VENEZUELA PRIMERA DIVISIóN
06.09.2026 20:00

Caracas FC vs Monagas SC Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 70%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 70.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
70%
-
BTTS Yes
82.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
70.3%
-
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Caracas FC Win 70%
Draw 18.2%
Monagas SC Win 11.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Caracas FC1.32
Monagas SC1.21
Recent Form (Last 5)
Caracas FC Caracas FC
WWDLW
22 GF / 26 GA
Monagas SC Monagas SC
WLDWL
23 GF / 33 GA
Key Stats
1.1
Average Goals Scored
1.15
1.3
Average Goals Conceded
1.65
14
BTTS Yes
11
8
Over 2.5
12
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Caracas FC Caracas FC 20 matches
Monagas SC Monagas SC 20 matches
Caracas FC Statistic Monagas SC
4 Wins 5
10 Draws 3
6 Losses 12
22 Goals For 23
26 Goals Against 33
1.1 Avg Goals Scored 1.15
1.3 Avg Goals Conceded 1.65
14 BTTS Yes 11
15 Over 1.5 15
8 Over 2.5 12
5 Over 3.5 7
4 Clean Sheets 4
4 Failed To Score 6
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Monagas SC having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Monagas SC. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Caracas FC Analysis

From their first 13 matches, Caracas FC have collected 15 points and now occupy 10 place in the table. The record of 3 wins, 6 draws, and 4 defeats, together with a 15:17 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, their split return of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Monagas SC Analysis

From their first 13 matches, Monagas SC have collected 11 points and now occupy 12 place in the table. The record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 8 defeats, together with a 14:22 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, a split that suggests a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Caracas FC won 6 times, Monagas SC won 3 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 26:20 from Caracas FC's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.07 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (88.3%)
Predicted formations: Caracas FC 4-2-3-1 / Monagas SC 4-3-3
H2H summary: Caracas FC wins 6, draws 6, Monagas SC wins 3

Standings

Primera Division: Tabla Anual
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 14 5 3 35:18 17 47
W W W D W
2 22 12 7 3 34:17 17 43
L W D L W
3 22 13 4 5 36:23 13 43
L W W D L
4 22 10 5 7 31:27 4 35
W L D W D
5 22 8 10 4 31:21 10 34
D D D D D
6 22 10 4 8 34:30 4 34
W D D W L
7 22 8 9 5 33:21 12 33
W W L D D
8 22 8 8 6 28:21 7 32
L D D W D
9 21 5 10 6 23:26 -3 25
W D D D W
10 22 6 7 9 23:31 -8 25
L D L D W
11 22 6 3 13 25:43 -18 21
D L W L L
12 21 5 3 13 23:34 -11 18
L W L D L
13 22 3 5 14 18:39 -21 14
W L L W D
14 22 3 4 15 20:43 -23 13
L L L L D
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Qualification)
Relegation - Liga FUTVE 2