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07.09.2026 16:30
Unipol Domus
Referee: Juan Luca Sacchi, Italy
Cagliari
Match Timeline
Lecce
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
29'
D. Maldini · Assist: J. Fazzini
Cagliari
🟨
37'
Kialonda Gaspar
Lecce
🔄
46'
O. Ngom ↔ A. Fatah
Lecce
🔄
61'
J. Fazzini ↔ M. Felici
Cagliari
🔄
66'
J. Rodriguez ↔ R. Kofler
Cagliari
🔄
66'
D. Maldini ↔ A. Fadera
Cagliari
🔄
66'
K. Gaspar ↔ J. Siebert
Lecce
🔄
66'
I. Ilic ↔ Y. Maleh
Lecce
🔄
66'
J. Monteiro ↔ K. Ndri
Lecce
🔄
74'
↔ R. Gagliardini
Cagliari
🔄
74'
P. Mendy ↔ A. Sugamele
Cagliari
🔄
82'
S. Pierotti ↔ M. Berisha
Lecce
🟨
90+5'
Alessandro Deiola
Cagliari
🟨
90+7'
Wladimiro Falcone
Lecce
🟨
90+5'
Jamil Siebert
Lecce

Cagliari vs Lecce Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 50.9%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 50.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 52.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
50.9%
- ▥
BTTS No
50.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
52.4%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 0-3
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Cagliari Win 36.6%
Draw 12.5%
Lecce Win 50.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Cagliari1
Lecce1.08
Recent Form (Last 5)
Cagliari Cagliari
L L W W D
3 GF / 3 GA
Lecce Lecce
L W L W W
8 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
0.75
Average Goals Scored
1.38
0.63
Average Goals Conceded
1.38
2
BTTS Yes
2
2
Over 2.5
3
3
Shots on Goal
4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Cagliari Cagliari 8 matches
Lecce Lecce 8 matches
Cagliari Statistic Lecce
3 Wins 4
3 Draws 1
2 Losses 3
6 Goals For 11
5 Goals Against 11
0.75 Avg Goals Scored 1.38
0.63 Avg Goals Conceded 1.38
2 BTTS Yes 2
2 Over 1.5 5
2 Over 2.5 3
1 Over 3.5 3
5 Clean Sheets 3
3 Failed To Score 3
3 Shots On Goal 4
13.25 Total Shots 12.33
4.75 Corners 4.33
48.8% Ball Possession 40%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, Cagliari won 4 times, Lecce won 3 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:16 from Cagliari's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.92 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (87.5%)
Predicted formations: Cagliari 4-3-2-1 / Lecce 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Cagliari 6, Lecce 1
H2H summary: Cagliari wins 4, draws 5, Lecce wins 3

Standings

Serie A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 9 1 0 24:8 16 28
W W W W W
2 10 8 1 1 26:13 13 25
L W W W W
3 10 7 3 0 28:10 18 24
W W D W D
4 10 7 2 1 18:8 10 23
W W W W D
5 10 6 3 1 21:12 9 21
W L W W D
6 10 6 2 2 24:14 10 20
W W D W L
7 10 5 2 3 13:10 3 17
W L W L D
8 10 4 2 4 17:13 4 14
L W D L W
9 10 4 2 4 14:13 1 14
W W W L W
10 10 4 1 5 14:16 -2 13
L L W W W
11 10 4 1 5 10:14 -4 13
W W W L W
12 10 4 1 5 9:15 -6 13
L L L L D
13 9 3 2 4 16:17 -1 11
D D L W L
14
Lecce Away
10 3 0 7 11:21 -10 9
L L L W L
15 9 2 2 5 14:22 -8 8
L L L D L
16 10 2 1 7 17:24 -7 7
L L L W L
17 9 1 2 6 11:21 -10 5
D L L L D
18 9 1 2 6 5:15 -10 5
D L L L W
19 10 1 2 7 11:23 -12 5
L D L L L
20 10 1 0 9 6:20 -14 3
L L L W L
Champions League league stage
Europa League league stage
Play-offs
Relegation