ENGLAND NATIONAL LEAGUE
26.09.2026 14:00
Brunton Park

Carlisle vs Woking Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 76.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 61.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
76.7%
-
BTTS Yes
86%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
61.1%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Carlisle Win 76.7%
Draw 15.3%
Woking Win 8.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Carlisle1.7
Woking1.2
Recent Form (Last 5)
Carlisle Carlisle
WWDLW
23 GF / 18 GA
Woking Woking
WLDWL
13 GF / 18 GA
Key Stats
1.92
Average Goals Scored
1
1.5
Average Goals Conceded
1.38
9
BTTS Yes
6
7
Over 2.5
5
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Carlisle Carlisle 12 matches
Woking Woking 13 matches
Carlisle Statistic Woking
4 Wins 3
4 Draws 3
4 Losses 7
23 Goals For 13
18 Goals Against 18
1.92 Avg Goals Scored 1
1.5 Avg Goals Conceded 1.38
9 BTTS Yes 6
11 Over 1.5 9
7 Over 2.5 5
5 Over 3.5 2
1 Clean Sheets 1
2 Failed To Score 7
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with Carlisle's more proactive style and Woking's more cautious structure likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Woking. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Woking having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Carlisle Analysis

Carlisle sit 15 with 10 points after 8 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 2 wins, 4 draws, and 2 defeats with a 16:13 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, the split record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.

Woking Analysis

With 8 points from 8 games and a place of 17, Woking still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 2 wins, 2 draws, and 4 defeats, and the 10:12 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Carlisle won 1 times, Woking won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:3 from Carlisle's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (91.9%)
H2H summary: Carlisle wins 1, draws 0, Woking wins 1

Standings

Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 7 2 0 23:11 12 23
W W D W W
2 9 6 2 1 23:12 11 20
W W D W D
3 9 5 3 1 13:7 6 18
D W W W D
4 9 5 2 2 20:13 7 17
L W W D W
5 9 5 1 3 20:16 4 16
L L W W W
6 9 5 1 3 10:10 0 16
D W L L L
7 9 4 3 2 18:14 4 15
W D L L W
8 9 4 3 2 10:7 3 15
L D W W D
9 9 5 0 4 11:12 -1 15
W L L L W
10 9 5 0 4 12:15 -3 15
W W L W W
11 9 4 2 3 17:15 2 14
W W D D L
12 9 4 2 3 11:10 1 14
W L D L D
13 9 4 1 4 14:11 3 13
D W W L W
14 9 4 1 4 13:14 -1 13
L D W W L
15 9 3 2 4 13:13 0 11
W D L D L
16 9 2 4 3 16:14 2 10
L D D L W
17 9 2 3 4 11:12 -1 9
W L D W D
18 9 2 3 4 10:12 -2 9
D D W L D
19 9 3 0 6 7:11 -4 9
L L L W L
20 9 2 2 5 11:15 -4 8
L L W L W
21 9 2 2 5 16:23 -7 8
W L L D L
22 9 2 1 6 11:15 -4 7
L L W L L
23 9 1 1 7 9:23 -14 4
L W L D L
24 9 1 1 7 6:20 -14 4
L L L D L
Promotion - League Two
Promotion - National League (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - National League (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation