PORTUGAL › PRIMEIRA LIGA
02.02.2026 20:45
Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior
Referee: P. Ramalho
Casa Pia
Match Timeline
FC Porto
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
12'
G. Larrazabal · Assist: J. Livolant
Casa Pia
🟨
40'
Lawrence Ofori
Casa Pia
⚽
45'
Thiago Silva
Casa Pia
🔄
46'
M. Fernandes ↔ A. Costa
FC Porto
⚽
46'
P. Rosario · Assist: A. Costa
FC Porto
🔄
56'
T. Morais ↔ K. Osundina
Casa Pia
🔄
57'
A. Varela ↔ V. Froholdt
FC Porto
🔄
57'
B. Sainz ↔ William Gomes
FC Porto
🟨
59'
Gaizka Larrazabal
Casa Pia
🔄
70'
Pepê ↔ O. Pietuszewski
FC Porto
🔄
71'
Thiago Silva ↔ D. Gul
FC Porto
🟥
79'
William Gomes
FC Porto
🔄
82'
Cassiano ↔ C. Mendes
Casa Pia
🟨
90+6'
David Sousa
Casa Pia
🟨
90+7'
Jan Bednarek
FC Porto
🟨
90+2'
Alberto Costa
FC Porto

Casa Pia vs FC Porto Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Casa Pia Win 0%
Draw 0%
FC Porto Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Casa Pia0.79
FC Porto1.98
Recent Form (Last 5)
Casa Pia Casa Pia
WWDLW
20 GF / 38 GA
FC Porto FC Porto
WLDWL
53 GF / 11 GA
Key Stats
1.05
Average Goals Scored
1.96
2
Average Goals Conceded
0.41
9
BTTS Yes
9
10
Over 2.5
14
2.89
Shots on Goal
5.44

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Casa Pia Casa Pia 19 matches
FC Porto FC Porto 27 matches
Casa Pia Statistic FC Porto
3 Wins 23
6 Draws 3
10 Losses 1
20 Goals For 53
38 Goals Against 11
1.05 Avg Goals Scored 1.96
2 Avg Goals Conceded 0.41
9 BTTS Yes 9
17 Over 1.5 20
10 Over 2.5 14
7 Over 3.5 4
3 Clean Sheets 17
8 Failed To Score 2
2.89 Shots On Goal 5.44
8.58 Total Shots 14.59
3.95 Corners 5.52
45.5% Ball Possession 56.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Casa Pia won 1 times, FC Porto won 7 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:18 from Casa Pia's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.56 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Casa Pia 3-4-3 / FC Porto 4-3-3
H2H summary: Casa Pia wins 1, draws 1, FC Porto wins 7

Standings

Primeira Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 28 4 2 66:18 48 88
W L W W W
2 34 25 7 2 89:24 65 82
W W W D D
3 34 23 11 0 74:25 49 80
W D D W W
4 34 16 11 7 64:36 28 59
D D D L W
5 34 15 11 8 42:29 13 56
W D D W D
6 34 13 11 10 47:38 9 50
L L D W L
7 34 12 7 15 37:49 -12 43
D L W L W
8 34 12 6 16 47:64 -17 42
W W D L W
9 34 12 6 16 39:51 -12 42
L L L W W
10 34 10 9 15 54:57 -3 39
L D D L L
11 34 10 9 15 35:52 -17 39
L D L W L
12 34 8 12 14 35:57 -22 36
D L D L D
13 34 9 9 16 32:41 -9 36
L W D W D
14 34 9 7 18 37:45 -8 34
W L L W W
15 34 6 12 16 38:56 -18 30
D D L L L
16 34 6 12 16 31:57 -26 30
D W L L L
17 34 6 10 18 27:55 -28 28
L W W D L
18 34 3 12 19 27:67 -40 21
D W W D D
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2