Carlisle
Match Timeline
Worthing
Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
1X2
Home Win
BTTS
Yes
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
48.6%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
78.8%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
66.7%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
87.7%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Probability Distribution
Carlisle Win 48.6%
Draw 14.5%
Worthing Win 37%
Expected Goals (xG)
Carlisle1.68
Worthing1.65
Recent Form (Last 5)
Carlisle
WWDLW
7 GF / 4 GA
Worthing
WLDWL
13 GF / 5 GA
Key Stats
2.33
Average Goals Scored
1.86
1.33
Average Goals Conceded
0.71
1
BTTS Yes
4
2
Over 2.5
4
0
Shots on Goal
0
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Carlisle
3 matches
Worthing
7 matches
| Carlisle | Statistic | Worthing |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Wins | 4 |
| 0 | Draws | 3 |
| 1 | Losses | 0 |
| 7 | Goals For | 13 |
| 4 | Goals Against | 5 |
| 2.33 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.86 |
| 1.33 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.71 |
| 1 | BTTS Yes | 4 |
| 3 | Over 1.5 | 6 |
| 2 | Over 2.5 | 4 |
| 1 | Over 3.5 | 1 |
| 1 | Clean Sheets | 3 |
| 1 | Failed To Score | 0 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Carlisle won 0 times, Worthing won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:3 from Carlisle's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 5 goals per game.
1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (85.5%)
H2H summary: Carlisle wins 0, draws 0, Worthing wins 1
Lineups
Carlisle
Formation
Worthing
A. Mair
H. Bunker
T. Mullarkey
R. Galvin
C. Harper
M. Azeez
L. Duru
R. Linney
C. Whelan
D. Ajiboye
G. Kelly
H. Foulkes
J. Colbran
J. Cook
J. Moore
C. Adjetey-Brew
R. Coleman De-Graft
J. Wadham
R. Aguiar
D. Hutchinson
T. Jenks
R. Carter
Carlisle
4-4-2
(estimated)
Starting XI
16
A. Mair
4
H. Bunker
🎯 42'
40
T. Mullarkey
12
R. Galvin
3
C. Harper
↓ 85'
6
M. Azeez
17
L. Duru
10
R. Linney
8
C. Whelan
↓ 85'
7
D. Ajiboye
↓ 68'
9
G. Kelly
⚽ 42'
⚽ 87'
Substitutes
1
G. Breeze
15
B. Nicholson
↑ 85'
18
J. Ellis
20
S. Wearne
↑ 68'
22
J. Williams
↑ 85'
23
S. Mason
25
J. Lowes
Worthing
4-4-2
(estimated)
Starting XI
1
H. Foulkes
2
J. Colbran
5
J. Cook
6
J. Moore
3
C. Adjetey-Brew
🎯 67'
↓ 90+3'
🟨 20'
7
R. Coleman De-Graft
⚽ 82'
↓ 85'
4
J. Wadham
15
R. Aguiar
⚽ 86'
10
D. Hutchinson
⚽ 67'
↓ 78'
🟨 75'
24
T. Jenks
↓ 85'
23
R. Carter
↓ 78'
Substitutes
42
T. Seymour
12
H. Ransom
↑ 90+3'
21
S. Packham
↑ 85'
14
R. Moulton
↑ 78'
98
O. Godziemski
↑ 85'
11
W. Makowski
37
J. Marquez
↑ 78'
Last matches: Carlisle
28.08.26
Nat
Carlisle
Wealdstone
1
1
D
22.08.26
Nat
Carlisle
AFC Hornchurch
4
1
W
15.08.26
Nat
Carlisle
Yeovil Town
1
1
D
01.08.26
Fri
Carlisle
Derby County U21
3
0
W
28.07.26
Fri
Carlisle
Salford City
0
2
L
21.07.26
Fri
Carlisle
Darlington 1883
4
2
W
03.05.26
Nat
Carlisle
Boreham Wood
1
2
L
25.04.26
Nat
Carlisle
Brackley Town
3
0
W
18.04.26
Nat
Carlisle
Truro City
1
0
W
11.04.26
Nat
Carlisle
Sutton Utd
3
0
W
06.04.26
Nat
Carlisle
Morecambe
2
2
D
03.04.26
Nat
Carlisle
Gateshead
0
0
D
28.03.26
Nat
Carlisle
Braintree
2
1
W
24.03.26
Nat
Carlisle
FC Halifax Town
1
0
W
21.03.26
Nat
Carlisle
Boston United
6
2
W
14.03.26
Nat
Carlisle
Tamworth
1
2
L
10.03.26
Nat
Carlisle
Aldershot Town
2
0
W
07.03.26
Nat
Carlisle
Southend
2
2
D
28.02.26
Nat
Carlisle
Eastleigh
2
1
W
25.02.26
Nat
Carlisle
Hartlepool
1
3
L
Last matches: Worthing
28.08.26
Nat
Worthing
Tamworth
2
3
L
22.08.26
Nat
Worthing
Wealdstone
1
0
W
15.08.26
Nat
Worthing
Forest Green
1
2
L
01.08.26
Fri
Worthing
Horsham
3
0
W
28.07.26
Fri
Worthing
Brighton U21
2
1
W
24.07.26
Fri
Worthing
Enfield Town
1
1
D
21.07.26
Fri
Worthing
Queens Park Rangers U21
1
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
Worthing
Frome Town
1
1
D
10.07.26
Fri
Worthing
AFC Bournemouth U21
2
2
D
04.07.26
Fri
Worthing
Selsey
3
0
W
13.12.25
FA
Worthing
Gloucester City
3
3
D
15.11.25
FA
Worthing
Tonbridge Angels
4
0
W
13.10.25
FA
Worthing
Forest Green
1
4
L
27.09.25
FA
Worthing
Wimborne Town
3
0
W
16.09.25
FA
Worthing
Jersey Bulls
5
0
W
13.09.25
FA
Worthing
Jersey Bulls
2
2
D
H2H: Carlisle vs Worthing
08.08.26
H2H
Carlisle
Worthing
2
3
L
Last matches: Carlisle
22.08.26
Nat
Carlisle
AFC Hornchurch
4
1
W
28.07.26
Fri
Carlisle
Salford City
0
2
L
03.05.26
Nat
Carlisle
Boreham Wood
1
2
L
25.04.26
Nat
Carlisle
Brackley Town
3
0
W
11.04.26
Nat
Carlisle
Sutton Utd
3
0
W
03.04.26
Nat
Carlisle
Gateshead
0
0
D
21.03.26
Nat
Carlisle
Boston United
6
2
W
07.03.26
Nat
Carlisle
Southend
2
2
D
21.02.26
Nat
Carlisle
Yeovil Town
3
0
W
10.02.26
Nat
Carlisle
Scunthorpe
3
2
W
31.01.26
Nat
Carlisle
Altrincham
3
1
W
21.01.26
Nat
Carlisle
York
0
3
L
03.01.26
Nat
Carlisle
Wealdstone
2
0
W
30.12.25
Nat
Carlisle
Morecambe
1
0
W
10.12.25
Nat
Carlisle
Woking
1
3
L
29.11.25
Nat
Carlisle
Tamworth
2
1
W
15.11.25
Nat
Carlisle
Eastleigh
1
1
D
04.11.25
Nat
Carlisle
FC Halifax Town
2
0
W
18.10.25
Nat
Carlisle
Forest Green
4
2
W
11.10.25
FA
Carlisle
Boston United
5
2
W
H2H at home: Carlisle
08.08.26
H2H
Carlisle
Worthing
2
3
L
Last matches: Worthing
28.08.26
Nat
Worthing
Tamworth
2
3
L
24.07.26
Fri
Worthing
Enfield Town
1
1
D
18.07.26
Fri
Worthing
Frome Town
1
1
D
10.07.26
Fri
Worthing
AFC Bournemouth U21
2
2
D
04.07.26
Fri
Worthing
Selsey
3
0
W
13.12.25
FA
Worthing
Gloucester City
3
3
D
15.11.25
FA
Worthing
Tonbridge Angels
4
0
W
27.09.25
FA
Worthing
Wimborne Town
3
0
W
13.09.25
FA
Worthing
Jersey Bulls
2
2
D
H2H away: Worthing
08.08.26
H2H
Carlisle
Worthing
2
3
W
Standings
Conference
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 7:1 | 6 | 12 |
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11:5 | 6 | 10 |
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8:5 | 3 | 9 |
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 9 |
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 9 |
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:3 | 4 | 8 |
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11:8 | 3 | 7 |
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:6 | 2 | 7 |
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 9 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 7 |
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 10 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 7 |
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 11 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4:3 | 1 | 6 |
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 12 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4:3 | 1 | 6 |
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 13 |
Worthing
Away
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 6 |
L
W
L
W
|
| 14 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5:8 | -3 | 6 |
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 15 |
Carlisle
Home
|
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8:6 | 2 | 5 |
D
W
D
L
|
| 16 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 4 |
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 17 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8:11 | -3 | 4 |
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 18 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 3 |
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 19 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:6 | -3 | 3 |
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:6 | -3 | 3 |
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:8 | -5 | 3 |
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 22 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 2 |
D
L
L
D
|
|
| 23 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4:8 | -4 | 1 |
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 24 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4:13 | -9 | 0 |
L
L
L
L
|
Promotion - League Two
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