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PORTUGAL › PRIMEIRA LIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Casa Pia
FT
3 - 5
Estrela
Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior
Referee: Helder Malheiro, Portugal
Casa Pia
Match Timeline
Estrela
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
VAR
27'
Kikas
Estrela
⚽
34'
Cassiano · Assist: K. Nsona
Casa Pia
⚽
36'
Kikas · Assist: A. Marcus
Estrela
⚽
45'
S. Cabral
Estrela
⚽
48'
I. Mohamed
Casa Pia
🟨
53'
Otavio
Estrela
🔄
55'
J. Meireles ↔ Jovane
Estrela
🔄
55'
Otavio ↔ G. Montoia
Estrela
🟨
61'
Patrick Sequeira
Casa Pia
⚽
65'
S. Cabral
Estrela
⚽
67'
P. Moreira · Assist: Kikas
Estrela
🔄
71'
Kikas ↔ Rodrigo Pinho
Estrela
🔄
73'
G. Larrazabal ↔ D. Rocha Livramento
Casa Pia
🔄
73'
Kaique Rocha ↔ X. Severina
Casa Pia
🟨
74'
Paulo Moreira
Estrela
🟨
75'
José Fonte
Casa Pia
🔄
78'
I. Mohamed ↔ Miguel Sousa
Casa Pia
🔄
79'
R. Nhaga ↔ S. Perez
Casa Pia
⚽
82'
S. Cabral · Assist: O. Ngom
Estrela
⚽
85'
J. Fonte · Assist: Miguel Sousa
Casa Pia
🔄
89'
A. Marcus ↔ Robinho
Estrela
🔄
89'
J. Encada ↔ A. Sola
Estrela
VAR
90+9'
Cassiano
Casa Pia
🟨
90+6'
Alex Sola
Estrela
🔄
90'
J. Fonte ↔ F. Benaissa-Yahia
Casa Pia

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Casa Pia Win 0%
Draw 0%
Estrela Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Casa Pia0.98
Estrela1.22
Recent Form (Last 5)
Casa Pia Casa Pia
WWDLW
8 GF / 17 GA
Estrela Estrela
WLDWL
7 GF / 10 GA
Key Stats
0.89
Average Goals Scored
0.78
1.89
Average Goals Conceded
1.11
3
BTTS Yes
3
4
Over 2.5
3
3
Shots on Goal
3.33

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Casa Pia Casa Pia 9 matches
Estrela Estrela 9 matches
Casa Pia Statistic Estrela
2 Wins 1
2 Draws 4
5 Losses 4
8 Goals For 7
17 Goals Against 10
0.89 Avg Goals Scored 0.78
1.89 Avg Goals Conceded 1.11
3 BTTS Yes 3
9 Over 1.5 6
4 Over 2.5 3
3 Over 3.5 1
2 Clean Sheets 3
4 Failed To Score 5
3 Shots On Goal 3.33
9.56 Total Shots 11.78
4 Corners 4.11
44.9% Ball Possession 50.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Casa Pia won 4 times, Estrela won 5 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:16 from Casa Pia's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.8 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Casa Pia 3-4-3 / Estrela 3-4-3
H2H summary: Casa Pia wins 4, draws 1, Estrela wins 5
Stats
Casa Pia Casa Pia
Estrela Estrela
Shots on Goal
4
Shots on Goal
6
Shots off Goal
3
Shots off Goal
2
Blocked Shots
3
Blocked Shots
4
5 Corner Kicks 2
20 Fouls 21
0 Offsides 1
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Goal 6
3 Shots off Goal 2
3 Blocked Shots 4
5 Shots insidebox 7
5 Shots outsidebox 5
1 Goalkeeper Saves 1
369 Total passes 303
301 Passes accurate 238
1.07 expected_goals 2.17
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 3 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Casa Pia
Formation
Estrela
P. Sequeira
P. Sequeira
Kaique Rocha
↓
Kaique Rocha
J. Fonte
⚽ ↓
J. Fonte
D. Sousa
D. Sousa
G. Larrazabal
↓
G. Larrazabal
I. Mohamed
⚽ ↓
I. Mohamed
R. Nhaga
↓
R. Nhaga
A. Geraldes
A. Geraldes
J. Livolant
J. Livolant
Cassiano
⚽
Cassiano
K. Nsona
🎯
K. Nsona
R. Ribeiro
R. Ribeiro
Luan Patrick
Luan Patrick
A. Chernev
A. Chernev
Otavio
↓
Otavio
J. Encada
↓
J. Encada
P. Moreira
⚽
P. Moreira
O. Ngom
🎯
O. Ngom
S. Cabral
⚽ 3
S. Cabral
A. Marcus
🎯 ↓
A. Marcus
Kikas
⚽ 🎯 ↓
Kikas
J. Meireles
↓
J. Meireles
Casa Pia 3-4-3
Starting XI
1
P. Sequeira
🟨 61'
G
27
Kaique Rocha
↓ 73'
D
6
J. Fonte
⚽ 85' ↓ 90' 🟨 75'
D
43
D. Sousa
D
72
G. Larrazabal
↓ 73'
M
24
I. Mohamed
⚽ 48' ↓ 78'
M
74
R. Nhaga
↓ 79'
M
18
A. Geraldes
M
29
J. Livolant
F
90
Cassiano
⚽ 34'
F
7
K. Nsona
🎯 34'
F
Substitutes
22
D. Azevedo
G
4
J. Goulart
D
8
R. Brito
M
10
D. Rocha Livramento
↑ 73'
F
12
F. Benaissa-Yahia
↑ 90'
D
13
K. Osundina
F
14
Miguel Sousa
🎯 85' ↑ 78'
M
17
X. Severina
↑ 73'
F
42
S. Perez
↑ 79'
M
Estrela 3-4-3
Starting XI
40
R. Ribeiro
G
30
Luan Patrick
D
79
A. Chernev
D
83
Otavio
↓ 55' 🟨 53'
D
17
J. Encada
↓ 89'
M
19
P. Moreira
⚽ 67' 🟨 74'
M
6
O. Ngom
🎯 82'
M
55
S. Cabral
⚽ 45' ⚽ 65' ⚽ 82'
M
99
A. Marcus
🎯 36' ↓ 89'
F
98
Kikas
⚽ 36' 🎯 67' ↓ 71'
F
18
J. Meireles
↓ 55'
F
Substitutes
22
D. Grilo
G
4
Semeu
D
8
Robinho
↑ 89'
M
9
Rodrigo Pinho
↑ 71'
F
10
I. Stoica
F
11
Jovane
↑ 55'
F
21
G. Montoia
↑ 55'
D
63
A. Sola
↑ 89' 🟨 90+6'
M
80
Alisson Souza
F
Last matches: Casa Pia
08.08.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Maritimo
0
1
L
01.08.26
Fri
Casa Pia
Leixoes
2
6
L
25.07.26
Fri
Casa Pia
Benfica B
0
1
L
18.07.26
Fri
Casa Pia
Estrela
2
1
W
28.05.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Torreense
2
0
W
20.05.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Torreense
0
0
D
16.05.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Rio Ave
1
1
D
11.05.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Vitória SC
1
0
W
03.05.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Tondela
0
1
L
27.04.26
Pri
Casa Pia
GIL Vicente
1
2
L
23.04.26
Pri
Casa Pia
SC Braga
0
1
L
18.04.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Santa Clara
0
0
D
12.04.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Alverca
1
3
L
06.04.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Benfica
1
1
D
20.03.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Estrela
0
4
L
07.03.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Estoril
0
0
D
01.03.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Moreirense
1
1
D
23.02.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Famalicao
0
2
L
14.02.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Arouca
3
2
W
08.02.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Nacional
0
0
D
Last matches: Estrela
15.08.26
Pri
Estrela
Alverca
2
2
D
08.08.26
Pri
Estrela
Sporting CP
2
2
D
01.08.26
Fri
Estrela
Al-Nassr
4
2
W
29.07.26
Fri
Estrela
Lusitano Évora 1911
1
0
W
29.07.26
Fri
Estrela
Portimonense
1
1
D
23.07.26
Fri
Estrela
Nacional
2
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
Estrela
Casa Pia
1
2
L
15.07.26
Fri
Estrela
Naval 1893
2
0
W
16.05.26
Pri
Estrela
SC Braga
2
2
D
11.05.26
Pri
Estrela
Famalicao
0
0
D
02.05.26
Pri
Estrela
Moreirense
2
3
L
26.04.26
Pri
Estrela
FC Porto
1
2
L
19.04.26
Pri
Estrela
Arouca
0
1
L
11.04.26
Pri
Estrela
Sporting CP
0
1
L
04.04.26
Pri
Estrela
Nacional
0
2
L
20.03.26
Pri
Estrela
Casa Pia
4
0
W
15.03.26
Pri
Estrela
Rio Ave
1
2
L
08.03.26
Pri
Estrela
GIL Vicente
2
2
D
28.02.26
Pri
Estrela
AVS
0
0
D
20.02.26
Pri
Estrela
Tondela
0
2
L
H2H: Casa Pia vs Estrela
18.07.26
H2H
Estrela
Casa Pia
1
2
W
20.03.26
H2H
Estrela
Casa Pia
4
0
L
01.11.25
H2H
Casa Pia
Estrela
3
5
L
09.02.25
H2H
Casa Pia
Estrela
1
0
W
31.08.24
H2H
Estrela
Casa Pia
0
1
W
08.03.24
H2H
Estrela
Casa Pia
3
1
L
08.10.23
H2H
Casa Pia
Estrela
0
1
L
15.07.23
H2H
Estrela
Casa Pia
1
1
D
23.04.22
H2H
Casa Pia
Estrela
3
0
W
13.12.21
H2H
Estrela
Casa Pia
1
0
L
Last matches: Casa Pia
28.05.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Torreense
2
0
W
16.05.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Rio Ave
1
1
D
03.05.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Tondela
0
1
L
23.04.26
Pri
Casa Pia
SC Braga
0
1
L
18.04.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Santa Clara
0
0
D
06.04.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Benfica
1
1
D
01.03.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Moreirense
1
1
D
14.02.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Arouca
3
2
W
02.02.26
Pri
Casa Pia
FC Porto
2
1
W
23.01.26
Pri
Casa Pia
AVS
3
3
D
28.12.25
Pri
Casa Pia
Vitória SC
0
0
D
13.12.25
Pri
Casa Pia
GIL Vicente
1
1
D
29.11.25
Pri
Casa Pia
Alverca
0
2
L
03.10.25
Pri
Casa Pia
Estoril
2
2
D
21.09.25
Pri
Casa Pia
Famalicao
1
1
D
30.08.25
Pri
Casa Pia
Nacional
0
2
L
08.08.25
Pri
Casa Pia
Sporting CP
0
2
L
H2H at home: Casa Pia
01.11.25
H2H
Casa Pia
Estrela
3
5
L
09.02.25
H2H
Casa Pia
Estrela
1
0
W
08.10.23
H2H
Casa Pia
Estrela
0
1
L
23.04.22
H2H
Casa Pia
Estrela
3
0
W
Last matches: Estrela
15.08.26
Pri
Estrela
Alverca
2
2
D
16.05.26
Pri
Estrela
SC Braga
2
2
D
02.05.26
Pri
Estrela
Moreirense
2
3
L
19.04.26
Pri
Estrela
Arouca
0
1
L
04.04.26
Pri
Estrela
Nacional
0
2
L
15.03.26
Pri
Estrela
Rio Ave
1
2
L
28.02.26
Pri
Estrela
AVS
0
0
D
14.02.26
Pri
Estrela
Vitória SC
1
2
L
31.01.26
Pri
Estrela
Alverca
1
1
D
25.01.26
Pri
Estrela
Benfica
0
4
L
27.12.25
Pri
Estrela
Famalicao
3
2
W
15.12.25
Pri
Estrela
FC Porto
1
3
L
30.11.25
Pri
Estrela
Sporting CP
0
4
L
04.10.25
Pri
Estrela
GIL Vicente
0
2
L
21.09.25
Pri
Estrela
Tondela
0
0
D
31.08.25
Pri
Estrela
Santa Clara
0
0
D
11.08.25
Pri
Estrela
Estoril
1
1
D
H2H away: Estrela
01.11.25
H2H
Casa Pia
Estrela
3
5
W
09.02.25
H2H
Casa Pia
Estrela
1
0
L
08.10.23
H2H
Casa Pia
Estrela
0
1
W
23.04.22
H2H
Casa Pia
Estrela
3
0
L