VENEZUELA PRIMERA DIVISIóN
--.--.---- --:--

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 87.4%
Odds 1.33
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds 2.00
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds 2.36
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
87.4%
1.33
BTTS Yes
86%
2.00
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
2.36
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
2.32
HT / FT Home / Home
-
5.00
Correct Score 2-1
-
12.00
Probability Distribution
Caracas FC Win 40.6%
Draw 12.6%
Deportivo La Guaira Win 46.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Caracas FC1.15
Deportivo La Guaira1.23
Recent Form (Last 5)
Caracas FC Caracas FC
WWDLW
18 GF / 22 GA
Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira
WLDWL
31 GF / 31 GA
Key Stats
1.2
Average Goals Scored
1.07
1.47
Average Goals Conceded
1.07
11
BTTS Yes
16
7
Over 2.5
9
0
Shots on Goal
2.38

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Caracas FC Caracas FC 15 matches
Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 29 matches
Caracas FC Statistic Deportivo La Guaira
3 Wins 9
7 Draws 13
5 Losses 7
18 Goals For 31
22 Goals Against 31
1.2 Avg Goals Scored 1.07
1.47 Avg Goals Conceded 1.07
11 BTTS Yes 16
12 Over 1.5 20
7 Over 2.5 9
5 Over 3.5 5
2 Clean Sheets 12
3 Failed To Score 6
0 Shots On Goal 2.38
0 Total Shots 6.5
0 Corners 2.63
0% Ball Possession 32.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Deportivo La Guaira's more proactive style and Caracas FC's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Deportivo La Guaira having the stronger overall control. Deportivo La Guaira carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 27 points while Caracas FC sit 10 on 15, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Deportivo La Guaira. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Caracas FC Analysis

Caracas FC are currently 10 in the standings with 15 points from 13 matches. The record of 3 wins, 6 draws, and 4 defeats, together with a 15:17 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Deportivo La Guaira Analysis

Deportivo La Guaira come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 27 points after 13 matches. They have recorded 7 wins, 6 draws, and 0 losses, with a 15:6 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, their record of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Caracas FC won 6 times, Deportivo La Guaira won 7 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:16 from Caracas FC's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.27 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (87.4%)
Predicted formations: Caracas FC - / Deportivo La Guaira 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Caracas FC wins 6, draws 2, Deportivo La Guaira wins 7
Last matches: Caracas FC
06.08.26
Pri
Caracas FC
Puerto Cabello
1
3
L
03.08.26
Pri
Caracas FC
Estudiantes de Merida FC
2
2
D
25.04.26
Pri
Caracas FC
Rayo Zuliano
2
1
W
20.04.26
Pri
Caracas FC
Zamora FC
1
1
D
12.04.26
Pri
Caracas FC
Anzoátegui FC
1
3
L
03.04.26
Pri
Caracas FC
Metropolitanos FC
1
0
W
22.03.26
Pri
Caracas FC
Monagas SC
1
1
D
17.03.26
Pri
Caracas FC
Trujillanos FC
4
2
W
14.03.26
Pri
Caracas FC
Portuguesa FC
1
1
D
07.03.26
Pri
Caracas FC
Deportivo Tachira FC
0
1
L
28.02.26
Pri
Caracas FC
Carabobo FC
0
0
D
22.02.26
Pri
Caracas FC
UCV
1
2
L
14.02.26
Pri
Caracas FC
Deportivo La Guaira
0
2
L
07.02.26
Pri
Caracas FC
Puerto Cabello
1
1
D
01.02.26
Pri
Caracas FC
Estudiantes de Merida FC
2
2
D
Last matches: Deportivo La Guaira
05.08.26
Pri
Deportivo La Guaira
Metropolitanos FC
1
2
L
01.08.26
Pri
Deportivo La Guaira
Monagas SC
2
1
W
31.05.26
Pri
Deportivo La Guaira
Puerto Cabello
0
2
L
28.05.26
CON
Deportivo La Guaira
Fluminense
1
3
L
23.05.26
Pri
Deportivo La Guaira
Portuguesa FC
2
0
W
21.05.26
CON
Deportivo La Guaira
Independ. Rivadavia
2
4
L
15.05.26
Pri
Deportivo La Guaira
UCV
0
0
D
12.05.26
Pri
Deportivo La Guaira
UCV
1
1
D
09.05.26
Pri
Deportivo La Guaira
Portuguesa FC
1
1
D
06.05.26
CON
Deportivo La Guaira
Bolívar
1
1
D
03.05.26
Pri
Deportivo La Guaira
Puerto Cabello
1
1
D
30.04.26
CON
Deportivo La Guaira
Independ. Rivadavia
1
4
L
25.04.26
Pri
Deportivo La Guaira
Trujillanos FC
1
0
W
20.04.26
Pri
Deportivo La Guaira
Portuguesa FC
0
0
D
15.04.26
CON
Deportivo La Guaira
Bolívar
1
1
D
10.04.26
Pri
Deportivo La Guaira
Deportivo Tachira FC
3
2
W
07.04.26
CON
Deportivo La Guaira
Fluminense
0
0
D
02.04.26
Pri
Deportivo La Guaira
Carabobo FC
1
1
D
21.03.26
Pri
Deportivo La Guaira
UCV
1
0
W
17.03.26
Pri
Deportivo La Guaira
Anzoátegui FC
0
0
D
H2H: Caracas FC vs Deportivo La Guaira
14.02.26
H2H
Deportivo La Guaira
Caracas FC
2
0
L
28.08.25
H2H
Deportivo La Guaira
Caracas FC
1
0
L
20.08.25
H2H
Caracas FC
Deportivo La Guaira
0
1
L
23.07.25
H2H
Caracas FC
Deportivo La Guaira
0
3
L
07.03.25
H2H
Deportivo La Guaira
Caracas FC
0
2
W
16.02.25
H2H
Deportivo La Guaira
Caracas FC
1
0
L
17.07.24
H2H
Deportivo La Guaira
Caracas FC
0
0
D
02.02.24
H2H
Caracas FC
Deportivo La Guaira
2
0
W
02.07.23
H2H
Deportivo La Guaira
Caracas FC
2
1
L
14.05.23
H2H
Caracas FC
Deportivo La Guaira
1
1
D
21.10.22
H2H
Deportivo La Guaira
Caracas FC
1
2
W
30.09.22
H2H
Caracas FC
Deportivo La Guaira
2
0
W
13.08.22
H2H
Deportivo La Guaira
Caracas FC
2
0
L
09.04.22
H2H
Caracas FC
Deportivo La Guaira
3
2
W
19.11.21
H2H
Deportivo La Guaira
Caracas FC
0
5
W
Last matches: Caracas FC
03.08.26
Pri
Caracas FC
Estudiantes de Merida FC
2
2
D
25.04.26
Pri
Caracas FC
Rayo Zuliano
2
1
W
12.04.26
Pri
Caracas FC
Anzoátegui FC
1
3
L
03.04.26
Pri
Caracas FC
Metropolitanos FC
1
0
W
17.03.26
Pri
Caracas FC
Trujillanos FC
4
2
W
07.03.26
Pri
Caracas FC
Deportivo Tachira FC
0
1
L
22.02.26
Pri
Caracas FC
UCV
1
2
L
07.02.26
Pri
Caracas FC
Puerto Cabello
1
1
D
H2H at home: Caracas FC
20.08.25
H2H
Caracas FC
Deportivo La Guaira
0
1
L
23.07.25
H2H
Caracas FC
Deportivo La Guaira
0
3
L
02.02.24
H2H
Caracas FC
Deportivo La Guaira
2
0
W
14.05.23
H2H
Caracas FC
Deportivo La Guaira
1
1
D
30.09.22
H2H
Caracas FC
Deportivo La Guaira
2
0
W
09.04.22
H2H
Caracas FC
Deportivo La Guaira
3
2
W
Last matches: Deportivo La Guaira
01.08.26
Pri
Deportivo La Guaira
Monagas SC
2
1
W
28.05.26
CON
Deportivo La Guaira
Fluminense
1
3
L
23.05.26
Pri
Deportivo La Guaira
Portuguesa FC
2
0
W
12.05.26
Pri
Deportivo La Guaira
UCV
1
1
D
03.05.26
Pri
Deportivo La Guaira
Puerto Cabello
1
1
D
30.04.26
CON
Deportivo La Guaira
Independ. Rivadavia
1
4
L
25.04.26
Pri
Deportivo La Guaira
Trujillanos FC
1
0
W
15.04.26
CON
Deportivo La Guaira
Bolívar
1
1
D
10.04.26
Pri
Deportivo La Guaira
Deportivo Tachira FC
3
2
W
21.03.26
Pri
Deportivo La Guaira
UCV
1
0
W
17.03.26
Pri
Deportivo La Guaira
Anzoátegui FC
0
0
D
06.03.26
Pri
Deportivo La Guaira
Estudiantes de Merida FC
1
0
W
23.02.26
Pri
Deportivo La Guaira
Zamora FC
1
1
D
08.02.26
Pri
Deportivo La Guaira
Metropolitanos FC
2
2
D
20.01.26
Fri
Deportivo La Guaira
Fundación Lara Deportiva
1
2
L
H2H away: Deportivo La Guaira
20.08.25
H2H
Caracas FC
Deportivo La Guaira
0
1
W
23.07.25
H2H
Caracas FC
Deportivo La Guaira
0
3
W
02.02.24
H2H
Caracas FC
Deportivo La Guaira
2
0
L
14.05.23
H2H
Caracas FC
Deportivo La Guaira
1
1
D
30.09.22
H2H
Caracas FC
Deportivo La Guaira
2
0
L
09.04.22
H2H
Caracas FC
Deportivo La Guaira
3
2
L
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.41
Draw 2.88
Home 3.04
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.25 1.28
Over 1.5 1.43
Over 1.75 1.56
Over 2.0 1.78
Over 2.25 2.08
Over 2.5 2.36
Over 2.75 2.79
Over 3.0 3.44
Under 1.25 3.42
Under 1.5 2.67
Under 1.75 2.36
Under 2.0 2.03
Under 2.25 1.71
Under 2.5 1.54
Under 2.75 1.40
Under 3.0 1.27
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.25
Draw 3.00
Home 3.00
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.10
Draw 2.00
Home 3.75
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 2.75
Draw 2.25
Home 3.40
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.08
Over 1.5 1.44
Over 2.5 2.35
Over 3.5 4.33
Over 4.5 10.00
Over 5.5 21.00
Over 6.5 51.00
Under 0.5 7.50
Under 1.5 2.62
Under 2.5 1.57
Under 3.5 1.20
Under 4.5 1.06
Under 5.5 1.01
Under 6.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.36
Draw 2.88
Home 3.03
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.08
Draw 1.87
Home 3.98
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 2.73
Draw 2.18
Home 3.50
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.06
Over 0.75 1.07
Over 1.0 1.10
Over 1.25 1.25
Over 1.5 1.41
Over 1.75 1.54
Over 2.0 1.71
Over 2.25 2.02
Over 2.5 2.31
Over 2.75 2.66
Over 3.0 3.42
Over 3.25 3.82
Over 3.5 4.15
Over 3.75 5.25
Over 4.0 7.50
Over 4.25 7.50
Over 4.5 8.10
Over 5.5 18.00
Over 6.5 50.00
Under 0.5 6.30
Under 0.75 5.75
Under 1.0 5.20
Under 1.25 3.28
Under 1.5 2.52
Under 1.75 2.28
Under 2.0 1.92
Under 2.25 1.69
Under 2.5 1.53
Under 2.75 1.37
Under 3.0 1.23
Under 3.25 1.18
Under 3.5 1.16
Under 3.75 1.09
Under 4.0 1.03
Under 4.25 1.03
Under 4.5 1.02
Under 5.5 1.01
Under 6.5 1.00

Standings

Primera Division: Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 13 7 6 0 15:6 9 27
W D W D W
2 13 7 4 2 17:10 7 25
W W D L W
3 13 7 3 3 17:12 5 24
W D L W W
4 13 7 2 4 24:20 4 23
L D L W L
5 13 5 5 3 20:12 8 20
W D W L D
6 13 6 2 5 21:18 3 20
L W W W L
7 13 4 7 2 23:14 9 19
L W W D D
8 13 4 5 4 16:14 2 17
D W L L D
9 13 4 5 4 14:14 0 17
D D D W W
10 13 3 6 4 15:17 -2 15
W D L W D
11 13 4 2 7 13:23 -10 14
L L L W D
12 13 3 2 8 14:22 -8 11
D L W L D
13 13 2 3 8 15:25 -10 9
D L W L L
14 13 0 4 9 9:26 -17 4
L L L L L
Promotion - Liga FUTVE (Apertura - Quadrangular)