VENEZUELA PRIMERA DIVISIóN
03.08.2026 22:30
Estadio Olimpico de la UCV
Referee: A. Herrera
Caracas FC
Match Timeline
Estudiantes de Merida FC
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
17'
C. Magallan ↔ C. Caicedo
Estudiantes de Merida FC
34'
R. Ivey · Assist: A. Montero
Estudiantes de Merida FC
VAR
42'
J. De Santis
Caracas FC
🟥
45+4'
E. E. Fereira Penaranda
Caracas FC
🔄
46'
Robert Hernandez ↔ A. Villarreal
Caracas FC
🔄
46'
M. Covea ↔ R. Lezama
Caracas FC
🔄
46'
M. Marquez ↔ A. Figueroa
Caracas FC
🟨
63'
J. Yendis
Caracas FC
🔄
66'
W. Correa ↔ I. Gudino
Caracas FC
76'
J. De Santis · Assist: J. De Santis
Caracas FC
76'
J. De Santis
Caracas FC
🔄
78'
A. Montero ↔ D. Matheus
Estudiantes de Merida FC
🔄
83'
J. Lobo ↔ A. Pena
Estudiantes de Merida FC
🔄
83'
M. Maldonado ↔ G. Montes
Estudiantes de Merida FC
🔄
85'
J. De Santis ↔ S. Gonzalez
Caracas FC
🟥
90+6'
J. Yendis
Caracas FC
90'
W. S. Ramirez Holguin
Estudiantes de Merida FC
90'
J. Yendis · Assist: R. Lezama
Caracas FC

Caracas FC vs Estudiantes de Merida FC Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 62.4%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 41.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
62.4%
-
BTTS Yes
62.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
41.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Caracas FC Win 62.4%
Draw 6.5%
Estudiantes de Merida FC Win 31.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Caracas FC1.24
Estudiantes de Merida FC1.25
Recent Form (Last 5)
Caracas FC Caracas FC
WWDLW
15 GF / 17 GA
Estudiantes de Merida FC Estudiantes de Merida FC
WLDWL
23 GF / 26 GA
Key Stats
1.15
Average Goals Scored
1.21
1.31
Average Goals Conceded
1.37
9
BTTS Yes
9
5
Over 2.5
9
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Caracas FC Caracas FC 13 matches
Estudiantes de Merida FC Estudiantes de Merida FC 19 matches
Caracas FC Statistic Estudiantes de Merida FC
3 Wins 7
6 Draws 2
4 Losses 10
15 Goals For 23
17 Goals Against 26
1.15 Avg Goals Scored 1.21
1.31 Avg Goals Conceded 1.37
9 BTTS Yes 9
10 Over 1.5 14
5 Over 2.5 9
3 Over 3.5 4
2 Clean Sheets 2
3 Failed To Score 8
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features Estudiantes de Merida FC's more proactive style and Caracas FC's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Estudiantes de Merida FC. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Estudiantes de Merida FC having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Caracas FC Analysis

From their first 13 matches, Caracas FC have collected 15 points and now occupy 10 place in the table. The record of 3 wins, 6 draws, and 4 defeats, together with a 15:17 goal balance, points toward poor form . Much of their attacking threat comes through J. Yendis (3 goals), A. Fernandez (2 goals), M. Covea (2 goals), with creative support from L. Reinoso (2 assists), L. Mago (2 assists), J. Yendis (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, the record of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Estudiantes de Merida FC Analysis

So far, Estudiantes de Merida FC have built a campaign that leaves them 6 in the table on 20 points from 13 matches. Their overall return of 6 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses with goals at 21:18 reflects poor form . Their attacking weight is carried by K. Quejada (12 goals), A. Montero (2 goals), C. Magallan (2 goals), with creative support from C. Magallan (6 assists), R. Ivey (3 assists), K. Quejada (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their split return of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Caracas FC won 3 times, Estudiantes de Merida FC won 3 times, while 8 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:17 from Caracas FC's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.71 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.5%)
Predicted formations: Caracas FC 4-2-3-1 / Estudiantes de Merida FC 4-3-3
H2H summary: Caracas FC wins 3, draws 8, Estudiantes de Merida FC wins 3

Standings

Primera Division: Tabla Anual
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 14 5 3 35:18 17 47
W W W D W
2 22 12 7 3 34:17 17 43
L W D L W
3 22 13 4 5 36:23 13 43
L W W D L
4 22 10 5 7 31:27 4 35
W L D W D
5 22 8 10 4 31:21 10 34
D D D D D
6 22 10 4 8 34:30 4 34
W D D W L
7 22 8 9 5 33:21 12 33
W W L D D
8 22 8 8 6 28:21 7 32
L D D W D
9 21 5 10 6 23:26 -3 25
W D D D W
10 22 6 7 9 23:31 -8 25
L D L D W
11 22 6 3 13 25:43 -18 21
D L W L L
12 21 5 3 13 23:34 -11 18
L W L D L
13 22 3 5 14 18:39 -21 14
W L L W D
14 22 3 4 15 20:43 -23 13
L L L L D
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Qualification)
Relegation - Liga FUTVE 2