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03.10.2026 18:00
BC Place
Referee: Jon Freemon, USA
Canada
Match Timeline
Peru
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
19'
J. Shaffelburg · Assist: D. Jebbison
Canada
⚽
35'
J. Shaffelburg
Canada
🔄
46'
O. Mora ↔ J. Vidales
Peru
🔄
46'
B. Soyer ↔ P. Magallanes
Peru
🔄
46'
W. Cartagena ↔ A. Carrillo
Peru
🔄
46'
A. Valera ↔ G. Lapadula
Peru
🔄
48'
A. Barco ↔ R. Garces
Peru
🔄
62'
N. Sigur ↔ R. Laryea
Canada
🔄
62'
L. De Fougerolles ↔ J. Knight-Lebel
Canada
🔄
62'
R. Priso ↔ J. Ivanisevic
Canada
🔄
62'
R. Chukwu ↔ J. Smith
Canada
🔄
62'
N. Saliba ↔ M. Choiniere
Canada
🔄
62'
J. Shaffelburg ↔ T. Buchanan
Canada
🔄
62'
D. Jebbison ↔ J. Russell-Rowe
Canada
🔄
62'
L. Millar ↔ P. David
Canada
🔄
62'
J. David ↔ T. Oluwaseyi
Canada
🔄
66'
S. Eustaquio ↔ S. Piette
Canada
🔄
66'
O. Sonne ↔ M. Huaman
Peru
🔄
66'
Y. Yotun ↔ J. Pretell
Peru
🔄
73'
M. Lopez ↔ C. Inga
Peru
🔄
73'
J. Velez ↔ J. Concha
Peru
🟨
82'
Renzo Garcés
Peru
🟨
90'
Richie Laryea
Canada
🟨
90'
Gianluca Lapadula
Peru
🔄
90+1'
↔ L. Petrasso
Canada

Canada vs Peru Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
67.1%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
75%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Canada Win 67.1%
Draw 6.9%
Peru Win 26%
Expected Goals (xG)
Canada1.74
Peru1.03
Recent Form (Last 5)
Canada Canada
W L W L W
9 GF / 5 GA
Peru Peru
D L L W D
7 GF / 11 GA
Key Stats
1.45
Average Goals Scored
1.17
0.82
Average Goals Conceded
2.17
4
BTTS Yes
5
4
Over 2.5
4
4.64
Shots on Goal
2.17

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Canada Canada 11 matches
Peru Peru 6 matches
Canada Statistic Peru
5 Wins 1
4 Draws 2
2 Losses 3
16 Goals For 7
9 Goals Against 13
1.45 Avg Goals Scored 1.17
0.82 Avg Goals Conceded 2.17
4 BTTS Yes 5
7 Over 1.5 6
4 Over 2.5 4
2 Over 3.5 3
6 Clean Sheets 0
2 Failed To Score 1
4.64 Shots On Goal 2.17
11.55 Total Shots 5.83
7.27 Corners 3.33
49.8% Ball Possession 36.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Canada won 1 times, Peru won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:0 from Canada's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 1 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.2%)
Predicted formations: Canada 4-4-2 / Peru 4-4-1-1
H2H summary: Canada wins 1, draws 0, Peru wins 0