PORTUGAL › PRIMEIRA LIGA
28.12.2025 15:30
Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior
Referee: Luis Carlos Mateus Filipe, Portugal
Casa Pia
Match Timeline
Vitória SC
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
9'
Matija Mitrović
Guimaraes
🟨
30'
Yassin Oukili
Casa Pia
🟨
41'
Dailon Rocha Livramento
Casa Pia
🟨
41'
Miguel Maga
Guimaraes
🔄
46'
Maga ↔ D. Sousa
Guimaraes
🔄
46'
M. Mitrovic ↔ T. Strata
Guimaraes
🔄
57'
O. Camara ↔ A. Ndoye
Guimaraes
🔄
62'
Y. Oukili ↔ Miguel Sousa
Casa Pia
🔄
62'
D. Rocha Livramento ↔ Cassiano
Casa Pia
🟨
63'
David Sousa
Casa Pia
🔄
74'
R. Brito ↔ S. Perez
Casa Pia
🟨
79'
Miguel Sousa
Casa Pia
🔄
84'
J. Livolant ↔ K. Nsona
Casa Pia
🔄
84'
G. Larrazabal ↔ X. Severina
Casa Pia
🔄
84'
Samu ↔ F. Blanco
Guimaraes
🔄
90+2'
T. Arcanjo ↔ M. Nogueira
Guimaraes

Casa Pia vs Vitória SC Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Casa Pia Win 0%
Draw 0%
Vitória SC Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Casa Pia1.2
Vitória SC1.41
Recent Form (Last 5)
Casa Pia Casa Pia
WWDLW
16 GF / 29 GA
Vitória SC Vitória SC
WLDWL
16 GF / 21 GA
Key Stats
1.07
Average Goals Scored
1.07
1.93
Average Goals Conceded
1.4
7
BTTS Yes
5
7
Over 2.5
6
2.87
Shots on Goal
3.67

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Casa Pia Casa Pia 15 matches
Vitória SC Vitória SC 15 matches
Casa Pia Statistic Vitória SC
3 Wins 6
4 Draws 3
8 Losses 6
16 Goals For 16
29 Goals Against 21
1.07 Avg Goals Scored 1.07
1.93 Avg Goals Conceded 1.4
7 BTTS Yes 5
14 Over 1.5 12
7 Over 2.5 6
5 Over 3.5 3
2 Clean Sheets 5
6 Failed To Score 6
2.87 Shots On Goal 3.67
8.53 Total Shots 13
4.07 Corners 4.6
46% Ball Possession 48.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Casa Pia won 3 times, Vitória SC won 2 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:3 from Casa Pia's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 0.89 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Casa Pia 4-2-3-1 / Vitória SC 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Casa Pia wins 3, draws 4, Vitória SC wins 2

Standings

Primeira Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 28 4 2 66:18 48 88
W L W W W
2 34 25 7 2 89:24 65 82
W W W D D
3 34 23 11 0 74:25 49 80
W D D W W
4 34 16 11 7 64:36 28 59
D D D L W
5 34 15 11 8 42:29 13 56
W D D W D
6 34 13 11 10 47:38 9 50
L L D W L
7 34 12 7 15 37:49 -12 43
D L W L W
8 34 12 6 16 47:64 -17 42
W W D L W
9 34 12 6 16 39:51 -12 42
L L L W W
10 34 10 9 15 54:57 -3 39
L D D L L
11 34 10 9 15 35:52 -17 39
L D L W L
12 34 8 12 14 35:57 -22 36
D L D L D
13 34 9 9 16 32:41 -9 36
L W D W D
14 34 9 7 18 37:45 -8 34
W L L W W
15 34 6 12 16 38:56 -18 30
D D L L L
16 34 6 12 16 31:57 -26 30
D W L L L
17 34 6 10 18 27:55 -28 28
L W W D L
18 34 3 12 19 27:67 -40 21
D W W D D
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2