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15.08.2026 16:15
The Oval
Referee: T. Owen
Caernarfon Town
Match Timeline
Colwyn Bay
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
27'
D. Gosset
Caernarfon Town
🟨
59'
D. Gosset
Caernarfon Town
⚽
65'
Z. Clarke
Caernarfon Town
🔄
70'
O. Evans ↔ S. Bradley
Caernarfon Town
⚽
73'
A. Cieslewicz
Caernarfon Town
🔄
76'
M. Hill ↔ E. Roberts
Colwyn Bay
🔄
76'
J. Williams ↔ A. Williams
Colwyn Bay
🔄
79'
Z. Clarke ↔ O. Zanzala
Caernarfon Town
🔄
87'
A. Cieslewicz ↔ D. Thomas
Caernarfon Town
🔄
87'
J. Canavan ↔ H. Wyn
Caernarfon Town

Caernarfon Town vs Colwyn Bay Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 71%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
71%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
75%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Caernarfon Town Win 21%
Draw 8.1%
Colwyn Bay Win 71%
Expected Goals (xG)
Caernarfon Town1.1
Colwyn Bay2.25
Recent Form (Last 5)
Caernarfon Town Caernarfon Town
L W L L W
5 GF / 14 GA
Colwyn Bay Colwyn Bay
D W W L D
7 GF / 6 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
1.88
2.8
Average Goals Conceded
1.25
3
BTTS Yes
4
5
Over 2.5
5
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Caernarfon Town Caernarfon Town 5 matches
Colwyn Bay Colwyn Bay 8 matches
Caernarfon Town Statistic Colwyn Bay
2 Wins 4
0 Draws 2
3 Losses 2
5 Goals For 15
14 Goals Against 10
1 Avg Goals Scored 1.88
2.8 Avg Goals Conceded 1.25
3 BTTS Yes 4
5 Over 1.5 7
5 Over 2.5 5
2 Over 3.5 4
0 Clean Sheets 3
2 Failed To Score 1
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Caernarfon Town won 7 times, Colwyn Bay won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:5 from Caernarfon Town's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.9%)
H2H summary: Caernarfon Town wins 7, draws 0, Colwyn Bay wins 2

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 14 13 1 0 53:6 47 40
W W W W W
2 14 11 1 2 32:9 23 34
W W W W W
3 13 9 3 1 25:11 14 30
W L W W W
4 14 9 2 3 40:16 24 29
W W L D W
5 14 8 2 4 24:17 7 26
D W L W W
6 14 8 1 5 29:26 3 25
L L W L L
7 14 8 0 6 28:20 8 24
W W W L W
8 14 6 4 4 26:18 8 22
D L W W D
9 14 5 3 6 23:36 -13 18
L L L W L
10 14 5 1 8 22:25 -3 16
L L L L L
11 14 4 1 9 11:20 -9 13
W L L L L
12 14 3 3 8 13:25 -12 12
L L W D D
13 14 3 2 9 14:25 -11 11
W L W W L
14 14 2 3 9 10:41 -31 9
L W W L L
15 14 1 3 10 8:33 -25 6
L W L L D
16 13 0 2 11 14:44 -30 2
L L D L L
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Championship Group)
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Conference League Group)
Cymru Premier (Relegation Group)