VENEZUELA PRIMERA DIVISIóN
13.09.2026 21:30

Caracas FC vs Monagas SC Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 61.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 48.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
61.7%
-
BTTS Yes
58.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
48.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Caracas FC Win 61.7%
Draw 7.1%
Monagas SC Win 31.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Caracas FC1.31
Monagas SC1.16
Recent Form (Last 5)
Caracas FC Caracas FC
WWDLW
23 GF / 26 GA
Monagas SC Monagas SC
WLDWL
23 GF / 34 GA
Key Stats
1.1
Average Goals Scored
1.1
1.24
Average Goals Conceded
1.62
14
BTTS Yes
11
8
Over 2.5
12
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Caracas FC Caracas FC 21 matches
Monagas SC Monagas SC 21 matches
Caracas FC Statistic Monagas SC
5 Wins 5
10 Draws 3
6 Losses 13
23 Goals For 23
26 Goals Against 34
1.1 Avg Goals Scored 1.1
1.24 Avg Goals Conceded 1.62
14 BTTS Yes 11
15 Over 1.5 15
8 Over 2.5 12
5 Over 3.5 7
5 Clean Sheets 4
4 Failed To Score 7
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Monagas SC. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Monagas SC arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Caracas FC expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Monagas SC in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Monagas SC having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Caracas FC Analysis

So far, Caracas FC have built a campaign that leaves them 9 in the table on 25 points from 21 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 5 wins, 10 draws, and 6 losses, while the 23:26 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, their split return of - wins, - draws, and - losses fits an unclear split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Monagas SC Analysis

With 18 points from 21 games and a place of 12, Monagas SC still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 13 losses, together with goals at 23:34, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of - wins, - draws, and - losses points to an unclear split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92.9%)
Predicted formations: Caracas FC 4-4-2 / Monagas SC 4-3-3

Standings

Primera Division: Tabla Anual
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 21 13 5 3 33:18 15 44
W W D W L
2 21 12 7 2 34:15 19 43
W D L W W
3 21 13 4 4 36:21 15 43
W W D L W
4 21 8 9 4 30:20 10 33
D D D D W
5 21 8 8 5 28:19 9 32
D D W D W
6 21 9 5 7 29:27 2 32
L D W D W
7 21 9 4 8 32:30 2 31
D D W L L
8 21 7 9 5 31:21 10 30
W L D D W
9 21 5 10 6 23:26 -3 25
W D D D W
10 21 6 7 8 22:29 -7 25
D L D W L
11 21 6 2 13 24:42 -18 20
L W L L L
12 21 5 3 13 23:34 -11 18
L W L D L
13 21 3 4 14 20:41 -21 13
L L L D L
14 21 2 5 14 16:38 -22 11
L L W D L
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Qualification)
Relegation - Liga FUTVE 2