SENEGAL LIGUE 1
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 84.1%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 61.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 50.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
84.1%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
61.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
50.3%
-
Probability Distribution
Casa Sport Win 45.2%
Draw 15.9%
Guédiawaye Win 38.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Casa Sport1.06
Guédiawaye0.87
Recent Form (Last 5)
Casa Sport Casa Sport
WWDLW
22 GF / 15 GA
Guédiawaye Guédiawaye
WLDWL
22 GF / 25 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
1
0.68
Average Goals Conceded
1.14
10
BTTS Yes
9
4
Over 2.5
10
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Casa Sport Casa Sport 22 matches
Guédiawaye Guédiawaye 22 matches
Casa Sport Statistic Guédiawaye
5 Wins 6
15 Draws 5
2 Losses 11
22 Goals For 22
15 Goals Against 25
1 Avg Goals Scored 1
0.68 Avg Goals Conceded 1.14
10 BTTS Yes 9
13 Over 1.5 15
4 Over 2.5 10
3 Over 3.5 3
10 Clean Sheets 7
8 Failed To Score 9
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features Casa Sport's more proactive style and Guédiawaye's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Guédiawaye. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Guédiawaye having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Casa Sport Analysis

From their first 22 matches, Casa Sport have collected 30 points and now occupy 6 place in the table. The record of 5 wins, 15 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 22:15 goal balance, points toward poor form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, the record of 5 wins, 4 draws, and 1 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Guédiawaye Analysis

From their first 22 matches, Guédiawaye have collected 22 points and now occupy 12 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 6 wins, 5 draws, and 11 losses, while the 22:25 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, the record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Casa Sport won 7 times, Guédiawaye won 5 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:13 from Casa Sport's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (84.1%)
H2H summary: Casa Sport wins 7, draws 2, Guédiawaye wins 5
Last matches: Casa Sport
04.06.26
Lig
Casa Sport
DSC
1
2
L
22.05.26
Lig
Casa Sport
Jaraaf
0
0
D
17.05.26
Lig
Casa Sport
Pikine
1
0
W
13.05.26
Lig
Casa Sport
Sonacos
3
0
W
10.05.26
Lig
Casa Sport
Génération Foot
1
2
L
03.05.26
Lig
Casa Sport
La Linguère
0
0
D
26.04.26
Lig
Casa Sport
Gorée
0
0
D
12.04.26
Lig
Casa Sport
Teungueth
0
0
D
29.03.26
Lig
Casa Sport
Stade de Mbour
1
1
D
25.03.26
Lig
Casa Sport
Wally Daan
1
1
D
15.03.26
Lig
Casa Sport
AJEL
0
1
L
08.03.26
Lig
Casa Sport
Ouakam
0
0
D
01.03.26
Lig
Casa Sport
HLM
0
0
D
22.02.26
Lig
Casa Sport
AS Camberene
2
2
D
15.02.26
Lig
Casa Sport
DSC
1
1
D
08.02.26
Lig
Casa Sport
Jaraaf
1
1
D
01.02.26
Lig
Casa Sport
Pikine
1
1
D
25.01.26
Lig
Casa Sport
Sonacos
3
0
W
12.01.26
Lig
Casa Sport
Génération Foot
0
0
D
07.01.26
Lig
Casa Sport
La Linguère
3
2
W
Last matches: Guédiawaye
04.06.26
Lig
Guédiawaye
Teungueth
0
1
L
22.05.26
Lig
Guédiawaye
Stade de Mbour
2
0
W
17.05.26
Lig
Guédiawaye
Wally Daan
2
3
L
13.05.26
Lig
Guédiawaye
AJEL
0
1
L
10.05.26
Lig
Guédiawaye
Ouakam
1
1
D
03.05.26
Lig
Guédiawaye
HLM
1
2
L
25.04.26
Lig
Guédiawaye
AS Camberene
0
0
D
11.04.26
Lig
Guédiawaye
Jaraaf
1
2
L
29.03.26
Lig
Guédiawaye
Pikine
1
3
L
26.03.26
Lig
Guédiawaye
Sonacos
3
0
W
17.03.26
Lig
Guédiawaye
Génération Foot
2
1
W
08.03.26
Lig
Guédiawaye
La Linguère
3
1
W
01.03.26
Lig
Guédiawaye
Gorée
1
1
D
22.02.26
Lig
Guédiawaye
DSC
3
0
W
14.02.26
Lig
Guédiawaye
Teungueth
0
0
D
08.02.26
Lig
Guédiawaye
Stade de Mbour
0
0
D
02.02.26
Lig
Guédiawaye
Wally Daan
0
1
L
25.01.26
Lig
Guédiawaye
AJEL
0
1
L
11.01.26
Lig
Guédiawaye
Ouakam
1
1
D
07.01.26
Lig
Guédiawaye
HLM
0
1
L
H2H: Casa Sport vs Guédiawaye
19.04.26
H2H
Casa Sport
Guédiawaye
1
1
D
21.12.25
H2H
Guédiawaye
Casa Sport
2
0
L
26.06.25
H2H
Casa Sport
Guédiawaye
0
0
D
08.02.25
H2H
Guédiawaye
Casa Sport
2
3
W
03.03.24
H2H
Casa Sport
Guédiawaye
0
1
L
04.11.23
H2H
Guédiawaye
Casa Sport
1
0
L
14.05.23
H2H
Guédiawaye
Casa Sport
0
1
W
07.12.22
H2H
Casa Sport
Guédiawaye
3
1
W
12.06.22
H2H
Casa Sport
Guédiawaye
1
2
L
13.03.22
H2H
Guédiawaye
Casa Sport
0
2
W
22.04.18
H2H
Casa Sport
Guédiawaye
2
0
W
18.01.18
H2H
Guédiawaye
Casa Sport
0
1
W
02.05.17
H2H
Casa Sport
Guédiawaye
0
3
L
23.04.17
H2H
Guédiawaye
Casa Sport
0
1
W
Last matches: Casa Sport
04.06.26
Lig
Casa Sport
DSC
1
2
L
17.05.26
Lig
Casa Sport
Pikine
1
0
W
10.05.26
Lig
Casa Sport
Génération Foot
1
2
L
26.04.26
Lig
Casa Sport
Gorée
0
0
D
29.03.26
Lig
Casa Sport
Stade de Mbour
1
1
D
15.03.26
Lig
Casa Sport
AJEL
0
1
L
01.03.26
Lig
Casa Sport
HLM
0
0
D
08.02.26
Lig
Casa Sport
Jaraaf
1
1
D
25.01.26
Lig
Casa Sport
Sonacos
3
0
W
07.01.26
Lig
Casa Sport
La Linguère
3
2
W
14.12.25
Lig
Casa Sport
Teungueth
0
0
D
30.11.25
Lig
Casa Sport
Wally Daan
1
0
W
16.11.25
Lig
Casa Sport
Ouakam
1
0
W
02.11.25
Lig
Casa Sport
AS Camberene
4
0
W
H2H at home: Casa Sport
19.04.26
H2H
Casa Sport
Guédiawaye
1
1
D
26.06.25
H2H
Casa Sport
Guédiawaye
0
0
D
03.03.24
H2H
Casa Sport
Guédiawaye
0
1
L
07.12.22
H2H
Casa Sport
Guédiawaye
3
1
W
12.06.22
H2H
Casa Sport
Guédiawaye
1
2
L
22.04.18
H2H
Casa Sport
Guédiawaye
2
0
W
02.05.17
H2H
Casa Sport
Guédiawaye
0
3
L
Last matches: Guédiawaye
22.05.26
Lig
Guédiawaye
Stade de Mbour
2
0
W
13.05.26
Lig
Guédiawaye
AJEL
0
1
L
03.05.26
Lig
Guédiawaye
HLM
1
2
L
11.04.26
Lig
Guédiawaye
Jaraaf
1
2
L
26.03.26
Lig
Guédiawaye
Sonacos
3
0
W
08.03.26
Lig
Guédiawaye
La Linguère
3
1
W
14.02.26
Lig
Guédiawaye
Teungueth
0
0
D
02.02.26
Lig
Guédiawaye
Wally Daan
0
1
L
11.01.26
Lig
Guédiawaye
Ouakam
1
1
D
28.12.25
Lig
Guédiawaye
AS Camberene
2
0
W
07.12.25
Lig
Guédiawaye
Pikine
0
3
L
22.11.25
Lig
Guédiawaye
Génération Foot
0
2
L
08.11.25
Lig
Guédiawaye
Gorée
0
1
L
02.11.25
Lig
Guédiawaye
DSC
1
3
L
H2H away: Guédiawaye
19.04.26
H2H
Casa Sport
Guédiawaye
1
1
D
26.06.25
H2H
Casa Sport
Guédiawaye
0
0
D
03.03.24
H2H
Casa Sport
Guédiawaye
0
1
W
07.12.22
H2H
Casa Sport
Guédiawaye
3
1
L
12.06.22
H2H
Casa Sport
Guédiawaye
1
2
W
22.04.18
H2H
Casa Sport
Guédiawaye
2
0
L
02.05.17
H2H
Casa Sport
Guédiawaye
0
3
W

Standings

Ligue 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 13 15 2 21:6 15 54
?
2 30 15 9 6 27:19 8 54
?
3 30 13 9 8 37:22 15 48
?
4 30 11 15 4 29:14 15 48
?
5 30 10 14 6 29:24 5 44
?
6 30 8 18 4 23:16 7 42
?
7 30 9 14 7 21:16 5 41
?
8 30 7 19 4 29:20 9 40
?
9 30 7 13 10 20:19 1 34
?
10 30 5 18 7 18:21 -3 33
?
11 30 5 18 7 18:24 -6 33
?
12 30 5 16 9 24:37 -13 31
?
13 30 7 8 15 29:34 -5 28
?
14 30 3 16 11 22:36 -14 25
?
15 30 4 13 13 18:39 -21 25
?
16 30 3 15 12 16:34 -18 24
?
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Relegation