Caernarfon Town
Match Timeline
Colwyn Bay
Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
1X2
Away Win
BTTS
Yes
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
71%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
75%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
77.2%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
- |
Probability Distribution
Caernarfon Town Win 21%
Draw 8.1%
Colwyn Bay Win 71%
Expected Goals (xG)
Caernarfon Town1.1
Colwyn Bay2.25
Recent Form (Last 5)
Caernarfon Town
WWDLW
5 GF / 14 GA
Colwyn Bay
WLDWL
15 GF / 10 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
1.88
2.8
Average Goals Conceded
1.25
3
BTTS Yes
4
5
Over 2.5
5
0
Shots on Goal
0
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Caernarfon Town
5 matches
Colwyn Bay
8 matches
| Caernarfon Town | Statistic | Colwyn Bay |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Wins | 4 |
| 0 | Draws | 2 |
| 3 | Losses | 2 |
| 5 | Goals For | 15 |
| 14 | Goals Against | 10 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.88 |
| 2.8 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.25 |
| 3 | BTTS Yes | 4 |
| 5 | Over 1.5 | 7 |
| 5 | Over 2.5 | 5 |
| 2 | Over 3.5 | 4 |
| 0 | Clean Sheets | 3 |
| 2 | Failed To Score | 1 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Caernarfon Town won 7 times, Colwyn Bay won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:5 from Caernarfon Town's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.
1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.9%)
H2H summary: Caernarfon Town wins 7, draws 0, Colwyn Bay wins 2
Lineups
Caernarfon Town
Formation
Colwyn Bay
C. Roberts
M. Jones
J. Piggott
J. Canavan
D. Gosset
Z. Clarke
A. Cieslewicz
N. Edwards
B. Nash
R. Sears
O. Evans
M. Halstead
N. Peate
L. Sirrell
C. Bratley
A. Davies
L. Robles
J. Davies
J. Williams
M. Hill
R. Astles
D. Poole
Caernarfon Town
4-4-2
(estimated)
Starting XI
1
C. Roberts
3
M. Jones
4
J. Piggott
6
J. Canavan
↓ 87'
8
D. Gosset
⚽ 27'
🟨 59'
9
Z. Clarke
⚽ 65'
↓ 79'
11
A. Cieslewicz
⚽ 73'
↓ 87'
14
N. Edwards
16
B. Nash
27
R. Sears
29
O. Evans
↓ 70'
Substitutes
13
J. Williams
5
P. Mooney
10
D. Thomas
↑ 87'
19
S. Bradley
↑ 70'
23
C. Marriott
25
O. Zanzala
↑ 79'
39
H. Wyn
↑ 87'
Colwyn Bay
4-4-2
(estimated)
Starting XI
1
M. Halstead
4
N. Peate
5
L. Sirrell
8
C. Bratley
9
A. Davies
10
L. Robles
11
J. Davies
16
J. Williams
↓ 76'
19
M. Hill
↓ 76'
21
R. Astles
22
D. Poole
Substitutes
13
S. Osment
2
D. Roberts
3
S. Hart
17
E. Roberts
↑ 76'
20
A. Williams
↑ 76'
Last matches: Caernarfon Town
28.08.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Holywell
5
3
W
21.08.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Trefelin
2
0
W
07.08.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Penybont
1
2
L
02.08.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
GAP Connah S Quay FC
2
1
W
16.07.26
UEF
Caernarfon Town
FC Levadia Tallinn
0
5
L
09.07.26
UEF
Caernarfon Town
FC Levadia Tallinn
0
5
L
20.06.26
Fri
Caernarfon Town
Glentoran
2
1
W
18.04.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Penybont
2
0
W
03.04.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Colwyn Bay
2
0
W
27.03.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
The New Saints
0
4
L
21.03.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Barry Town
1
2
L
13.03.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
GAP Connah S Quay FC
2
4
L
27.02.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Colwyn Bay
3
0
W
20.02.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
The New Saints
1
2
L
14.02.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Barry Town
0
2
L
06.02.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
GAP Connah S Quay FC
1
1
D
24.01.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Penybont
0
0
D
13.01.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
GAP Connah S Quay FC
2
2
D
31.12.25
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Bala Town
1
0
W
27.12.25
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Colwyn Bay
1
2
L
Last matches: Colwyn Bay
28.08.26
Pre
Colwyn Bay
The New Saints
1
5
L
21.08.26
Pre
Colwyn Bay
Airbus UK
1
0
W
07.08.26
Pre
Colwyn Bay
Ammanford AFC
2
2
D
31.07.26
Pre
Colwyn Bay
Trefelin
2
0
W
25.07.26
Fri
Colwyn Bay
Bootle
1
0
W
14.07.26
Fri
Colwyn Bay
Marine
0
2
L
11.07.26
Fri
Colwyn Bay
Altrincham
2
2
D
06.07.26
Fri
Colwyn Bay
Rhyl
3
2
W
03.07.26
Fri
Colwyn Bay
Denbigh Town
1
2
L
27.06.26
Fri
Colwyn Bay
Bala Town
4
0
W
25.04.26
Pre
Colwyn Bay
Penybont
0
0
D
18.04.26
Pre
Colwyn Bay
GAP Connah S Quay FC
1
1
D
03.04.26
Pre
Colwyn Bay
Caernarfon Town
0
2
L
28.03.26
Pre
Colwyn Bay
Penybont
0
0
D
20.03.26
Pre
Colwyn Bay
The New Saints
2
0
W
14.03.26
Pre
Colwyn Bay
Barry Town
3
1
W
27.02.26
Pre
Colwyn Bay
Caernarfon Town
0
3
L
21.02.26
Pre
Colwyn Bay
Penybont
3
1
W
13.02.26
Pre
Colwyn Bay
The New Saints
0
2
L
07.02.26
Pre
Colwyn Bay
Barry Town
1
0
W
H2H: Caernarfon Town vs Colwyn Bay
15.08.26
H2H
Caernarfon Town
Colwyn Bay
3
0
W
03.04.26
H2H
Colwyn Bay
Caernarfon Town
0
2
W
27.02.26
H2H
Caernarfon Town
Colwyn Bay
3
0
W
31.01.26
H2H
Caernarfon Town
Colwyn Bay
4
1
W
27.12.25
H2H
Caernarfon Town
Colwyn Bay
1
2
L
04.10.25
H2H
Colwyn Bay
Caernarfon Town
1
0
L
01.08.25
H2H
Caernarfon Town
Colwyn Bay
3
0
W
31.12.23
H2H
Caernarfon Town
Colwyn Bay
2
1
W
13.08.23
H2H
Colwyn Bay
Caernarfon Town
0
4
W
Last matches: Caernarfon Town
07.08.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Penybont
1
2
L
09.07.26
UEF
Caernarfon Town
FC Levadia Tallinn
0
5
L
18.04.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Penybont
2
0
W
27.03.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
The New Saints
0
4
L
13.03.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
GAP Connah S Quay FC
2
4
L
27.02.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Colwyn Bay
3
0
W
14.02.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Barry Town
0
2
L
13.01.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
GAP Connah S Quay FC
2
2
D
27.12.25
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Colwyn Bay
1
2
L
05.12.25
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Flint Town United
1
1
D
08.11.25
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Haverfordwest County AFC
2
2
D
01.11.25
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Briton Ferry
4
1
W
07.10.25
Pre
Caernarfon Town
The New Saints
1
3
L
28.09.25
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Cardiff MET
0
3
L
20.09.25
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Penybont
1
2
L
07.09.25
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Barry Town
3
1
W
25.08.25
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Bala Town
2
0
W
16.08.25
Pre
Caernarfon Town
llanelli AFC
6
1
W
H2H at home: Caernarfon Town
15.08.26
H2H
Caernarfon Town
Colwyn Bay
3
0
W
27.02.26
H2H
Caernarfon Town
Colwyn Bay
3
0
W
31.01.26
H2H
Caernarfon Town
Colwyn Bay
4
1
W
27.12.25
H2H
Caernarfon Town
Colwyn Bay
1
2
L
01.08.25
H2H
Caernarfon Town
Colwyn Bay
3
0
W
31.12.23
H2H
Caernarfon Town
Colwyn Bay
2
1
W
Last matches: Colwyn Bay
28.08.26
Pre
Colwyn Bay
The New Saints
1
5
L
07.08.26
Pre
Colwyn Bay
Ammanford AFC
2
2
D
14.07.26
Fri
Colwyn Bay
Marine
0
2
L
27.06.26
Fri
Colwyn Bay
Bala Town
4
0
W
18.04.26
Pre
Colwyn Bay
GAP Connah S Quay FC
1
1
D
28.03.26
Pre
Colwyn Bay
Penybont
0
0
D
20.03.26
Pre
Colwyn Bay
The New Saints
2
0
W
27.02.26
Pre
Colwyn Bay
Caernarfon Town
0
3
L
07.02.26
Pre
Colwyn Bay
Barry Town
1
0
W
13.01.26
Pre
Colwyn Bay
The New Saints
0
1
L
27.12.25
Pre
Colwyn Bay
Caernarfon Town
2
1
W
05.12.25
Pre
Colwyn Bay
GAP Connah S Quay FC
1
2
L
15.11.25
Pre
Colwyn Bay
Haverfordwest County AFC
0
1
L
25.10.25
Pre
Colwyn Bay
Briton Ferry
2
0
W
07.10.25
Pre
Colwyn Bay
Flint Town United
1
0
W
27.09.25
Pre
Colwyn Bay
Penybont
0
1
L
20.09.25
Pre
Colwyn Bay
llanelli AFC
0
0
D
06.09.25
Pre
Colwyn Bay
Cardiff MET
4
1
W
22.08.25
Pre
Colwyn Bay
Bala Town
0
1
L
16.08.25
Pre
Colwyn Bay
Barry Town
1
1
D
H2H away: Colwyn Bay
15.08.26
H2H
Caernarfon Town
Colwyn Bay
3
0
L
27.02.26
H2H
Caernarfon Town
Colwyn Bay
3
0
L
31.01.26
H2H
Caernarfon Town
Colwyn Bay
4
1
L
27.12.25
H2H
Caernarfon Town
Colwyn Bay
1
2
W
01.08.25
H2H
Caernarfon Town
Colwyn Bay
3
0
L
31.12.23
H2H
Caernarfon Town
Colwyn Bay
2
1
L
Standings
Premier League
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 13:6 | 7 | 15 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 13:1 | 12 | 13 |
W
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 15:3 | 12 | 12 |
W
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 4 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 13:5 | 8 | 12 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 5 |
Caernarfon Town
Home
|
5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 13:6 | 7 | 12 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
| 6 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8:3 | 5 | 11 |
D
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 7 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11:7 | 4 | 9 |
W
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 7 |
L
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 9 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 7 |
L
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 10 |
Colwyn Bay
Away
|
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:10 | -4 | 7 |
L
W
L
D
W
|
| 11 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 6 |
L
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4:9 | -5 | 2 |
D
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 13 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5:9 | -4 | 1 |
D
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1:15 | -14 | 1 |
D
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 15 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0:11 | -11 | 0 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7:20 | -13 | 0 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Championship Group)
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Conference League Group)
Cymru Premier (Relegation Group)