PORTUGAL PRIMEIRA LIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior
Referee: Luis Carlos Mateus Filipe, Portugal
Casa Pia
Match Timeline
Vitória SC
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
9'
Matija Mitrović
Guimaraes
🟨
30'
Yassin Oukili
Casa Pia
🟨
41'
Dailon Rocha Livramento
Casa Pia
🟨
41'
Miguel Maga
Guimaraes
🔄
46'
Maga ↔ D. Sousa
Guimaraes
🔄
46'
M. Mitrovic ↔ T. Strata
Guimaraes
🔄
57'
O. Camara ↔ A. Ndoye
Guimaraes
🔄
62'
Y. Oukili ↔ Miguel Sousa
Casa Pia
🔄
62'
D. Rocha Livramento ↔ Cassiano
Casa Pia
🟨
63'
David Sousa
Casa Pia
🔄
74'
R. Brito ↔ S. Perez
Casa Pia
🟨
79'
Miguel Sousa
Casa Pia
🔄
84'
J. Livolant ↔ K. Nsona
Casa Pia
🔄
84'
G. Larrazabal ↔ X. Severina
Casa Pia
🔄
84'
Samu ↔ F. Blanco
Guimaraes
🔄
90+2'
T. Arcanjo ↔ M. Nogueira
Guimaraes

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Casa Pia Win 0%
Draw 0%
Vitória SC Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Casa Pia1.2
Vitória SC1.41
Recent Form (Last 5)
Casa Pia Casa Pia
WWDLW
16 GF / 29 GA
Vitória SC Vitória SC
WLDWL
16 GF / 21 GA
Key Stats
1.07
Average Goals Scored
1.07
1.93
Average Goals Conceded
1.4
7
BTTS Yes
5
7
Over 2.5
6
2.87
Shots on Goal
3.67

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Casa Pia Casa Pia 15 matches
Vitória SC Vitória SC 15 matches
Casa Pia Statistic Vitória SC
3 Wins 6
4 Draws 3
8 Losses 6
16 Goals For 16
29 Goals Against 21
1.07 Avg Goals Scored 1.07
1.93 Avg Goals Conceded 1.4
7 BTTS Yes 5
14 Over 1.5 12
7 Over 2.5 6
5 Over 3.5 3
2 Clean Sheets 5
6 Failed To Score 6
2.87 Shots On Goal 3.67
8.53 Total Shots 13
4.07 Corners 4.6
46% Ball Possession 48.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Casa Pia won 3 times, Vitória SC won 2 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:3 from Casa Pia's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 0.89 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Casa Pia 4-2-3-1 / Vitória SC 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Casa Pia wins 3, draws 4, Vitória SC wins 2
Stats
Casa Pia Casa Pia
Guimaraes Guimaraes
Shots on Goal
2
Shots on Goal
2
Shots off Goal
3
Shots off Goal
7
Blocked Shots
0
Blocked Shots
4
2 Corner Kicks 3
23 Fouls 11
0 Offsides 2
44% Ball Possession 56%
5 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Goal 2
3 Shots off Goal 7
0 Blocked Shots 4
3 Shots insidebox 8
2 Shots outsidebox 5
2 Goalkeeper Saves 2
285 Total passes 363
208 Passes accurate 276
0.39 expected_goals 1.16
🟨 4 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Guimaraes
Formation
Casa Pia
J. Castillo
J. Castillo
Maga
Maga
M. Nobrega
M. Nobrega
R. Abascal
R. Abascal
O. Lebedenko
O. Lebedenko
M. Mitrovic
M. Mitrovic
G. Nogueira
G. Nogueira
T. Arcanjo
T. Arcanjo
Samu
Samu
N. Saviolo
N. Saviolo
O. Camara
O. Camara
P. Sequeira
P. Sequeira
A. Geraldes
A. Geraldes
J. Fonte
J. Fonte
D. Sousa
D. Sousa
A. Conte
A. Conte
R. Brito
R. Brito
R. Nhaga
R. Nhaga
G. Larrazabal
G. Larrazabal
Y. Oukili
Y. Oukili
J. Livolant
J. Livolant
D. Rocha Livramento
D. Rocha Livramento
Guimaraes 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
25
J. Castillo
G
2
Maga
↓ 46' 🟨 41'
D
3
M. Nobrega
D
26
R. Abascal
D
17
O. Lebedenko
D
6
M. Mitrovic
↓ 46' 🟨 9'
M
30
G. Nogueira
M
18
T. Arcanjo
↓ 90+2'
M
20
Samu
↓ 84'
M
48
N. Saviolo
M
19
O. Camara
↓ 57'
F
Substitutes
27
Charles Silva
G
21
V. Felix
F
22
F. Blanco
↑ 84'
F
23
D. Sousa
↑ 46'
M
66
T. Strata
↑ 46'
D
75
A. Oliveira
D
80
R. Rocha
88
M. Nogueira
↑ 90+2'
M
90
A. Ndoye
↑ 57'
F
Casa Pia 4-5-1 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
P. Sequeira
G
18
A. Geraldes
D
6
J. Fonte
D
43
D. Sousa
🟨 63'
D
5
A. Conte
D
8
R. Brito
↓ 74'
M
74
R. Nhaga
M
72
G. Larrazabal
↓ 84'
M
20
Y. Oukili
↓ 62' 🟨 30'
M
29
J. Livolant
↓ 84'
M
10
D. Rocha Livramento
↓ 62' 🟨 41'
F
Substitutes
33
R. Batista
G
4
J. Goulart
D
7
K. Nsona
↑ 84'
F
14
Miguel Sousa
↑ 62' 🟨 79'
M
17
X. Severina
↑ 84'
F
19
K. Prieto
F
42
S. Perez
↑ 74'
M
90
Cassiano
↑ 62'
F
99
C. Mendes
F
Last matches: Casa Pia
08.08.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Maritimo
0
1
L
01.08.26
Fri
Casa Pia
Leixoes
2
6
L
25.07.26
Fri
Casa Pia
Benfica B
0
1
L
18.07.26
Fri
Casa Pia
Estrela
2
1
W
28.05.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Torreense
2
0
W
20.05.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Torreense
0
0
D
16.05.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Rio Ave
1
1
D
11.05.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Vitória SC
1
0
W
03.05.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Tondela
0
1
L
27.04.26
Pri
Casa Pia
GIL Vicente
1
2
L
23.04.26
Pri
Casa Pia
SC Braga
0
1
L
18.04.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Santa Clara
0
0
D
12.04.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Alverca
1
3
L
06.04.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Benfica
1
1
D
20.03.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Estrela
0
4
L
07.03.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Estoril
0
0
D
01.03.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Moreirense
1
1
D
23.02.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Famalicao
0
2
L
14.02.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Arouca
3
2
W
08.02.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Nacional
0
0
D
Last matches: Vitória SC
14.08.26
Pri
Vitória SC
Sporting CP
2
3
L
08.08.26
Pri
Guimaraes
Arouca
0
1
L
01.08.26
Fri
Vitória SC
Chaves
2
0
W
26.07.26
Fri
Vitória SC
Nottingham Forest
1
1
D
24.07.26
Fri
Vitória SC
Al-Ahli Jeddah
3
1
W
18.07.26
Fri
Vitória SC
Academica
2
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
Vitória SC
Penafiel
5
0
W
11.07.26
Fri
Vitória SC
Felgueiras 1932
3
1
W
16.05.26
Pri
Vitória SC
Nacional
0
2
L
11.05.26
Pri
Vitória SC
Casa Pia
0
1
L
04.05.26
Pri
Vitória SC
Sporting CP
1
5
L
25.04.26
Pri
Vitória SC
Rio Ave
2
0
W
18.04.26
Pri
Vitória SC
GIL Vicente
1
0
W
11.04.26
Pri
Vitória SC
AVS
1
1
D
03.04.26
Pri
Vitória SC
Tondela
5
0
W
21.03.26
Pri
Vitória SC
Benfica
0
3
L
14.03.26
Pri
Vitória SC
Famalicao
1
2
L
08.03.26
Pri
Vitória SC
Santa Clara
0
2
L
28.02.26
Pri
Vitória SC
Alverca
1
1
D
21.02.26
Pri
Vitória SC
SC Braga
2
3
L
H2H: Casa Pia vs Vitória SC
11.05.26
H2H
Vitória SC
Casa Pia
0
1
W
28.12.25
H2H
Casa Pia
Vitória SC
0
0
D
01.03.25
H2H
Vitória SC
Casa Pia
1
0
L
28.09.24
H2H
Casa Pia
Vitória SC
1
1
D
24.02.24
H2H
Vitória SC
Casa Pia
0
2
W
23.09.23
H2H
Casa Pia
Vitória SC
0
0
D
19.02.23
H2H
Casa Pia
Vitória SC
0
0
D
29.08.22
H2H
Vitória SC
Casa Pia
0
1
W
01.08.21
H2H
Casa Pia
Vitória SC
0
1
L
Last matches: Casa Pia
28.05.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Torreense
2
0
W
16.05.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Rio Ave
1
1
D
03.05.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Tondela
0
1
L
23.04.26
Pri
Casa Pia
SC Braga
0
1
L
18.04.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Santa Clara
0
0
D
06.04.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Benfica
1
1
D
01.03.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Moreirense
1
1
D
14.02.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Arouca
3
2
W
02.02.26
Pri
Casa Pia
FC Porto
2
1
W
23.01.26
Pri
Casa Pia
AVS
3
3
D
13.12.25
Pri
Casa Pia
GIL Vicente
1
1
D
29.11.25
Pri
Casa Pia
Alverca
0
2
L
01.11.25
Pri
Casa Pia
Estrela
3
5
L
03.10.25
Pri
Casa Pia
Estoril
2
2
D
21.09.25
Pri
Casa Pia
Famalicao
1
1
D
30.08.25
Pri
Casa Pia
Nacional
0
2
L
08.08.25
Pri
Casa Pia
Sporting CP
0
2
L
H2H at home: Casa Pia
28.12.25
H2H
Casa Pia
Vitória SC
0
0
D
28.09.24
H2H
Casa Pia
Vitória SC
1
1
D
23.09.23
H2H
Casa Pia
Vitória SC
0
0
D
19.02.23
H2H
Casa Pia
Vitória SC
0
0
D
01.08.21
H2H
Casa Pia
Vitória SC
0
1
L
Last matches: Vitória SC
14.08.26
Pri
Vitória SC
Sporting CP
2
3
L
24.07.26
Fri
Vitória SC
Al-Ahli Jeddah
3
1
W
16.05.26
Pri
Vitória SC
Nacional
0
2
L
04.05.26
Pri
Vitória SC
Sporting CP
1
5
L
18.04.26
Pri
Vitória SC
GIL Vicente
1
0
W
11.04.26
Pri
Vitória SC
AVS
1
1
D
21.03.26
Pri
Vitória SC
Benfica
0
3
L
08.03.26
Pri
Vitória SC
Santa Clara
0
2
L
21.02.26
Pri
Vitória SC
SC Braga
2
3
L
07.02.26
Pri
Vitória SC
Arouca
2
3
L
24.01.26
Pri
Vitória SC
Estoril
2
4
L
13.12.25
Pri
Vitória SC
Rio Ave
1
0
W
08.11.25
Pri
Vitória SC
Tondela
1
0
W
26.10.25
Pri
Vitória SC
Famalicao
0
2
L
28.09.25
Pri
Vitória SC
Alverca
0
2
L
14.09.25
Pri
Vitória SC
Estrela
2
0
W
23.08.25
Pri
Vitória SC
Moreirense
0
2
L
11.08.25
Pri
Vitória SC
FC Porto
0
3
L
H2H away: Vitória SC
28.12.25
H2H
Casa Pia
Vitória SC
0
0
D
28.09.24
H2H
Casa Pia
Vitória SC
1
1
D
23.09.23
H2H
Casa Pia
Vitória SC
0
0
D
19.02.23
H2H
Casa Pia
Vitória SC
0
0
D
01.08.21
H2H
Casa Pia
Vitória SC
0
1
W