Cagliari
Match Timeline
Lecce
Cagliari vs Lecce Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
1X2
Away Win
BTTS
No
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
50.9%
|
- | |
| BTTS | No |
50.8%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
52.4%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 0-3 |
-
|
- |
Probability Distribution
Cagliari Win 36.6%
Draw 12.5%
Lecce Win 50.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Cagliari1
Lecce1.08
Recent Form (Last 5)
Cagliari
WWDLW
6 GF / 5 GA
Lecce
WLDWL
11 GF / 11 GA
Key Stats
0.75
Average Goals Scored
1.38
0.63
Average Goals Conceded
1.38
2
BTTS Yes
2
2
Over 2.5
3
3
Shots on Goal
4
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Cagliari
8 matches
Lecce
8 matches
| Cagliari | Statistic | Lecce |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Wins | 4 |
| 3 | Draws | 1 |
| 2 | Losses | 3 |
| 6 | Goals For | 11 |
| 5 | Goals Against | 11 |
| 0.75 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.38 |
| 0.63 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.38 |
| 2 | BTTS Yes | 2 |
| 2 | Over 1.5 | 5 |
| 2 | Over 2.5 | 3 |
| 1 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 3 |
| 3 | Failed To Score | 3 |
| 3 | Shots On Goal | 4 |
| 13.25 | Total Shots | 12.33 |
| 4.75 | Corners | 4.33 |
| 48.8% | Ball Possession | 40% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, Cagliari won 4 times, Lecce won 3 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:16 from Cagliari's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.92 goals per game.
1X2: Away Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (87.5%)
Predicted formations: Cagliari 4-3-2-1 / Lecce 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Cagliari 6, Lecce 1
H2H summary: Cagliari wins 4, draws 5, Lecce wins 3
Standings
Serie A
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 18:8 | 10 | 16 |
W
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 11:4 | 7 | 16 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 14:3 | 11 | 14 |
D
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 |
Cagliari
Home
|
6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 6:3 | 3 | 13 |
D
W
W
W
L
|
| 5 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 11:5 | 6 | 12 |
D
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9:5 | 4 | 11 |
D
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 7 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9:6 | 3 | 11 |
D
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10:6 | 4 | 10 |
W
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 9 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9:7 | 2 | 10 |
L
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10:10 | 0 | 8 |
D
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 11 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 6 |
L
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 12 |
Lecce
Away
|
6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6:12 | -6 | 6 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
| 13 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 5 |
W
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 14 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8:11 | -3 | 4 |
L
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 15 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5:8 | -3 | 4 |
D
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9:15 | -6 | 4 |
L
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 17 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5:11 | -6 | 4 |
W
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 18 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:10 | -6 | 4 |
L
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 19 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7:14 | -7 | 4 |
L
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4:13 | -9 | 0 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
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