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23.10.2026 18:45
The Oval

Caernarfon Town vs Briton Ferry Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 76.8%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
76.8%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
86%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Caernarfon Town Win 76.8%
Draw 4.5%
Briton Ferry Win 18.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Caernarfon Town2.24
Briton Ferry1.22
Recent Form (Last 5)
Caernarfon Town Caernarfon Town
WWDLW
39 GF / 26 GA
Briton Ferry Briton Ferry
WLDWL
15 GF / 31 GA
Key Stats
2.44
Average Goals Scored
0.94
1.63
Average Goals Conceded
1.94
9
BTTS Yes
9
13
Over 2.5
9
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Caernarfon Town Caernarfon Town 16 matches
Briton Ferry Briton Ferry 16 matches
Caernarfon Town Statistic Briton Ferry
9 Wins 4
2 Draws 3
5 Losses 9
39 Goals For 15
26 Goals Against 31
2.44 Avg Goals Scored 0.94
1.63 Avg Goals Conceded 1.94
9 BTTS Yes 9
15 Over 1.5 13
13 Over 2.5 9
7 Over 3.5 5
4 Clean Sheets 2
3 Failed To Score 5
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Caernarfon Town's more proactive style and Briton Ferry's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Briton Ferry. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Caernarfon Town arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 4 with 26 points compared to Briton Ferry in 11 on 12, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Briton Ferry having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Caernarfon Town Analysis

Caernarfon Town arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 4 place with 26 points after 13 matches. Their overall return of 8 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses with goals at 37:15 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split return of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Briton Ferry Analysis

From their first 13 matches, Briton Ferry have collected 12 points and now occupy 11 place in the table. Their overall return of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses with goals at 12:22 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Caernarfon Town won 4 times, Briton Ferry won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:5 from Caernarfon Town's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 4.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.5%)
H2H summary: Caernarfon Town wins 4, draws 0, Briton Ferry wins 0

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 13 12 1 0 44:6 38 37
W W W W W
2 13 10 1 2 30:9 21 31
W W W W W
3 13 9 3 1 25:11 14 30
W L W W W
4 13 8 2 3 37:15 22 26
W L D W D
5 13 8 1 4 22:15 7 25
W L W W W
6 13 8 1 4 28:23 5 25
L W L L D
7 13 6 3 4 24:16 8 21
L W W D L
8 13 7 0 6 25:18 7 21
W W L W L
9 13 5 3 5 21:33 -12 18
L L W L W
10 13 5 1 7 22:23 -1 16
L L L L D
11 13 3 3 7 12:22 -10 12
L W D D L
12 13 3 1 9 8:19 -11 10
L L L L W
13 13 2 3 8 10:32 -22 9
W W L L D
14 13 2 2 9 12:25 -13 8
L W W L L
15 13 1 3 9 8:31 -23 6
W L L D L
16 13 0 2 11 14:44 -30 2
L L D L L
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Championship Group)
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Conference League Group)
Cymru Premier (Relegation Group)