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PORTUGAL › PRIMEIRA LIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Casa Pia
FT
2 - 1
FC Porto
Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior
Referee: P. Ramalho
Casa Pia
Match Timeline
FC Porto
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
12'
G. Larrazabal · Assist: J. Livolant
Casa Pia
🟨
40'
Lawrence Ofori
Casa Pia
⚽
45'
Thiago Silva
Casa Pia
🔄
46'
M. Fernandes ↔ A. Costa
FC Porto
⚽
46'
P. Rosario · Assist: A. Costa
FC Porto
🔄
56'
T. Morais ↔ K. Osundina
Casa Pia
🔄
57'
A. Varela ↔ V. Froholdt
FC Porto
🔄
57'
B. Sainz ↔ William Gomes
FC Porto
🟨
59'
Gaizka Larrazabal
Casa Pia
🔄
70'
Pepê ↔ O. Pietuszewski
FC Porto
🔄
71'
Thiago Silva ↔ D. Gul
FC Porto
🟥
79'
William Gomes
FC Porto
🔄
82'
Cassiano ↔ C. Mendes
Casa Pia
🟨
90+6'
David Sousa
Casa Pia
🟨
90+7'
Jan Bednarek
FC Porto
🟨
90+2'
Alberto Costa
FC Porto

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Casa Pia Win 0%
Draw 0%
FC Porto Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Casa Pia0.79
FC Porto1.98
Recent Form (Last 5)
Casa Pia Casa Pia
WWDLW
20 GF / 38 GA
FC Porto FC Porto
WLDWL
53 GF / 11 GA
Key Stats
1.05
Average Goals Scored
1.96
2
Average Goals Conceded
0.41
9
BTTS Yes
9
10
Over 2.5
14
2.89
Shots on Goal
5.44

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Casa Pia Casa Pia 19 matches
FC Porto FC Porto 27 matches
Casa Pia Statistic FC Porto
3 Wins 23
6 Draws 3
10 Losses 1
20 Goals For 53
38 Goals Against 11
1.05 Avg Goals Scored 1.96
2 Avg Goals Conceded 0.41
9 BTTS Yes 9
17 Over 1.5 20
10 Over 2.5 14
7 Over 3.5 4
3 Clean Sheets 17
8 Failed To Score 2
2.89 Shots On Goal 5.44
8.58 Total Shots 14.59
3.95 Corners 5.52
45.5% Ball Possession 56.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Casa Pia won 1 times, FC Porto won 7 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:18 from Casa Pia's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.56 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Casa Pia 3-4-3 / FC Porto 4-3-3
H2H summary: Casa Pia wins 1, draws 1, FC Porto wins 7
Stats
Casa Pia Casa Pia
FC Porto FC Porto
Shots on Goal
3
Shots on Goal
6
Shots off Goal
2
Shots off Goal
4
Blocked Shots
1
Blocked Shots
5
0 Corner Kicks 10
14 Fouls 14
1 Offsides 3
32% Ball Possession 68%
6 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Goal 6
2 Shots off Goal 4
1 Blocked Shots 5
3 Shots insidebox 10
3 Shots outsidebox 5
5 Goalkeeper Saves 1
269 Total passes 569
185 Passes accurate 494
0.97 expected_goals 2.02
🟨 3 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 1 🟥

Lineups

Casa Pia
Formation
FC Porto
P. Sequeira
P. Sequeira
J. Goulart
J. Goulart
Kaly
Kaly
D. Sousa
D. Sousa
G. Larrazabal
⚽
G. Larrazabal
L. Ofori
L. Ofori
R. Brito
R. Brito
A. Conte
A. Conte
T. Morais
↓
T. Morais
Cassiano
↓
Cassiano
J. Livolant
🎯
J. Livolant
D. Costa
D. Costa
M. Fernandes
↓
M. Fernandes
Thiago Silva
⚽ ↓
Thiago Silva
J. Bednarek
J. Bednarek
F. Moura
F. Moura
P. Rosario
⚽
P. Rosario
A. Varela
↓
A. Varela
G. Veiga
G. Veiga
Pepê
↓
Pepê
Samu
Samu
B. Sainz
↓
B. Sainz
Casa Pia 3-4-3
Starting XI
1
P. Sequeira
G
4
J. Goulart
D
3
Kaly
D
43
D. Sousa
🟨 90+6'
D
72
G. Larrazabal
⚽ 12' 🟨 59'
M
80
L. Ofori
🟨 40'
M
8
R. Brito
M
5
A. Conte
M
21
T. Morais
↓ 56'
F
90
Cassiano
↓ 82'
F
29
J. Livolant
🎯 12'
F
Substitutes
95
I. Mandic
G
18
A. Geraldes
D
19
K. Prieto
F
24
I. Mohamed
M
33
J. Marques
M
7
K. Nsona
F
13
K. Osundina
↑ 56'
F
10
D. Livramento
F
99
C. Mendes
↑ 82'
F
FC Porto 4-3-3
Starting XI
99
D. Costa
G
52
M. Fernandes
↓ 46'
D
3
Thiago Silva
⚽ 45' ↓ 71'
D
5
J. Bednarek
🟨 90+7'
D
74
F. Moura
D
13
P. Rosario
⚽ 46'
M
22
A. Varela
↓ 57'
M
10
G. Veiga
M
11
Pepê
↓ 70'
F
9
Samu
F
17
B. Sainz
↓ 57'
F
Substitutes
14
Claudio Ramos
G
4
J. Kiwior
D
21
D. Prpic
D
20
A. Costa
🎯 46' ↑ 46' 🟨 90+2'
D
8
V. Froholdt
↑ 57'
M
86
R. Mora
M
7
William Gomes
↑ 57' 🟥 79'
F
77
O. Pietuszewski
↑ 70'
F
27
D. Gul
↑ 71'
F
Last matches: Casa Pia
08.08.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Maritimo
0
1
L
01.08.26
Fri
Casa Pia
Leixoes
2
6
L
25.07.26
Fri
Casa Pia
Benfica B
0
1
L
18.07.26
Fri
Casa Pia
Estrela
2
1
W
28.05.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Torreense
2
0
W
20.05.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Torreense
0
0
D
16.05.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Rio Ave
1
1
D
11.05.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Vitória SC
1
0
W
03.05.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Tondela
0
1
L
27.04.26
Pri
Casa Pia
GIL Vicente
1
2
L
23.04.26
Pri
Casa Pia
SC Braga
0
1
L
18.04.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Santa Clara
0
0
D
12.04.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Alverca
1
3
L
06.04.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Benfica
1
1
D
20.03.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Estrela
0
4
L
07.03.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Estoril
0
0
D
01.03.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Moreirense
1
1
D
23.02.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Famalicao
0
2
L
14.02.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Arouca
3
2
W
08.02.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Nacional
0
0
D
Last matches: FC Porto
09.08.26
Pri
FC Porto
Alverca
2
0
W
25.07.26
Fri
FC Porto
Aston Villa
2
1
W
22.07.26
Fri
FC Porto
GIL Vicente
0
1
L
16.05.26
Pri
FC Porto
Santa Clara
1
0
W
10.05.26
Pri
FC Porto
AVS
1
3
L
02.05.26
Pri
FC Porto
Alverca
1
0
W
26.04.26
Pri
FC Porto
Estrela
2
1
W
19.04.26
Pri
FC Porto
Tondela
2
0
W
16.04.26
UEF
FC Porto
Nottingham Forest
0
1
L
12.04.26
Pri
FC Porto
Estoril
3
1
W
09.04.26
UEF
FC Porto
Nottingham Forest
1
1
D
04.04.26
Pri
FC Porto
Famalicao
2
2
D
22.03.26
Pri
FC Porto
SC Braga
2
1
W
19.03.26
UEF
FC Porto
VfB Stuttgart
2
0
W
15.03.26
Pri
FC Porto
Moreirense
3
0
W
12.03.26
UEF
FC Porto
VfB Stuttgart
2
1
W
08.03.26
Pri
FC Porto
Benfica
2
2
D
27.02.26
Pri
FC Porto
Arouca
3
1
W
22.02.26
Pri
FC Porto
Rio Ave
1
0
W
15.02.26
Pri
FC Porto
Nacional
1
0
W
H2H: Casa Pia vs FC Porto
02.02.26
H2H
Casa Pia
FC Porto
2
1
W
24.08.25
H2H
FC Porto
Casa Pia
4
0
L
12.04.25
H2H
Casa Pia
FC Porto
0
1
L
02.12.24
H2H
FC Porto
Casa Pia
2
0
L
21.04.24
H2H
Casa Pia
FC Porto
1
2
L
09.12.23
H2H
FC Porto
Casa Pia
3
1
L
14.05.23
H2H
FC Porto
Casa Pia
2
1
L
07.01.23
H2H
Casa Pia
FC Porto
0
0
D
05.12.19
H2H
Casa Pia
FC Porto
0
3
L
Last matches: Casa Pia
28.05.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Torreense
2
0
W
16.05.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Rio Ave
1
1
D
03.05.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Tondela
0
1
L
23.04.26
Pri
Casa Pia
SC Braga
0
1
L
18.04.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Santa Clara
0
0
D
06.04.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Benfica
1
1
D
01.03.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Moreirense
1
1
D
14.02.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Arouca
3
2
W
23.01.26
Pri
Casa Pia
AVS
3
3
D
28.12.25
Pri
Casa Pia
Vitória SC
0
0
D
13.12.25
Pri
Casa Pia
GIL Vicente
1
1
D
29.11.25
Pri
Casa Pia
Alverca
0
2
L
01.11.25
Pri
Casa Pia
Estrela
3
5
L
03.10.25
Pri
Casa Pia
Estoril
2
2
D
21.09.25
Pri
Casa Pia
Famalicao
1
1
D
30.08.25
Pri
Casa Pia
Nacional
0
2
L
08.08.25
Pri
Casa Pia
Sporting CP
0
2
L
H2H at home: Casa Pia
02.02.26
H2H
Casa Pia
FC Porto
2
1
W
12.04.25
H2H
Casa Pia
FC Porto
0
1
L
21.04.24
H2H
Casa Pia
FC Porto
1
2
L
07.01.23
H2H
Casa Pia
FC Porto
0
0
D
05.12.19
H2H
Casa Pia
FC Porto
0
3
L
Last matches: FC Porto
22.07.26
Fri
FC Porto
GIL Vicente
0
1
L
10.05.26
Pri
FC Porto
AVS
1
3
L
26.04.26
Pri
FC Porto
Estrela
2
1
W
16.04.26
UEF
FC Porto
Nottingham Forest
0
1
L
12.04.26
Pri
FC Porto
Estoril
3
1
W
22.03.26
Pri
FC Porto
SC Braga
2
1
W
12.03.26
UEF
FC Porto
VfB Stuttgart
2
1
W
08.03.26
Pri
FC Porto
Benfica
2
2
D
15.02.26
Pri
FC Porto
Nacional
1
0
W
22.01.26
UEF
FC Porto
Plzen
1
1
D
18.01.26
Pri
FC Porto
Vitória SC
1
0
W
04.01.26
Pri
FC Porto
Santa Clara
1
0
W
22.12.25
Pri
FC Porto
Alverca
3
0
W
07.12.25
Pri
FC Porto
Tondela
2
0
W
09.11.25
Pri
FC Porto
Famalicao
1
0
W
06.11.25
UEF
FC Porto
Utrecht
1
1
D
27.10.25
Pri
FC Porto
Moreirense
2
1
W
23.10.25
UEF
FC Porto
Nottingham Forest
0
2
L
29.09.25
Pri
FC Porto
Arouca
4
0
W
25.09.25
UEF
FC Porto
Red Bull Salzburg
1
0
W
H2H away: FC Porto
02.02.26
H2H
Casa Pia
FC Porto
2
1
L
12.04.25
H2H
Casa Pia
FC Porto
0
1
W
21.04.24
H2H
Casa Pia
FC Porto
1
2
W
07.01.23
H2H
Casa Pia
FC Porto
0
0
D
05.12.19
H2H
Casa Pia
FC Porto
0
3
W