07.08.2026 18:45
The Oval
Referee: A. Jones
Caernarfon Town
Match Timeline
Penybont
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
5'
Z. Clarke
Caernarfon Town
19'
T. Mehew
Penybont
🟨
32'
C. Marriott
Caernarfon Town
32'
R. Hill
Penybont
🟨
41'
D. Gosset
Caernarfon Town
🔄
71'
C. Marriott ↔ M. Jones
Caernarfon Town
🔄
71'
A. Cieslewicz ↔ J. Canavan
Caernarfon Town
🔄
71'
D. Gosset ↔ P. Mendes
Caernarfon Town
🟨
75'
R. Sears
Caernarfon Town
🔄
88'
S. Bradley ↔ D. Thomas
Caernarfon Town
🔄
88'
N. Wood ↔ C. Venables
Penybont
🔄
88'
E. Cann ↔ T. Walker
Penybont
🔄
88'
E. Vaz ↔ E. Vaughan
Penybont
🔄
90+4'
O. Pritchard ↔ N. Daley
Penybont

Caernarfon Town vs Penybont Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 74.2%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 51.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
74.2%
-
BTTS No
51.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 3-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Caernarfon Town Win 54.1%
Draw 20.1%
Penybont Win 25.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Caernarfon Town1
Penybont1.65
Recent Form (Last 5)
Caernarfon Town Caernarfon Town
WWDLW
4 GF / 12 GA
Penybont Penybont
WLDWL
3 GF / 4 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
0.75
3
Average Goals Conceded
1
2
BTTS Yes
0
4
Over 2.5
2
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Caernarfon Town Caernarfon Town 4 matches
Penybont Penybont 4 matches
Caernarfon Town Statistic Penybont
2 Wins 1
0 Draws 1
2 Losses 2
4 Goals For 3
12 Goals Against 4
1 Avg Goals Scored 0.75
3 Avg Goals Conceded 1
2 BTTS Yes 0
4 Over 1.5 2
4 Over 2.5 2
2 Over 3.5 0
0 Clean Sheets 2
2 Failed To Score 3
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Caernarfon Town won 5 times, Penybont won 9 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:31 from Caernarfon Town's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.4 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (79.9%)
H2H summary: Caernarfon Town wins 5, draws 1, Penybont wins 9

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 9 1 0 26:4 22 28
W W W W W
2 10 7 3 0 20:8 12 24
W W W W D
3 10 7 1 2 33:11 22 22
W D W W L
4 10 7 1 2 23:7 16 22
W W L D W
5 10 7 1 2 25:16 9 22
L D W L W
6 10 6 1 3 20:14 6 19
W W W L W
7 10 5 1 4 18:14 4 16
L D L W L
8 10 5 0 5 17:15 2 15
W L L W W
9 10 4 3 3 17:20 -3 15
L W W D D
10 9 4 2 3 19:11 8 14
L D D W W
11 9 3 1 5 7:14 -7 10
W W D W L
12 10 2 2 6 9:19 -10 8
D L L L L
13 10 0 3 7 4:24 -20 3
D L L D L
14 10 0 3 7 7:28 -21 3
L D L L L
15 10 0 2 8 8:24 -16 2
L L D L L
16 10 0 1 9 11:35 -24 1
L L L D L
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Championship Group)
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Conference League Group)
Cymru Premier (Relegation Group)