PORTUGAL PRIMEIRA LIGA
30.08.2026 17:00
Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior
Referee: Luís Godinho, Portugal
Casa Pia
Match Timeline
Moreirense
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
-5'
Aranha
Moreirense
24'
Kiko · Assist: J. Veloso
Moreirense
🔄
46'
Rochinha ↔ A. Dafe
Casa Pia
🟨
61'
Pedro Rosas
Casa Pia
🔄
61'
K. Prieto ↔ Cassiano
Casa Pia
🟨
62'
Kiko
Moreirense
🔄
65'
N. John ↔ Rodri
Moreirense
🔄
65'
Landerson ↔ T. Andrade
Moreirense
🟨
71'
Rodrigo Alonso
Moreirense
🔄
77'
Kiko ↔ L. Santos
Moreirense
🔄
77'
M. Mendonca ↔ M. Stjepanovic
Moreirense
🔄
78'
S. Clua ↔ S. Perez
Casa Pia
🔄
78'
A. Jatta ↔ H. Araujo
Casa Pia
🔄
78'
J. Rego ↔ B. Pauwels
Casa Pia
🔄
82'
J. Veloso ↔ Kevyn Monteiro
Moreirense

Casa Pia vs Moreirense Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 82.2%
Odds 1.36
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds 2.05
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds 2.47
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
82.2%
1.36
BTTS Yes
67.1%
2.05
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
2.47
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
74.1%
1.17
HT / FT Home / Home
-
4.00
Correct Score 2-1
-
10.00
Probability Distribution
Casa Pia Win 54.6%
Draw 27.6%
Moreirense Win 17.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Casa Pia1.2
Moreirense2.06
Recent Form (Last 5)
Casa Pia Casa Pia
WWDLW
4 GF / 18 GA
Moreirense Moreirense
WLDWL
10 GF / 14 GA
Key Stats
0.67
Average Goals Scored
1.43
3
Average Goals Conceded
2
2
BTTS Yes
5
3
Over 2.5
6
2
Shots on Goal
2

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Casa Pia Casa Pia 6 matches
Moreirense Moreirense 7 matches
Casa Pia Statistic Moreirense
1 Wins 1
0 Draws 3
5 Losses 3
4 Goals For 10
18 Goals Against 14
0.67 Avg Goals Scored 1.43
3 Avg Goals Conceded 2
2 BTTS Yes 5
4 Over 1.5 7
3 Over 2.5 6
2 Over 3.5 4
0 Clean Sheets 1
4 Failed To Score 1
2 Shots On Goal 2
8.33 Total Shots 6
3.67 Corners 3.5
47% Ball Possession 42.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Casa Pia won 3 times, Moreirense won 3 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:9 from Casa Pia's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (82.2%)
Predicted formations: Casa Pia 4-2-3-1 / Moreirense 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Casa Pia wins 3, draws 1, Moreirense wins 3

Standings

Primeira Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 7 7 0 0 18:3 15 21
W W W W W
2 7 5 1 1 22:7 15 16
L W W W W
3 7 4 3 0 17:8 9 15
D D W W W
4 7 4 3 0 11:4 7 15
D W W D W
5 7 3 2 2 10:7 3 11
D L D W L
6 6 3 2 1 7:5 2 11
D W L W W
7 7 3 2 2 9:9 0 11
W W W L D
8 7 2 4 1 14:14 0 10
L D W D W
9 6 2 2 2 5:5 0 8
D L L D W
10 7 2 2 3 9:11 -2 8
W W L D L
11 7 2 2 3 8:12 -4 8
D L L L D
12 7 2 2 3 8:14 -6 8
D W L L W
13 7 1 4 2 9:7 2 7
W D D D L
14 7 1 2 4 5:8 -3 5
D L D L W
15 7 1 1 5 7:15 -8 4
L L L L L
16 7 1 1 5 5:15 -10 4
L D L L W
17 7 1 1 5 3:16 -13 4
W L D L L
18 7 0 2 5 3:10 -7 2
L L D L L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2