03.10.2026 16:30
Nuevo Mirandilla
Referee: Morilla Turrion, Alejandro
Cadiz
Match Timeline
Leganes
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
6'
Antonio Cordero · Assist: Vladyslav Kopotun
Cadiz
🟨
43'
Yassine Kechta
Leganes
⚽
54'
Vladyslav Kopotun
Cadiz
🔄
55'
Marc-Olivier Doué ↔ Aimen Moueffek
Cadiz
🔄
61'
Patrick Soko ↔ Dani Rodriguez
Leganes
🔄
61'
Alejandro San Cristobal Sanchez ↔ Rubén Pulido
Leganes
🔄
61'
Marvelous Antolín Garzón ↔ Unax del Cura
Leganes
🔄
61'
Miguel Atienza ↔ Zico Buurmeester
Leganes
🟨
62'
Naim Garcia
Leganes
🟨
69'
Manuel Fernández Arroyo
Cadiz
⚽
71'
Antonio Cordero · Assist: Aimen Moueffek
Cadiz
🟨
73'
Rubén Pulido
Leganes
🟨
74'
Juan Díaz Peregrina
Cadiz
🔄
78'
Juan Díaz Peregrina ↔ Beñat de Jesús Domingo
Cadiz
🔄
78'
Ibon Ignacio Sánchez Océn ↔ Borja Vazquez
Cadiz
🔄
79'
Francisco Montero ↔ Álvaro Tejero
Leganes
⚽
83'
Aimen Moueffek · Assist: Borja Vazquez
Cadiz
🔄
84'
Vladyslav Kopotun ↔ Damián Rodríguez Sousa
Cadiz
🔄
84'
Jandro Orellana ↔ Urko Iruretagoiena Lertxundi
Cadiz

Cadiz vs Leganes Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 67.7%
Odds 2.74
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds 1.91
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds 2.29
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
67.7%
2.74 ▥
BTTS Yes
67.1%
1.91 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
2.29 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
69.9%
1.36 ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
6.00 ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
11.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Cadiz Win 18.6%
Draw 13.7%
Leganes Win 67.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Cadiz1.22
Leganes1.15
Recent Form (Last 5)
Cadiz Cadiz
WWDLW
21 GF / 22 GA
Leganes Leganes
WLDWL
15 GF / 15 GA
Key Stats
1.4
Average Goals Scored
0.94
1.47
Average Goals Conceded
0.94
9
BTTS Yes
5
8
Over 2.5
5
3.14
Shots on Goal
4.14

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Cadiz Cadiz 15 matches
Leganes Leganes 16 matches
Cadiz Statistic Leganes
2 Wins 6
5 Draws 5
8 Losses 5
21 Goals For 15
22 Goals Against 15
1.4 Avg Goals Scored 0.94
1.47 Avg Goals Conceded 0.94
9 BTTS Yes 5
11 Over 1.5 9
8 Over 2.5 5
6 Over 3.5 2
3 Clean Sheets 8
4 Failed To Score 7
3.14 Shots On Goal 4.14
10.57 Total Shots 11
4 Corners 2.86
52.6% Ball Possession 44%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Leganes's more proactive style and Cadiz's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Cadiz have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Leganes carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 8 with 11 points while Cadiz sit 19 on 3, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Cadiz expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Leganes in 3-2-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Leganes having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Leganes.

Cadiz Analysis

Cadiz approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 19 with 3 points from 6 matches. The overall return of 0 wins, 3 draws, and 3 defeats with a 6:9 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on Javi Castro (1 goals), Urko Izeta (1 goals), with creative support from Antonio Cordero (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 0 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Leganes Analysis

Leganes sit 8 with 11 points after 6 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 3 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, while the 6:5 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Naim García (2 goals), Ismaël Gharbi (2 goals), P. Soko (1 goals), with creative support from Naim García (1 assists), Ismaël Gharbi (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, their split return of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Cadiz won 1 times, Leganes won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:1 from Cadiz's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (86.3%)
Predicted formations: Cadiz 4-2-3-1 / Leganes 3-2-4-1
H2H summary: Cadiz wins 1, draws 1, Leganes wins 0

Standings

Segunda
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 7 6 1 0 14:2 12 19
W W W W W
2 7 6 0 1 15:6 9 18
W W W W W
3 7 5 0 2 11:4 7 15
W W W W L
4 7 4 2 1 11:7 4 14
W W W D D
5 7 4 1 2 14:8 6 13
W W L W W
6 7 4 1 2 8:3 5 13
L W W D W
7 7 3 3 1 8:6 2 12
D W L W W
8 8 3 2 3 8:8 0 11
L W L W D
9 7 3 2 2 8:9 -1 11
D L W D L
10 7 3 2 2 6:7 -1 11
L W L D W
11 7 3 1 3 10:11 -1 10
L L W D L
12 7 3 1 3 5:6 -1 10
L W L L W
13 7 2 2 3 10:11 -1 8
L L D L W
14 7 2 2 3 9:10 -1 8
L L W D D
15 8 2 2 4 8:10 -2 8
W L L W D
16 7 2 2 3 8:11 -3 8
D L L W L
17 7 2 2 3 6:9 -3 8
W D L W D
18 7 2 0 5 12:15 -3 6
W L L L L
19 7 2 0 5 10:16 -6 6
L W L L L
20
Cadiz Home
7 0 4 3 7:10 -3 4
D L L L D
21 7 1 1 5 6:17 -11 4
W D L L L
22 7 0 1 6 4:12 -8 1
L L D L L
Promotion - LaLiga
Promotion - LaLiga2 (Promotion - Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Relegation