ITALY SERIE A
--.--.---- --:--
Unipol Domus
Referee: F. Dionisi
Cagliari
Match Timeline
Udinese
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
VAR
34'
Michel Adopo
Cagliari
🟨
44'
Kingsley Ehizibue
Udinese
🟨
53'
Zé Pedro
Cagliari
🔄
55'
J. Piotrowski ↔ L. Miller
Udinese
🔄
55'
B. Mlacic ↔ N. Bertola
Udinese
56'
A. Buksa · Assist: H. Kamara
Udinese
🔄
62'
M. Palestra ↔ G. Zappa
Cagliari
🔄
62'
J. Pedro ↔ I. Sulemana
Cagliari
🔄
65'
A. Buksa ↔ K. Davis
Udinese
🔄
73'
M. Folorunsho ↔ A. Albarracin
Cagliari
🔄
78'
N. Zaniolo ↔ I. Gueye
Udinese
🔄
78'
K. Ehizibue ↔ J. Arizala
Udinese
🔄
88'
M. Adopo ↔ A. Belotti
Cagliari
🔄
88'
A. Obert ↔ Y. Trepy
Cagliari
90'
I. Gueye · Assist: K. Davis
Udinese

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 55.5%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 40.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 32.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
55.5%
-
BTTS BTTS No
40.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
32.7%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Cagliari Win 32.4%
Draw 12.2%
Udinese Win 55.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Cagliari1.18
Udinese1.29
Recent Form (Last 5)
Cagliari Cagliari
WWDLW
42 GF / 52 GA
Udinese Udinese
WLDWL
47 GF / 49 GA
Key Stats
1.11
Average Goals Scored
1.24
1.37
Average Goals Conceded
1.29
20
BTTS Yes
18
18
Over 2.5
18
3.29
Shots on Goal
4.08

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Cagliari Cagliari 38 matches
Udinese Udinese 38 matches
Cagliari Statistic Udinese
10 Wins 15
12 Draws 8
16 Losses 15
42 Goals For 47
52 Goals Against 49
1.11 Avg Goals Scored 1.24
1.37 Avg Goals Conceded 1.29
20 BTTS Yes 18
29 Over 1.5 28
18 Over 2.5 18
8 Over 3.5 8
8 Clean Sheets 11
13 Failed To Score 10
3.29 Shots On Goal 4.08
10.24 Total Shots 11.79
3.61 Corners 4.34
45.2% Ball Possession 46.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Cagliari expected to line up in 4-5-1 and Udinese in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Udinese having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Udinese. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Cagliari Analysis

Cagliari sit 15 with 37 points after 35 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 9 wins, 10 draws, and 16 defeats, and the 36:49 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Sebastiano Esposito (6 goals), Gennaro Borrelli (4 goals), Semih Kılıçsoy (4 goals), with creative support from Sebastiano Esposito (5 assists), M. Palestra (4 assists), G. Gaetano (3 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of 6 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Udinese Analysis

Udinese are currently 11 in the standings with 47 points from 35 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 13 wins, 8 draws, and 14 losses, while the 43:46 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Keinan Davis (10 goals), A. Atta (5 goals), J. Ekkelenkamp (5 goals), with creative support from Nicolò Zaniolo (6 assists), Keinan Davis (3 assists), A. Atta (3 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, the record of 7 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Cagliari won 2 times, Udinese won 9 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:26 from Cagliari's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.4 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (87.9%)
Predicted formations: Cagliari 4-5-1 / Udinese 3-4-2-1
Missing players: Cagliari 6, Udinese 3
H2H summary: Cagliari wins 2, draws 4, Udinese wins 9
Stats
Cagliari Cagliari
Udinese Udinese
Shots on Goal
5
Shots on Goal
6
Shots off Goal
11
Shots off Goal
2
Blocked Shots
6
Blocked Shots
1
8 Corner Kicks 4
10 Fouls 13
3 Offsides 3
63% Ball Possession 37%
22 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Goal 6
11 Shots off Goal 2
6 Blocked Shots 1
15 Shots insidebox 6
7 Shots outsidebox 3
4 Goalkeeper Saves 3
537 Total passes 329
460 Passes accurate 251
1.47 expected_goals 2.47
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Cagliari
Formation
Udinese
E. Caprile
E. Caprile
M. Palestra
M. Palestra
J. Pedro
J. Pedro
A. Dossena
A. Dossena
J. Rodriguez
J. Rodriguez
A. Obert
A. Obert
M. Adopo
M. Adopo
G. Gaetano
G. Gaetano
M. Folorunsho
M. Folorunsho
S. Esposito
S. Esposito
P. Mendy
P. Mendy
M. Okoye
M. Okoye
B. Mlacic
B. Mlacic
T. Kristensen
T. Kristensen
O. Solet
O. Solet
K. Ehizibue
K. Ehizibue
J. Piotrowski
J. Piotrowski
J. Karlstrom
J. Karlstrom
H. Kamara
🎯
H. Kamara
N. Zaniolo
N. Zaniolo
A. Buksa
A. Buksa
A. Atta
A. Atta
Cagliari 5-3-2
Starting XI
1
E. Caprile
G
2
M. Palestra
↓ 62'
D
32
J. Pedro
↓ 62' 🟨 53'
D
22
A. Dossena
D
15
J. Rodriguez
D
33
A. Obert
↓ 88'
D
8
M. Adopo
↓ 88'
M
10
G. Gaetano
M
90
M. Folorunsho
↓ 73'
M
94
S. Esposito
F
31
P. Mendy
F
Substitutes
24
G. Ciocci
G
12
A. Sherri
G
19
A. Belotti
↑ 88'
F
26
Y. Mina
D
28
G. Zappa
↑ 62'
D
25
I. Sulemana
↑ 62'
M
40
R. Malfitano
M
37
Y. Trepy
↑ 88'
F
14
A. Deiola
M
9
S. Kilicsoy
F
18
O. Raterink
D
20
A. Albarracin
↑ 73'
F
Udinese 3-4-3
Starting XI
40
M. Okoye
G
22
B. Mlacic
↓ 55'
D
31
T. Kristensen
D
28
O. Solet
D
19
K. Ehizibue
↓ 78' 🟨 44'
M
24
J. Piotrowski
↓ 55'
M
8
J. Karlstrom
M
11
H. Kamara
🎯 56'
M
10
N. Zaniolo
↓ 78'
F
18
A. Buksa
⚽ 56' ↓ 65'
F
14
A. Atta
F
Substitutes
93
D. Padelli
G
90
R. Sava
G
1
A. Nunziante
G
15
V. Bayo
F
9
K. Davis
🎯 90' ↑ 65'
F
38
L. Miller
↑ 55'
M
33
J. Zemura
D
6
O. Zarraga
M
13
N. Bertola
↑ 55'
D
7
I. Gueye
⚽ 90' ↑ 78'
F
20
J. Arizala
↑ 78'
M
29
A. Camara
M
Last matches: Cagliari
23.07.26
Fri
Cagliari
Sampdoria
0
0
D
24.05.26
Ser
Cagliari
AC Milan
2
1
W
17.05.26
Ser
Cagliari
Torino
2
1
W
03.05.26
Ser
Cagliari
Bologna
0
0
D
27.04.26
Ser
Cagliari
Atalanta
3
2
W
17.04.26
Ser
Cagliari
Inter
0
3
L
11.04.26
Ser
Cagliari
Cremonese
1
0
W
04.04.26
Ser
Cagliari
Sassuolo
1
2
L
20.03.26
Ser
Cagliari
Napoli
0
1
L
15.03.26
Ser
Cagliari
Pisa
1
3
L
07.03.26
Ser
Cagliari
Como
1
2
L
27.02.26
Ser
Cagliari
Parma
1
1
D
21.02.26
Ser
Cagliari
Lazio
0
0
D
16.02.26
Ser
Cagliari
Lecce
0
2
L
09.02.26
Ser
Cagliari
AS Roma
0
2
L
31.01.26
Ser
Cagliari
Hellas Verona
4
0
W
24.01.26
Ser
Cagliari
Fiorentina
2
1
W
17.01.26
Ser
Cagliari
Juventus
1
0
W
12.01.26
Ser
Cagliari
Genoa
0
3
L
08.01.26
Ser
Cagliari
Cremonese
2
2
D
Last matches: Udinese
24.07.26
Fri
Udinese
Swansea
0
2
L
18.07.26
Fri
Udinese
Istra 1961
2
2
D
24.05.26
Ser
Udinese
Napoli
0
1
L
17.05.26
Ser
Udinese
Cremonese
0
1
L
02.05.26
Ser
Udinese
Torino
2
0
W
27.04.26
Ser
Udinese
Lazio
3
3
D
18.04.26
Ser
Udinese
Parma
0
1
L
11.04.26
Ser
Udinese
AC Milan
3
0
W
06.04.26
Ser
Udinese
Como
0
0
D
20.03.26
Ser
Udinese
Genoa
2
0
W
14.03.26
Ser
Udinese
Juventus
0
1
L
07.03.26
Ser
Udinese
Atalanta
2
2
D
02.03.26
Ser
Udinese
Fiorentina
3
0
W
23.02.26
Ser
Udinese
Bologna
0
1
L
15.02.26
Ser
Udinese
Sassuolo
1
2
L
08.02.26
Ser
Udinese
Lecce
1
2
L
02.02.26
Ser
Udinese
AS Roma
1
0
W
26.01.26
Ser
Udinese
Hellas Verona
3
1
W
17.01.26
Ser
Udinese
Inter
0
1
L
10.01.26
Ser
Udinese
Pisa
2
2
D
H2H: Cagliari vs Udinese
09.05.26
H2H
Cagliari
Udinese
0
2
L
05.10.25
H2H
Udinese
Cagliari
1
1
D
03.05.25
H2H
Cagliari
Udinese
1
2
L
25.10.24
H2H
Udinese
Cagliari
2
0
L
18.02.24
H2H
Udinese
Cagliari
1
1
D
01.11.23
H2H
Udinese
Cagliari
1
2
W
17.09.23
H2H
Cagliari
Udinese
0
0
D
03.04.22
H2H
Udinese
Cagliari
5
1
L
18.12.21
H2H
Cagliari
Udinese
0
4
L
21.04.21
H2H
Udinese
Cagliari
0
1
W
20.12.20
H2H
Cagliari
Udinese
1
1
D
26.07.20
H2H
Cagliari
Udinese
0
1
L
21.12.19
H2H
Udinese
Cagliari
2
1
L
26.05.19
H2H
Cagliari
Udinese
1
2
L
29.12.18
H2H
Udinese
Cagliari
2
0
L
Last matches: Cagliari
17.05.26
Ser
Cagliari
Torino
2
1
W
27.04.26
Ser
Cagliari
Atalanta
3
2
W
11.04.26
Ser
Cagliari
Cremonese
1
0
W
20.03.26
Ser
Cagliari
Napoli
0
1
L
07.03.26
Ser
Cagliari
Como
1
2
L
21.02.26
Ser
Cagliari
Lazio
0
0
D
16.02.26
Ser
Cagliari
Lecce
0
2
L
31.01.26
Ser
Cagliari
Hellas Verona
4
0
W
17.01.26
Ser
Cagliari
Juventus
1
0
W
02.01.26
Ser
Cagliari
AC Milan
0
1
L
21.12.25
Ser
Cagliari
Pisa
2
2
D
07.12.25
Ser
Cagliari
AS Roma
1
0
W
22.11.25
Ser
Cagliari
Genoa
3
3
D
30.10.25
Ser
Cagliari
Sassuolo
1
2
L
19.10.25
Ser
Cagliari
Bologna
0
2
L
27.09.25
Ser
Cagliari
Inter
0
2
L
23.09.25
Cop
Cagliari
Frosinone
4
1
W
13.09.25
Ser
Cagliari
Parma
2
0
W
24.08.25
Ser
Cagliari
Fiorentina
1
1
D
16.08.25
Cop
Cagliari
Virtus Entella
1
1
D
H2H at home: Cagliari
09.05.26
H2H
Cagliari
Udinese
0
2
L
03.05.25
H2H
Cagliari
Udinese
1
2
L
17.09.23
H2H
Cagliari
Udinese
0
0
D
18.12.21
H2H
Cagliari
Udinese
0
4
L
20.12.20
H2H
Cagliari
Udinese
1
1
D
26.07.20
H2H
Cagliari
Udinese
0
1
L
26.05.19
H2H
Cagliari
Udinese
1
2
L
Last matches: Udinese
24.07.26
Fri
Udinese
Swansea
0
2
L
24.05.26
Ser
Udinese
Napoli
0
1
L
27.04.26
Ser
Udinese
Lazio
3
3
D
11.04.26
Ser
Udinese
AC Milan
3
0
W
20.03.26
Ser
Udinese
Genoa
2
0
W
07.03.26
Ser
Udinese
Atalanta
2
2
D
23.02.26
Ser
Udinese
Bologna
0
1
L
08.02.26
Ser
Udinese
Lecce
1
2
L
26.01.26
Ser
Udinese
Hellas Verona
3
1
W
07.01.26
Ser
Udinese
Torino
2
1
W
03.01.26
Ser
Udinese
Como
0
1
L
21.12.25
Ser
Udinese
Fiorentina
1
5
L
02.12.25
Cop
Udinese
Juventus
0
2
L
29.11.25
Ser
Udinese
Parma
2
0
W
09.11.25
Ser
Udinese
AS Roma
0
2
L
29.10.25
Ser
Udinese
Juventus
1
3
L
20.10.25
Ser
Udinese
Cremonese
1
1
D
28.09.25
Ser
Udinese
Sassuolo
1
3
L
14.09.25
Ser
Udinese
Pisa
1
0
W
31.08.25
Ser
Udinese
Inter
2
1
W
H2H away: Udinese
09.05.26
H2H
Cagliari
Udinese
0
2
W
03.05.25
H2H
Cagliari
Udinese
1
2
W
17.09.23
H2H
Cagliari
Udinese
0
0
D
18.12.21
H2H
Cagliari
Udinese
0
4
W
20.12.20
H2H
Cagliari
Udinese
1
1
D
26.07.20
H2H
Cagliari
Udinese
0
1
W
26.05.19
H2H
Cagliari
Udinese
1
2
W

Standings

Serie A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 27 6 5 89:35 54 87
D D W W D
2 38 23 7 8 58:36 22 76
W W L D W
3 38 23 4 11 59:31 28 73
W W W W W
4 38 20 11 7 65:29 36 71
W W W D W
5 38 20 10 8 53:35 18 70
L W L L D
6 38 19 12 7 61:34 27 69
D L W D D
7 38 15 14 9 51:36 15 59
D L W D L
8 38 16 8 14 49:46 3 56
D W W D L
9 38 14 12 12 41:40 1 54
W L L W D
10 38 14 8 16 45:48 -3 50
L L W W D
11 38 14 7 17 46:50 -4 49
L L L W D
12 38 12 9 17 44:63 -19 45
D L W L D
13 38 11 12 15 28:46 -18 45
W L L L W
14 38 11 10 17 40:53 -13 43
W W L D W
15 38 9 15 14 41:50 -9 42
D W D L D
16 38 10 11 17 41:51 -10 41
L L D D L
17 38 10 8 20 28:50 -22 38
W W L W D
18 38 8 10 20 32:57 -25 34
L W W L L
19 38 3 12 23 25:61 -36 21
L D L D D
20 38 2 12 24 26:71 -45 18
L L L L L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Serie B

Missing Players

Cagliari 6 missing
-
R. Idrissi
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
M. Felici
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
L. Mazzitelli
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
-
G. Borrelli
Missing Fixture Thigh Injury
OUT
-
L. Pavoletti
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
J. Liteta
Missing Fixture Thigh Injury
OUT
Udinese 3 missing
-
A. Zanoli
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
J. Ekkelenkamp
Missing Fixture Leg Injury
OUT
-
C. Kabasele
Missing Fixture Yellow Cards
OUT