UGANDA PREMIER LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Calvary
Match Timeline
Police
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
78'
L. Olaboro
Calvary

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 96.1%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 53.7%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 75.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
96.1%
-
BTTS BTTS No
53.7%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
75.4%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Calvary Win 44.2%
Draw 3.9%
Police Win 51.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Calvary0.72
Police1.46
Recent Form (Last 5)
Calvary Calvary
WWDLW
10 GF / 35 GA
Police Police
WLDWL
39 GF / 31 GA
Key Stats
0.4
Average Goals Scored
1.5
1.4
Average Goals Conceded
1.19
5
BTTS Yes
17
5
Over 2.5
15
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Calvary Calvary 25 matches
Police Police 26 matches
Calvary Statistic Police
2 Wins 13
7 Draws 5
16 Losses 8
10 Goals For 39
35 Goals Against 31
0.4 Avg Goals Scored 1.5
1.4 Avg Goals Conceded 1.19
5 BTTS Yes 17
10 Over 1.5 23
5 Over 2.5 15
5 Over 3.5 6
8 Clean Sheets 7
18 Failed To Score 3
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Calvary won 1 times, Police won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:2 from Calvary's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 1.5 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.1%)
H2H summary: Calvary wins 1, draws 0, Police wins 1
Last matches: Calvary
23.05.26
Pre
Calvary
NEC
2
0
W
19.05.26
Pre
Calvary
UPDF
0
0
D
12.05.26
Pre
Calvary
URA
1
1
D
29.04.26
Pre
Calvary
Entebbe UPPC
0
2
L
25.04.26
Pre
Calvary
KCCA
1
0
W
22.04.26
Pre
Calvary
Kitara
0
0
D
15.04.26
Pre
Calvary
Lugazi
0
0
D
11.04.26
Pre
Calvary
Buhimba Saints
2
0
W
14.03.26
Pre
Calvary
Vipers
0
1
L
10.03.26
Pre
Calvary
Maroons
0
1
L
06.03.26
Pre
Calvary
BUL
1
5
L
18.02.26
Pre
Calvary
Express
0
0
D
12.02.26
Pre
Calvary
Mbarara City
0
1
L
31.01.26
Pre
Calvary
Kitara
0
1
L
27.01.26
Pre
Calvary
URA
0
0
D
21.01.26
Pre
Calvary
Police
0
2
L
07.01.26
Pre
Calvary
BUL
0
1
L
17.12.25
Pre
Calvary
SC Villa
0
1
L
13.12.25
Pre
Calvary
Mbarara City
1
1
D
09.12.25
Pre
Calvary
Vipers
0
0
D
Last matches: Police
23.05.26
Pre
Police
Kitara
2
2
D
19.05.26
Pre
Police
Entebbe UPPC
1
1
D
12.05.26
Pre
Police
Vipers
0
0
D
29.04.26
Pre
Police
UPDF
2
0
W
25.04.26
Pre
Police
Maroons
1
3
L
21.04.26
Pre
Police
URA
2
1
W
16.04.26
Pre
Police
Mbarara City
2
1
W
08.04.26
Pre
Police
Express
1
3
L
13.03.26
Pre
Police
NEC
0
1
L
10.03.26
Pre
Police
SC Villa
1
0
W
06.03.26
Pre
Police
KCCA
1
2
L
03.03.26
Pre
Police
BUL
0
2
L
17.02.26
Pre
Police
Buhimba Saints
1
1
D
12.02.26
Pre
Police
Lugazi
2
1
W
31.01.26
Pre
Police
URA
0
0
D
27.01.26
Pre
Police
Vipers
1
4
L
21.01.26
Pre
Police
Calvary
2
0
W
06.01.26
Pre
Police
KCCA
2
0
W
16.12.25
Pre
Police
BUL
3
1
W
10.12.25
Pre
Police
Lugazi
1
1
D
H2H: Calvary vs Police
06.05.26
H2H
Calvary
Police
1
0
W
21.01.26
H2H
Police
Calvary
2
0
L
Last matches: Calvary
23.05.26
Pre
Calvary
NEC
2
0
W
25.04.26
Pre
Calvary
KCCA
1
0
W
15.04.26
Pre
Calvary
Lugazi
0
0
D
11.04.26
Pre
Calvary
Buhimba Saints
2
0
W
10.03.26
Pre
Calvary
Maroons
0
1
L
18.02.26
Pre
Calvary
Express
0
0
D
31.01.26
Pre
Calvary
Kitara
0
1
L
27.01.26
Pre
Calvary
URA
0
0
D
07.01.26
Pre
Calvary
BUL
0
1
L
13.12.25
Pre
Calvary
Mbarara City
1
1
D
09.12.25
Pre
Calvary
Vipers
0
0
D
19.11.25
Pre
Calvary
UPDF
0
1
L
07.11.25
Pre
Calvary
Entebbe UPPC
2
4
L
H2H at home: Calvary
06.05.26
H2H
Calvary
Police
1
0
W
Last matches: Police
23.05.26
Pre
Police
Kitara
2
2
D
25.04.26
Pre
Police
Maroons
1
3
L
16.04.26
Pre
Police
Mbarara City
2
1
W
08.04.26
Pre
Police
Express
1
3
L
06.03.26
Pre
Police
KCCA
1
2
L
17.02.26
Pre
Police
Buhimba Saints
1
1
D
31.01.26
Pre
Police
URA
0
0
D
27.01.26
Pre
Police
Vipers
1
4
L
16.12.25
Pre
Police
BUL
3
1
W
10.12.25
Pre
Police
Lugazi
1
1
D
19.11.25
Pre
Police
Entebbe UPPC
2
0
W
06.11.25
Pre
Police
UPDF
2
1
W
24.10.25
Pre
Police
SC Villa
1
2
L
18.10.25
Pre
Police
NEC
2
2
D
H2H away: Police
06.05.26
H2H
Calvary
Police
1
0
L

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 19 10 1 55:17 38 67
W W D D D
2 30 19 5 6 46:22 24 62
W D W W D
3 30 18 7 5 47:17 30 61
W W W D L
4 30 16 8 6 43:22 21 56
D D L L W
5 30 14 9 7 30:20 10 51
W D D W W
6 30 13 12 5 31:22 9 51
L L W W W
7 30 13 8 9 42:35 7 47
D D D L W
8 30 9 11 10 26:27 -1 38
W L D L D
9 30 9 10 11 30:33 -3 37
L D D D L
10 30 9 10 11 28:31 -3 37
L D W W L
11 30 5 16 9 27:30 -3 31
W D D D D
12 30 6 9 15 26:46 -20 27
L W L W W
13 30 5 10 15 19:36 -17 25
L D D L W
14 30 5 7 18 24:41 -17 22
L D L L L
15 30 4 9 17 14:39 -25 21
W D D W L
16 30 4 3 23 16:66 -50 15
L L L L L
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Relegation - Big League