ENGLAND NATIONAL LEAGUE
15.09.2026 18:45
Brunton Park

Carlisle vs Forest Green Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 55.6%
Odds 3.14
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75.1%
Odds 1.50
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 1.53
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
55.6%
3.14
BTTS Yes
75.1%
1.50
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
1.53
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
1.62
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
8.00
Correct Score 1-2
-
12.00
Probability Distribution
Carlisle Win 34.8%
Draw 9.6%
Forest Green Win 55.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Carlisle2.09
Forest Green1.7
Recent Form (Last 5)
Carlisle Carlisle
WWDLW
22 GF / 16 GA
Forest Green Forest Green
WLDWL
23 GF / 25 GA
Key Stats
2.2
Average Goals Scored
1.77
1.6
Average Goals Conceded
1.92
8
BTTS Yes
9
7
Over 2.5
11
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Carlisle Carlisle 10 matches
Forest Green Forest Green 13 matches
Carlisle Statistic Forest Green
4 Wins 7
3 Draws 1
3 Losses 5
22 Goals For 23
16 Goals Against 25
2.2 Avg Goals Scored 1.77
1.6 Avg Goals Conceded 1.92
8 BTTS Yes 9
10 Over 1.5 12
7 Over 2.5 11
5 Over 3.5 7
1 Clean Sheets 2
1 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with Carlisle's more proactive style and Forest Green's more cautious structure likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Forest Green. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Forest Green having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Forest Green arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Carlisle Analysis

Carlisle sit 14 with 8 points after 6 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 defeats with a 13:10 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, the split record of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.

Forest Green Analysis

Forest Green sit 13 with 9 points after 6 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 3 defeats with a 7:10 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Carlisle won 6 times, Forest Green won 5 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:17 from Carlisle's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.57 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (90.4%)
H2H summary: Carlisle wins 6, draws 3, Forest Green wins 5

Standings

Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 7 5 2 0 17:9 8 17
D W W W W
2 7 5 1 1 18:10 8 16
W W W L D
3 7 4 2 1 17:10 7 14
W D W W L
4 7 4 2 1 12:7 5 14
W W D W D
5 7 4 2 1 14:10 4 14
D W D L W
6 7 4 2 1 9:5 4 14
W W D W D
7 7 4 0 3 11:10 1 12
W W L L L
8 7 4 0 3 10:11 -1 12
L L W W L
9 7 4 0 3 7:8 -1 12
L L L W W
10 7 3 2 2 13:12 1 11
L L W W W
11 7 3 2 2 9:8 1 11
D L D W W
12 7 2 3 2 15:12 3 9
D L W D W
13 7 3 0 4 12:10 2 9
W L W L W
14 7 3 0 4 5:6 -1 9
L W L L L
15 7 3 0 4 8:13 -5 9
L W W W L
16 7 2 2 3 13:14 -1 8
D D L L W
17 7 2 2 3 10:12 -2 8
W L W D L
18 7 2 1 4 10:12 -2 7
W L L W L
19 7 2 1 4 9:11 -2 7
W L D L W
20 7 2 1 4 9:11 -2 7
L D L L W
21 7 1 3 3 10:11 -1 6
D W D L D
22 7 1 2 4 13:19 -6 5
L D L W L
23 7 1 1 5 5:13 -8 4
L D L L L
24 7 0 1 6 7:19 -12 1
L D L L L
Promotion - League Two
Promotion - National League (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - National League (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation