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ENGLAND › LEAGUE ONE
--.--.---- --:--
Cardiff
FT
1 - 0
Exeter City
Cardiff City Stadium
Referee: Tom Reeves, England
Cardiff
Match Timeline
Exeter City
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
53'
A. Robertson · Assist: D. Lawlor
Cardiff
🟨
56'
Isaak Davies
Cardiff
🔄
57'
I. Davies ↔ C. Willock
Cardiff
🔄
65'
A. Higgins ↔ R. Cole
Exeter City
🔄
79'
A. Robertson ↔ J. Colwill
Cardiff
🔄
79'
O. Kellyman ↔ D. Turnbull
Cardiff
🔄
80'
P. Ng ↔ R. Kpakio
Cardiff
🔄
80'
E. Brierley ↔ L. Oakes
Exeter City
🔄
80'
J. Doyle-Hayes ↔ K. McDonald
Exeter City
🔄
80'
J. Aitchison ↔ C. Mendes
Exeter City
🟨
82'
Liam Oakes
Exeter City
🟨
87'
Joel Bagan
Cardiff
🟨
89'
Calum Chambers
Cardiff
🔄
90+6'
C. Ashford ↔ W. Fish
Cardiff

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Cardiff Win 0%
Draw 0%
Exeter City Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Cardiff1.42
Exeter City1.18
Recent Form (Last 5)
Cardiff Cardiff
WWDLW
37 GF / 23 GA
Exeter City Exeter City
WLDWL
27 GF / 20 GA
Key Stats
1.76
Average Goals Scored
1.23
1.1
Average Goals Conceded
0.91
10
BTTS Yes
7
12
Over 2.5
8
4.95
Shots on Goal
3.1

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Cardiff Cardiff 21 matches
Exeter City Exeter City 22 matches
Cardiff Statistic Exeter City
13 Wins 9
2 Draws 2
6 Losses 11
37 Goals For 27
23 Goals Against 20
1.76 Avg Goals Scored 1.23
1.1 Avg Goals Conceded 0.91
10 BTTS Yes 7
14 Over 1.5 14
12 Over 2.5 8
7 Over 3.5 2
8 Clean Sheets 8
4 Failed To Score 7
4.95 Shots On Goal 3.1
13.52 Total Shots 9.05
4.48 Corners 4.43
58.5% Ball Possession 48.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Cardiff won 3 times, Exeter City won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:2 from Cardiff's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Cardiff 4-2-3-1 / Exeter City 3-4-1-2
H2H summary: Cardiff wins 3, draws 1, Exeter City wins 0
Stats
Cardiff Cardiff
Exeter City Exeter City
Shots on Goal
4
Shots on Goal
1
Shots off Goal
3
Shots off Goal
1
Blocked Shots
6
Blocked Shots
7
5 Corner Kicks 4
7 Fouls 12
1 Offsides 2
60% Ball Possession 40%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Goal 1
3 Shots off Goal 1
6 Blocked Shots 7
7 Shots insidebox 6
6 Shots outsidebox 3
1 Goalkeeper Saves 4
535 Total passes 350
469 Passes accurate 266
2.38 expected_goals 0.64
🟨 3 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Cardiff
Formation
Exeter City
M. Turner
M. Turner
P. Ng
↓
P. Ng
D. Lawlor
🎯
D. Lawlor
C. Chambers
C. Chambers
J. Bagan
J. Bagan
R. Wintle
R. Wintle
A. Robertson
⚽ ↓
A. Robertson
C. Ashford
↓
C. Ashford
O. Kellyman
↓
O. Kellyman
I. Davies
↓
I. Davies
Y. Salech
Y. Salech
J. Whitworth
J. Whitworth
P. Sweeney
P. Sweeney
J. Fitzwater
J. Fitzwater
L. Woodhouse
L. Woodhouse
I. Niskanen
I. Niskanen
J. Doyle-Hayes
↓
J. Doyle-Hayes
E. Brierley
↓
E. Brierley
J. McMillan
J. McMillan
J. Aitchison
↓
J. Aitchison
J. Wareham
J. Wareham
A. Higgins
↓
A. Higgins
Cardiff 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
41
M. Turner
G
38
P. Ng
↓ 80'
D
48
D. Lawlor
🎯 53'
D
12
C. Chambers
🟨 89'
D
3
J. Bagan
🟨 87'
D
6
R. Wintle
M
18
A. Robertson
⚽ 53' ↓ 79'
M
45
C. Ashford
↓ 90+6'
M
8
O. Kellyman
↓ 79'
M
39
I. Davies
↓ 57' 🟨 56'
M
22
Y. Salech
F
Substitutes
2
W. Fish
↑ 90+6'
D
44
R. Kpakio
↑ 80'
D
27
J. Colwill
↑ 79'
M
14
D. Turnbull
↑ 79'
M
11
O. Tanner
F
16
C. Willock
↑ 57'
M
47
C. Robinson
F
Exeter City 3-4-1-2
Starting XI
1
J. Whitworth
G
26
P. Sweeney
D
5
J. Fitzwater
D
20
L. Woodhouse
D
14
I. Niskanen
M
31
J. Doyle-Hayes
↓ 80'
M
6
E. Brierley
↓ 80'
M
2
J. McMillan
M
10
J. Aitchison
↓ 80'
F
9
J. Wareham
F
17
A. Higgins
↓ 65'
Substitutes
23
J. Bycroft
G
16
S. Swinkels
D
34
L. Oakes
↑ 80' 🟨 82'
D
29
K. McDonald
↑ 80'
M
8
E. Francis
M
12
R. Cole
↑ 65'
M
7
C. Mendes
↑ 80'
F
Last matches: Cardiff
01.08.26
Fri
Cardiff
AS Roma
4
1
W
25.07.26
Fri
Cardiff
Forest Green
5
1
W
14.07.26
Fri
Cardiff
Cork City
6
1
W
11.07.26
Fri
Cardiff
FC Midtjylland
0
6
L
02.05.26
Lea
Cardiff
Mansfield Town
4
5
L
25.04.26
Lea
Cardiff
Northampton
5
1
W
22.04.26
Lea
Cardiff
Port Vale
1
0
W
18.04.26
Lea
Cardiff
Reading
3
1
W
14.04.26
Lea
Cardiff
Huddersfield
1
1
D
11.04.26
Lea
Cardiff
Bolton
2
0
W
06.04.26
Lea
Cardiff
Peterborough
1
1
D
21.03.26
Lea
Cardiff
Blackpool
0
0
D
17.03.26
Lea
Cardiff
Wycombe
0
2
L
14.03.26
Lea
Cardiff
Exeter City
4
0
W
10.03.26
Lea
Cardiff
Barnsley
1
1
D
07.03.26
Lea
Cardiff
Lincoln
0
2
L
28.02.26
Lea
Cardiff
Doncaster
4
0
W
21.02.26
Lea
Cardiff
Plymouth
2
5
L
17.02.26
Lea
Cardiff
AFC Wimbledon
4
1
W
14.02.26
Lea
Cardiff
Luton
3
1
W
Last matches: Exeter City
01.08.26
Fri
Exeter City
Bristol City
1
1
D
31.07.26
Fri
Exeter City
Torquay
1
2
L
25.07.26
Fri
Exeter City
Weston-super-Mare
2
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
Exeter City
Truro City
0
1
L
02.05.26
Lea
Exeter City
Bradford
1
2
L
25.04.26
Lea
Exeter City
Burton Albion
1
1
D
18.04.26
Lea
Exeter City
Stockport County
3
3
D
11.04.26
Lea
Exeter City
Plymouth
2
2
D
06.04.26
Lea
Exeter City
Doncaster
3
0
W
03.04.26
Lea
Exeter City
Blackpool
0
1
L
28.03.26
Lea
Exeter City
Leyton Orient
0
0
D
21.03.26
Lea
Exeter City
Wigan
0
2
L
17.03.26
Lea
Exeter City
Luton
2
3
L
14.03.26
Lea
Exeter City
Cardiff
0
4
L
10.03.26
Lea
Exeter City
Lincoln
0
1
L
07.03.26
Lea
Exeter City
Barnsley
1
2
L
03.03.26
Lea
Exeter City
Burton Albion
1
1
D
28.02.26
Lea
Exeter City
Bolton
1
5
L
21.02.26
Lea
Exeter City
Peterborough
3
3
D
17.02.26
Lea
Exeter City
Wycombe
1
1
D
H2H: Cardiff vs Exeter City
14.03.26
H2H
Exeter City
Cardiff
0
4
W
26.12.25
H2H
Cardiff
Exeter City
1
0
W
16.09.25
H2H
Exeter City
Cardiff
0
1
W
24.07.21
H2H
Cardiff
Exeter City
2
2
D
Last matches: Cardiff
01.08.26
Fri
Cardiff
AS Roma
4
1
W
11.07.26
Fri
Cardiff
FC Midtjylland
0
6
L
25.04.26
Lea
Cardiff
Northampton
5
1
W
22.04.26
Lea
Cardiff
Port Vale
1
0
W
11.04.26
Lea
Cardiff
Bolton
2
0
W
21.03.26
Lea
Cardiff
Blackpool
0
0
D
17.03.26
Lea
Cardiff
Wycombe
0
2
L
07.03.26
Lea
Cardiff
Lincoln
0
2
L
17.02.26
Lea
Cardiff
AFC Wimbledon
4
1
W
14.02.26
Lea
Cardiff
Luton
3
1
W
27.01.26
Lea
Cardiff
Barnsley
4
0
W
24.01.26
Lea
Cardiff
Stockport County
1
1
D
04.01.26
Lea
Cardiff
Wigan
1
0
W
29.12.25
Lea
Cardiff
Stevenage
2
1
W
13.12.25
Lea
Cardiff
Doncaster
4
3
W
06.12.25
Lea
Cardiff
Huddersfield
3
2
W
29.11.25
Lea
Cardiff
Mansfield Town
3
0
W
18.10.25
Lea
Cardiff
Reading
2
1
W
04.10.25
Lea
Cardiff
Leyton Orient
4
3
W
30.09.25
Lea
Cardiff
Burton Albion
0
1
L
H2H at home: Cardiff
26.12.25
H2H
Cardiff
Exeter City
1
0
W
24.07.21
H2H
Cardiff
Exeter City
2
2
D
Last matches: Exeter City
31.07.26
Fri
Exeter City
Torquay
1
2
L
25.07.26
Fri
Exeter City
Weston-super-Mare
2
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
Exeter City
Truro City
0
1
L
25.04.26
Lea
Exeter City
Burton Albion
1
1
D
11.04.26
Lea
Exeter City
Plymouth
2
2
D
03.04.26
Lea
Exeter City
Blackpool
0
1
L
21.03.26
Lea
Exeter City
Wigan
0
2
L
17.03.26
Lea
Exeter City
Luton
2
3
L
07.03.26
Lea
Exeter City
Barnsley
1
2
L
21.02.26
Lea
Exeter City
Peterborough
3
3
D
07.02.26
Lea
Exeter City
Mansfield Town
0
0
D
27.01.26
Lea
Exeter City
Reading
2
2
D
24.01.26
Lea
Exeter City
Port Vale
3
1
W
10.01.26
FA
Exeter City
Manchester City
1
10
L
04.01.26
Lea
Exeter City
Huddersfield
2
2
D
29.12.25
Lea
Exeter City
AFC Wimbledon
1
0
W
13.12.25
Lea
Exeter City
Bolton
1
2
L
29.11.25
Lea
Exeter City
Bradford
0
1
L
15.11.25
Lea
Exeter City
Leyton Orient
1
2
L
01.11.25
FA
Exeter City
FC Halifax Town
2
0
W
H2H away: Exeter City
26.12.25
H2H
Cardiff
Exeter City
1
0
L
24.07.21
H2H
Cardiff
Exeter City
2
2
D

Standings

League One: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Lincoln
46 31 10 5 89:41 48 103
W W W D W
2
Cardiff Home
46 27 10 9 90:50 40 91
L W W W D
3
Stockport County
46 22 11 13 71:58 13 77
W L W L D
4
Bradford
46 22 11 13 58:51 7 77
W D D D L
5
Bolton
46 19 18 9 70:52 18 75
L D D W L
6
Stevenage
46 21 12 13 49:46 3 75
W D W D L
7
Luton
46 21 11 14 68:56 12 74
W W W D W
8
Plymouth
46 22 7 17 75:63 12 73
W W D W D
9
Huddersfield
46 18 13 15 74:64 10 67
W L D D D
10
Mansfield Town
46 16 17 13 62:50 12 65
W D W W D
11
Wycombe
46 17 12 17 69:58 11 63
W L L D L
12
Reading
46 16 15 15 64:60 4 63
L D L L L
13
Blackpool
46 17 9 20 54:65 -11 60
W W W W L
14
Doncaster
46 17 9 20 50:69 -19 60
W D L W W
15
Barnsley
46 15 14 17 68:73 -5 59
L W L L D
16
Wigan
46 14 14 18 49:58 -9 56
L L D W W
17
Burton Albion
46 13 15 18 50:60 -10 54
D D D W D
18
Peterborough
46 15 8 23 64:68 -4 53
L D L D L
19
AFC Wimbledon
46 15 8 23 51:72 -21 53
L W L L L
20
Leyton Orient
46 14 10 22 59:71 -12 52
D L L D L
21
Exeter City Away
46 12 13 21 52:61 -9 49
L D D D W
22
Port Vale
46 10 12 24 36:61 -25 42
L W L L D
23
Rotherham
46 10 11 25 41:71 -30 41
L D L W L
24
Northampton
46 9 8 29 39:74 -35 35
L L L L L
Promotion - Championship
Promotion - League One (Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two