Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
76.8%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
45.3%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.2%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
87.7%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
Caen
Concarneau
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Caen
31 matches
Concarneau
33 matches
| Caen | Statistic | Concarneau |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Wins | 10 |
| 15 | Draws | 12 |
| 8 | Losses | 11 |
| 40 | Goals For | 37 |
| 34 | Goals Against | 40 |
| 1.29 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.12 |
| 1.1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.21 |
| 18 | BTTS Yes | 13 |
| 24 | Over 1.5 | 22 |
| 13 | Over 2.5 | 15 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 7 |
| 11 | Clean Sheets | 13 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 13 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 5 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 14 |
| 0 | Corners | 2 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 44% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and Caen's more proactive style and Concarneau's more cautious structure points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Concarneau having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Concarneau.
So far, Caen have built a campaign that leaves them 8 in the table on 39 points from 30 matches. The record of 8 wins, 15 draws, and 7 defeats, together with a 38:31 goal balance, points toward good form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking threat comes through I. Botella (9 goals), A. Duville-Parsemain (5 goals), A. Gnanduillet (5 goals), with creative support from I. Botella (4 assists), R. Labonne (4 assists), O. Mazie (3 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, the record of 5 wins, 8 draws, and 2 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.
So far, Concarneau have built a campaign that leaves them 10 in the table on 36 points from 30 matches. The record of 8 wins, 12 draws, and 10 defeats, together with a 30:35 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Y. Soukouna (7 goals), J. Tell (4 goals), D. Seba (3 goals), with creative support from J. Tell (2 assists), S. Baldoni (2 assists), G. Gbelle (2 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 4 wins, 6 draws, and 5 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Caen won 2 times, Concarneau won 1 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:4 from Caen's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 32 | 18 | 11 | 3 | 52:25 | 27 | 65 |
W
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 2 | 32 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 51:26 | 25 | 58 |
D
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 32 | 14 | 13 | 5 | 43:29 | 14 | 55 |
W
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 4 | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 47:30 | 17 | 54 |
L
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 32 | 15 | 8 | 9 | 46:34 | 12 | 53 |
D
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 32 | 14 | 9 | 9 | 42:42 | 0 | 51 |
L
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 7 | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 45:38 | 7 | 47 |
D
L
L
D
D
|
|
| 8 |
Caen
Home
|
32 | 8 | 16 | 8 | 39:34 | 5 | 40 |
L
D
W
W
W
|
| 9 |
Concarneau
Away
|
32 | 8 | 14 | 10 | 32:37 | -5 | 38 |
D
D
D
W
D
|
| 10 | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 35:44 | -9 | 37 |
D
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 38:46 | -8 | 37 |
W
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 34:45 | -11 | 37 |
D
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 13 | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 34:45 | -11 | 33 |
W
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 14 | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 26:41 | -15 | 32 |
L
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 15 | 32 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 25:44 | -19 | 31 |
W
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 32 | 6 | 13 | 13 | 35:49 | -14 | 30 |
D
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 32 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 35:50 | -15 | 27 |
D
W
W
L
D
|