ITALY › SERIE A
02.01.2026 19:45
Unipol Domus
Referee: Rosario Abisso, Italy
Cagliari
Match Timeline
AC Milan
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
50'
R. Leao · Assist: A. Rabiot
AC Milan
🔄
60'
A. Obert ↔ R. Idrissi
Cagliari
🔄
61'
M. Prati ↔ G. Borrelli
Cagliari
🔄
66'
S. Esposito ↔ G. Gaetano
Cagliari
🔄
69'
Y. Fofana ↔ S. Ricci
AC Milan
🔄
69'
R. Leao ↔ N. Fullkrug
AC Milan
🔄
79'
R. Loftus-Cheek ↔ C. Pulisic
AC Milan
🔄
79'
P. Estupinan ↔ M. Gabbia
AC Milan
🟨
83'
Riyad Idrissi
Cagliari
🔄
83'
L. Mazzitelli ↔ N. Cavuoti
Cagliari
🔄
83'
S. Kilicsoy ↔ L. Pavoletti
Cagliari
🟨
90+1'
Marco Palestra
Cagliari
🟨
90+1'
Alexis Saelemaekers
AC Milan

Cagliari vs AC Milan Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Cagliari Win 0%
Draw 0%
AC Milan Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Cagliari1.07
AC Milan1.5
Recent Form (Last 5)
Cagliari Cagliari
WWDLW
25 GF / 27 GA
AC Milan AC Milan
WLDWL
32 GF / 16 GA
Key Stats
1.25
Average Goals Scored
1.6
1.35
Average Goals Conceded
0.8
13
BTTS Yes
8
9
Over 2.5
10
3.6
Shots on Goal
4.8

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Cagliari Cagliari 20 matches
AC Milan AC Milan 20 matches
Cagliari Statistic AC Milan
5 Wins 12
8 Draws 5
7 Losses 3
25 Goals For 32
27 Goals Against 16
1.25 Avg Goals Scored 1.6
1.35 Avg Goals Conceded 0.8
13 BTTS Yes 8
17 Over 1.5 14
9 Over 2.5 10
4 Over 3.5 4
3 Clean Sheets 10
5 Failed To Score 3
3.6 Shots On Goal 4.8
10.05 Total Shots 14.25
3.35 Corners 4.85
45.7% Ball Possession 54.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Cagliari won 1 times, AC Milan won 10 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:34 from Cagliari's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Cagliari 3-5-2 / AC Milan 3-5-2
H2H summary: Cagliari wins 1, draws 4, AC Milan wins 10

Standings

Serie A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 27 6 5 89:35 54 87
D D W W D
2 38 23 7 8 58:36 22 76
W W L D W
3 38 23 4 11 59:31 28 73
W W W W W
4 38 20 11 7 65:29 36 71
W W W D W
5 38 20 10 8 53:35 18 70
L W L L D
6 38 19 12 7 61:34 27 69
D L W D D
7 38 15 14 9 51:36 15 59
D L W D L
8 38 16 8 14 49:46 3 56
D W W D L
9 38 14 12 12 41:40 1 54
W L L W D
10 38 14 8 16 45:48 -3 50
L L W W D
11 38 14 7 17 46:50 -4 49
L L L W D
12 38 12 9 17 44:63 -19 45
D L W L D
13 38 11 12 15 28:46 -18 45
W L L L W
14 38 11 10 17 40:53 -13 43
W W L D W
15 38 9 15 14 41:50 -9 42
D W D L D
16 38 10 11 17 41:51 -10 41
L L D D L
17 38 10 8 20 28:50 -22 38
W W L W D
18 38 8 10 20 32:57 -25 34
L W W L L
19 38 3 12 23 25:61 -36 21
L D L D D
20 38 2 12 24 26:71 -45 18
L L L L L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Serie B