Cardiff
Match Timeline
Reading
Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Cardiff Win 0%
Draw 0%
Reading Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Cardiff1.62
Reading0.98
Recent Form (Last 5)
Cardiff
WWDLW
19 GF / 9 GA
Reading
WLDWL
12 GF / 16 GA
Key Stats
1.73
Average Goals Scored
1.09
0.82
Average Goals Conceded
1.45
4
BTTS Yes
8
5
Over 2.5
4
4.91
Shots on Goal
3.64
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Cardiff
11 matches
Reading
11 matches
| Cardiff | Statistic | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Wins | 2 |
| 2 | Draws | 5 |
| 2 | Losses | 4 |
| 19 | Goals For | 12 |
| 9 | Goals Against | 16 |
| 1.73 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.09 |
| 0.82 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.45 |
| 4 | BTTS Yes | 8 |
| 7 | Over 1.5 | 10 |
| 5 | Over 2.5 | 4 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 2 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 1 |
| 2 | Failed To Score | 2 |
| 4.91 | Shots On Goal | 3.64 |
| 14.27 | Total Shots | 11 |
| 5 | Corners | 4.09 |
| 62.5% | Ball Possession | 49.2% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Cardiff won 5 times, Reading won 4 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:22 from Cardiff's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 2.93 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Cardiff 4-2-3-1 / Reading 4-3-3
H2H summary: Cardiff wins 5, draws 6, Reading wins 4
Stats
Cardiff
Reading
Shots on Goal
3
3
Shots on Goal
10
10
Shots off Goal
3
3
Shots off Goal
8
8
Blocked Shots
5
5
Blocked Shots
8
8
Lineups
Cardiff
Formation
Reading
N. Trott
R. Kpakio
G. Osho
C. Chambers
J. Bagan
J. Colwill
D. Turnbull
O. Kellyman
R. Colwill
C. Willock
Y. Salech
J. Stevens
K. Abrefa
F. Burns
P. O'Connor
J. R. Dorsett A.
L. Wing
K. Doyle
C. Savage
M. Ritchie
J. Marriott
P. Lane
Cardiff
4-2-3-1
Starting XI
13
N. Trott
G
🟨 76'
44
R. Kpakio
D
🎯 49'
🎯 65'
4
G. Osho
D
↓ 46'
12
C. Chambers
D
3
J. Bagan
D
27
J. Colwill
M
↓ 64'
14
D. Turnbull
M
8
O. Kellyman
M
⚽ 49'
↓ 64'
10
R. Colwill
M
16
C. Willock
M
↓ 79'
22
Y. Salech
F
⚽ 65'
Substitutes
41
M. Turner
G
2
W. Fish
D
↑ 46'
38
P. Ng
D
↑ 90'
6
R. Wintle
M
45
C. Ashford
M
↑ 79'
39
I. Davies
F
↑ 64'
47
C. Robinson
F
↑ 64'
Reading
4-3-3
Starting XI
25
J. Stevens
G
2
K. Abrefa
D
↓ 70'
12
F. Burns
D
15
P. O'Connor
D
3
J. R. Dorsett A.
D
↓ 74'
10
L. Wing
M
⚽ 38'
29
K. Doyle
M
↓ 69'
8
C. Savage
M
30
M. Ritchie
F
🎯 38'
↓ 70'
7
J. Marriott
F
32
P. Lane
F
↓ 86'
Substitutes
31
T. Norcott
G
5
M. Jacob
D
↑ 74'
17
A. Yiadom
D
↑ 70'
11
D. Kyerewaa
M
↑ 70'
4
B. Elliott
M
9
K. Ehibhatiomhan
F
↑ 69'
20
M. O'Mahony
F
↑ 86'
Last matches: Cardiff
01.08.26
Fri
Cardiff
AS Roma
4
1
W
25.07.26
Fri
Cardiff
Forest Green
5
1
W
14.07.26
Fri
Cardiff
Cork City
6
1
W
11.07.26
Fri
Cardiff
FC Midtjylland
0
6
L
02.05.26
Lea
Cardiff
Mansfield Town
4
5
L
25.04.26
Lea
Cardiff
Northampton
5
1
W
22.04.26
Lea
Cardiff
Port Vale
1
0
W
18.04.26
Lea
Cardiff
Reading
3
1
W
14.04.26
Lea
Cardiff
Huddersfield
1
1
D
11.04.26
Lea
Cardiff
Bolton
2
0
W
06.04.26
Lea
Cardiff
Peterborough
1
1
D
21.03.26
Lea
Cardiff
Blackpool
0
0
D
17.03.26
Lea
Cardiff
Wycombe
0
2
L
14.03.26
Lea
Cardiff
Exeter City
4
0
W
10.03.26
Lea
Cardiff
Barnsley
1
1
D
07.03.26
Lea
Cardiff
Lincoln
0
2
L
28.02.26
Lea
Cardiff
Doncaster
4
0
W
21.02.26
Lea
Cardiff
Plymouth
2
5
L
17.02.26
Lea
Cardiff
AFC Wimbledon
4
1
W
14.02.26
Lea
Cardiff
Luton
3
1
W
Last matches: Reading
15.08.26
Lea
Reading
Luton
3
4
L
01.08.26
Fri
Reading
Charlton
3
0
W
31.07.26
Fri
Reading
Crawley Town
1
0
W
28.07.26
Fri
Reading
Newport County
4
0
W
25.07.26
Fri
Reading
Woking
2
0
W
17.07.26
Fri
Reading
Getafe
0
1
L
11.07.26
Fri
Reading
Farnborough
2
1
W
02.05.26
Lea
Reading
Blackpool
0
1
L
25.04.26
Lea
Reading
Rotherham
1
1
D
18.04.26
Lea
Reading
Cardiff
1
3
L
11.04.26
Lea
Reading
Doncaster
0
1
L
06.04.26
Lea
Reading
Lincoln
1
2
L
03.04.26
Lea
Reading
Huddersfield
1
1
D
28.03.26
Lea
Reading
Wigan
3
0
W
21.03.26
Lea
Reading
Stevenage
0
1
L
17.03.26
Lea
Reading
Burton Albion
2
1
W
14.03.26
Lea
Reading
Plymouth
2
2
D
10.03.26
Lea
Reading
Mansfield Town
0
1
L
07.03.26
Lea
Reading
Luton
3
2
W
28.02.26
Lea
Reading
Bradford
2
1
W
H2H: Cardiff vs Reading
18.04.26
H2H
Reading
Cardiff
1
3
W
18.10.25
H2H
Cardiff
Reading
2
1
W
31.07.24
H2H
Cardiff
Reading
2
1
W
17.02.23
H2H
Cardiff
Reading
1
0
W
06.08.22
H2H
Reading
Cardiff
2
1
L
09.04.22
H2H
Reading
Cardiff
1
2
W
02.10.21
H2H
Cardiff
Reading
0
1
L
16.04.21
H2H
Reading
Cardiff
1
1
D
26.09.20
H2H
Cardiff
Reading
1
2
L
04.02.20
H2H
Cardiff
Reading
5
5
D
31.01.20
H2H
Cardiff
Reading
1
1
D
25.01.20
H2H
Reading
Cardiff
1
1
D
18.08.19
H2H
Reading
Cardiff
3
0
L
06.05.18
H2H
Cardiff
Reading
0
0
D
11.12.17
H2H
Reading
Cardiff
2
2
D
Last matches: Cardiff
01.08.26
Fri
Cardiff
AS Roma
4
1
W
11.07.26
Fri
Cardiff
FC Midtjylland
0
6
L
25.04.26
Lea
Cardiff
Northampton
5
1
W
22.04.26
Lea
Cardiff
Port Vale
1
0
W
11.04.26
Lea
Cardiff
Bolton
2
0
W
21.03.26
Lea
Cardiff
Blackpool
0
0
D
17.03.26
Lea
Cardiff
Wycombe
0
2
L
07.03.26
Lea
Cardiff
Lincoln
0
2
L
17.02.26
Lea
Cardiff
AFC Wimbledon
4
1
W
14.02.26
Lea
Cardiff
Luton
3
1
W
27.01.26
Lea
Cardiff
Barnsley
4
0
W
24.01.26
Lea
Cardiff
Stockport County
1
1
D
04.01.26
Lea
Cardiff
Wigan
1
0
W
29.12.25
Lea
Cardiff
Stevenage
2
1
W
26.12.25
Lea
Cardiff
Exeter City
1
0
W
13.12.25
Lea
Cardiff
Doncaster
4
3
W
06.12.25
Lea
Cardiff
Huddersfield
3
2
W
29.11.25
Lea
Cardiff
Mansfield Town
3
0
W
04.10.25
Lea
Cardiff
Leyton Orient
4
3
W
30.09.25
Lea
Cardiff
Burton Albion
0
1
L
H2H at home: Cardiff
18.10.25
H2H
Cardiff
Reading
2
1
W
31.07.24
H2H
Cardiff
Reading
2
1
W
17.02.23
H2H
Cardiff
Reading
1
0
W
02.10.21
H2H
Cardiff
Reading
0
1
L
26.09.20
H2H
Cardiff
Reading
1
2
L
04.02.20
H2H
Cardiff
Reading
5
5
D
31.01.20
H2H
Cardiff
Reading
1
1
D
06.05.18
H2H
Cardiff
Reading
0
0
D
Last matches: Reading
31.07.26
Fri
Reading
Crawley Town
1
0
W
28.07.26
Fri
Reading
Newport County
4
0
W
25.07.26
Fri
Reading
Woking
2
0
W
17.07.26
Fri
Reading
Getafe
0
1
L
11.07.26
Fri
Reading
Farnborough
2
1
W
25.04.26
Lea
Reading
Rotherham
1
1
D
11.04.26
Lea
Reading
Doncaster
0
1
L
03.04.26
Lea
Reading
Huddersfield
1
1
D
21.03.26
Lea
Reading
Stevenage
0
1
L
17.03.26
Lea
Reading
Burton Albion
2
1
W
10.03.26
Lea
Reading
Mansfield Town
0
1
L
07.03.26
Lea
Reading
Luton
3
2
W
21.02.26
Lea
Reading
Port Vale
1
1
D
10.02.26
Lea
Reading
Wigan
2
1
W
07.02.26
Lea
Reading
AFC Wimbledon
2
3
L
31.01.26
Lea
Reading
Northampton
2
0
W
17.01.26
Lea
Reading
Leyton Orient
1
3
L
29.12.25
Lea
Reading
Peterborough
1
1
D
26.12.25
Lea
Reading
Plymouth
4
1
W
13.12.25
Lea
Reading
Bradford
0
2
L
H2H away: Reading
18.10.25
H2H
Cardiff
Reading
2
1
L
31.07.24
H2H
Cardiff
Reading
2
1
L
17.02.23
H2H
Cardiff
Reading
1
0
L
02.10.21
H2H
Cardiff
Reading
0
1
W
26.09.20
H2H
Cardiff
Reading
1
2
W
04.02.20
H2H
Cardiff
Reading
5
5
D
31.01.20
H2H
Cardiff
Reading
1
1
D
06.05.18
H2H
Cardiff
Reading
0
0
D
Standings
League One: Regular season
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 46 | 31 | 10 | 5 | 89:41 | 48 | 103 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 2 |
Cardiff
Home
|
46 | 27 | 10 | 9 | 90:50 | 40 | 91 |
L
W
W
W
D
|
| 3 | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 71:58 | 13 | 77 |
W
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 4 | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 58:51 | 7 | 77 |
W
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 5 | 46 | 19 | 18 | 9 | 70:52 | 18 | 75 |
L
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 6 | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 49:46 | 3 | 75 |
W
D
W
D
L
|
|
| 7 | 46 | 21 | 11 | 14 | 68:56 | 12 | 74 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 8 | 46 | 22 | 7 | 17 | 75:63 | 12 | 73 |
W
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 9 | 46 | 18 | 13 | 15 | 74:64 | 10 | 67 |
W
L
D
D
D
|
|
| 10 | 46 | 16 | 17 | 13 | 62:50 | 12 | 65 |
W
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 11 | 46 | 17 | 12 | 17 | 69:58 | 11 | 63 |
W
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 12 |
Reading
Away
|
46 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 64:60 | 4 | 63 |
L
D
L
L
L
|
| 13 | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 54:65 | -11 | 60 |
W
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 14 | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 50:69 | -19 | 60 |
W
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 15 | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 68:73 | -5 | 59 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 16 | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 49:58 | -9 | 56 |
L
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 17 | 46 | 13 | 15 | 18 | 50:60 | -10 | 54 |
D
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 18 | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 64:68 | -4 | 53 |
L
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 19 | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 51:72 | -21 | 53 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 59:71 | -12 | 52 |
D
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 21 | 46 | 12 | 13 | 21 | 52:61 | -9 | 49 |
L
D
D
D
W
|
|
| 22 | 46 | 10 | 12 | 24 | 36:61 | -25 | 42 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 23 | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 41:71 | -30 | 41 |
L
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 24 | 46 | 9 | 8 | 29 | 39:74 | -35 | 35 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
Promotion - Championship
Promotion - League One (Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two