Carabobo FC vs Deportivo La Guaira Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 96.5%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 61.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
96.5%
-
BTTS Yes
78.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
61.1%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Carabobo FC Win 46.5%
Draw 3.5%
Deportivo La Guaira Win 50%
Expected Goals (xG)
Carabobo FC1.32
Deportivo La Guaira1.18
Recent Form (Last 5)
Carabobo FC Carabobo FC
WWDLW
48 GF / 30 GA
Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira
WLDWL
47 GF / 37 GA
Key Stats
1.5
Average Goals Scored
1.34
0.94
Average Goals Conceded
1.06
16
BTTS Yes
21
11
Over 2.5
13
4
Shots on Goal
3.17

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Carabobo FC Carabobo FC 32 matches
Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 35 matches
Carabobo FC Statistic Deportivo La Guaira
14 Wins 13
11 Draws 14
7 Losses 8
48 Goals For 47
30 Goals Against 37
1.5 Avg Goals Scored 1.34
0.94 Avg Goals Conceded 1.06
16 BTTS Yes 21
19 Over 1.5 26
11 Over 2.5 13
7 Over 3.5 7
13 Clean Sheets 13
8 Failed To Score 6
4 Shots On Goal 3.17
13.75 Total Shots 8.67
5 Corners 3.5
44% Ball Possession 43%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Deportivo La Guaira. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Carabobo FC expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Deportivo La Guaira in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Deportivo La Guaira having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Deportivo La Guaira carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 43 points while Carabobo FC sit 8 on 30, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Carabobo FC Analysis

From their first 21 matches, Carabobo FC have collected 30 points and now occupy 8 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 7 wins, 9 draws, and 5 losses, while the 31:21 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have returned - wins, - draws, and - losses, a split that suggests an unclear split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Deportivo La Guaira Analysis

Deportivo La Guaira approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 2 on 43 points after 21 outings. With 12 wins, 7 draws, and 2 defeats plus a goal balance of 34:15, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by their main attacking players, and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the split of - wins, - draws, and - losses supports the view of an unclear split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.5%)
Predicted formations: Carabobo FC 4-2-3-1 / Deportivo La Guaira 4-3-3

Standings

Primera Division: Tabla Anual
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 21 13 5 3 33:18 15 44
W W D W L
2 21 12 7 2 34:15 19 43
W D L W W
3 21 13 4 4 36:21 15 43
W W D L W
4 21 8 9 4 30:20 10 33
D D D D W
5 21 8 8 5 28:19 9 32
D D W D W
6 21 9 5 7 29:27 2 32
L D W D W
7 21 9 4 8 32:30 2 31
D D W L L
8 21 7 9 5 31:21 10 30
W L D D W
9 21 5 10 6 23:26 -3 25
W D D D W
10 21 6 7 8 22:29 -7 25
D L D W L
11 21 6 2 13 24:42 -18 20
L W L L L
12 21 5 3 13 23:34 -11 18
L W L D L
13 21 3 4 14 20:41 -21 13
L L L D L
14 21 2 5 14 16:38 -22 11
L L W D L
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Qualification)
Relegation - Liga FUTVE 2