Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
71%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
75%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
77.2%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
- |
Probability Distribution
Caernarfon Town Win 21%
Draw 8.1%
Colwyn Bay Win 71%
Expected Goals (xG)
Caernarfon Town1.1
Colwyn Bay2.25
Recent Form (Last 5)
Caernarfon Town
WWDLW
5 GF / 14 GA
Colwyn Bay
WLDWL
15 GF / 10 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
1.88
2.8
Average Goals Conceded
1.25
3
BTTS Yes
4
5
Over 2.5
5
0
Shots on Goal
0
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Caernarfon Town
5 matches
Colwyn Bay
8 matches
| Caernarfon Town | Statistic | Colwyn Bay |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Wins | 4 |
| 0 | Draws | 2 |
| 3 | Losses | 2 |
| 5 | Goals For | 15 |
| 14 | Goals Against | 10 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.88 |
| 2.8 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.25 |
| 3 | BTTS Yes | 4 |
| 5 | Over 1.5 | 7 |
| 5 | Over 2.5 | 5 |
| 2 | Over 3.5 | 4 |
| 0 | Clean Sheets | 3 |
| 2 | Failed To Score | 1 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Caernarfon Town won 6 times, Colwyn Bay won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:5 from Caernarfon Town's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.
1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.9%)
Predicted formations: Caernarfon Town 5-4-1 / Colwyn Bay -
H2H summary: Caernarfon Town wins 6, draws 0, Colwyn Bay wins 2
Last matches: Caernarfon Town
07.08.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Penybont
1
2
L
02.08.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
GAP Connah S Quay FC
2
1
W
16.07.26
UEF
Caernarfon Town
FC Levadia Tallinn
0
5
L
09.07.26
UEF
Caernarfon Town
FC Levadia Tallinn
0
5
L
20.06.26
Fri
Caernarfon Town
Glentoran
2
1
W
18.04.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Penybont
2
0
W
03.04.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Colwyn Bay
2
0
W
27.03.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
The New Saints
0
4
L
21.03.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Barry Town
1
2
L
13.03.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
GAP Connah S Quay FC
2
4
L
27.02.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Colwyn Bay
3
0
W
20.02.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
The New Saints
1
2
L
14.02.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Barry Town
0
2
L
06.02.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
GAP Connah S Quay FC
1
1
D
24.01.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Penybont
0
0
D
13.01.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
GAP Connah S Quay FC
2
2
D
31.12.25
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Bala Town
1
0
W
27.12.25
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Colwyn Bay
1
2
L
05.12.25
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Flint Town United
1
1
D
28.11.25
Pre
Caernarfon Town
The New Saints
0
2
L
Last matches: Colwyn Bay
07.08.26
Pre
Colwyn Bay
Ammanford AFC
2
2
D
31.07.26
Pre
Colwyn Bay
Trefelin
2
0
W
25.07.26
Fri
Colwyn Bay
Bootle
1
0
W
14.07.26
Fri
Colwyn Bay
Marine
0
2
L
11.07.26
Fri
Colwyn Bay
Altrincham
2
2
D
06.07.26
Fri
Colwyn Bay
Rhyl
3
2
W
03.07.26
Fri
Colwyn Bay
Denbigh Town
1
2
L
27.06.26
Fri
Colwyn Bay
Bala Town
4
0
W
25.04.26
Pre
Colwyn Bay
Penybont
0
0
D
18.04.26
Pre
Colwyn Bay
GAP Connah S Quay FC
1
1
D
03.04.26
Pre
Colwyn Bay
Caernarfon Town
0
2
L
28.03.26
Pre
Colwyn Bay
Penybont
0
0
D
20.03.26
Pre
Colwyn Bay
The New Saints
2
0
W
14.03.26
Pre
Colwyn Bay
Barry Town
3
1
W
27.02.26
Pre
Colwyn Bay
Caernarfon Town
0
3
L
21.02.26
Pre
Colwyn Bay
Penybont
3
1
W
13.02.26
Pre
Colwyn Bay
The New Saints
0
2
L
07.02.26
Pre
Colwyn Bay
Barry Town
1
0
W
24.01.26
Pre
Colwyn Bay
GAP Connah S Quay FC
2
2
D
13.01.26
Pre
Colwyn Bay
The New Saints
0
1
L
H2H: Caernarfon Town vs Colwyn Bay
03.04.26
H2H
Colwyn Bay
Caernarfon Town
0
2
W
27.02.26
H2H
Caernarfon Town
Colwyn Bay
3
0
W
31.01.26
H2H
Caernarfon Town
Colwyn Bay
4
1
W
27.12.25
H2H
Caernarfon Town
Colwyn Bay
1
2
L
04.10.25
H2H
Colwyn Bay
Caernarfon Town
1
0
L
01.08.25
H2H
Caernarfon Town
Colwyn Bay
3
0
W
31.12.23
H2H
Caernarfon Town
Colwyn Bay
2
1
W
13.08.23
H2H
Colwyn Bay
Caernarfon Town
0
4
W
Last matches: Caernarfon Town
07.08.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Penybont
1
2
L
09.07.26
UEF
Caernarfon Town
FC Levadia Tallinn
0
5
L
18.04.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Penybont
2
0
W
27.03.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
The New Saints
0
4
L
13.03.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
GAP Connah S Quay FC
2
4
L
27.02.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Colwyn Bay
3
0
W
14.02.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Barry Town
0
2
L
13.01.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
GAP Connah S Quay FC
2
2
D
27.12.25
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Colwyn Bay
1
2
L
05.12.25
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Flint Town United
1
1
D
08.11.25
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Haverfordwest County AFC
2
2
D
01.11.25
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Briton Ferry
4
1
W
07.10.25
Pre
Caernarfon Town
The New Saints
1
3
L
28.09.25
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Cardiff MET
0
3
L
20.09.25
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Penybont
1
2
L
07.09.25
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Barry Town
3
1
W
25.08.25
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Bala Town
2
0
W
16.08.25
Pre
Caernarfon Town
llanelli AFC
6
1
W
H2H at home: Caernarfon Town
27.02.26
H2H
Caernarfon Town
Colwyn Bay
3
0
W
31.01.26
H2H
Caernarfon Town
Colwyn Bay
4
1
W
27.12.25
H2H
Caernarfon Town
Colwyn Bay
1
2
L
01.08.25
H2H
Caernarfon Town
Colwyn Bay
3
0
W
31.12.23
H2H
Caernarfon Town
Colwyn Bay
2
1
W
Last matches: Colwyn Bay
07.08.26
Pre
Colwyn Bay
Ammanford AFC
2
2
D
14.07.26
Fri
Colwyn Bay
Marine
0
2
L
27.06.26
Fri
Colwyn Bay
Bala Town
4
0
W
18.04.26
Pre
Colwyn Bay
GAP Connah S Quay FC
1
1
D
28.03.26
Pre
Colwyn Bay
Penybont
0
0
D
20.03.26
Pre
Colwyn Bay
The New Saints
2
0
W
27.02.26
Pre
Colwyn Bay
Caernarfon Town
0
3
L
07.02.26
Pre
Colwyn Bay
Barry Town
1
0
W
13.01.26
Pre
Colwyn Bay
The New Saints
0
1
L
27.12.25
Pre
Colwyn Bay
Caernarfon Town
2
1
W
05.12.25
Pre
Colwyn Bay
GAP Connah S Quay FC
1
2
L
15.11.25
Pre
Colwyn Bay
Haverfordwest County AFC
0
1
L
25.10.25
Pre
Colwyn Bay
Briton Ferry
2
0
W
07.10.25
Pre
Colwyn Bay
Flint Town United
1
0
W
27.09.25
Pre
Colwyn Bay
Penybont
0
1
L
20.09.25
Pre
Colwyn Bay
llanelli AFC
0
0
D
06.09.25
Pre
Colwyn Bay
Cardiff MET
4
1
W
22.08.25
Pre
Colwyn Bay
Bala Town
0
1
L
16.08.25
Pre
Colwyn Bay
Barry Town
1
1
D
H2H away: Colwyn Bay
27.02.26
H2H
Caernarfon Town
Colwyn Bay
3
0
L
31.01.26
H2H
Caernarfon Town
Colwyn Bay
4
1
L
27.12.25
H2H
Caernarfon Town
Colwyn Bay
1
2
W
01.08.25
H2H
Caernarfon Town
Colwyn Bay
3
0
L
31.12.23
H2H
Caernarfon Town
Colwyn Bay
2
1
L
Standings
Premier League
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8:1 | 7 | 6 |
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7:2 | 5 | 6 |
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:3 | 2 | 6 |
W
W
|
|
| 4 |
Colwyn Bay
Away
|
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 4 |
D
W
|
| 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 4 |
W
D
|
|
| 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
D
W
|
|
| 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 4 |
W
D
|
|
| 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 3 |
W
L
|
|
| 9 |
Caernarfon Town
Home
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 3 |
L
W
|
| 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 3 |
L
W
|
|
| 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 1 |
D
L
|
|
| 12 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 |
D
L
|
|
| 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 0 |
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
L
L
|
|
| 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:6 | -6 | 0 |
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:9 | -7 | 0 |
L
L
|
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Championship Group)
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Conference League Group)
Cymru Premier (Relegation Group)