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09.10.2026 18:45
Cyncoed Campus
Referee: N. Pratt
Cardiff MET
Match Timeline
Trefelin
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
8'
L. Ware
Trefelin
⚽
31'
J. Jones
Trefelin
🔄
50'
T. Brock ↔ R. Piper
Trefelin
⚽
62'
J. Hooper
Cardiff MET
🔄
66'
J. Hooper ↔ J. Clarke
Cardiff MET
⚽
79'
R. Piper
Trefelin
🔄
80'
H. Matthews ↔ R. Reynolds
Cardiff MET
🔄
90+4'
B. Aman ↔ O. Davies
Trefelin

Cardiff MET vs Trefelin Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 84.6%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 54.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
84.6%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
54.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Cardiff MET Win 84.6%
Draw 6.2%
Trefelin Win 9.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Cardiff MET2.4
Trefelin0.68
Recent Form (Last 5)
Cardiff MET Cardiff MET
WWDLW
34 GF / 16 GA
Trefelin Trefelin
WLDWL
7 GF / 42 GA
Key Stats
2
Average Goals Scored
0.5
0.94
Average Goals Conceded
3
7
BTTS Yes
6
9
Over 2.5
8
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Cardiff MET Cardiff MET 17 matches
Trefelin Trefelin 14 matches
Cardiff MET Statistic Trefelin
9 Wins 0
5 Draws 3
3 Losses 11
34 Goals For 7
16 Goals Against 42
2 Avg Goals Scored 0.5
0.94 Avg Goals Conceded 3
7 BTTS Yes 6
12 Over 1.5 13
9 Over 2.5 8
7 Over 3.5 6
7 Clean Sheets 0
4 Failed To Score 8
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Cardiff MET's more proactive style and Trefelin's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Trefelin having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Trefelin. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Trefelin arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Cardiff MET arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 7 with 21 points compared to Trefelin in 15 on 3, which underlines the gap in season consistency.

Cardiff MET Analysis

So far, Cardiff MET have built a campaign that leaves them 7 in the table on 21 points from 12 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 6 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, while the 23:13 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. At home, their split return of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Trefelin Analysis

Trefelin sit 15 with 3 points after 12 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 0 wins, 3 draws, and 9 defeats, and the 5:30 goal record continues to suggest poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.8%)

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 13 12 1 0 44:6 38 37
W W W W W
2 13 10 1 2 30:9 21 31
W W W W W
3 13 9 3 1 25:11 14 30
W L W W W
4 13 8 2 3 37:15 22 26
W L D W D
5 13 8 1 4 22:15 7 25
W L W W W
6 13 8 1 4 28:23 5 25
L W L L D
7 13 6 3 4 24:16 8 21
L W W D L
8 13 7 0 6 25:18 7 21
W W L W L
9 13 5 3 5 21:33 -12 18
L L W L W
10 13 5 1 7 22:23 -1 16
L L L L D
11 13 3 3 7 12:22 -10 12
L W D D L
12 13 3 1 9 8:19 -11 10
L L L L W
13 13 2 3 8 10:32 -22 9
W W L L D
14 13 2 2 9 12:25 -13 8
L W W L L
15 13 1 3 9 8:31 -23 6
W L L D L
16 13 0 2 11 14:44 -30 2
L L D L L
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Championship Group)
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Conference League Group)
Cymru Premier (Relegation Group)