Carabobo FC vs Deportivo La Guaira Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 88.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
88.2%
-
BTTS Yes
82.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Carabobo FC Win 39.4%
Draw 11.8%
Deportivo La Guaira Win 48.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Carabobo FC1.34
Deportivo La Guaira1.15
Recent Form (Last 5)
Carabobo FC Carabobo FC
WWDLW
50 GF / 30 GA
Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira
WLDWL
47 GF / 39 GA
Key Stats
1.52
Average Goals Scored
1.31
0.91
Average Goals Conceded
1.08
16
BTTS Yes
21
11
Over 2.5
13
4
Shots on Goal
3.17

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Carabobo FC Carabobo FC 33 matches
Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 36 matches
Carabobo FC Statistic Deportivo La Guaira
15 Wins 13
11 Draws 14
7 Losses 9
50 Goals For 47
30 Goals Against 39
1.52 Avg Goals Scored 1.31
0.91 Avg Goals Conceded 1.08
16 BTTS Yes 21
20 Over 1.5 27
11 Over 2.5 13
7 Over 3.5 7
14 Clean Sheets 13
8 Failed To Score 7
4 Shots On Goal 3.17
13.75 Total Shots 8.67
5 Corners 3.5
44% Ball Possession 43%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Carabobo FC expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Deportivo La Guaira in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Deportivo La Guaira having the stronger overall control. Deportivo La Guaira carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 40 points while Carabobo FC sit 8 on 27, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Deportivo La Guaira.

Carabobo FC Analysis

From their first 20 matches, Carabobo FC have collected 27 points and now occupy 8 place in the table. The record of 6 wins, 9 draws, and 5 defeats, together with a 30:21 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned - wins, - draws, and - losses, a split that suggests an unclear split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Deportivo La Guaira Analysis

Deportivo La Guaira come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 2 place with 40 points after 20 matches. With 11 wins, 7 draws, and 2 defeats plus a goal balance of 32:15, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by their main attacking players, and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have managed - wins, - draws, and - losses, which underlines an unclear split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Carabobo FC won 5 times, Deportivo La Guaira won 3 times, while 7 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:16 from Carabobo FC's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.33 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88.2%)
Predicted formations: Carabobo FC 4-4-2 / Deportivo La Guaira 4-3-3
H2H summary: Carabobo FC wins 5, draws 7, Deportivo La Guaira wins 3

Standings

Primera Division: Tabla Anual
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 14 5 3 35:18 17 47
W W W D W
2 22 12 7 3 34:17 17 43
L W D L W
3 22 13 4 5 36:23 13 43
L W W D L
4 22 10 5 7 31:27 4 35
W L D W D
5 22 8 10 4 31:21 10 34
D D D D D
6 22 10 4 8 34:30 4 34
W D D W L
7 22 8 9 5 33:21 12 33
W W L D D
8 22 8 8 6 28:21 7 32
L D D W D
9 21 5 10 6 23:26 -3 25
W D D D W
10 22 6 7 9 23:31 -8 25
L D L D W
11 22 6 3 13 25:43 -18 21
D L W L L
12 21 5 3 13 23:34 -11 18
L W L D L
13 22 3 5 14 18:39 -21 14
W L L W D
14 22 3 4 15 20:43 -23 13
L L L L D
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Qualification)
Relegation - Liga FUTVE 2