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ENGLAND › CHAMPIONSHIP
19.09.2026 11:30
Cardiff City Stadium
Referee: Elliot Bell, England
Cardiff
Match Timeline
Charlton
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
8'
J. Moylan · Assist: Y. Salech
Cardiff
⚽
24'
Y. Salech · Assist: J. Moylan
Cardiff
🟨
27'
Alex Robertson
Cardiff
⚽
29'
T. Campbell · Assist: T. Bindon
Charlton
🟨
33'
Ollie Tanner
Cardiff
🟨
35'
Danny McNamara
Charlton
🟨
45+5'
Joel Bagan
Cardiff
🔄
46'
M. Alli ↔ A. Bell
Charlton
🔄
46'
T. Bindon ↔ T. Ouma
Charlton
🟨
51'
Oliver Skipp
Charlton
⚽
61'
J. Moylan · Assist: O. Tanner
Cardiff
🔄
62'
C. Willock ↔ D. Turnbull
Cardiff
🔄
70'
O. Tanner ↔ C. Ashford
Cardiff
🔄
70'
C. Coventry ↔ C. Kelman
Charlton
🔄
82'
J. Moylan ↔ C. Scanlon
Cardiff
🔄
82'
G. Osho ↔ D. Lawlor
Cardiff
🔄
83'
D. McNamara ↔ J. Edwards
Charlton
🔄
83'
M. Leaburn ↔ S. Carey
Charlton
🟨
90+6'
Joel Colwill
Cardiff
🟨
90+4'
Cian Ashford
Cardiff
🟨
90+4'
Ivan Mesík
Charlton

Cardiff vs Charlton Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 51.5%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
51.5%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
71.2%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Cardiff Win 32%
Draw 16.5%
Charlton Win 51.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Cardiff1.6
Charlton1.24
Recent Form (Last 5)
Cardiff Cardiff
WWDLW
22 GF / 20 GA
Charlton Charlton
WLDWL
11 GF / 13 GA
Key Stats
2
Average Goals Scored
0.85
1.82
Average Goals Conceded
1
8
BTTS Yes
4
7
Over 2.5
4
6.43
Shots on Goal
2.57

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Cardiff Cardiff 11 matches
Charlton Charlton 13 matches
Cardiff Statistic Charlton
3 Wins 6
4 Draws 4
4 Losses 3
22 Goals For 11
20 Goals Against 13
2 Avg Goals Scored 0.85
1.82 Avg Goals Conceded 1
8 BTTS Yes 4
10 Over 1.5 8
7 Over 2.5 4
6 Over 3.5 1
0 Clean Sheets 6
3 Failed To Score 5
6.43 Shots On Goal 2.57
17.71 Total Shots 10.14
8.14 Corners 4.86
65% Ball Possession 38%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Charlton carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 5 with 11 points while Cardiff sit 20 on 4, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Charlton.

Cardiff Analysis

With 4 points from 6 games and a place of 20, Cardiff still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 0 wins, 4 draws, and 2 defeats, and the 7:10 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Cian Ashford (2 goals), J. Moylan (1 goals), Y. Salech (1 goals), with creative support from Cian Ashford (1 assists), C. Willock (1 assists), R. Colwill (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 0 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Charlton Analysis

Placed 5 with 11 points from 6 outings, Charlton continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Across the campaign, they have posted 3 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, while the 6:7 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on L. Jones (2 goals), K. Ahearne-Grant (1 goals), Tyreece Campbell (1 goals), with creative support from K. Ahearne-Grant (1 assists), S. Carey (1 assists), M. Alli (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, their split return of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Cardiff won 1 times, Charlton won 2 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:11 from Cardiff's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.63 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (83.5%)
Predicted formations: Cardiff 4-2-3-1 / Charlton 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Cardiff 5, Charlton 7
H2H summary: Cardiff wins 1, draws 5, Charlton wins 2

Standings

Championship
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 6 2 1 15:7 8 20
W W W L D
2 9 5 3 1 17:12 5 18
W D D W W
3 9 4 4 1 23:12 11 16
D D W W W
4 9 5 1 3 15:13 2 16
W W W D W
5 8 4 2 2 15:11 4 14
L W W D L
6 9 3 5 1 11:8 3 14
D D D D L
7 9 3 5 1 13:11 2 14
W D W L D
8 9 4 2 3 16:15 1 14
W D D L W
9 9 4 2 3 10:9 1 14
L L D W W
10 9 4 2 3 12:13 -1 14
D W L L W
11 9 5 2 2 20:10 10 13
W L W W D
12 9 3 4 2 8:11 -3 13
D L D D L
13 9 3 3 3 14:13 1 12
W D W L L
14 9 3 3 3 12:11 1 12
W L L W L
15 9 2 5 2 10:13 -3 11
D W L D D
16 9 3 2 4 7:11 -4 11
L L W W D
17 9 3 1 5 12:17 -5 10
L W W L L
18 9 3 0 6 17:19 -2 9
L L L W W
19 8 2 2 4 9:11 -2 8
L D D W L
20 9 2 2 5 7:14 -7 8
L L L W L
21 9 1 4 4 11:14 -3 7
L W L D L
22 9 1 4 4 13:17 -4 7
W D L D L
23 9 1 3 5 8:15 -7 6
D D L L L
24 9 1 1 7 8:16 -8 4
L D L L W
Promotion - Premier League
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation - League One