Carlisle
Match Timeline
York
Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Carlisle Win 0%
Draw 0%
York Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Carlisle1.58
York1.97
Recent Form (Last 5)
Carlisle
WWDLW
60 GF / 40 GA
York
WLDWL
71 GF / 33 GA
Key Stats
1.88
Average Goals Scored
2.45
1.25
Average Goals Conceded
1.14
17
BTTS Yes
21
18
Over 2.5
21
3
Shots on Goal
0
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Carlisle
32 matches
York
29 matches
| Carlisle | Statistic | York |
|---|---|---|
| 20 | Wins | 17 |
| 5 | Draws | 9 |
| 7 | Losses | 3 |
| 60 | Goals For | 71 |
| 40 | Goals Against | 33 |
| 1.88 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.45 |
| 1.25 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.14 |
| 17 | BTTS Yes | 21 |
| 27 | Over 1.5 | 27 |
| 18 | Over 2.5 | 21 |
| 10 | Over 3.5 | 17 |
| 11 | Clean Sheets | 7 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 2 |
| 3 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 6 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 5 | Corners | 0 |
| 21% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Carlisle won 0 times, York won 3 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:14 from Carlisle's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.83 goals per game.
H2H summary: Carlisle wins 0, draws 3, York wins 3
Lineups
Carlisle
Formation
York
G. Breeze
J. Williams
M. Feeney
A. Hayden
C. Harper
H. Macadam
A. Gilliead
R. Linney
C. Conn-Clarke
J. Ellis
G. Kelly
H. Male
Z. Johnson
C. Howe
M. Kitching
B. Brookes
A. Hunt
H. Boateng
J. King
J. Grey
O. Pearce
J. Stones
Carlisle
4-4-2
(estimated)
Starting XI
1
G. Breeze
22
J. Williams
5
M. Feeney
6
A. Hayden
↓ 67'
3
C. Harper
↓ 71'
37
H. Macadam
20
A. Gilliead
↓ 85'
10
R. Linney
38
C. Conn-Clarke
18
J. Ellis
↓ 71'
9
G. Kelly
Substitutes
25
H. Lewis
7
D. Ajiboye
12
R. Galvin
↑ 71'
14
E. Embleton
↑ 85'
16
S. Wearne
26
B. Mugabi
↑ 67'
29
L. Armstrong
↑ 71'
York
4-4-2
(estimated)
Starting XI
1
H. Male
29
Z. Johnson
5
C. Howe
↓ 85'
3
M. Kitching
↓ 85'
14
B. Brookes
🎯 6'
↓ 76'
8
A. Hunt
⚽ 75'
↓ 76'
21
H. Boateng
15
J. King
12
J. Grey
10
O. Pearce
9
J. Stones
⚽ 6'
↓ 85'
Substitutes
31
G. Sykes-Kenworthy
2
R. Fallowfield
↑ 85'
18
D. Batty
↑ 76'
22
G. Olley
27
M. Williams
↑ 85'
28
O. Banks
↑ 85'
30
A. Newby
⚽ 90'
↑ 76'
Last matches: Carlisle
08.08.26
Nat
Carlisle
Worthing
2
3
L
01.08.26
Fri
Carlisle
Derby County U21
3
0
W
28.07.26
Fri
Carlisle
Salford City
0
2
L
21.07.26
Fri
Carlisle
Darlington 1883
4
2
W
03.05.26
Nat
Carlisle
Boreham Wood
1
2
L
25.04.26
Nat
Carlisle
Brackley Town
3
0
W
18.04.26
Nat
Carlisle
Truro City
1
0
W
11.04.26
Nat
Carlisle
Sutton Utd
3
0
W
06.04.26
Nat
Carlisle
Morecambe
2
2
D
03.04.26
Nat
Carlisle
Gateshead
0
0
D
28.03.26
Nat
Carlisle
Braintree
2
1
W
24.03.26
Nat
Carlisle
FC Halifax Town
1
0
W
21.03.26
Nat
Carlisle
Boston United
6
2
W
14.03.26
Nat
Carlisle
Tamworth
1
2
L
10.03.26
Nat
Carlisle
Aldershot Town
2
0
W
07.03.26
Nat
Carlisle
Southend
2
2
D
28.02.26
Nat
Carlisle
Eastleigh
2
1
W
25.02.26
Nat
Carlisle
Hartlepool
1
3
L
21.02.26
Nat
Carlisle
Yeovil Town
3
0
W
14.02.26
Nat
Carlisle
Forest Green
3
1
W
Last matches: York
28.07.26
Fri
York
Peterborough
1
2
L
24.07.26
Fri
York
Al-Ettifaq
2
2
D
18.07.26
Fri
York
Sunderland
1
5
L
14.07.26
Fri
York
Pickering Town
2
4
L
11.07.26
Fri
York
Barnsley
2
1
W
25.04.26
Nat
York
Rochdale
1
1
D
18.04.26
Nat
York
Yeovil Town
3
0
W
11.04.26
Nat
York
Tamworth
1
0
W
06.04.26
Nat
York
Altrincham
2
1
W
03.04.26
Nat
York
Boston United
1
0
W
28.03.26
Nat
York
Woking
1
0
W
24.03.26
Nat
York
Gateshead
1
3
L
21.03.26
Nat
York
Brackley Town
4
0
W
14.03.26
Nat
York
Aldershot Town
3
0
W
07.03.26
Nat
York
Eastleigh
3
1
W
03.03.26
Nat
York
Boreham Wood
2
3
L
28.02.26
Nat
York
Morecambe
1
0
W
24.02.26
Nat
York
Scunthorpe
3
0
W
21.02.26
Nat
York
FC Halifax Town
4
1
W
14.02.26
Nat
York
Wealdstone
3
0
W
H2H: Carlisle vs York
21.01.26
H2H
Carlisle
York
0
3
L
23.09.25
H2H
York
Carlisle
5
0
L
23.01.16
H2H
Carlisle
York
1
1
D
19.09.15
H2H
York
Carlisle
2
2
D
14.03.15
H2H
York
Carlisle
0
0
D
28.12.14
H2H
Carlisle
York
0
3
L
Last matches: Carlisle
08.08.26
Nat
Carlisle
Worthing
2
3
L
28.07.26
Fri
Carlisle
Salford City
0
2
L
03.05.26
Nat
Carlisle
Boreham Wood
1
2
L
25.04.26
Nat
Carlisle
Brackley Town
3
0
W
11.04.26
Nat
Carlisle
Sutton Utd
3
0
W
03.04.26
Nat
Carlisle
Gateshead
0
0
D
21.03.26
Nat
Carlisle
Boston United
6
2
W
07.03.26
Nat
Carlisle
Southend
2
2
D
21.02.26
Nat
Carlisle
Yeovil Town
3
0
W
10.02.26
Nat
Carlisle
Scunthorpe
3
2
W
31.01.26
Nat
Carlisle
Altrincham
3
1
W
03.01.26
Nat
Carlisle
Wealdstone
2
0
W
30.12.25
Nat
Carlisle
Morecambe
1
0
W
10.12.25
Nat
Carlisle
Woking
1
3
L
29.11.25
Nat
Carlisle
Tamworth
2
1
W
15.11.25
Nat
Carlisle
Eastleigh
1
1
D
04.11.25
Nat
Carlisle
FC Halifax Town
2
0
W
18.10.25
Nat
Carlisle
Forest Green
4
2
W
11.10.25
FA
Carlisle
Boston United
5
2
W
01.10.25
Nat
Carlisle
Hartlepool
3
1
W
H2H at home: Carlisle
21.01.26
H2H
Carlisle
York
0
3
L
23.01.16
H2H
Carlisle
York
1
1
D
28.12.14
H2H
Carlisle
York
0
3
L
Last matches: York
14.07.26
Fri
York
Pickering Town
2
4
L
25.04.26
Nat
York
Rochdale
1
1
D
11.04.26
Nat
York
Tamworth
1
0
W
03.04.26
Nat
York
Boston United
1
0
W
24.03.26
Nat
York
Gateshead
1
3
L
14.03.26
Nat
York
Aldershot Town
3
0
W
03.03.26
Nat
York
Boreham Wood
2
3
L
28.02.26
Nat
York
Morecambe
1
0
W
24.02.26
Nat
York
Scunthorpe
3
0
W
14.02.26
Nat
York
Wealdstone
3
0
W
31.01.26
Nat
York
Solihull Moors
2
0
W
10.01.26
Nat
York
Sutton Utd
2
1
W
30.12.25
Nat
York
Altrincham
2
1
W
13.12.25
FA
York
Clitheroe
1
1
D
22.11.25
Nat
York
Brackley Town
3
2
W
08.11.25
Nat
York
Eastleigh
4
2
W
01.11.25
FA
York
Barnsley
2
3
L
25.10.25
Nat
York
FC Halifax Town
1
1
D
11.10.25
FA
York
Rochdale
2
1
W
04.10.25
Nat
York
Hartlepool
2
1
W
H2H away: York
21.01.26
H2H
Carlisle
York
0
3
W
23.01.16
H2H
Carlisle
York
1
1
D
28.12.14
H2H
Carlisle
York
0
3
W
Standings
Conference: Regular season
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
York
Away
|
46 | 33 | 9 | 4 | 114:41 | 73 | 108 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
| 2 | 46 | 33 | 7 | 6 | 88:41 | 47 | 106 |
D
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 3 |
Carlisle
Home
|
46 | 29 | 8 | 9 | 87:51 | 36 | 95 |
W
W
W
D
D
|
| 4 | 46 | 27 | 9 | 10 | 95:58 | 37 | 90 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 5 | 46 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 77:62 | 15 | 82 |
L
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 6 | 46 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 83:47 | 36 | 81 |
W
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 7 | 46 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 82:52 | 30 | 81 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 8 | 46 | 20 | 10 | 16 | 69:66 | 3 | 70 |
W
L
D
D
W
|
|
| 9 | 46 | 18 | 14 | 14 | 54:59 | -5 | 68 |
L
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 10 | 46 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 69:54 | 15 | 63 |
L
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 11 | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 63:71 | -8 | 62 |
W
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 12 | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 63:67 | -4 | 59 |
W
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 13 | 46 | 17 | 6 | 23 | 55:65 | -10 | 57 |
W
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 71:72 | -1 | 56 |
W
L
D
D
W
|
|
| 15 | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 67:74 | -7 | 56 |
L
D
D
L
W
|
|
| 16 | 46 | 15 | 6 | 25 | 48:68 | -20 | 51 |
L
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 17 | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 57:80 | -23 | 50 |
W
D
L
W
D
|
|
| 18 | 46 | 14 | 8 | 24 | 54:90 | -36 | 50 |
L
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 19 | 46 | 11 | 14 | 21 | 59:79 | -20 | 47 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 20 | 46 | 13 | 7 | 26 | 69:87 | -18 | 46 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 21 | 46 | 10 | 12 | 24 | 40:75 | -35 | 42 |
L
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 22 | 46 | 9 | 11 | 26 | 66:103 | -37 | 38 |
L
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 23 | 46 | 8 | 12 | 26 | 38:76 | -38 | 36 |
L
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 24 | 46 | 8 | 10 | 28 | 42:72 | -30 | 34 |
W
L
L
D
L
|
Promotion - League Two
Promotion - National League (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - National League (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation