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ENGLAND › NATIONAL LEAGUE
10.10.2026 11:30
Brunton Park
Carlisle
Match Timeline
Kidderminster Harriers
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
46'
B. Crompton ↔ M. Brogan
Kidderminster Harriers
🔄
55'
O. Evans ↔ L. Giles
Kidderminster Harriers
🔄
61'
R. Galvin ↔ M. Obiero
Carlisle
🔄
61'
T. Jenks ↔ S. Wearne
Carlisle
🔄
68'
C. Dolan ↔ C. Mahoney
Kidderminster Harriers
🔄
75'
J. Ellis ↔ T. Anderson
Carlisle
🔄
80'
D. Ajiboye ↔ C. Whelan
Carlisle
🟨
83'
R. Faakye
Kidderminster Harriers
🟨
85'
R. Devine
Kidderminster Harriers
🟨
88'
M. Feeney
Carlisle
🟨
89'
C. Harries
Kidderminster Harriers
⚽
90+1'
R. Linney · Assist: R. Linney
Carlisle

Carlisle vs Kidderminster Harriers Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 42.6%
Odds 1.50
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds 1.75
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 52.4%
Odds 1.60
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
42.6%
1.50 ▥
BTTS Yes
67.1%
1.75 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
52.4%
1.60 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
1.18 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.20 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
8.50 ▥
Probability Distribution
Carlisle Win 42.6%
Draw 14.8%
Kidderminster Harriers Win 42.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Carlisle1.5
Kidderminster Harriers1.65
Recent Form (Last 5)
Carlisle Carlisle
WWDLW
30 GF / 24 GA
Kidderminster Harriers Kidderminster Harriers
WLDWL
27 GF / 12 GA
Key Stats
2
Average Goals Scored
1.69
1.6
Average Goals Conceded
0.75
11
BTTS Yes
6
9
Over 2.5
6
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Carlisle Carlisle 15 matches
Kidderminster Harriers Kidderminster Harriers 16 matches
Carlisle Statistic Kidderminster Harriers
6 Wins 8
4 Draws 5
5 Losses 3
30 Goals For 27
24 Goals Against 12
2 Avg Goals Scored 1.69
1.6 Avg Goals Conceded 0.75
11 BTTS Yes 6
14 Over 1.5 11
9 Over 2.5 6
7 Over 3.5 5
2 Clean Sheets 8
2 Failed To Score 4
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Kidderminster Harriers having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Kidderminster Harriers. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Carlisle Analysis

Carlisle approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 14 with 16 points from 12 matches. The overall return of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 4 defeats with a 23:20 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.

Kidderminster Harriers Analysis

Kidderminster Harriers sit 8 with 19 points after 12 league matches. The record of 5 wins, 4 draws, and 3 defeats, together with a 15:12 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, the record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (85.2%)

Standings

Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 13 11 2 0 34:13 21 35
W W W W W
2 13 9 1 3 29:17 12 28
W W W W L
3 13 8 3 2 31:19 12 27
W W D L W
4 13 7 4 2 32:15 17 25
W W D W W
5 13 7 3 3 27:18 9 24
W W D W W
6 13 8 0 5 20:19 1 24
W L W W W
7 13 7 2 4 24:18 6 23
W L L W L
8 13 6 3 4 22:16 6 21
W W W W W
9 13 7 0 6 15:19 -4 21
W L W L W
10 13 6 2 5 22:15 7 20
W W D L D
11 13 5 5 3 15:12 3 20
D D L L D
12 13 5 3 5 18:16 2 18
L L L W L
13 13 5 3 5 14:18 -4 18
L D L D D
14 13 4 5 4 23:20 3 17
D W W L L
15 13 4 3 6 20:20 0 15
L W L W D
16 12 4 3 5 19:22 -3 15
L D D L D
17 13 4 3 6 14:20 -6 15
L L D L W
18 13 4 2 7 21:30 -9 14
L W W L W
19 13 3 3 7 17:24 -7 12
L L D W L
20 13 4 0 9 12:19 -7 12
W L L L L
21 13 3 3 7 15:23 -8 12
L L D L W
22 12 3 1 8 15:21 -6 10
L L W L L
23 13 2 1 10 13:35 -22 7
L L W L L
24 13 1 1 11 8:31 -23 4
L L L L L
Promotion - League Two
Promotion - National League (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - National League (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation