08.05.2026 18:30
JP Financial Estadio
Referee: D. Arcediano
Cadiz
Match Timeline
Deportivo La Coruna
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
18'
Lucas Noubi
Deportivo La Coruna
🔄
20'
J. Gonzalez ↔ M. Diakite
Cadiz
🟨
45+2'
Yeremay Hernández
Deportivo La Coruna
🔄
46'
L. Noubi ↔ A. Comas
Deportivo La Coruna
🔄
67'
A. Fernandez ↔ B. Ocampo
Cadiz
🔄
67'
Suso ↔ L. Perez
Cadiz
🟨
74'
Pelayo Fernández
Cadiz
🔄
74'
B. Nsongo ↔ Z. Eddahchouri
Deportivo La Coruna
🔄
74'
Cruz Luismi ↔ N. Carrillo
Deportivo La Coruna
🔄
79'
A. Cordero ↔ J. de la Rosa
Cadiz
🔄
80'
A. Pascual ↔ R. Marti
Cadiz
🔄
81'
G. Quagliata ↔ S. Escudero
Deportivo La Coruna
🔄
86'
Y. Hernandez ↔ Stoichkov
Deportivo La Coruna
⚽
88'
Stoichkov · Assist: S. Escudero
Deportivo La Coruna
🟨
89'
Noé Carrillo
Deportivo La Coruna

Cadiz vs Deportivo La Coruna Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 100%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 17.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 24.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
100%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS No
17.4%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
24.1%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 0-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Cadiz Win 0%
Draw 0%
Deportivo La Coruna Win 100%
Expected Goals (xG)
Cadiz1.03
Deportivo La Coruna1.55
Recent Form (Last 5)
Cadiz Cadiz
WWDLW
41 GF / 59 GA
Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna
WLDWL
67 GF / 43 GA
Key Stats
1.03
Average Goals Scored
1.6
1.48
Average Goals Conceded
1.02
20
BTTS Yes
24
22
Over 2.5
20
2.95
Shots on Goal
4.05

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Cadiz Cadiz 40 matches
Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna 42 matches
Cadiz Statistic Deportivo La Coruna
11 Wins 22
9 Draws 11
20 Losses 9
41 Goals For 67
59 Goals Against 43
1.03 Avg Goals Scored 1.6
1.48 Avg Goals Conceded 1.02
20 BTTS Yes 24
27 Over 1.5 34
22 Over 2.5 20
10 Over 3.5 10
10 Clean Sheets 11
14 Failed To Score 8
2.95 Shots On Goal 4.05
9.65 Total Shots 12.19
4.35 Corners 4.79
43.9% Ball Possession 49.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Deportivo La Coruna's more proactive style and Cadiz's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Deportivo La Coruna carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 3 with 68 points while Cadiz sit 18 on 39, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Cadiz have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Deportivo La Coruna. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Cadiz expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Deportivo La Coruna in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Deportivo La Coruna having the stronger overall control.

Cadiz Analysis

With 39 points from 38 games and a place of 18, Cadiz still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 10 wins, 9 draws, and 19 losses, together with goals at 36:55, reflects poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Much of their threat comes through I. Tabatadze (6 goals), B. Ocampo (5 goals), Dawda Camara (5 goals), with creative support from A. Pascual (6 assists), S. Ortuno (4 assists), Mario Climent (3 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 6 wins, 2 draws, and 11 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Deportivo La Coruna Analysis

Deportivo La Coruna arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 3 place with 68 points after 38 matches. Their overall return of 19 wins, 11 draws, and 8 losses with goals at 59:41 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Yeremay Hernández (11 goals), Zakaria Eddahchouri (10 goals), D. Mella (5 goals), with creative support from Yeremay Hernández (9 assists), M. Soriano (8 assists), Cruz Luismi (8 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. Away from home, their split return of 9 wins, 6 draws, and 4 losses fits a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Cadiz won 1 times, Deportivo La Coruna won 4 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:10 from Cadiz's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.25 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 2 (100%)
Predicted formations: Cadiz 4-2-3-1 / Deportivo La Coruna 4-4-2
H2H summary: Cadiz wins 1, draws 3, Deportivo La Coruna wins 4

Standings

Segunda División
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 42 25 7 10 90:61 29 82
W D W W W
2 42 22 11 9 65:44 21 77
L W W W W
3 42 22 8 12 81:63 18 74
L D W D W
4 42 21 10 11 75:52 23 73
W D D W W
5 42 20 13 9 57:40 17 73
D L W D W
6 42 20 12 10 70:51 19 72
L D W W D
7 42 20 12 10 48:33 15 72
W W W D D
8 42 19 10 13 52:40 12 67
L W L W L
9 42 18 7 17 60:54 6 61
W W W L L
10 42 17 10 15 57:61 -4 61
D L L W W
11 42 17 10 15 51:63 -12 61
W W L D W
12 42 16 11 15 56:55 1 59
L W W W W
13 42 16 10 16 62:54 8 58
L L L W L
14 42 12 12 18 50:56 -6 48
L L L L W
15 42 12 11 19 52:61 -9 47
D L D W D
16 42 11 13 18 43:51 -8 46
W L D L L
17 42 12 10 20 44:57 -13 46
L L L W L
18
Cadiz Home
42 11 10 21 41:61 -20 43
L W D L D
19 42 10 10 22 47:69 -22 40
L W D L L
20 42 9 11 22 41:63 -22 38
D L D L L
21 42 9 10 23 39:68 -29 37
D L W L D
22 42 8 12 22 35:59 -24 36
L D L L L
Promotion
Promotion Play-offs
Relegation