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11.10.2026 19:00
JP Financial Estadio
Referee: S. Ais
Cadiz
Match Timeline
Sporting Gijon
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
32'
Manuel Rodríguez
Sporting Gijon
🟨
50'
Sergio Arribas
Cadiz
🟨
54'
Jorge Sáenz
Sporting Gijon
🔄
65'
A. Moueffek ↔ M. Doue
Cadiz
🔄
69'
E. Prendes ↔ D. Matabuena
Sporting Gijon
🔄
74'
V. Kopotun ↔ A. Pascual
Cadiz
🔄
74'
I. Sanchez ↔ B. Vazquez
Cadiz
🔄
80'
G. Campos ↔ P. Garcia
Sporting Gijon
🔄
80'
M. Rodriguez ↔ M. Loum
Sporting Gijon
🔄
86'
A. Cordero ↔ D. Rodriguez
Cadiz
🔄
86'
Jandro ↔ E. Aghama
Cadiz
⚽
87'
P. Garcia
Sporting Gijon
🔄
90+2'
C. Gelabert Pina ↔ I. Martinez
Sporting Gijon

Cadiz vs Sporting Gijon Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 68.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
68.7%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
75%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
85.6%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Cadiz Win 31.3%
Draw 20.8%
Sporting Gijon Win 47.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Cadiz1.49
Sporting Gijon1.38
Recent Form (Last 5)
Cadiz Cadiz
W D L L L
8 GF / 7 GA
Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon
W L W L L
6 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
1.56
Average Goals Scored
1.38
1.38
Average Goals Conceded
1.38
9
BTTS Yes
5
9
Over 2.5
6
3.88
Shots on Goal
4.13

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Cadiz Cadiz 16 matches
Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon 13 matches
Cadiz Statistic Sporting Gijon
3 Wins 6
5 Draws 1
8 Losses 6
25 Goals For 18
22 Goals Against 18
1.56 Avg Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Avg Goals Conceded 1.38
9 BTTS Yes 5
12 Over 1.5 8
9 Over 2.5 6
7 Over 3.5 5
4 Clean Sheets 4
4 Failed To Score 5
3.88 Shots On Goal 4.13
12.25 Total Shots 11
4.13 Corners 3.5
51.5% Ball Possession 50.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Cadiz's more proactive style and Sporting Gijon's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Sporting Gijon. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Sporting Gijon carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 8 with 13 points while Cadiz sit 19 on 7, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Cadiz expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Sporting Gijon in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Sporting Gijon having the stronger overall control.

Cadiz Analysis

With 7 points from 8 games and a place of 19, Cadiz still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 1 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, together with goals at 11:10, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Antonio Cordero (2 goals), V. Kopotun (2 goals), A. Moueffek (1 goals), with creative support from Antonio Cordero (1 assists), V. Kopotun (1 assists), A. Moueffek (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 1 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.

Sporting Gijon Analysis

With 13 points from 8 games and a place of 8, Sporting Gijon still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 4 wins, 1 draws, and 3 defeats, and the 8:8 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Antonio Casas (3 goals), J. Otero (1 goals), Guille Rosas (1 goals), with creative support from J. Otero (1 assists), Álex Corredera (1 assists), Andrés Cuenca (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Cadiz won 4 times, Sporting Gijon won 4 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:10 from Cadiz's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 1.82 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (79.2%)
Predicted formations: Cadiz 4-2-3-1 / Sporting Gijon 4-4-2
H2H summary: Cadiz wins 4, draws 3, Sporting Gijon wins 4

Standings

Segunda
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 11 8 1 2 22:9 13 25
D W W W W
2 10 7 2 1 18:4 14 23
W L D W W
3 11 7 1 3 20:13 7 22
L D L W W
4 11 6 3 2 22:10 12 21
W W D D W
5 11 6 2 3 18:14 4 20
W W W W L
6 11 5 4 2 13:6 7 19
D D W D L
7 10 6 1 3 11:9 2 19
W W W L W
8 11 5 3 3 15:12 3 18
D W W L W
9 10 5 2 3 13:10 3 17
W L L W W
10 10 4 4 2 10:8 2 16
L W D D W
11 11 5 0 6 17:20 -3 15
W W L W L
12 10 4 2 4 13:13 0 14
W W W L L
13 11 4 2 5 14:19 -5 14
W L L D L
14 10 3 4 3 12:14 -2 13
D D L D L
15 11 3 3 5 16:16 0 12
L L W D W
16 11 3 3 5 16:21 -5 12
L D W L D
17 11 3 3 5 7:16 -9 12
D L L L L
18 10 3 1 6 13:17 -4 10
L W D W L
19 11 2 2 7 14:22 -8 8
L L L L L
20
Cadiz Home
10 1 4 5 11:13 -2 7
L L W D L
21 10 1 2 7 9:22 -13 5
L L D W D
22 10 0 1 9 6:22 -16 1
L L L L L
Promotion - LaLiga
Promotion - LaLiga2 (Promotion - Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Relegation