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ENGLAND › LEAGUE ONE
--.--.---- --:--
Cardiff
FT
4 - 3
Doncaster
Cardiff City Stadium
Referee: Alex Chilowicz, USA
Cardiff
Match Timeline
Doncaster
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
15'
O. Bailey · Assist: L. Molyneux
Doncaster
⚽
25'
O. Kellyman · Assist: I. Davies
Cardiff
⚽
34'
C. Ashford · Assist: Y. Salech
Cardiff
⚽
42'
B. Hanlan · Assist: C. Crew
Doncaster
🔄
46'
R. Kpakio ↔ P. Ng
Cardiff
🔄
46'
W. Fish ↔ D. Lawlor
Cardiff
🔄
46'
I. Davies ↔ C. Willock
Cardiff
⚽
50'
Y. Salech · Assist: R. Wintle
Cardiff
🟨
57'
Alex Robertson
Cardiff
🔄
58'
C. O'Riordan ↔ J. Sterry
Doncaster
🔄
58'
C. Crew ↔ J. Gibson
Doncaster
🟨
59'
Ben Close
Doncaster
🔄
65'
A. Robertson ↔ D. Turnbull
Cardiff
⚽
72'
H. Clifton · Assist: O. Bailey
Doncaster
🟨
76'
Owen Bailey
Doncaster
🔄
77'
O. Kellyman ↔ C. Robinson
Cardiff
🔄
79'
B. Hanlan ↔ B. Sharp
Doncaster
🟨
82'
Ryan Wintle
Cardiff
🔄
90+1'
B. Close ↔ R. Gotts
Doncaster
⚽
90'
J. Bagan
Cardiff

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Cardiff Win 0%
Draw 0%
Doncaster Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Cardiff1.54
Doncaster0.98
Recent Form (Last 5)
Cardiff Cardiff
WWDLW
32 GF / 18 GA
Doncaster Doncaster
WLDWL
21 GF / 28 GA
Key Stats
1.68
Average Goals Scored
1
0.95
Average Goals Conceded
1.33
8
BTTS Yes
12
10
Over 2.5
11
4.79
Shots on Goal
3.2

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Cardiff Cardiff 19 matches
Doncaster Doncaster 21 matches
Cardiff Statistic Doncaster
12 Wins 8
2 Draws 4
5 Losses 9
32 Goals For 21
18 Goals Against 28
1.68 Avg Goals Scored 1
0.95 Avg Goals Conceded 1.33
8 BTTS Yes 12
12 Over 1.5 16
10 Over 2.5 11
6 Over 3.5 2
8 Clean Sheets 4
4 Failed To Score 6
4.79 Shots On Goal 3.2
13.42 Total Shots 11.95
4.58 Corners 4.45
57.9% Ball Possession 53.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Cardiff won 3 times, Doncaster won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:3 from Cardiff's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 3.25 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Cardiff 4-2-3-1 / Doncaster 3-5-2
H2H summary: Cardiff wins 3, draws 1, Doncaster wins 0
Stats
Cardiff Cardiff
Doncaster Doncaster
Shots on Goal
9
Shots on Goal
6
Shots off Goal
5
Shots off Goal
7
Blocked Shots
4
Blocked Shots
0
4 Corner Kicks 2
12 Fouls 12
0 Offsides 3
61% Ball Possession 39%
18 Total Shots 13
9 Shots on Goal 6
5 Shots off Goal 7
4 Blocked Shots 0
12 Shots insidebox 12
6 Shots outsidebox 1
3 Goalkeeper Saves 4
547 Total passes 341
450 Passes accurate 261
2.34 expected_goals 1.95
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Cardiff
Formation
Doncaster
N. Trott
N. Trott
R. Kpakio
↓
R. Kpakio
W. Fish
↓
W. Fish
C. Chambers
C. Chambers
J. Bagan
⚽
J. Bagan
R. Wintle
🎯
R. Wintle
A. Robertson
↓
A. Robertson
C. Ashford
⚽
C. Ashford
O. Kellyman
⚽ ↓
O. Kellyman
I. Davies
🎯 ↓
I. Davies
Y. Salech
⚽ 🎯
Y. Salech
T. Lo-Tutala
T. Lo-Tutala
S. Grehan
S. Grehan
C. O'Riordan
↓
C. O'Riordan
J. McGrath
J. McGrath
L. Molyneux
🎯
L. Molyneux
B. Close
↓
B. Close
O. Bailey
⚽ 🎯
O. Bailey
C. Crew
🎯 ↓
C. Crew
J. Maxwell
J. Maxwell
B. Hanlan
⚽ ↓
B. Hanlan
H. Clifton
⚽
H. Clifton
Cardiff 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
13
N. Trott
G
44
R. Kpakio
↓ 46'
D
2
W. Fish
↓ 46'
D
12
C. Chambers
D
3
J. Bagan
⚽ 90'
D
6
R. Wintle
🎯 50' 🟨 82'
M
18
A. Robertson
↓ 65' 🟨 57'
M
45
C. Ashford
⚽ 34'
M
8
O. Kellyman
⚽ 25' ↓ 77'
M
39
I. Davies
🎯 25' ↓ 46'
M
22
Y. Salech
⚽ 50' 🎯 34'
F
Substitutes
41
M. Turner
G
38
P. Ng
↑ 46'
D
48
D. Lawlor
↑ 46'
D
27
J. Colwill
M
14
D. Turnbull
↑ 65'
M
16
C. Willock
↑ 46'
M
47
C. Robinson
↑ 77'
F
Doncaster 3-5-2
Starting XI
29
T. Lo-Tutala
G
27
S. Grehan
D
12
C. O'Riordan
↓ 58'
D
6
J. McGrath
D
7
L. Molyneux
🎯 15'
M
33
B. Close
↓ 90+1' 🟨 59'
M
4
O. Bailey
⚽ 15' 🎯 72' 🟨 76'
M
18
C. Crew
🎯 42' ↓ 58'
M
3
J. Maxwell
M
9
B. Hanlan
⚽ 42' ↓ 79'
F
15
H. Clifton
⚽ 72'
F
Substitutes
1
I. Lawlor
G
2
J. Sterry
↑ 58'
D
5
M. Pearson
D
11
J. Gibson
↑ 58'
M
14
B. Sharp
↑ 79'
F
17
G. Middleton
M
22
R. Gotts
↑ 90+1'
M
Last matches: Cardiff
01.08.26
Fri
Cardiff
AS Roma
4
1
W
25.07.26
Fri
Cardiff
Forest Green
5
1
W
14.07.26
Fri
Cardiff
Cork City
6
1
W
11.07.26
Fri
Cardiff
FC Midtjylland
0
6
L
02.05.26
Lea
Cardiff
Mansfield Town
4
5
L
25.04.26
Lea
Cardiff
Northampton
5
1
W
22.04.26
Lea
Cardiff
Port Vale
1
0
W
18.04.26
Lea
Cardiff
Reading
3
1
W
14.04.26
Lea
Cardiff
Huddersfield
1
1
D
11.04.26
Lea
Cardiff
Bolton
2
0
W
06.04.26
Lea
Cardiff
Peterborough
1
1
D
21.03.26
Lea
Cardiff
Blackpool
0
0
D
17.03.26
Lea
Cardiff
Wycombe
0
2
L
14.03.26
Lea
Cardiff
Exeter City
4
0
W
10.03.26
Lea
Cardiff
Barnsley
1
1
D
07.03.26
Lea
Cardiff
Lincoln
0
2
L
28.02.26
Lea
Cardiff
Doncaster
4
0
W
21.02.26
Lea
Cardiff
Plymouth
2
5
L
17.02.26
Lea
Cardiff
AFC Wimbledon
4
1
W
14.02.26
Lea
Cardiff
Luton
3
1
W
Last matches: Doncaster
01.08.26
Fri
Doncaster
Lincoln
0
1
L
29.07.26
Fri
Doncaster
Wolves
0
2
L
25.07.26
Fri
Doncaster
Gainsborough Trinity
0
0
D
25.07.26
Fri
Doncaster
Harrogate Town
2
2
D
18.07.26
Fri
Doncaster
Linfield
2
0
W
16.07.26
Fri
Doncaster
Glenavon FC
5
0
W
14.07.26
Fri
Doncaster
St Patrick's Athl.
4
2
W
02.05.26
Lea
Doncaster
Peterborough
3
1
W
25.04.26
Lea
Doncaster
Stevenage
1
1
D
21.04.26
Lea
Doncaster
Lincoln
0
2
L
18.04.26
Lea
Doncaster
Northampton
3
1
W
11.04.26
Lea
Doncaster
Reading
1
0
W
06.04.26
Lea
Doncaster
Exeter City
0
3
L
03.04.26
Lea
Doncaster
Mansfield Town
0
2
L
24.03.26
Lea
Doncaster
Port Vale
1
0
W
21.03.26
Lea
Doncaster
Barnsley
1
0
W
17.03.26
Lea
Doncaster
Bolton
0
0
D
14.03.26
Lea
Doncaster
Blackpool
2
1
W
10.03.26
Lea
Doncaster
Luton
1
1
D
07.03.26
Lea
Doncaster
Plymouth
1
2
L
H2H: Cardiff vs Doncaster
28.02.26
H2H
Doncaster
Cardiff
0
4
W
13.12.25
H2H
Cardiff
Doncaster
4
3
W
14.01.12
H2H
Doncaster
Cardiff
0
0
D
10.09.11
H2H
Cardiff
Doncaster
2
0
W
Last matches: Cardiff
01.08.26
Fri
Cardiff
AS Roma
4
1
W
11.07.26
Fri
Cardiff
FC Midtjylland
0
6
L
25.04.26
Lea
Cardiff
Northampton
5
1
W
22.04.26
Lea
Cardiff
Port Vale
1
0
W
11.04.26
Lea
Cardiff
Bolton
2
0
W
21.03.26
Lea
Cardiff
Blackpool
0
0
D
17.03.26
Lea
Cardiff
Wycombe
0
2
L
07.03.26
Lea
Cardiff
Lincoln
0
2
L
17.02.26
Lea
Cardiff
AFC Wimbledon
4
1
W
14.02.26
Lea
Cardiff
Luton
3
1
W
27.01.26
Lea
Cardiff
Barnsley
4
0
W
24.01.26
Lea
Cardiff
Stockport County
1
1
D
04.01.26
Lea
Cardiff
Wigan
1
0
W
29.12.25
Lea
Cardiff
Stevenage
2
1
W
26.12.25
Lea
Cardiff
Exeter City
1
0
W
06.12.25
Lea
Cardiff
Huddersfield
3
2
W
29.11.25
Lea
Cardiff
Mansfield Town
3
0
W
18.10.25
Lea
Cardiff
Reading
2
1
W
04.10.25
Lea
Cardiff
Leyton Orient
4
3
W
30.09.25
Lea
Cardiff
Burton Albion
0
1
L
H2H at home: Cardiff
13.12.25
H2H
Cardiff
Doncaster
4
3
W
10.09.11
H2H
Cardiff
Doncaster
2
0
W
Last matches: Doncaster
25.07.26
Fri
Doncaster
Gainsborough Trinity
0
0
D
25.07.26
Fri
Doncaster
Harrogate Town
2
2
D
18.07.26
Fri
Doncaster
Linfield
2
0
W
16.07.26
Fri
Doncaster
Glenavon FC
5
0
W
02.05.26
Lea
Doncaster
Peterborough
3
1
W
18.04.26
Lea
Doncaster
Northampton
3
1
W
06.04.26
Lea
Doncaster
Exeter City
0
3
L
21.03.26
Lea
Doncaster
Barnsley
1
0
W
17.03.26
Lea
Doncaster
Bolton
0
0
D
07.03.26
Lea
Doncaster
Plymouth
1
2
L
21.02.26
Lea
Doncaster
Rotherham
2
1
W
07.02.26
Lea
Doncaster
Wycombe
0
4
L
03.02.26
Lea
Doncaster
Burton Albion
2
1
W
31.01.26
Lea
Doncaster
Bradford
0
1
L
17.01.26
Lea
Doncaster
AFC Wimbledon
1
0
W
29.12.25
Lea
Doncaster
Stockport County
2
4
L
26.12.25
Lea
Doncaster
Blackpool
0
1
L
06.12.25
FA
Doncaster
Chesterfield
2
1
W
22.11.25
Lea
Doncaster
Stevenage
0
0
D
15.11.25
Lea
Doncaster
Lincoln
1
2
L
H2H away: Doncaster
13.12.25
H2H
Cardiff
Doncaster
4
3
L
10.09.11
H2H
Cardiff
Doncaster
2
0
L

Standings

League One: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Lincoln
46 31 10 5 89:41 48 103
W W W D W
2
Cardiff Home
46 27 10 9 90:50 40 91
L W W W D
3
Stockport County
46 22 11 13 71:58 13 77
W L W L D
4
Bradford
46 22 11 13 58:51 7 77
W D D D L
5
Bolton
46 19 18 9 70:52 18 75
L D D W L
6
Stevenage
46 21 12 13 49:46 3 75
W D W D L
7
Luton
46 21 11 14 68:56 12 74
W W W D W
8
Plymouth
46 22 7 17 75:63 12 73
W W D W D
9
Huddersfield
46 18 13 15 74:64 10 67
W L D D D
10
Mansfield Town
46 16 17 13 62:50 12 65
W D W W D
11
Wycombe
46 17 12 17 69:58 11 63
W L L D L
12
Reading
46 16 15 15 64:60 4 63
L D L L L
13
Blackpool
46 17 9 20 54:65 -11 60
W W W W L
14
Doncaster Away
46 17 9 20 50:69 -19 60
W D L W W
15
Barnsley
46 15 14 17 68:73 -5 59
L W L L D
16
Wigan
46 14 14 18 49:58 -9 56
L L D W W
17
Burton Albion
46 13 15 18 50:60 -10 54
D D D W D
18
Peterborough
46 15 8 23 64:68 -4 53
L D L D L
19
AFC Wimbledon
46 15 8 23 51:72 -21 53
L W L L L
20
Leyton Orient
46 14 10 22 59:71 -12 52
D L L D L
21
Exeter City
46 12 13 21 52:61 -9 49
L D D D W
22
Port Vale
46 10 12 24 36:61 -25 42
L W L L D
23
Rotherham
46 10 11 25 41:71 -30 41
L D L W L
24
Northampton
46 9 8 29 39:74 -35 35
L L L L L
Promotion - Championship
Promotion - League One (Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two