15.08.2026 16:15
The Oval
Referee: T. Owen
Caernarfon Town
Match Timeline
Colwyn Bay
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
27'
D. Gosset
Caernarfon Town
🟨
59'
D. Gosset
Caernarfon Town
65'
Z. Clarke
Caernarfon Town
🔄
70'
O. Evans ↔ S. Bradley
Caernarfon Town
73'
A. Cieslewicz
Caernarfon Town
🔄
76'
M. Hill ↔ E. Roberts
Colwyn Bay
🔄
76'
J. Williams ↔ A. Williams
Colwyn Bay
🔄
79'
Z. Clarke ↔ O. Zanzala
Caernarfon Town
🔄
87'
A. Cieslewicz ↔ D. Thomas
Caernarfon Town
🔄
87'
J. Canavan ↔ H. Wyn
Caernarfon Town

Caernarfon Town vs Colwyn Bay Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 71%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
71%
-
BTTS Yes
75%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
-
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Caernarfon Town Win 21%
Draw 8.1%
Colwyn Bay Win 71%
Expected Goals (xG)
Caernarfon Town1.1
Colwyn Bay2.25
Recent Form (Last 5)
Caernarfon Town Caernarfon Town
WWDLW
5 GF / 14 GA
Colwyn Bay Colwyn Bay
WLDWL
15 GF / 10 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
1.88
2.8
Average Goals Conceded
1.25
3
BTTS Yes
4
5
Over 2.5
5
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Caernarfon Town Caernarfon Town 5 matches
Colwyn Bay Colwyn Bay 8 matches
Caernarfon Town Statistic Colwyn Bay
2 Wins 4
0 Draws 2
3 Losses 2
5 Goals For 15
14 Goals Against 10
1 Avg Goals Scored 1.88
2.8 Avg Goals Conceded 1.25
3 BTTS Yes 4
5 Over 1.5 7
5 Over 2.5 5
2 Over 3.5 4
0 Clean Sheets 3
2 Failed To Score 1
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Caernarfon Town won 7 times, Colwyn Bay won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:5 from Caernarfon Town's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.9%)
H2H summary: Caernarfon Town wins 7, draws 0, Colwyn Bay wins 2

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 9 1 0 26:4 22 28
W W W W W
2 10 7 3 0 20:8 12 24
W W W W D
3 10 7 1 2 33:11 22 22
W D W W L
4 10 7 1 2 23:7 16 22
W W L D W
5 10 7 1 2 25:16 9 22
L D W L W
6 10 6 1 3 20:14 6 19
W W W L W
7 10 5 1 4 18:14 4 16
L D L W L
8 10 5 0 5 17:15 2 15
W L L W W
9 10 4 3 3 17:20 -3 15
L W W D D
10 9 4 2 3 19:11 8 14
L D D W W
11 9 3 1 5 7:14 -7 10
W W D W L
12 10 2 2 6 9:19 -10 8
D L L L L
13 10 0 3 7 4:24 -20 3
D L L D L
14 10 0 3 7 7:28 -21 3
L D L L L
15 10 0 2 8 8:24 -16 2
L L D L L
16 10 0 1 9 11:35 -24 1
L L L D L
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Championship Group)
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Conference League Group)
Cymru Premier (Relegation Group)