PORTUGAL PRIMEIRA LIGA
12.09.2026 17:00
Casa Pia
Match Timeline
FC Porto
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
43'
Henrique Araújo
Casa Pia
🟨
45'
Jakub Kiwior
FC Porto
45+3'
André Silva · Assist: Pablo Rosario
FC Porto
🟨
53'
Domingos José Gabriel Bandeira
Casa Pia
🟨
54'
Andre Geraldes
Casa Pia
60'
Jakub Kiwior · Assist: Gabri Veiga
FC Porto
🔄
62'
William Gomes ↔ Borja Sainz
FC Porto
🔄
62'
André Silva ↔ Santiago Giménez
FC Porto
66'
Borja Sainz
FC Porto
🔄
68'
Benjamin Pauwels ↔ Evans Maurin
Casa Pia
🔄
70'
Hwang In-Beom ↔ Alan Gonzalo Varela
FC Porto
🔄
74'
Mohamed Salah El Boukammiri ↔ João Pedro
Casa Pia
🔄
74'
Henrique Araújo ↔ Cassiano
Casa Pia
🔄
80'
Gabri Veiga ↔ Seko Fofana
FC Porto
🔄
80'
Alberto Costa ↔ Martim Fernandes
FC Porto
🟨
87'
David Sousa
Casa Pia
🔄
88'
João Rego ↔ Aymen Zouin
Casa Pia
🟨
90'
Ivan Mandic
Casa Pia
90+1'
Santiago Giménez
FC Porto

Casa Pia vs FC Porto Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 76.9%
Odds 1.20
BTTS
No
Probability 56%
Odds 1.62
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 61.1%
Odds 1.64
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
76.9%
1.20
BTTS No
56%
1.62
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
61.1%
1.64
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.31
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
3.60
Correct Score 0-3
-
7.00
Probability Distribution
Casa Pia Win 18%
Draw 5.1%
FC Porto Win 76.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Casa Pia0.55
FC Porto1.93
Recent Form (Last 5)
Casa Pia Casa Pia
WWDLW
4 GF / 19 GA
FC Porto FC Porto
WLDWL
13 GF / 5 GA
Key Stats
0.5
Average Goals Scored
1.63
2.38
Average Goals Conceded
0.63
2
BTTS Yes
2
3
Over 2.5
3
2.2
Shots on Goal
5.33

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Casa Pia Casa Pia 8 matches
FC Porto FC Porto 8 matches
Casa Pia Statistic FC Porto
1 Wins 6
1 Draws 0
6 Losses 2
4 Goals For 13
19 Goals Against 5
0.5 Avg Goals Scored 1.63
2.38 Avg Goals Conceded 0.63
2 BTTS Yes 2
4 Over 1.5 7
3 Over 2.5 3
2 Over 3.5 0
1 Clean Sheets 4
6 Failed To Score 2
2.2 Shots On Goal 5.33
9.2 Total Shots 13.17
4 Corners 6.17
46% Ball Possession 51.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Casa Pia won 1 times, FC Porto won 7 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:18 from Casa Pia's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.56 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.9%)
Predicted formations: Casa Pia 4-2-3-1 / FC Porto 4-3-3
H2H summary: Casa Pia wins 1, draws 1, FC Porto wins 7

Standings

Primeira Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 6 6 0 0 15:2 13 18
W W W W W
2 6 5 1 0 21:4 17 16
W W W W W
3 6 4 2 0 15:6 9 14
D W W W W
4 6 4 2 0 11:4 7 14
W W D W W
5 6 3 1 2 8:5 3 10
L D W L W
6 5 2 3 0 11:9 2 9
W D W D D
7 6 2 2 2 7:9 -2 8
W W L D L
8 4 2 1 1 6:5 1 7
L W W D
9 5 2 1 2 4:4 0 7
L L D W W
10 5 2 1 2 6:8 -2 7
L L D W W
11 6 1 2 3 8:11 -3 5
W L D L D
12 6 0 4 2 5:7 -2 4
D D D L L
13 6 1 1 4 4:7 -3 4
L D L W L
14 6 1 1 4 7:11 -4 4
L L L L W
15 5 1 1 3 4:12 -8 4
L L W L D
16 5 1 0 4 2:11 -9 3
L L W L L
17 5 0 2 3 2:7 -5 2
D L L L D
18 6 0 1 5 1:15 -14 1
L D L L L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2