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PORTUGAL › PRIMEIRA LIGA
30.08.2026 17:00
Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior
Referee: Luís Godinho, Portugal
Casa Pia
Match Timeline
Moreirense
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
-5'
Aranha
Moreirense
⚽
24'
Kiko · Assist: J. Veloso
Moreirense
🔄
46'
Rochinha ↔ A. Dafe
Casa Pia
🟨
61'
Pedro Rosas
Casa Pia
🔄
61'
K. Prieto ↔ Cassiano
Casa Pia
🟨
62'
Kiko
Moreirense
🔄
65'
N. John ↔ Rodri
Moreirense
🔄
65'
Landerson ↔ T. Andrade
Moreirense
🟨
71'
Rodrigo Alonso
Moreirense
🔄
77'
Kiko ↔ L. Santos
Moreirense
🔄
77'
M. Mendonca ↔ M. Stjepanovic
Moreirense
🔄
78'
S. Clua ↔ S. Perez
Casa Pia
🔄
78'
A. Jatta ↔ H. Araujo
Casa Pia
🔄
78'
J. Rego ↔ B. Pauwels
Casa Pia
🔄
82'
J. Veloso ↔ Kevyn Monteiro
Moreirense

Casa Pia vs Moreirense Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 82.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
82.2%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
67.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
74.1%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Casa Pia Win 54.6%
Draw 27.6%
Moreirense Win 17.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Casa Pia1.2
Moreirense2.06
Recent Form (Last 5)
Casa Pia Casa Pia
WWDLW
4 GF / 18 GA
Moreirense Moreirense
WLDWL
10 GF / 14 GA
Key Stats
0.67
Average Goals Scored
1.43
3
Average Goals Conceded
2
2
BTTS Yes
5
3
Over 2.5
6
2
Shots on Goal
2

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Casa Pia Casa Pia 6 matches
Moreirense Moreirense 7 matches
Casa Pia Statistic Moreirense
1 Wins 1
0 Draws 3
5 Losses 3
4 Goals For 10
18 Goals Against 14
0.67 Avg Goals Scored 1.43
3 Avg Goals Conceded 2
2 BTTS Yes 5
4 Over 1.5 7
3 Over 2.5 6
2 Over 3.5 4
0 Clean Sheets 1
4 Failed To Score 1
2 Shots On Goal 2
8.33 Total Shots 6
3.67 Corners 3.5
47% Ball Possession 42.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Casa Pia won 3 times, Moreirense won 3 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:9 from Casa Pia's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (82.2%)
Predicted formations: Casa Pia 4-2-3-1 / Moreirense 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Casa Pia wins 3, draws 1, Moreirense wins 3

Standings

Primeira Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 8 0 0 20:4 16 24
W W W W W
2 8 6 1 1 24:7 17 19
W L W W W
3 8 5 3 0 20:9 11 18
W D D W W
4 8 5 3 0 12:4 8 18
W D W W D
5 8 4 2 2 11:7 4 14
W D L D W
6 8 4 2 2 11:10 1 14
W W W W L
7 7 3 2 2 6:5 1 11
W D L L D
8 8 3 2 3 13:12 1 11
W W W L D
9 7 3 2 2 8:8 0 11
L D W L W
10 8 2 4 2 14:15 -1 10
L L D W D
11 8 2 2 4 9:14 -5 8
L D L L L
12 8 2 2 4 8:15 -7 8
L D W L L
13 8 1 4 3 10:11 -1 7
L W D D D
14 8 2 1 5 8:17 -9 7
W L D L L
15 8 1 2 5 5:10 -5 5
L D L D L
16 8 1 1 6 9:18 -9 4
L L L L L
17 8 1 1 6 3:17 -14 4
L W L D L
18 8 0 2 6 4:12 -8 2
L L L D L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2