2 15
W D L W W
4 10 3 4 3 6:8 -2 13
W W D D W
5 10 3 3 4 13:15 -2 12
W D D W L
5 10 2 3 5 10:17 -7 9
L D D L L
5 10 3 3 4 8:9 -1 12
W W W L D
5 10 3 1 6 9:21 -12 10
L L L D L
5 10 3 2 5 11:16 -5 11
W L D L W
5 10 3 3 4 7:10 -3 12
W L W W D
5 10 4 3 3 10:8 2 15
L W D L L
5 10 2 4 4 9:12 -3 10
D L D D L
6 10 2 2 6 10:17 -7 8
L D W L L
6 10 1 2 7 5:20 -15 5
L D D L L
6 10 2 3 5 9:12 -3 9
L W L W L
6 10 1 5 4 6:11 -5 8
D D D D W
6 10 2 1 7 6:14 -8 7
L L L L W
6 10 3 2 5 9:14 -5 11
L W D L L
6 10 1 1 8 2:18 -16 4
L L L L W
6 10 2 3 5 7:11 -4 9
D W L W L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 4 0 13:5 8 22
W W D W D
2 10 6 2 2 15:9 6 20
W D W L W
3 10 3 4 3 10:7 3 13
L W D L L
4 10 2 4 4 11:14 -3 10
L L D W W
5 10 2 4 4 8:13 -5 10
L D D W L
6 10 1 2 7 8:17 -9 5
W L L L D
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 4 0 19:9 10 22
D W W D W
2 10 5 3 2 33:9 24 18
W W D D W
3 10 5 3 2 31:9 22 18
W L D L W
4 10 4 3 3 17:10 7 15
D W W W L
5 10 3 1 6 14:31 -17 10
L L L W L
6 10 0 0 10 4:50 -46 0
L L L L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 3
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 8 2 0 23:6 17 26
D W W W W
2 10 4 3 3 11:10 1 15
W D W L L
3 10 3 5 2 11:10 1 14
W D W L L
4 10 3 4 3 13:12 1 13
D D L D W
5 10 3 3 4 10:13 -3 12
L D L W W
6 10 0 1 9 3:20 -17 1
L L L D L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 4
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 2 1 16:6 10 23
W W D W W
2 10 5 4 1 13:7 6 19
W D D L D
3 10 3 3 4 9:10 -1 12
D D W L L
4 10 2 6 2 10:9 1 12
D D D W L
5 10 2 3 5 11:18 -7 9
L D L W D
6 10 1 2 7 7:16 -9 5
L L D L W
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 5
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 2 2 19:13 6 20
W L W W L
2 10 5 3 2 20:11 9 18
L W W L W
3 10 4 3 3 15:10 5 15
W W L L W
4 10 3 4 3 14:17 -3 13
L W D W L
5 10 3 3 4 18:18 0 12
W L L W W
6 10 1 1 8 12:29 -17 4
L L D L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 6
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 5 5 0 14:7 7 20
W D D D W
2 10 5 4 1 12:6 6 19
W W W D D
3 10 4 2 4 11:13 -2 14
W D L L W
4 10 3 4 3 12:6 6 13
L W W W D
5 10 2 3 5 8:15 -7 9
L L L D L
6 10 0 4 6 10:20 -10 4
L L D D L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)