ITALY › SERIE A

27.04.2026 16:30

Cagliari

3 - 2

Atalanta

Unipol Domus

Referee: J. L. Sacchi

Cagliari

Match Timeline

Atalanta

0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'

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Cagliari vs Atalanta Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2

Away Win

Probability 57.9%

Odds -

BTTS

BTTS Yes

Probability 72.6%

Odds -

Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.5

Probability 58.4%

Odds -

All Markets

Market	Option	Probability	Odds	Stats & Analysis
1X2	Away Win	57.9%	-	▥
BTTS	BTTS Yes	72.6%	-	▥
Over / Under 2.5	Over 2.5	58.4%	-	▥
HT / FT	1-1	-	-	▥
Correct Score	0-1	-	-	▥

Probability Distribution

Cagliari Win 26.9%

Draw 15.2%

Atalanta Win 57.9%

Expected Goals (xG)

Cagliari1.1

Atalanta1.43

Recent Form (Last 5)

Cagliari

WWDLW

39 GF / 50 GA

Atalanta

WLDWL

71 GF / 55 GA

Key Stats

1.08

Average Goals Scored

1.45

1.39

Average Goals Conceded

1.12

BTTS Yes

Over 2.5

3.31

Shots on Goal

4.55

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Cagliari 36 matches

Atalanta 49 matches

Cagliari	Statistic	Atalanta
9	Wins	21
11	Draws	15
16	Losses	13
39	Goals For	71
50	Goals Against	55
1.08	Avg Goals Scored	1.45
1.39	Avg Goals Conceded	1.12
19	BTTS Yes	25
28	Over 1.5	38
17	Over 2.5	23
7	Over 3.5	12
7	Clean Sheets	17
12	Failed To Score	10
3.31	Shots On Goal	4.55
10.33	Total Shots	14.78
3.64	Corners	5.37
46%	Ball Possession	53.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Cagliari won 4 times, Atalanta won 10 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:24 from Cagliari's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.53 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win

BTTS: BTTS Yes

Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5

Highest model probability: 12 (84.8%)

Predicted formations: Cagliari 5-3-2 / Atalanta 3-4-2-1

Missing players: Cagliari 4, Atalanta 1

H2H summary: Cagliari wins 4, draws 1, Atalanta wins 10

Standings

Serie A

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	PTS	Form
1	Inter	38	27	6	5	89:35	54	87	D D W W D
2	Napoli	38	23	7	8	58:36	22	76	W W L D W
3	AS Roma	38	23	4	11	59:31	28	73	W W W W W
4	Como	38	20	11	7	65:29	36	71	W W W D W
5	AC Milan	38	20	10	8	53:35	18	70	L W L L D
6	Juventus	38	19	12	7	61:34	27	69	D L W D D
7	Atalanta Away	38	15	14	9	51:36	15	59	D L W D L
8	Bologna	38	16	8	14	49:46	3	56	D W W D L
9	Lazio	38	14	12	12	41:40	1	54	W L L W D
10	Udinese	38	14	8	16	45:48	-3	50	L L W W D
11	Sassuolo	38	14	7	17	46:50	-4	49	L L L W D
12	Torino	38	12	9	17	44:63	-19	45	D L W L D
13	Parma	38	11	12	15	28:46	-18	45	W L L L W
14	Cagliari Home	38	11	10	17	40:53	-13	43	W W L D W
15	Fiorentina	38	9	15	14	41:50	-9	42	D W D L D
16	Genoa	38	10	11	17	41:51	-10	41	L L D D L
17	Lecce	38	10	8	20	28:50	-22	38	W W L W D
18	Cremonese	38	8	10	20	32:57	-25	34	L W W L L
19	Hellas Verona	38	3	12	23	25:61	-36	21	L D L D D
20	Pisa	38	2	12	24	26:71	-45	18	L L L L L

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)

Relegation - Serie B