SENEGAL LIGUE 1
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 53.9%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 65.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 92%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
53.9%
-
BTTS BTTS No
65.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
92%
-
Probability Distribution
Casa Sport Win 20.5%
Draw 25.6%
Gorée Win 53.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Casa Sport0.76
Gorée0.93
Recent Form (Last 5)
Casa Sport Casa Sport
WWDLW
23 GF / 16 GA
Gorée Gorée
WLDWL
25 GF / 9 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
1.09
0.7
Average Goals Conceded
0.39
11
BTTS Yes
5
4
Over 2.5
5
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Casa Sport Casa Sport 23 matches
Gorée Gorée 23 matches
Casa Sport Statistic Gorée
5 Wins 10
16 Draws 10
2 Losses 3
23 Goals For 25
16 Goals Against 9
1 Avg Goals Scored 1.09
0.7 Avg Goals Conceded 0.39
11 BTTS Yes 5
14 Over 1.5 10
4 Over 2.5 5
3 Over 3.5 2
10 Clean Sheets 15
8 Failed To Score 10
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Gorée. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Gorée having the stronger overall control.

Casa Sport Analysis

From their first 23 matches, Casa Sport have collected 31 points and now occupy 7 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 5 wins, 16 draws, and 2 losses, while the 22:15 goal ratio supports the view of poor form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 5 wins, 4 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Gorée Analysis

Placed 3 with 40 points from 23 outings, Gorée continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Their overall return of 10 wins, 10 draws, and 3 losses with goals at 25:9 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have returned 5 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Casa Sport won 1 times, Gorée won 3 times, while 11 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:11 from Casa Sport's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 1.33 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (79.5%)
H2H summary: Casa Sport wins 1, draws 11, Gorée wins 3
Last matches: Casa Sport
04.06.26
Lig
Casa Sport
DSC
1
2
L
22.05.26
Lig
Casa Sport
Jaraaf
0
0
D
17.05.26
Lig
Casa Sport
Pikine
1
0
W
13.05.26
Lig
Casa Sport
Sonacos
3
0
W
10.05.26
Lig
Casa Sport
Génération Foot
1
2
L
03.05.26
Lig
Casa Sport
La Linguère
0
0
D
19.04.26
Lig
Casa Sport
Guédiawaye
1
1
D
12.04.26
Lig
Casa Sport
Teungueth
0
0
D
29.03.26
Lig
Casa Sport
Stade de Mbour
1
1
D
25.03.26
Lig
Casa Sport
Wally Daan
1
1
D
15.03.26
Lig
Casa Sport
AJEL
0
1
L
08.03.26
Lig
Casa Sport
Ouakam
0
0
D
01.03.26
Lig
Casa Sport
HLM
0
0
D
22.02.26
Lig
Casa Sport
AS Camberene
2
2
D
15.02.26
Lig
Casa Sport
DSC
1
1
D
08.02.26
Lig
Casa Sport
Jaraaf
1
1
D
01.02.26
Lig
Casa Sport
Pikine
1
1
D
25.01.26
Lig
Casa Sport
Sonacos
3
0
W
12.01.26
Lig
Casa Sport
Génération Foot
0
0
D
07.01.26
Lig
Casa Sport
La Linguère
3
2
W
Last matches: Gorée
04.06.26
Lig
Gorée
Stade de Mbour
0
0
D
22.05.26
Lig
Gorée
Wally Daan
1
1
D
17.05.26
Lig
Gorée
AJEL
2
1
W
13.05.26
Lig
Gorée
Ouakam
0
2
L
10.05.26
Lig
Gorée
HLM
1
1
D
03.05.26
Lig
Gorée
AS Camberene
0
0
D
18.04.26
Lig
Gorée
Jaraaf
0
0
D
12.04.26
Lig
Gorée
Pikine
1
0
W
30.03.26
Lig
Gorée
Sonacos
2
1
W
25.03.26
Lig
Gorée
Génération Foot
0
0
D
15.03.26
Lig
Gorée
La Linguère
0
0
D
07.03.26
Lig
Gorée
DSC
1
0
W
01.03.26
Lig
Gorée
Guédiawaye
1
1
D
22.02.26
Lig
Gorée
Teungueth
0
1
L
15.02.26
Lig
Gorée
Stade de Mbour
1
0
W
07.02.26
Lig
Gorée
Wally Daan
1
1
D
31.01.26
Lig
Gorée
AJEL
0
1
L
24.01.26
Lig
Gorée
Ouakam
0
0
D
11.01.26
Lig
Gorée
HLM
5
0
W
07.01.26
Lig
Gorée
AS Camberene
3
0
W
H2H: Casa Sport vs Gorée
26.04.26
H2H
Casa Sport
Gorée
0
0
D
28.12.25
H2H
Gorée
Casa Sport
1
1
D
22.06.25
H2H
Casa Sport
Gorée
0
0
D
01.02.25
H2H
Gorée
Casa Sport
0
0
D
28.03.24
H2H
Gorée
Casa Sport
2
0
L
26.11.23
H2H
Casa Sport
Gorée
0
0
D
02.04.23
H2H
Gorée
Casa Sport
2
1
L
30.10.22
H2H
Casa Sport
Gorée
2
0
W
22.05.22
H2H
Gorée
Casa Sport
0
0
D
19.02.22
H2H
Casa Sport
Gorée
0
0
D
16.05.21
H2H
Casa Sport
Gorée
2
2
D
17.01.21
H2H
Gorée
Casa Sport
1
1
D
23.02.20
H2H
Gorée
Casa Sport
0
0
D
10.02.19
H2H
Casa Sport
Gorée
1
1
D
04.11.18
H2H
Gorée
Casa Sport
2
1
L
Last matches: Casa Sport
04.06.26
Lig
Casa Sport
DSC
1
2
L
17.05.26
Lig
Casa Sport
Pikine
1
0
W
10.05.26
Lig
Casa Sport
Génération Foot
1
2
L
19.04.26
Lig
Casa Sport
Guédiawaye
1
1
D
29.03.26
Lig
Casa Sport
Stade de Mbour
1
1
D
15.03.26
Lig
Casa Sport
AJEL
0
1
L
01.03.26
Lig
Casa Sport
HLM
0
0
D
08.02.26
Lig
Casa Sport
Jaraaf
1
1
D
25.01.26
Lig
Casa Sport
Sonacos
3
0
W
07.01.26
Lig
Casa Sport
La Linguère
3
2
W
14.12.25
Lig
Casa Sport
Teungueth
0
0
D
30.11.25
Lig
Casa Sport
Wally Daan
1
0
W
16.11.25
Lig
Casa Sport
Ouakam
1
0
W
02.11.25
Lig
Casa Sport
AS Camberene
4
0
W
H2H at home: Casa Sport
26.04.26
H2H
Casa Sport
Gorée
0
0
D
22.06.25
H2H
Casa Sport
Gorée
0
0
D
26.11.23
H2H
Casa Sport
Gorée
0
0
D
30.10.22
H2H
Casa Sport
Gorée
2
0
W
19.02.22
H2H
Casa Sport
Gorée
0
0
D
16.05.21
H2H
Casa Sport
Gorée
2
2
D
10.02.19
H2H
Casa Sport
Gorée
1
1
D
Last matches: Gorée
22.05.26
Lig
Gorée
Wally Daan
1
1
D
13.05.26
Lig
Gorée
Ouakam
0
2
L
03.05.26
Lig
Gorée
AS Camberene
0
0
D
12.04.26
Lig
Gorée
Pikine
1
0
W
25.03.26
Lig
Gorée
Génération Foot
0
0
D
01.03.26
Lig
Gorée
Guédiawaye
1
1
D
15.02.26
Lig
Gorée
Stade de Mbour
1
0
W
31.01.26
Lig
Gorée
AJEL
0
1
L
11.01.26
Lig
Gorée
HLM
5
0
W
21.12.25
Lig
Gorée
Jaraaf
0
2
L
07.12.25
Lig
Gorée
Sonacos
0
0
D
23.11.25
Lig
Gorée
La Linguère
2
0
W
16.11.25
Lig
Gorée
DSC
4
0
W
01.11.25
Lig
Gorée
Teungueth
0
0
D
H2H away: Gorée
26.04.26
H2H
Casa Sport
Gorée
0
0
D
22.06.25
H2H
Casa Sport
Gorée
0
0
D
26.11.23
H2H
Casa Sport
Gorée
0
0
D
30.10.22
H2H
Casa Sport
Gorée
2
0
L
19.02.22
H2H
Casa Sport
Gorée
0
0
D
16.05.21
H2H
Casa Sport
Gorée
2
2
D
10.02.19
H2H
Casa Sport
Gorée
1
1
D

Standings

Ligue 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 13 15 2 21:6 15 54
?
2 30 15 9 6 27:19 8 54
?
3 30 13 9 8 37:22 15 48
?
4 30 11 15 4 29:14 15 48
?
5 30 10 14 6 29:24 5 44
?
6 30 8 18 4 23:16 7 42
?
7 30 9 14 7 21:16 5 41
?
8 30 7 19 4 29:20 9 40
?
9 30 7 13 10 20:19 1 34
?
10 30 5 18 7 18:21 -3 33
?
11 30 5 18 7 18:24 -6 33
?
12 30 5 16 9 24:37 -13 31
?
13 30 7 8 15 29:34 -5 28
?
14 30 3 16 11 22:36 -14 25
?
15 30 4 13 13 18:39 -21 25
?
16 30 3 15 12 16:34 -18 24
?
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Relegation