WALES PREMIER LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Cyncoed Campus
Referee: B. Markham-Jones
Cardiff MET
Match Timeline
Flint Town United
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
10'
J. Canavan
Flint Town United
🟨
45+3'
J. Canavan
Flint Town United
🔄
60'
D. Kabongo ↔ J. Morris
Cardiff MET
🔄
64'
J. Canavan ↔ B. Hughes
Flint Town United
🔄
70'
A. Roscrow ↔ H. Matthews
Cardiff MET
70'
J. Morris
Cardiff MET
🔄
71'
B. Soady ↔ J. Williams
Cardiff MET
🔄
75'
O. Abadaki ↔ D. Stephenson
Flint Town United
77'
B. Hughes
Flint Town United
🟥
80'
H. Owen
Flint Town United
80'
C. Craven
Cardiff MET
🟨
82'
E. Reeves
Flint Town United
🔄
82'
E. Reeves ↔ M. Purvis
Flint Town United
🟥
85'
B. Hughes
Flint Town United
🔄
86'
H. John ↔ O. Good
Cardiff MET

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 62.3%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 86%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 68.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
62.3%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
86%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
68.4%
-
Probability Distribution
Cardiff MET Win 32.7%
Draw 5.1%
Flint Town United Win 62.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Cardiff MET1.53
Flint Town United1.52
Recent Form (Last 5)
Cardiff MET Cardiff MET
WWDLW
41 GF / 49 GA
Flint Town United Flint Town United
WLDWL
46 GF / 57 GA
Key Stats
1.32
Average Goals Scored
1.48
1.58
Average Goals Conceded
1.84
21
BTTS Yes
18
17
Over 2.5
19
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Cardiff MET Cardiff MET 31 matches
Flint Town United Flint Town United 31 matches
Cardiff MET Statistic Flint Town United
8 Wins 8
13 Draws 10
10 Losses 13
41 Goals For 46
49 Goals Against 57
1.32 Avg Goals Scored 1.48
1.58 Avg Goals Conceded 1.84
21 BTTS Yes 18
27 Over 1.5 25
17 Over 2.5 19
12 Over 3.5 15
4 Clean Sheets 7
8 Failed To Score 10
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Flint Town United. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Cardiff MET have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Flint Town United having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Cardiff MET Analysis

With 28 points from 22 games and a place of 7, Cardiff MET still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 6 wins, 10 draws, and 6 defeats with a 33:36 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on L. Mwandwe (8 goals), J. Payne (7 goals), A. Roscrow (6 goals), with creative support from L. Rees (1 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Flint Town United Analysis

Flint Town United sit 11 with 21 points after 22 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 5 wins, 6 draws, and 11 losses, while the 34:48 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on E. Reeves (11 goals), D. Stephenson (7 goals), B. Wynne (6 goals), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, the record of 2 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Cardiff MET won 7 times, Flint Town United won 3 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:21 from Cardiff MET's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.14 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.9%)
H2H summary: Cardiff MET wins 7, draws 4, Flint Town United wins 3

Lineups

Cardiff MET
Formation
Flint Town United
E. Griffiths
E. Griffiths
J. Edwards
J. Edwards
L. Walsh
L. Walsh
B. Soady
B. Soady
C. Craven
C. Craven
L. Mwandwe
L. Mwandwe
T. Raison
T. Raison
H. John
H. John
D. Kabongo
D. Kabongo
J. Payne
J. Payne
A. Roscrow
A. Roscrow
J. Flint
J. Flint
B. Woollam
B. Woollam
J. Phillips
J. Phillips
H. Owen
H. Owen
L. Jonas
L. Jonas
M. Burke
M. Burke
S. Sanogo Fofana
S. Sanogo Fofana
J. Thorn
J. Thorn
J. Canavan
J. Canavan
E. Reeves
E. Reeves
O. Abadaki
O. Abadaki
Cardiff MET 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
40
E. Griffiths
3
J. Edwards
4
L. Walsh
21
B. Soady
↓ 71'
16
C. Craven
⚽ 80'
19
L. Mwandwe
33
T. Raison
20
H. John
↓ 86'
8
D. Kabongo
↓ 60'
17
J. Payne
11
A. Roscrow
↓ 70'
Substitutes
13
S. Seager
14
J. Morris
⚽ 70' ↑ 60'
22
J. Williams
↑ 71'
26
O. Good
↑ 86'
28
J. Stephens
29
H. Matthews
↑ 70'
37
M. Sweetman
Flint Town United 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
J. Flint
2
B. Woollam
7
J. Phillips
5
H. Owen
🟥 80'
19
L. Jonas
3
M. Burke
4
S. Sanogo Fofana
6
J. Thorn
21
J. Canavan
⚽ 10' ↓ 64' 🟨 45+3'
9
E. Reeves
↓ 82' 🟨 82'
14
O. Abadaki
↓ 75'
Substitutes
13
D. Szczepaniak
8
B. Hughes
⚽ 77' ↑ 64' 🟥 85'
10
B. Wynne
11
J. Jones
15
M. Purvis
↑ 82'
34
D. Stephenson
↑ 75'
Last matches: Cardiff MET
18.07.26
Fri
Cardiff MET
Brackley Town
0
0
D
07.07.26
Fri
Cardiff MET
Carmarthen Town
3
1
W
04.07.26
Fri
Cardiff MET
Afan Lido
2
1
W
26.06.26
Fri
Cardiff MET
Pontardawe Town
5
0
W
03.04.26
Pre
Cardiff MET
Briton Ferry
1
3
L
28.03.26
Pre
Cardiff MET
Bala Town
2
1
W
20.03.26
Pre
Cardiff MET
llanelli AFC
2
1
W
16.03.26
Pre
Cardiff MET
Briton Ferry
0
2
L
13.03.26
Pre
Cardiff MET
Haverfordwest County AFC
0
1
L
21.02.26
Pre
Cardiff MET
Flint Town United
1
1
D
13.02.26
Pre
Cardiff MET
llanelli AFC
1
1
D
07.02.26
Pre
Cardiff MET
Bala Town
1
1
D
23.01.26
Pre
Cardiff MET
Haverfordwest County AFC
0
2
L
13.01.26
Pre
Cardiff MET
Penybont
1
1
D
30.12.25
Pre
Cardiff MET
Haverfordwest County AFC
0
0
D
26.12.25
Pre
Cardiff MET
Barry Town
0
1
L
16.12.25
Pre
Cardiff MET
Briton Ferry
2
2
D
05.12.25
Pre
Cardiff MET
llanelli AFC
2
1
W
29.11.25
Pre
Cardiff MET
Bala Town
2
2
D
07.11.25
Pre
Cardiff MET
The New Saints
3
2
W
Last matches: Flint Town United
27.06.26
Fri
Flint Town United
Rhyl
3
2
W
03.04.26
Pre
Flint Town United
Haverfordwest County AFC
0
1
L
28.03.26
Pre
Flint Town United
llanelli AFC
1
2
L
21.03.26
Pre
Flint Town United
Briton Ferry
0
0
D
14.03.26
Pre
Flint Town United
Bala Town
1
1
D
01.03.26
Pre
Flint Town United
Haverfordwest County AFC
3
1
W
21.02.26
Pre
Flint Town United
Cardiff MET
1
1
D
14.02.26
Pre
Flint Town United
Briton Ferry
0
0
D
07.02.26
Pre
Flint Town United
llanelli AFC
2
0
W
23.01.26
Pre
Flint Town United
Bala Town
4
3
W
13.01.26
Pre
Flint Town United
Bala Town
0
4
L
01.01.26
Pre
Flint Town United
Colwyn Bay
2
1
W
26.12.25
Pre
Flint Town United
GAP Connah S Quay FC
0
2
L
20.12.25
Pre
Flint Town United
Haverfordwest County AFC
2
2
D
05.12.25
Pre
Flint Town United
Caernarfon Town
1
1
D
29.11.25
Pre
Flint Town United
Briton Ferry
2
2
D
14.11.25
Pre
Flint Town United
The New Saints
0
3
L
08.11.25
Pre
Flint Town United
Barry Town
0
0
D
01.11.25
Pre
Flint Town United
Penybont
3
4
L
25.10.25
Pre
Flint Town United
Cardiff MET
1
4
L
H2H: Cardiff MET vs Flint Town United
18.04.26
H2H
Cardiff MET
Flint Town United
2
2
D
21.02.26
H2H
Flint Town United
Cardiff MET
1
1
D
25.10.25
H2H
Cardiff MET
Flint Town United
4
1
W
30.08.25
H2H
Flint Town United
Cardiff MET
4
2
L
14.12.24
H2H
Cardiff MET
Flint Town United
2
0
W
10.08.24
H2H
Flint Town United
Cardiff MET
1
2
W
10.12.22
H2H
Flint Town United
Cardiff MET
1
1
D
03.09.22
H2H
Cardiff MET
Flint Town United
1
0
W
29.01.22
H2H
Flint Town United
Cardiff MET
2
2
D
14.08.21
H2H
Cardiff MET
Flint Town United
1
5
L
15.05.21
H2H
Cardiff MET
Flint Town United
2
1
W
10.04.21
H2H
Flint Town United
Cardiff MET
2
0
L
28.11.20
H2H
Flint Town United
Cardiff MET
0
1
W
17.10.20
H2H
Cardiff MET
Flint Town United
2
1
W
Last matches: Cardiff MET
18.07.26
Fri
Cardiff MET
Brackley Town
0
0
D
04.07.26
Fri
Cardiff MET
Afan Lido
2
1
W
26.06.26
Fri
Cardiff MET
Pontardawe Town
5
0
W
28.03.26
Pre
Cardiff MET
Bala Town
2
1
W
16.03.26
Pre
Cardiff MET
Briton Ferry
0
2
L
13.02.26
Pre
Cardiff MET
llanelli AFC
1
1
D
23.01.26
Pre
Cardiff MET
Haverfordwest County AFC
0
2
L
30.12.25
Pre
Cardiff MET
Haverfordwest County AFC
0
0
D
16.12.25
Pre
Cardiff MET
Briton Ferry
2
2
D
05.12.25
Pre
Cardiff MET
llanelli AFC
2
1
W
01.11.25
Pre
Cardiff MET
GAP Connah S Quay FC
0
3
L
25.10.25
Pre
Cardiff MET
Flint Town United
4
1
W
04.10.25
Pre
Cardiff MET
Bala Town
2
0
W
23.09.25
Pre
Cardiff MET
Penybont
0
4
L
19.09.25
Pre
Cardiff MET
The New Saints
1
3
L
06.09.25
Pre
Cardiff MET
Colwyn Bay
1
4
L
25.08.25
Pre
Cardiff MET
Barry Town
1
1
D
09.08.25
Pre
Cardiff MET
Caernarfon Town
2
2
D
H2H at home: Cardiff MET
18.04.26
H2H
Cardiff MET
Flint Town United
2
2
D
25.10.25
H2H
Cardiff MET
Flint Town United
4
1
W
14.12.24
H2H
Cardiff MET
Flint Town United
2
0
W
03.09.22
H2H
Cardiff MET
Flint Town United
1
0
W
14.08.21
H2H
Cardiff MET
Flint Town United
1
5
L
15.05.21
H2H
Cardiff MET
Flint Town United
2
1
W
17.10.20
H2H
Cardiff MET
Flint Town United
2
1
W
Last matches: Flint Town United
21.03.26
Pre
Flint Town United
Briton Ferry
0
0
D
01.03.26
Pre
Flint Town United
Haverfordwest County AFC
3
1
W
07.02.26
Pre
Flint Town United
llanelli AFC
2
0
W
23.01.26
Pre
Flint Town United
Bala Town
4
3
W
01.01.26
Pre
Flint Town United
Colwyn Bay
2
1
W
05.12.25
Pre
Flint Town United
Caernarfon Town
1
1
D
29.11.25
Pre
Flint Town United
Briton Ferry
2
2
D
08.11.25
Pre
Flint Town United
Barry Town
0
0
D
25.10.25
Pre
Flint Town United
Cardiff MET
1
4
L
04.10.25
Pre
Flint Town United
Haverfordwest County AFC
1
3
L
23.09.25
Pre
Flint Town United
The New Saints
2
4
L
13.09.25
Pre
Flint Town United
Penybont
0
5
L
06.09.25
Pre
Flint Town United
llanelli AFC
5
0
W
25.08.25
Pre
Flint Town United
GAP Connah S Quay FC
2
3
L
08.08.25
Pre
Flint Town United
Bala Town
1
1
D
H2H away: Flint Town United
18.04.26
H2H
Cardiff MET
Flint Town United
2
2
D
25.10.25
H2H
Cardiff MET
Flint Town United
4
1
L
14.12.24
H2H
Cardiff MET
Flint Town United
2
0
L
03.09.22
H2H
Cardiff MET
Flint Town United
1
0
L
14.08.21
H2H
Cardiff MET
Flint Town United
1
5
W
15.05.21
H2H
Cardiff MET
Flint Town United
2
1
L
17.10.20
H2H
Cardiff MET
Flint Town United
2
1
L

Standings

Cymru Premier , Relegation Round
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 32 14 6 12 48:43 5 48
L W W W W
2 32 12 9 11 46:47 -1 45
W W L D W
3 32 8 14 10 43:51 -8 38
D L W W L
4 32 8 11 13 48:59 -11 35
D L L D D
5 32 8 8 16 33:45 -12 32
L W L W D
6 32 3 4 25 17:82 -65 13
L L W L L
Qualification Playoffs
Relegation