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WALES › PREMIER LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Caernarfon Town
FT
1 - 2
Penybont
The Oval
Referee: A. Jones
Caernarfon Town
Match Timeline
Penybont
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
5'
Z. Clarke
Caernarfon Town
⚽
19'
T. Mehew
Penybont
🟨
32'
C. Marriott
Caernarfon Town
⚽
32'
R. Hill
Penybont
🟨
41'
D. Gosset
Caernarfon Town
🔄
71'
C. Marriott ↔ M. Jones
Caernarfon Town
🔄
71'
A. Cieslewicz ↔ J. Canavan
Caernarfon Town
🔄
71'
D. Gosset ↔ P. Mendes
Caernarfon Town
🟨
75'
R. Sears
Caernarfon Town
🔄
88'
S. Bradley ↔ D. Thomas
Caernarfon Town
🔄
88'
N. Wood ↔ C. Venables
Penybont
🔄
88'
E. Cann ↔ T. Walker
Penybont
🔄
88'
E. Vaz ↔ E. Vaughan
Penybont
🔄
90+4'
O. Pritchard ↔ N. Daley
Penybont

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 74.2%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 51.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
74.2%
- ▥
BTTS No
51.6%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 3-0
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Caernarfon Town Win 54.1%
Draw 20.1%
Penybont Win 25.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Caernarfon Town1
Penybont1.65
Recent Form (Last 5)
Caernarfon Town Caernarfon Town
WWDLW
4 GF / 12 GA
Penybont Penybont
WLDWL
3 GF / 4 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
0.75
3
Average Goals Conceded
1
2
BTTS Yes
0
4
Over 2.5
2
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Caernarfon Town Caernarfon Town 4 matches
Penybont Penybont 4 matches
Caernarfon Town Statistic Penybont
2 Wins 1
0 Draws 1
2 Losses 2
4 Goals For 3
12 Goals Against 4
1 Avg Goals Scored 0.75
3 Avg Goals Conceded 1
2 BTTS Yes 0
4 Over 1.5 2
4 Over 2.5 2
2 Over 3.5 0
0 Clean Sheets 2
2 Failed To Score 3
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Caernarfon Town won 5 times, Penybont won 9 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:31 from Caernarfon Town's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.4 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (79.9%)
Predicted formations: Caernarfon Town 5-4-1 / Penybont 4-4-2
H2H summary: Caernarfon Town wins 5, draws 1, Penybont wins 9

Lineups

Caernarfon Town
Formation
Penybont
C. Roberts
C. Roberts
J. Piggott
J. Piggott
D. Gosset
↓
D. Gosset
A. Cieslewicz
↓
A. Cieslewicz
Z. Clarke
⚽
Z. Clarke
N. Edwards
N. Edwards
B. Nash
B. Nash
S. Bradley
↓
S. Bradley
C. Marriott
↓
C. Marriott
R. Sears
R. Sears
O. Evans
O. Evans
D. Higgs
D. Higgs
T. Mehew
⚽
T. Mehew
M. Davies
M. Davies
N. Wood
↓
N. Wood
O. Pritchard
↓
O. Pritchard
E. Cann
↓
E. Cann
E. Vaz
↓
E. Vaz
M. Melbourne
M. Melbourne
R. Hill
⚽
R. Hill
M. Manga
M. Manga
L. Shephard
L. Shephard
Caernarfon Town 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
C. Roberts
4
J. Piggott
8
D. Gosset
↓ 71' 🟨 41'
11
A. Cieslewicz
↓ 71'
9
Z. Clarke
⚽ 5'
14
N. Edwards
16
B. Nash
19
S. Bradley
↓ 88'
23
C. Marriott
↓ 71' 🟨 32'
27
R. Sears
🟨 75'
29
O. Evans
Substitutes
13
J. Williams
3
M. Jones
↑ 71'
5
P. Mooney
6
J. Canavan
↑ 71'
7
P. Mendes
↑ 71'
10
D. Thomas
↑ 88'
30
C. Griffith
Penybont 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
D. Higgs
4
T. Mehew
⚽ 19'
6
M. Davies
7
N. Wood
↓ 88'
8
O. Pritchard
↓ 90+4'
10
E. Cann
↓ 88'
12
E. Vaz
↓ 88'
16
M. Melbourne
19
R. Hill
⚽ 32'
20
M. Manga
32
L. Shephard
Substitutes
25
A. Pennock
35
J. Price
9
C. Venables
↑ 88'
11
N. Daley
↑ 90+4'
14
I. Phillips
23
T. Walker
↑ 88'
33
E. Vaughan
↑ 88'
Last matches: Caernarfon Town
21.08.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Trefelin
2
0
W
15.08.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Colwyn Bay
3
0
W
02.08.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
GAP Connah S Quay FC
2
1
W
16.07.26
UEF
Caernarfon Town
FC Levadia Tallinn
0
5
L
09.07.26
UEF
Caernarfon Town
FC Levadia Tallinn
0
5
L
20.06.26
Fri
Caernarfon Town
Glentoran
2
1
W
18.04.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Penybont
2
0
W
03.04.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Colwyn Bay
2
0
W
27.03.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
The New Saints
0
4
L
21.03.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Barry Town
1
2
L
13.03.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
GAP Connah S Quay FC
2
4
L
27.02.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Colwyn Bay
3
0
W
20.02.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
The New Saints
1
2
L
14.02.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Barry Town
0
2
L
06.02.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
GAP Connah S Quay FC
1
1
D
24.01.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Penybont
0
0
D
13.01.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
GAP Connah S Quay FC
2
2
D
31.12.25
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Bala Town
1
0
W
27.12.25
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Colwyn Bay
1
2
L
05.12.25
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Flint Town United
1
1
D
Last matches: Penybont
21.08.26
Pre
Penybont
Llandudno
2
1
W
14.08.26
Pre
Penybont
Haverfordwest County AFC
3
0
W
02.08.26
Pre
Penybont
The New Saints
0
0
D
16.07.26
UEF
Penybont
FC Santa Coloma
0
3
L
09.07.26
UEF
Penybont
FC Santa Coloma
0
1
L
23.06.26
Fri
Penybont
Trethomas Bluebirds
3
0
W
02.05.26
Pre
Penybont
Haverfordwest County AFC
2
0
W
25.04.26
Pre
Penybont
Colwyn Bay
0
0
D
18.04.26
Pre
Penybont
Caernarfon Town
0
2
L
03.04.26
Pre
Penybont
Barry Town
0
2
L
28.03.26
Pre
Penybont
Colwyn Bay
0
0
D
21.03.26
Pre
Penybont
GAP Connah S Quay FC
1
2
L
14.03.26
Pre
Penybont
The New Saints
1
2
L
03.03.26
Pre
Penybont
Barry Town
0
1
L
21.02.26
Pre
Penybont
Colwyn Bay
1
3
L
14.02.26
Pre
Penybont
GAP Connah S Quay FC
0
0
D
07.02.26
Pre
Penybont
The New Saints
0
6
L
24.01.26
Pre
Penybont
Caernarfon Town
0
0
D
13.01.26
Pre
Penybont
Cardiff MET
1
1
D
01.01.26
Pre
Penybont
llanelli AFC
1
0
W
H2H: Caernarfon Town vs Penybont
07.08.26
H2H
Caernarfon Town
Penybont
1
2
L
18.04.26
H2H
Caernarfon Town
Penybont
2
0
W
24.01.26
H2H
Penybont
Caernarfon Town
0
0
D
25.10.25
H2H
Penybont
Caernarfon Town
0
2
W
20.09.25
H2H
Caernarfon Town
Penybont
1
2
L
13.04.25
H2H
Penybont
Caernarfon Town
3
1
L
22.02.25
H2H
Caernarfon Town
Penybont
3
2
W
02.11.24
H2H
Caernarfon Town
Penybont
1
5
L
07.09.24
H2H
Penybont
Caernarfon Town
2
0
L
18.05.24
H2H
Caernarfon Town
Penybont
3
1
W
04.11.23
H2H
Caernarfon Town
Penybont
2
4
L
16.09.23
H2H
Penybont
Caernarfon Town
3
2
L
07.01.23
H2H
Penybont
Caernarfon Town
5
1
L
05.11.22
H2H
Caernarfon Town
Penybont
0
2
L
15.04.22
H2H
Caernarfon Town
Penybont
1
0
W
Last matches: Caernarfon Town
15.08.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Colwyn Bay
3
0
W
09.07.26
UEF
Caernarfon Town
FC Levadia Tallinn
0
5
L
18.04.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Penybont
2
0
W
27.03.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
The New Saints
0
4
L
13.03.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
GAP Connah S Quay FC
2
4
L
27.02.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Colwyn Bay
3
0
W
14.02.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Barry Town
0
2
L
13.01.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
GAP Connah S Quay FC
2
2
D
27.12.25
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Colwyn Bay
1
2
L
05.12.25
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Flint Town United
1
1
D
08.11.25
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Haverfordwest County AFC
2
2
D
01.11.25
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Briton Ferry
4
1
W
07.10.25
Pre
Caernarfon Town
The New Saints
1
3
L
28.09.25
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Cardiff MET
0
3
L
20.09.25
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Penybont
1
2
L
07.09.25
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Barry Town
3
1
W
25.08.25
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Bala Town
2
0
W
16.08.25
Pre
Caernarfon Town
llanelli AFC
6
1
W
H2H at home: Caernarfon Town
07.08.26
H2H
Caernarfon Town
Penybont
1
2
L
18.04.26
H2H
Caernarfon Town
Penybont
2
0
W
20.09.25
H2H
Caernarfon Town
Penybont
1
2
L
22.02.25
H2H
Caernarfon Town
Penybont
3
2
W
02.11.24
H2H
Caernarfon Town
Penybont
1
5
L
18.05.24
H2H
Caernarfon Town
Penybont
3
1
W
04.11.23
H2H
Caernarfon Town
Penybont
2
4
L
05.11.22
H2H
Caernarfon Town
Penybont
0
2
L
15.04.22
H2H
Caernarfon Town
Penybont
1
0
W
Last matches: Penybont
14.08.26
Pre
Penybont
Haverfordwest County AFC
3
0
W
16.07.26
UEF
Penybont
FC Santa Coloma
0
3
L
23.06.26
Fri
Penybont
Trethomas Bluebirds
3
0
W
25.04.26
Pre
Penybont
Colwyn Bay
0
0
D
18.04.26
Pre
Penybont
Caernarfon Town
0
2
L
21.03.26
Pre
Penybont
GAP Connah S Quay FC
1
2
L
03.03.26
Pre
Penybont
Barry Town
0
1
L
21.02.26
Pre
Penybont
Colwyn Bay
1
3
L
07.02.26
Pre
Penybont
The New Saints
0
6
L
01.01.26
Pre
Penybont
llanelli AFC
1
0
W
29.11.25
Pre
Penybont
Colwyn Bay
4
5
L
08.11.25
Pre
Penybont
GAP Connah S Quay FC
0
4
L
01.11.25
Pre
Penybont
Flint Town United
4
3
W
11.10.25
Pre
Penybont
The New Saints
2
6
L
03.10.25
Pre
Penybont
Briton Ferry
0
0
D
23.09.25
Pre
Penybont
Cardiff MET
4
0
W
20.09.25
Pre
Penybont
Caernarfon Town
2
1
W
06.09.25
Pre
Penybont
Bala Town
0
0
D
22.08.25
Pre
Penybont
Barry Town
3
2
W
08.08.25
Pre
Penybont
Haverfordwest County AFC
1
0
W
H2H away: Penybont
07.08.26
H2H
Caernarfon Town
Penybont
1
2
W
18.04.26
H2H
Caernarfon Town
Penybont
2
0
L
20.09.25
H2H
Caernarfon Town
Penybont
1
2
W
22.02.25
H2H
Caernarfon Town
Penybont
3
2
L
02.11.24
H2H
Caernarfon Town
Penybont
1
5
W
18.05.24
H2H
Caernarfon Town
Penybont
3
1
L
04.11.23
H2H
Caernarfon Town
Penybont
2
4
W
05.11.22
H2H
Caernarfon Town
Penybont
0
2
W
15.04.22
H2H
Caernarfon Town
Penybont
1
0
L

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Barry Town
4 4 0 0 9:4 5 12
W W W W
2
The New Saints
4 3 1 0 8:0 8 10
W W W D
3
Penybont Away
4 3 1 0 7:2 5 10
W W W D
4
GAP Connah S Quay FC
4 3 0 1 12:3 9 9
W W W L
5
Llandudno
4 3 0 1 11:5 6 9
L W W W
6
Caernarfon Town Home
4 3 0 1 8:3 5 9
W W L W
7
Cambrian & Clydach
4 2 1 1 6:3 3 7
W W D L
8
Briton Ferry
4 2 1 1 4:3 1 7
W L D W
9
Colwyn Bay
4 2 1 1 5:5 0 7
W L D W
10
Cardiff MET
4 2 0 2 8:7 1 6
L L W W
11
Airbus UK
4 2 0 2 3:3 0 6
L W L W
12
Ammanford AFC
4 0 1 3 3:8 -5 1
L L D L
13
Flint Town United
4 0 0 4 4:8 -4 0
L L L L
14
Haverfordwest County AFC
4 0 0 4 0:9 -9 0
L L L L
15
Holywell
4 0 0 4 4:15 -11 0
L L L L
16
Trefelin
4 0 0 4 0:14 -14 0
L L L L
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Championship Group)
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Conference League Group)
Cymru Premier (Relegation Group)