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ITALY › SERIE A
11.10.2026 18:45
Unipol Domus
Referee: Matteo Marcenaro
Cagliari
Match Timeline
Juventus
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
17'
Weston McKennie
Juventus
⚽
20'
Daniel Maldini · Assist: Paul Mendy
Cagliari
🟨
45+1'
Juan Rodriguez
Cagliari
🔄
45'
Weston McKennie ↔ Kerim Alajbegovic
Juventus
🔄
45'
Francisco Conceicao ↔ Edon Zhegrova
Juventus
🔄
45'
Juan Rodriguez ↔ Alessandro Deiola
Cagliari
🔄
60'
Yanis Massolin ↔ Alieu Fadera
Cagliari
🔄
60'
Nicolás Iván Gonzalez ↔ Nick Woltemade
Juventus
🔄
64'
Zeki Çelik ↔ Andrea Cambiaso
Juventus
🔄
69'
Daniel Maldini ↔ Yukinari Sugawara
Cagliari
🔄
69'
Paul Mendy ↔ M'Bala Nzola
Cagliari
⚽
81'
Randal Kolo Muani · Assist: Kerim Alajbegovic
Juventus
🟨
83'
Alessandro Deiola
Cagliari
🔄
84'
Adam Obert ↔ Jacopo Fazzini
Cagliari
🔄
84'
Douglas Luiz Soares ↔ Teun Koopmeiners
Juventus
🟥
90+5'
Luciano Spalletti
Juventus
🟥
90+5'
Fabio Pisacane
Cagliari

Cagliari vs Juventus Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 52.8%
Odds 1.55
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds 2.00
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds 2.04
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
52.8%
1.55 ▥
BTTS Yes
62.8%
2.00 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
2.04 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.26 ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
4.33 ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
7.50 ▥
Probability Distribution
Cagliari Win 42%
Draw 5.2%
Juventus Win 52.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Cagliari0.76
Juventus1.14
Recent Form (Last 5)
Cagliari Cagliari
WWDLW
10 GF / 6 GA
Juventus Juventus
WLDWL
20 GF / 7 GA
Key Stats
0.91
Average Goals Scored
1.54
0.55
Average Goals Conceded
0.54
3
BTTS Yes
3
3
Over 2.5
3
4
Shots on Goal
6

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Cagliari Cagliari 11 matches
Juventus Juventus 13 matches
Cagliari Statistic Juventus
6 Wins 8
3 Draws 2
2 Losses 3
10 Goals For 20
6 Goals Against 7
0.91 Avg Goals Scored 1.54
0.55 Avg Goals Conceded 0.54
3 BTTS Yes 3
3 Over 1.5 8
3 Over 2.5 3
1 Over 3.5 2
7 Clean Sheets 9
3 Failed To Score 2
4 Shots On Goal 6
11.86 Total Shots 16.5
4.14 Corners 7.17
44.4% Ball Possession 54.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Juventus. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Cagliari come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Cagliari expected to line up in 5-3-2 and Juventus in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Juventus having the stronger overall control.

Cagliari Analysis

Cagliari come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 4 place with 12 points after 5 matches. The return of 4 wins, 0 draws, and 1 defeats, together with goals at 5:2, reflects very strong form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking edge comes through Daniel Maldini (3 goals), Paul Mendy (1 goals), with creative support from Michel Adopo (1 assists), Jacopo Fazzini (1 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. At home, their record of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Juventus Analysis

Juventus sit 7 with 10 points after 5 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 3 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, while the 8:4 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Edon Zhegrova (2 goals), Gleison Bremer (2 goals), Francisco Conceição (1 goals), with creative support from Edon Zhegrova (1 assists), Francisco Conceição (1 assists), Teun Koopmeiners (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Cagliari won 2 times, Juventus won 11 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:30 from Cagliari's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.73 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.8%)
Predicted formations: Cagliari 5-3-2 / Juventus 3-4-2-1
Missing players: Cagliari 3, Juventus 7
H2H summary: Cagliari wins 2, draws 2, Juventus wins 11

Standings

Serie A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 6 5 1 0 18:8 10 16
W D W W W
2 6 4 2 0 14:3 11 14
D D W W W
3 5 4 1 0 8:3 5 13
W D W W W
4 5 4 0 1 5:2 3 12
W W W L W
5 5 3 2 0 10:4 6 11
W D D W W
6 6 3 2 1 9:6 3 11
D L W W W
7 6 3 1 2 10:6 4 10
W D W L L
8 5 3 1 1 8:4 4 10
W L D W W
9 6 3 1 2 9:7 2 10
L W D W W
10 5 2 1 2 9:9 0 7
L W D W L
11 5 2 0 3 5:7 -2 6
L L L W W
12 5 2 0 3 5:10 -5 6
L W L L W
13 5 1 1 3 8:11 -3 4
L L L W D
14 5 1 1 3 5:8 -3 4
D L W L L
15 5 1 1 3 8:12 -4 4
W L D L L
16 6 1 1 4 5:11 -6 4
W L D L L
17 6 1 1 4 4:10 -6 4
L W L D L
18 6 1 1 4 7:14 -7 4
L D W L L
19 5 0 2 3 3:6 -3 2
D L D L L
20 5 0 0 5 4:13 -9 0
L L L L L
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