ITALY SERIE A
--.--.---- --:--
Unipol Domus
Referee: Rosario Abisso, Italy
Cagliari
Match Timeline
AC Milan
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
50'
R. Leao · Assist: A. Rabiot
AC Milan
🔄
60'
A. Obert ↔ R. Idrissi
Cagliari
🔄
61'
M. Prati ↔ G. Borrelli
Cagliari
🔄
66'
S. Esposito ↔ G. Gaetano
Cagliari
🔄
69'
Y. Fofana ↔ S. Ricci
AC Milan
🔄
69'
R. Leao ↔ N. Fullkrug
AC Milan
🔄
79'
R. Loftus-Cheek ↔ C. Pulisic
AC Milan
🔄
79'
P. Estupinan ↔ M. Gabbia
AC Milan
🟨
83'
Riyad Idrissi
Cagliari
🔄
83'
L. Mazzitelli ↔ N. Cavuoti
Cagliari
🔄
83'
S. Kilicsoy ↔ L. Pavoletti
Cagliari
🟨
90+1'
Marco Palestra
Cagliari
🟨
90+1'
Alexis Saelemaekers
AC Milan

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Cagliari Win 0%
Draw 0%
AC Milan Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Cagliari1.07
AC Milan1.5
Recent Form (Last 5)
Cagliari Cagliari
WWDLW
25 GF / 27 GA
AC Milan AC Milan
WLDWL
32 GF / 16 GA
Key Stats
1.25
Average Goals Scored
1.6
1.35
Average Goals Conceded
0.8
13
BTTS Yes
8
9
Over 2.5
10
3.6
Shots on Goal
4.8

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Cagliari Cagliari 20 matches
AC Milan AC Milan 20 matches
Cagliari Statistic AC Milan
5 Wins 12
8 Draws 5
7 Losses 3
25 Goals For 32
27 Goals Against 16
1.25 Avg Goals Scored 1.6
1.35 Avg Goals Conceded 0.8
13 BTTS Yes 8
17 Over 1.5 14
9 Over 2.5 10
4 Over 3.5 4
3 Clean Sheets 10
5 Failed To Score 3
3.6 Shots On Goal 4.8
10.05 Total Shots 14.25
3.35 Corners 4.85
45.7% Ball Possession 54.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Cagliari won 1 times, AC Milan won 10 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:34 from Cagliari's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Cagliari 3-5-2 / AC Milan 3-5-2
H2H summary: Cagliari wins 1, draws 4, AC Milan wins 10
Stats
Cagliari Cagliari
AC Milan AC Milan
Shots on Goal
1
Shots on Goal
4
Shots off Goal
4
Shots off Goal
4
Blocked Shots
1
Blocked Shots
3
6 Corner Kicks 7
10 Fouls 8
0 Offsides 2
46% Ball Possession 54%
6 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Goal 4
4 Shots off Goal 4
1 Blocked Shots 3
4 Shots insidebox 7
2 Shots outsidebox 4
3 Goalkeeper Saves 1
447 Total passes 538
389 Passes accurate 470
0.38 expected_goals 0.70
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Cagliari
Formation
AC Milan
E. Caprile
E. Caprile
G. Zappa
G. Zappa
S. Luperto
S. Luperto
J. Rodriguez
J. Rodriguez
M. Palestra
M. Palestra
M. Adopo
M. Adopo
M. Prati
M. Prati
L. Mazzitelli
L. Mazzitelli
A. Obert
A. Obert
S. Kilicsoy
S. Kilicsoy
S. Esposito
S. Esposito
M. Maignan
M. Maignan
F. Tomori
F. Tomori
K. De Winter
K. De Winter
D. Bartesaghi
D. Bartesaghi
A. Saelemaekers
A. Saelemaekers
Y. Fofana
Y. Fofana
L. Modric
L. Modric
A. Rabiot
🎯
A. Rabiot
P. Estupinan
P. Estupinan
R. Leao
R. Leao
R. Loftus-Cheek
R. Loftus-Cheek
Cagliari 3-5-2
Starting XI
1
E. Caprile
G
28
G. Zappa
D
6
S. Luperto
D
15
J. Rodriguez
D
2
M. Palestra
🟨 90+1'
M
8
M. Adopo
M
16
M. Prati
↓ 61'
M
4
L. Mazzitelli
↓ 83'
M
33
A. Obert
↓ 60'
M
9
S. Kilicsoy
↓ 83'
F
94
S. Esposito
↓ 66'
F
Substitutes
24
G. Ciocci
G
31
B. Radunovic
G
3
R. Idrissi
↑ 60' 🟨 83'
D
10
G. Gaetano
↑ 66'
M
14
A. Deiola
M
18
A. Di Pardo
D
20
M. Rog
M
21
N. Cavuoti
↑ 83'
M
23
N. Pintus
D
26
Y. Mina
D
27
J. Liteta
M
29
G. Borrelli
↑ 61'
F
30
L. Pavoletti
↑ 83'
F
37
Y. Trepy
F
77
Z. Luvumbo
F
AC Milan 3-5-2
Starting XI
16
M. Maignan
G
23
F. Tomori
D
5
K. De Winter
D
33
D. Bartesaghi
D
56
A. Saelemaekers
🟨 90+1'
M
19
Y. Fofana
↓ 69'
M
14
L. Modric
M
12
A. Rabiot
🎯 50'
M
2
P. Estupinan
↓ 79'
M
10
R. Leao
⚽ 50' ↓ 69'
F
8
R. Loftus-Cheek
↓ 79'
F
Substitutes
1
P. Terracciano
G
96
L. Torriani
G
4
S. Ricci
↑ 69'
M
9
N. Fullkrug
↑ 69'
F
11
C. Pulisic
↑ 79'
M
24
Z. Athekame
D
27
D. Odogu
D
30
A. Jashari
M
31
S. Pavlovic
D
38
A. Castiello
F
46
M. Gabbia
↑ 79'
D
Last matches: Cagliari
14.08.26
Cop
Cagliari
Arezzo
1
0
W
08.08.26
Fri
Cagliari
Nice
0
0
D
02.08.26
Fri
Cagliari
Union Berlin
2
2
D
28.07.26
Fri
Cagliari
Modena
1
0
W
23.07.26
Fri
Cagliari
Sampdoria
0
0
D
24.05.26
Ser
Cagliari
AC Milan
2
1
W
17.05.26
Ser
Cagliari
Torino
2
1
W
09.05.26
Ser
Cagliari
Udinese
0
2
L
03.05.26
Ser
Cagliari
Bologna
0
0
D
27.04.26
Ser
Cagliari
Atalanta
3
2
W
17.04.26
Ser
Cagliari
Inter
0
3
L
11.04.26
Ser
Cagliari
Cremonese
1
0
W
04.04.26
Ser
Cagliari
Sassuolo
1
2
L
20.03.26
Ser
Cagliari
Napoli
0
1
L
15.03.26
Ser
Cagliari
Pisa
1
3
L
07.03.26
Ser
Cagliari
Como
1
2
L
27.02.26
Ser
Cagliari
Parma
1
1
D
21.02.26
Ser
Cagliari
Lazio
0
0
D
16.02.26
Ser
Cagliari
Lecce
0
2
L
09.02.26
Ser
Cagliari
AS Roma
0
2
L
Last matches: AC Milan
15.08.26
Fri
AC Milan
Manchester United
4
2
W
08.08.26
Fri
AC Milan
Chelsea
0
3
L
05.08.26
Fri
AC Milan
Inter
1
1
D
25.07.26
Fri
AC Milan
Celtic
2
2
D
24.05.26
Ser
AC Milan
Cagliari
1
2
L
17.05.26
Ser
AC Milan
Genoa
2
1
W
10.05.26
Ser
AC Milan
Atalanta
2
3
L
03.05.26
Ser
AC Milan
Sassuolo
0
2
L
26.04.26
Ser
AC Milan
Juventus
0
0
D
19.04.26
Ser
AC Milan
Hellas Verona
1
0
W
11.04.26
Ser
AC Milan
Udinese
0
3
L
06.04.26
Ser
AC Milan
Napoli
0
1
L
21.03.26
Ser
AC Milan
Torino
3
2
W
15.03.26
Ser
AC Milan
Lazio
0
1
L
08.03.26
Ser
AC Milan
Inter
1
0
W
01.03.26
Ser
AC Milan
Cremonese
2
0
W
22.02.26
Ser
AC Milan
Parma
0
1
L
18.02.26
Ser
AC Milan
Como
1
1
D
13.02.26
Ser
AC Milan
Pisa
2
1
W
03.02.26
Ser
AC Milan
Bologna
3
0
W
H2H: Cagliari vs AC Milan
24.05.26
H2H
AC Milan
Cagliari
1
2
W
02.01.26
H2H
Cagliari
AC Milan
0
1
L
11.01.25
H2H
AC Milan
Cagliari
1
1
D
09.11.24
H2H
Cagliari
AC Milan
3
3
D
11.05.24
H2H
AC Milan
Cagliari
5
1
L
02.01.24
H2H
AC Milan
Cagliari
4
1
L
27.09.23
H2H
Cagliari
AC Milan
1
3
L
19.03.22
H2H
Cagliari
AC Milan
0
1
L
29.08.21
H2H
AC Milan
Cagliari
4
1
L
16.05.21
H2H
AC Milan
Cagliari
0
0
D
18.01.21
H2H
Cagliari
AC Milan
0
2
L
01.08.20
H2H
AC Milan
Cagliari
3
0
L
11.01.20
H2H
Cagliari
AC Milan
0
2
L
10.02.19
H2H
AC Milan
Cagliari
3
0
L
16.09.18
H2H
Cagliari
AC Milan
1
1
D
Last matches: Cagliari
14.08.26
Cop
Cagliari
Arezzo
1
0
W
08.08.26
Fri
Cagliari
Nice
0
0
D
28.07.26
Fri
Cagliari
Modena
1
0
W
17.05.26
Ser
Cagliari
Torino
2
1
W
09.05.26
Ser
Cagliari
Udinese
0
2
L
27.04.26
Ser
Cagliari
Atalanta
3
2
W
11.04.26
Ser
Cagliari
Cremonese
1
0
W
20.03.26
Ser
Cagliari
Napoli
0
1
L
07.03.26
Ser
Cagliari
Como
1
2
L
21.02.26
Ser
Cagliari
Lazio
0
0
D
16.02.26
Ser
Cagliari
Lecce
0
2
L
31.01.26
Ser
Cagliari
Hellas Verona
4
0
W
17.01.26
Ser
Cagliari
Juventus
1
0
W
21.12.25
Ser
Cagliari
Pisa
2
2
D
07.12.25
Ser
Cagliari
AS Roma
1
0
W
22.11.25
Ser
Cagliari
Genoa
3
3
D
30.10.25
Ser
Cagliari
Sassuolo
1
2
L
19.10.25
Ser
Cagliari
Bologna
0
2
L
27.09.25
Ser
Cagliari
Inter
0
2
L
23.09.25
Cop
Cagliari
Frosinone
4
1
W
H2H at home: Cagliari
02.01.26
H2H
Cagliari
AC Milan
0
1
L
09.11.24
H2H
Cagliari
AC Milan
3
3
D
27.09.23
H2H
Cagliari
AC Milan
1
3
L
19.03.22
H2H
Cagliari
AC Milan
0
1
L
18.01.21
H2H
Cagliari
AC Milan
0
2
L
11.01.20
H2H
Cagliari
AC Milan
0
2
L
16.09.18
H2H
Cagliari
AC Milan
1
1
D
Last matches: AC Milan
15.08.26
Fri
AC Milan
Manchester United
4
2
W
08.08.26
Fri
AC Milan
Chelsea
0
3
L
25.07.26
Fri
AC Milan
Celtic
2
2
D
17.05.26
Ser
AC Milan
Genoa
2
1
W
03.05.26
Ser
AC Milan
Sassuolo
0
2
L
19.04.26
Ser
AC Milan
Hellas Verona
1
0
W
06.04.26
Ser
AC Milan
Napoli
0
1
L
15.03.26
Ser
AC Milan
Lazio
0
1
L
01.03.26
Ser
AC Milan
Cremonese
2
0
W
13.02.26
Ser
AC Milan
Pisa
2
1
W
03.02.26
Ser
AC Milan
Bologna
3
0
W
25.01.26
Ser
AC Milan
AS Roma
1
1
D
15.01.26
Ser
AC Milan
Como
3
1
W
11.01.26
Ser
AC Milan
Fiorentina
1
1
D
18.12.25
Sup
AC Milan
Napoli
0
2
L
08.12.25
Ser
AC Milan
Torino
3
2
W
04.12.25
Cop
AC Milan
Lazio
0
1
L
23.11.25
Ser
AC Milan
Inter
1
0
W
08.11.25
Ser
AC Milan
Parma
2
2
D
28.10.25
Ser
AC Milan
Atalanta
1
1
D
H2H away: AC Milan
02.01.26
H2H
Cagliari
AC Milan
0
1
W
09.11.24
H2H
Cagliari
AC Milan
3
3
D
27.09.23
H2H
Cagliari
AC Milan
1
3
W
19.03.22
H2H
Cagliari
AC Milan
0
1
W
18.01.21
H2H
Cagliari
AC Milan
0
2
W
11.01.20
H2H
Cagliari
AC Milan
0
2
W
16.09.18
H2H
Cagliari
AC Milan
1
1
D

Standings

Serie A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 27 6 5 89:35 54 87
D D W W D
2 38 23 7 8 58:36 22 76
W W L D W
3 38 23 4 11 59:31 28 73
W W W W W
4 38 20 11 7 65:29 36 71
W W W D W
5 38 20 10 8 53:35 18 70
L W L L D
6 38 19 12 7 61:34 27 69
D L W D D
7 38 15 14 9 51:36 15 59
D L W D L
8 38 16 8 14 49:46 3 56
D W W D L
9 38 14 12 12 41:40 1 54
W L L W D
10 38 14 8 16 45:48 -3 50
L L W W D
11 38 14 7 17 46:50 -4 49
L L L W D
12 38 12 9 17 44:63 -19 45
D L W L D
13 38 11 12 15 28:46 -18 45
W L L L W
14 38 11 10 17 40:53 -13 43
W W L D W
15 38 9 15 14 41:50 -9 42
D W D L D
16 38 10 11 17 41:51 -10 41
L L D D L
17 38 10 8 20 28:50 -22 38
W W L W D
18 38 8 10 20 32:57 -25 34
L W W L L
19 38 3 12 23 25:61 -36 21
L D L D D
20 38 2 12 24 26:71 -45 18
L L L L L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Serie B